Handicappers' Racing Form

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (7/2/5/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-2   Win (2/9/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (7/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (12/5/14) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-5   Win (5/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-6   Win (10/6/3/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-7   Win (1/3/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (5/11/2/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-9   Win (7/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (4/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-11   Win (1/12/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-12   Win (6/7/1/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   11/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPRESS CRUISER Jun30 Jun16 Apr26     (gutierrez f)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
MASTER OF DISGUISE Nov02 Sep13 Aug09 Jul12 Jun22 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
DANCING NOAH Oct29         (taylor brent)ROCCO S 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
PALHACO Nov15         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
PILOT MOUNTAIN         (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 16% 5.30    
TAGLIATELLE         (hughes g)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 16% 5.30    
PETINGAS TWIN         (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 24% 3.10    
THE RUSH IS ON Oct26 Oct14 Sep17 Jul14 Jun30 (vosler eugene)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00    
SUMMER IN AIKEN Nov02 Oct01 Sep10     (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
10  KING BUKELE Sep16 Sep02 Jul30     (torres ale)AYALA ISAIAS 119 15.00    
11  DON'T STOP Nov07 Sep21       (simms jr)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
12  CAMILAS WARRIOR Nov02 Oct20       (chavez manuel)CANUTO THIAGO 119 15.00    
SCR  MIRAGE (IRE)         (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
SCR  SHARP SHOT Nov04 Oct11       (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 1.20    
 
CD-2   11/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AARALYN Oct30 Sep23 Sep02 Aug11   (hiles a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
UP ON THE EDGE Oct26 Sep20 Aug11 Jul16   (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
ROSELEE MAY Oct29 Sep09       (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 10% 8.60    
YOU PROOF         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
BRIGHT LADY DAY Nov02 Oct06       (jackson christop)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
LOST LOVE Nov02 Oct08 Sep20     (hamilton sarah)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
CHEYENNE MOON Nov11 Sep27       (brennan terry)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
KENTUCKYTERMINATOR Oct26 Sep27       (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
PROMISEMEANEMPIRE Oct12 Sep20 Aug26     (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.50 20% 3.90    
 
CD-3   11/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAKESIDE MUSIC Oct18 Jun29       (spicer t)LEAHEY HANNAH 118 20.00    
DEAR LADY Nov16 Oct14 Sep01 Jul22 Feb11 (mcpeek kenn)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50 20% 4.00    
METHODOLOGY Oct19 Sep22 Aug04 Jun24 Jun03 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 11% 7.70    
SCR  YES DAY Oct06 Aug01 Jul07 Apr15 Mar18 (wismer glenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
MALIBU SMART Nov08 Sep28 Jun22 May29 Apr01 (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 12.00    
UNSTABLE PRINCESS Sep10 Aug12 Jul23 Jun29 May12 (santamaria carlos)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
MIGHTY MADISON Dec21 Nov23 Oct20 Sep25   (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
H. T. XENA Oct06 Feb12 Dec15 Nov17 Oct21 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
DEVIL BLUE DRESS Nov03 Oct07       (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 120 4.00    
 
CD-4   11/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 2:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALPINE PRINCESS Oct06 Sep03 Jul23     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00    
SISTINA CHAPEL Nov11 Sep13 Aug18     (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 120 8.00    
WELLAREYOUHAPPYNOW Oct27 Oct04       (thompson er)BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00    
SCR  CAIRO STREET Oct11 Sep13 Aug13 Jul07   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00    
COPPER EM Oct27 Sep13 Aug06 Jun30   (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  CELTIC CHARM Oct27         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50    
SCR  FALABELLA (IRE) Oct19 Sep06       (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
SCR  GIGI'S WORLD Nov13 Oct25 Sep13 Aug30 Aug19 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 120 30.00    
SCR  BUTTERCREAM BABE Nov03 Oct08 Sep13 Aug31   (maker mich)SANTANA JR 120 5.00    
SCR  REAGAN'S FLAME Oct13         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
SCR  APRIL'S DIAMANTE Sep29 Aug24 May25     (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 15.00    
12  PHAROAH'S WINE Oct06 Sep02 Jul23 Jun30   (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 4.00 46% 1.20    
13  LATE NITE LIZZIE Nov05 Oct07 Sep07     (habeeb j)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00    
14  TOASTED ROLL Oct29 Sep28 Aug31     (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 8% 10.90    
 
CD-5   11/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRIMINAL DEFENSE Aug23 Jul22 Jun24 Mar22 Feb26 (barnett c)COURT K 120 20.00    
SCR  EMPERADOR Nov10 Jul31 Jun29 Jun04 Jan06 (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 120 2.50    
READY PURSUIT Nov10 Oct24 Oct11 Aug12 Mar24 (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00    
MUST BE LOVE Oct19 Sep16 Jul28 Jun21 Jun05 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50    
RIVER BOY Nov10 Oct18 Oct03 Sep15 Aug30 (garcia j)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.50 59% 0.70    
TROPIC STORM Nov15 Nov01 Sep14 Jul21 Jun25 (cano munoz)ASHTON GAVIN 122 6.00    
BOLSHIE Nov17 Nov02 Sep28 Sep06 Aug15 (cook brian)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
STAND FOR FREEDOM Nov05 Oct14 Sep16 Aug26 Jul31 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 3.00 12% 7.50    
COMMANDO JOE Oct28 Sep12 Aug23 Aug02 Jul11 (matthews rand)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-6   11/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELIA Oct25 Oct17 Sep25 Jul25 Jul05 (gonzalez e)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
SCR  VARTON Nov15 Aug22 Jul07 Jun13 Apr25 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
DONYA KNOW IT Oct20 Sep15 Jul07 Jun16 May14 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 110 4.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  MY MY MUNNY Oct05 Sep17 Aug22 Aug01 Jul13 (garcia ge)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
LOOKIN ROYAL Nov08 Sep28 Sep06 Aug05 Jul26 (huffman pat)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 30.00    
CHARGE ACCOUNT Nov11 Oct01 Sep17 Aug28 Jul27 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
SHE DAZZLE Nov15 Oct13 Sep15 Aug12 Jul09 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00    
EVERYOTHERWON Nov15 Oct01 Sep15 Aug23 Aug02 (hill f)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
O'BABE Sep13 Aug24 Aug03 Jul12 Jun10 (greenhill jeff)BEJARANO R 120 15.00    
10  LA V. Oct25 Sep21 Aug31 Aug12 Jun16 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
11  CACTUS FLOWER Oct17 Aug31 Aug02 Jul05 Jun14 (matthews rand)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 12.00 7% 14.00    
12  FUTURE FLAY Sep30 Jul05 Jun09 May17 Apr28 (esquivel je)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 30.00    
 
CD-7   11/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORCED RANKING Nov04 Oct06 Sep01     (hernandez rey)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  FAN THE FIRE Nov02 Oct07       (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00    
ARRO SMASH Nov02 Sep24 Aug26 Jul30 Jul02 (bauer philip)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 12% 7.20    
ZAMBEZI Nov11 Sep13 Jul30 Jun25 May28 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 4.50    
SHOWDOWN KING Oct26 Sep21 Jul30     (kenneally eddie)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
LAVER May19 Apr28 Feb11 Jan01 Nov13 (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
JUILLIARD Apr28 Apr02 Mar11 Feb18 Jan08 (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SPEND BENJAMINS Nov04 Jul09 Jun10 May06 Apr22 (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 120 5.00    
SCR  B SUDD Oct26 Sep23 Aug20 Jan07 Dec10 (ortiz al)PETERSON FERRIN 120 10.00    
10  BOURBON RESOLVE Apr14 Jan28 Dec31     (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 10% 8.60    
 
CD-8   11/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 4:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J J'S RANGER         (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 12.00    
VESTURE Oct07 Sep01       (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 20% 4.00    
WIND RIDER Nov07         (arnold geor)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOWSTREET Nov25 Oct29       (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00    
HALL OF FAME (ARG)         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  ASK ARTHUR         (wismer gle)MARTINEZ A 119 20.00    
RIVERWALK         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
BOX OFFICE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 12% 7.00    
GHOSTLY SPITFIRE         (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  HEAD LAD Oct11 Aug24 Jul29     (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
11  REDEPOSIT Oct20         (foley greg)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 20% 3.90    
12  FRIO RIVER         (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 119 12.00    
SCR  KYKEON Sep11         (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
14  YELL COUNTY Oct18 Sep17       (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00    
15  DIMATIC         (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  HOLD OUT         (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
 
CD-9   11/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 ALL PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACT A FOOL Aug05 Jun25 Jun04 Apr09 Mar05 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
PROMISE ME A RIDE Oct28 Sep02 Aug04 Jul09 May06 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.50    
BRITERDAYZAHEAD Sep20 Jul16 Jun23 May21 Apr16 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 16% 5.20    
BROMLEY Oct28 Sep20 Mar04 Jan21 Dec28 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
CYCLONE MISCHIEF May06 Apr01 Mar04 Feb04 Jan08 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00    
DENINGTON Oct28 Sep23 Aug26 Aug13 Jul08 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 4.50    
WICO (IRE) Oct08 Jul22 May21 Apr28 Mar25 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
CURLY JACK Oct28 May29 May06 Mar25 Feb18 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
 
CD-10   11/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRIAR LAURENCE Nov11 Sep29 Sep05 Jun25 May29 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
SCR  OSBOURNE Sep29 Aug26 Jul29 Apr01 Feb25 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 122 5.00    
KUPUNA Aug13 Jun30 May27 May06 Apr20 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 20% 4.10    
GIANT MISCHIEF Sep20 Feb25 Dec17 Nov04 Sep22 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
SHOOTERS SHOOT Oct19 Oct01 Aug13 Jul16 Jun15 (kenneally eddie)ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
PAYNE Oct28 Aug25 Apr15 Mar09 Jan28 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  C F V BULLET Oct23 Sep25 Jun27 Jan06 Dec09 (gonzalez lilia)BEJARANO R 120 20.00    
TRAEGAR Oct28 Jan15 Dec03 Oct29 Sep30 (glatt mark)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
MINNESOTA READY Oct20 Aug05 Jun22 May14 Apr16 (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 8.00    
10  GO WEST Nov17 Jul22 May29 Apr28 Apr01 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 15.00    
 
CD-11   11/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Commonwealth Turf Purse ($300K) 3 ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN INVADER Oct06 Aug12 Jul01 Jun04 May06 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 56% 0.80    
SMOKEY MANDATE Oct28 Sep30 Sep02 Jul07 May06 (maker j)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 7% 14.10    
SCR  ANGLOPHILE Oct07 Sep03 Aug05 Jul16 Jun17 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 123 12.00    
WORTHINGTON Oct28 Sep30 Aug05 Jun21 May17 (maker micha)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY STORM Oct28 Sep09 Aug03 Jun16 May11 (west ethan )HERNANDEZ J 123 3.50    
SCR  OHANA HONOR Oct06 Sep09 Aug03 Jun03 Apr13 (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
SCR  IRISH ACES Oct12 Aug26 Nov06 Oct03   (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
SCR  BAL A KAZOO Nov09 Oct08 Aug19 Jul08 Jun20 (gorham m)PEREZ E 118 20.00    
GIGANTE Oct28 Sep09 Aug12 Jul15 Jul01 (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  WINTERS LION Nov03 Oct06 Aug30 Jul01 May27 (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
SCR  SANTORINI Oct28 Sep07 Aug11 Jun01 Mar25 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 10.00    
12  LINCOLN HIGHWAY Oct19 Sep17 Aug05 Jun24 May28 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  CLYDE'S GOT A GUN Nov24 Oct19 Sep16 Aug26   (pitts helen)MOJICA O 118 15.00    
14  WILD SEAN Oct31 Oct09 Dec10 Oct20 Sep22 (elliott michell)LEAHEY HANNAH 118 30.00    
15  J. P. RACE Jun03 Apr13 Mar22     (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 30.00    
 
CD-12   11/26/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORIOUS         (mccarthy michael)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 19% 4.40    
RUBIA Oct28 Apr22 Dec31     (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 8.00    
RITA'S ONTHE BEACH Nov03 Oct08 Sep03 Aug01   (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
MISINTENTION Oct22 Sep22 Sep23 Sep04 Jul31 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00    
A DOLLAR A DAY Nov10 Oct28       (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 124 20.00    
BOURBON TO BLAME Oct28         (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 122 4.50 29% 2.40    
FAST N HAPPY Sep24 Aug18 May28 Apr27 Mar25 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
MISSILE Apr07         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 7% 12.40    
BEAUTIFUL BOLT Oct28 Apr22 Apr01 Feb25   (ruis sr)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SASSY WALKER Oct22 Sep15 Jul21 Jun25 May20 (damato philip)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00    
11  JOHANNY Dec23         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00    
12  LISA'S NONNO Oct07         (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 122 8.00    
SCR  TOFFEE Nov03 Oct01 Sep02 May27 May13 (cangemi daniel )GARCIA MARTIN 124 10.00    
SCR  WICKED BEAUTIFUL Oct24 Oct03 Sep13 Aug28 Aug01 (medina tomas)PEREZ A 122 20.00    
SCR  REACTIVE Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 Aug16 Jul25 (harty eoin)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.