Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - November 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.38 $3.38 56%
CD-2   DD (4/1/2)-(15/6/12/10/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00  4-15 $15.71 $0.71 5%
CD-8   EXA (5/12/7/10)-(5/12/7/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-12 $24.64 $0.64 3%
    TRI (5/12/7/10)-(5/12/7/10)-(5/12/7/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-12-7 $25.75 $13.75 115%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RAYMOND 4 3 21½ 21   2½ 1nk (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.50 58% 0.70 3.69 W
6  SCOOTERANDDABIGMAN 6 2 11½ 11   1½ 2nk (langemeier jo)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 6.26  
3  ASPEN CLUB 3 5 31½ 32½   33½ 33 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 120 3.50 4.42 DH
5  ASHAAB 5 4 53½ 65   56 33 (moreno-barban lea)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 4.62 DH
7  READY PURSUIT 7 1 43 42½   44 53¾ (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 10.76  
1  LONGSHADOW 1 7 65½ 54½   66 64 (combs bentle)TORRES A 120 3.00 15% 5.80 1.66  
2  FASTBYTE 2 6 76 77   78½ 75¾ (esquivel )CORREA L 118 8.00 5% 19.00 24.44  
 
CD-2   11/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:223 :453       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
15  BARAYE 10 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 1nk (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 116 4.00 26% 2.90 1.75 W
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PALACE DREAMS by FREUD)
12  SILENT HEART 9 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 2nk (lynch bria)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 6.00 19% 4.30 7.04 P
  (by HEART TO HEART out of MEGA MONSTER by SILENT NAME)
2  TRUST ISSUES 1 11 107 88¾   45½ 31¾ (lovell miche)TORRES A 119 15.00 12.43  
  (by ENTICED out of INDIAN CEE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  CAMARO Z 3 4 32½ 43¾   35 45¾ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 27.10  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of JAYLAN by SCAT DADDY)
11  TROUBLE'S ROARING 8 9 54½ 67¾   67 56¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 14.80  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of FRANDERELLA by HENNY HUGHES)
6  IN A JAM 4 5 96¾ 78¾   77½ 67¾ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 22% 3.60 4.69  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of YANKEE UNION by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
10  BRENNAN'S HONOR 7 8 43 33½   56 78½ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 10% 8.80 4.26  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of GENUINE CLASS by BIRDSTONE)
3  IRISH RANSOM 2 3 85¾ 910¾   911½ 811¾ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 5% 19.00 34.68  
  (by GORMLEY out of ROSIE'S RANSOM by MARQUETRY)
9  CRASH THE GATE 6 6 64¾ 56¾   89 912½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 8.98  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of READY READY READY by MORE THAN READY)
7  AUSTIN STRONG 5 7 119½ 1112¼   1012½ 1012¾ (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 24.97  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of IMPAZIBLE WOMAN by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
16  MEET YOU NOW 11 10 75¾ 1011¾   1117½ 1124 (acev)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 15.00 52.92  
  (by QURBAAN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  FAMOUS FINAL SCENE               (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BONITA CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  GENO'S MYTH               (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 119 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LONGTIME LOVE by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  HENRO               (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of STREET MINSTREL by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  NORWICH               (devaux ch)TORRES A 119 4.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ABOVE THE CROWD by DISCREETLY MINE)
SCR  TRAP LINE               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CAVANAUGH PARK by GALILEO)
 
CD-3   11/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:132 1:38   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DIGITAL 4 1 32 31½ 31½ 2nk 12½ (hiles rick)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 2.29  
5  EXPENSIVE CUT 5 4 22 21 2nk 3.2 22½ (west m)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 6.44  
6  W W CRAZY 6 6 53¾ 52 52¾ 53¼ 33½ (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 13% 6.70 11.57 S
2  HEARTBREAKER 2 2 12 11 1nk 1nk 43¾ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 121 2.00 1.84  
1  HE'S GOT THIS 1 3 64¼ 62½ 63¼ 41¾ 55¼ (claire alexis)LANERIE J 121 2.50 34% 1.90 2.97  
7  BIRD KING 7 5 42¼ 41½ 41¾ 66¾ 69½ (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 121 8.00 10% 9.00 17.08  
3  LAND MARK DEAL 3 7 75¾ 75 76¾ 77¾ 710¾ (manley steve)ORM CORY 121 12.00 26.95  
 
CD-4   11/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:212 :444 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TENENBAUM 5 1 2½ 11½   14 15¼ (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 2.13  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PART OF THE CHARM by TAPIT)
2  MUSICAL PRAYER 2 3 31½ 53   24 25¼ (vaccarezza)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 33% 2.00 2.40 P
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of RIVER'S PRAYER by DEVON LANE)
4  A DOLLAR A DAY 4 6 64¾ 64½   56½ 37½ (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 124 12.00 24.44  
  (by BLAME out of MILLION DOLLAR DAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
3  MARMALADE SKYE 3 4 1½ 21½   35½ 410 (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 122 10.00 16% 5.30 36.85  
  (by DANZA out of DAWN BEFORE DAWN by HIGH YIELD)
7  PORT TOWNSEND 6 2 41½ 32½   46 511½ (devaux ch)TORRES A 122 4.00 4.50  
  (by UNCLE MO out of QUIET PLACE by TAPIZAR)
1  TAPITARA 1 7 78¼ 78½   711½ 615½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00 16.53  
  (by TAPIT out of TARA COURT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  KID'S LAST LAUGH 7 5 51¾ 42½   69 717¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 23% 3.40 2.38  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of KID SILVER by SILVER GHOST)
SCR  SPEEDY TRAVELER               (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of LESS TRAVELED by GOTTCHA GOLD)
 
CD-5   11/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:213 :45 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ONE GIANT LEAP 5 2 11 11½   12 14¼ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 58% 0.70 1.81 W
8  FORREST CITY 8 4 21 21½   22 24¼ (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 ★ 1.83 P
6  OWN THE FIELD 6 1 64¾ 68½   57 36¼ (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 6.00 6.58  
4  BACKSIDE BUZZ 4 3 31 32   32½ 46¾ (vance d)LANERIE J 118 3.50 6.28  
1  EMPERADOR 1 8 89¼ 79   67 57 (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 120 15.00 13% 7.00 16.18  
3  GOODASIWONSWAS 3 5 53¼ 44½   45½ 67¾ (warpool shan)GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00 10.84  
7  CAPTAIN JACK 7 7 76¾ 810½   79½ 716¾ (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 18.88  
2  HOCUS (GB) 2 6 43 56   811 823¾ (thompson mich)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00 22.13  
 
CD-6   11/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:114 1:233   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  THORPEDO ANNA 6 5 3½ 41½ 1nk 15 19 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 35% 1.90 0.40 W
3  PEIGNOIR 2 2 1nk 2½ 2nk 25 29 (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00 7.73  
4  COZEE RAGS 3 4 62¾ 31½ 53 38 311½ (michael bria)CALLEJA ANDRES 110 6.00 9% 10.00 15.61 S
5  BOURBON BREEZE 4 6 52¼ 62¾ 42 48½ 418 (mott riley)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 35% 1.80 2.56  
1  UMEBOSHI 1 1 2nk 1½ 31½ 59½ 519 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 122 12.00 28.76  
6  MISS TENA MARIE 5 3 42 51¾ 67 614½ 623¼ (burdess terry)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 20.00 79.89  
SCR  ICE COLD               (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122 3.00    
 
CD-7   11/10/2023 7260ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:243 :501 1:144 1:392   2:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BEAR OAK 3 31½ 31½ 32 32 31½ 11 (casse no)SANTANA JR 121 4.00 45% 1.20 0.58 W
6  O P FIRECRACKER 5 21 2nk 21½ 1nk 1nk 21 (medina ro)TORRES A 121 8.00 5.65  
7  TOUGH TICKETS 6 11 1nk 11½ 2nk 2nk 31¾ (wyner haro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 6.90  
5  FOWLER BLUE 4 42 42 43 42½ 43 44¼ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 121 10.00 4.90  
1  CORELLI 1 64½ 52½ 54½ 55½ 57½ 518 (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.50 29% 2.50 8.12  
3  WIND TWIST 2 54 63 65½ 69½ 613½ 626½ (sandy ste)CORREA L 121 30.00 5% 19.00 41.45  
SCR  CATCH THAT PARTY               (maker michael)VELAZQUEZ R 123 4.00    
SCR  CREATIVE MINISTER               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 1.60    
SCR  FEBRUARY SON               (granitz anthon)CASTANON L 121 15.00    
SCR  MR. BIG NEWS               (calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00    
SCR  ROMAN CENTURIAN               (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.00    
SCR  TEMPLE               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00    
 
CD-8   11/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:213 :452 :572     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ZEITLOS 3 7 51¼ 52¼   2½ 1¾ (asmussen )TORRES A 118 4.00 35% 1.90 3.08 W
12  MARIAH'S APPEAL 9 5 4¼ 11   1½ 2¾ (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 31% 2.20 1.56 P
7  PUMPKIN SCONE 5 1 1nk 31   31½ 38¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 9% 10.00 6.01 S
11  THE GREAT MAYBE 8 8 61½ 42   43½ 48½ (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 3.72  
6  SWEET CURALINA 4 9 912 910¾   711 512¼ (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 120 30.00 52.60  
2  ERVADEAN 1 4 84 76¾   68½ 612¼ (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 18.31  
9  RO TOWN 6 3 3.2 21   55½ 714 (lynch a)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 25.68  
3  PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS 2 6 72 88¼   812½ 825½ (o'connor robert)LANERIE J 118 30.00 50.23  
10  THREE POLKS 7 2 2nk 63¾   914½ 928 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.49  
SCR  BANDITA               (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00    
SCR  MIGHTY MADISON               (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00    
SCR  SOCIALLY SELECTIVE               (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
SCR  SOUPER EXPLOSIVE               (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00    
 
CD-9   11/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:124 1:383   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BRIGHT SPARK 2 10 1014¼ 1012½ 107¼ 42 11¾ (flint bernar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00 5.97  
5  PRINCELY 5 8 811¾ 89 85¾ 53½ 21¾ (mcpeek ke)TORRES A 118 4.50 4.67  
7  WINSTON WOLF 6 1 68¼ 77½ 65 32 32½ (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00 22.61 S
9  SINGLE RULER 8 6 36 43 2nk 11½ 42¾ (forster grant)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 ★ 2.13  
10  DANCE SOME MO 9 5 13 12 1nk 21½ 57¼ (rosin cot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00 61% 0.60 4.46  
1  STAR NATION 1 9 912¼ 911 95¾ 76½ 67¼ (hartlage gary )ELLIOTT JANE 118 30.00 76.71  
3  HONED 3 3 23 32½ 32 65½ 710¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 ★ 5.11  
4  GLEN AIRY 4 4 710¼ 67½ 54 87 811¾ (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00 14.03  
8  ICONICUS 7 2 56¼ 55½ 75¼ 99 913 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 30.00 63.81  
11  GAMER 10 7 46 22 43 1012 1022 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 16% 5.40 10.14  
SCR  BOONE'S PATH               (young ter)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.