Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Saturday - July 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-2   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.72 $1.72 29%
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-5 $19.84 $7.84 65%
ELP-5   DD (2/8/7/4)-(5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-6 $15.84 $3.84 32%
ELP-7   WIN (4/1/6/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $16.48 $6.48 65%
    EXA (4/1/6/3/10)-(4/1/6/3/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00  6-3 $94.78 $54.78 137%
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(1/7/3/5)-(4/1/6/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-1-6 $43.42 $13.42 45%
ELP-8   EXA (2/1/8/3)-(2/1/8/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-8 $28.40 $4.40 18%
    TRI (2/1/8/3)-(2/1/8/3)-(2/1/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-8-1 $22.60 $10.60 88%
    DD (4/1/6/3/10)-(2/1/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-2 $26.47 $6.47 32%
ELP-9   WIN (4/3/2/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $39.72 $29.72 297%
    EXA (4/3/2/6/7)-(4/3/2/6/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00  7-6 $534.16 $494.16 1235%
    TRI (4/3/2/6/7)-(4/3/2/6/7)-(4/3/2/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00  7-6-2 $608.72 $578.72 1929%
    SFT (4/3/2/6/7)-(4/3/2/6/7)-(4/3/2/6/7)-(4/3/2/6/7) 120 $0.10 $12.00  7-6-2-3 $365.97 $353.97 2950%
    DD (2/1/8/3)-(4/3/2/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-7 $59.90 $39.90 200%
    PK3 (4/1/6/3/10)-(2/1/8/3)-(4/3/2/6/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00  6-2-7 $370.13 $320.13 640%
    PK4 (1/7/3/5)-(4/1/6/3/10)-(2/1/8/3)-(4/3/2/6/7) 400 $0.50 $200  1-6-2/4-7 $844.66 $644.66 322%
    PK5 (5/6/4)-(1/7/3/5)-(4/1/6/3/10)-(2/1/8/3)-(4/3/2/6/7) 1200 $0.50 $600  6/7-1-6-2/4-7 $4110 $3510 585%
    PK6 (2/8/7/4)-(5/6/4)-(1/7/3/5)-(4/1/6/3/10)-(2/1/8/3)-(4/3/2/6/7) 4800 $0.20 $960  2-6/7-1-6-2/4-7 $18417 $17457 1818%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:12 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  COMMANDER CARL 7 5 31½ 2nk 1nk 12 19½ (ortiz ale)ROCCO S 124 5.00 5.16  
4  SANTA CRUISER 4 2 52¾ 52 32 34 29½ (cano juan)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 26% 2.80 7.83 P
6  PICO D'ORO 6 4 2nk 1nk 2nk 22 310¼ (caramori c)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 6.00 10% 9.40 6.93 S
5  MAD ADAM 5 7 68¼ 65½ 54¾ 45½ 414½ (amoss thomas )GILLIGAN JACK 124 1.80 36% 1.80 4.78  
3  PRIMER DIMER 3 3 42½ 3½ 42¼ 57 519½ (asmussen )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 4.50 6.18  
1  RIVER BOY 1 1 1nk 41½ 65¼ 610½ 631¼ (claire alexis)LANERIE J 120 3.00 1.08  
2  STUD PUPPY 2 6 78¼ 76½ 78¼ 712½ 735 (zito nichol)PETERSON FERRIN 124 30.00 5% 19.00 49.24  
 
ELP-2   07/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:23 :463       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BEAUDACIOUS COLTON 2 1 11 11½   13 14¾ (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 3.50 21% 3.70 2.86 W
  (by RACE DAY out of BEAUDACIOUS LADY by BEAU GENIUS)
5  COLLINS 3 2 21 21½   23 24¾ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00 42% 1.40 0.76 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LADY LAVERY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
1  TRUTH EXPLAINED 1 3 46½ 47½   39½ 311¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.00 2.70  
  (by JUSTIFY out of LA CLOCHE by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  PRETTY FAST 4 4 31½ 33½   410 421½ (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 114 6.00 7.52  
  (by FAST ANNA out of NET by CURLIN)
SCR  KING BUKELE               (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 119 12.00 6% 17.10    
  (by OUTWORK out of SUPER CUB by OLD TRIESTE)
SCR  NULLIFY               (lukas wayne)CHUAN MARTIN 119 2.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BLAME IT ON ALPHIE by BLAME)
 
ELP-3   07/08/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:121 1:364   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MISCHIEVOUS GAL 10 10 95¾ 85½ 1nk 15 16¼ (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 2.80  
5  AMANDA'S CHALLENGE 5 6 53 53 41¼ 46½ 26¼ (molloy thomas)HEARD TYLER 118 15.00 30.57  
3  REQUESTFORPROPOSAL 3 3 63¼ 74 52¼ 36 37¾ (mcgee paul)ROCCO S 124 5.00 19% 4.20 8.95 S
9  GET BY 9 8 74¼ 63½ 62¼ 57 47¾ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.50 34% 2.00 2.15  
2  RED JAG 2 4 32 31½ 2nk 25 58¼ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 5.19  
6  PROUD PERFORMER 6 5 85¼ 96½ 84¾ 711 614½ (king l)CASTANON L 118 20.00 5% 19.00 15.72  
1  MELINOE 1 1 12 11½ 3.2 68½ 719½ (maker j)LANERIE J 118 6.00 9.26  
7  HIGH END VIXEN 7 9 107¼ 109 109¾ 919 825½ (ortiz john )PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00 36.51  
8  BLOSSOM DIVA 8 7 42½ 42 74¼ 819 933¼ (galindo-torres c)NAVAS YOEL 111 15.00 5% 19.00 25.01  
4  NEWYEARSPRESENT 4 2 22 21½ 97¾ 1022½ 1040¼ (o'connor rober)CHUAN MARTIN 124 4.00 26% 2.80 7.56  
 
ELP-4   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JACKIE'S SPIRIT 2 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 11 (vaccarezza ca)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 2.50 44% 1.30 2.23 W
1  ITSABLINGTHING 1 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 21 (barrett rod)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00 18.63  
6  I GOTTA BOLT 5 4 52 65¾   45 38¾ (hancock jo)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 55.36  
8  STORM HAVEN 7 5 41½ 32   33 49 (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 124 1.40 32% 2.10 2.37  
3  BOLTS BABE 3 6 64 43   55¼ 512 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.50 1.36  
7  ALTER THE STARS 6 7 75½ 78¼   711¾ 622¾ (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 25.24  
5  BAMBEROOSKI 4 3 3½ 53¼   69¼ 723¾ (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 114 10.00 12.02  
SCR  ELEGANT MOVES               (pittman bonnie)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-5   07/08/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Dade Park Dash Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:211 :442 :56     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CHISELER 6 1 52 41½   2½ 12¼ (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 5.00 34% 1.90 2.08 W
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SPINDLE by MARI'S BOOK)
1  MOUNSIEUR COCO 1 6 1nk 1nk   1½ 22¼ (gutierrez faus)CHUAN MARTIN 118 3.50 2.60  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of COOKING MAMA by BANDINI)
5  RELEASE MCCRAKEN 5 5 65½ 65¼   55 35½ (calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 2.00 39% 1.60 2.19 S
  (by MCCRAKEN out of CONJURESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  BAL A KAZOO 2 4 2nk 2nk   31½ 46¼ (gorham robert )ROCCO S 118 8.00 6.14  
  (by BAL A BALI out of GOLDEN SKY by SEA THE STARS)
3  MAJOR BLUE 3 2 3½ 51¾   65½ 58¾ (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 10.00 7.38  
  (by FLATTER out of IRE by POLITICAL FORCE)
4  STORM DADDY 4 3 41 3½   44½ 611 (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 25.25  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of STORM STAR by STORM BIRD)
SCR  MIDNIGHT TAXES               (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of INCLUDE KATHERINE by INCLUDE)
 
ELP-6   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:22 :451 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JERSEY PEARL 1 4 11 11   15 19½ (miller da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 1.60 34% 2.00 0.60 W
2  LET'S BE CLEAR 2 5 44 33   35 29½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 12.39  
3  KANT BELIEVE IT 3 1 21 21   25 312½ (divito ja)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 13% 6.60 8.32 S
7  FASHION RAGE 7 6 76½ 75¾   58 420¾ (asmussen stev)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 5.00 32% 2.10 4.24  
4  FRANKEL BABY 4 7 66 65½   47½ 521 (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 20.00 43.41  
5  J L'S ROCKETTE 5 2 31½ 54½   714 632¾ (reed eri)RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00 5% 19.00 6.03  
6  PUNCHY GIRL 6 3 54 44½   613 733 (morse rand)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 12.00 17.00  
 
ELP-7   07/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:104 1:23   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TRIGGER HAPPY 4 3 21 22 2nk 1½ 11½ (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 5.00 10% 9.30 7.24 W
1  MOON CAT 1 1 53 64½ 64¼ 31 21½ (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 118 3.00 22% 3.60 1.86 DQ↓7
3  BEN DREAMING 2 6 75 75 42¼ 52½ 31¾ (divito james )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 9% 10.40 6.02 P
7  IMPULSIVENESS 5 8 89 88 87¼ 64½ 43¾ (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 123 10.00 14.63  
4  MAHONEY ROAD 3 2 11 12 1nk 2½ 54½ (foley greg)LANERIE J 123 4.50 29% 2.40 2.26  
10  SKATE TO HEAVEN 8 5 63 53½ 74¼ 85½ 64½ (walden william)HEARD TYLER 123 12.00 6% 15.70 18.76  
8  UNCLE BERLEY 6 4 31½ 33 32 42½ 74¾ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 6.00 5.56  
9  MISTER SHARPIE 7 7 42½ 43 52¾ 75 89¾ (foster eric)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00 36.32  
SCR  HE'S A ANGEL               (macias adolfo)CANNON DECLAN 123 10.00    
SCR  LAZARUS               (cundiff )RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00    
 
ELP-8   07/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:093     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LOYAL COMPANY 2 6 54½ 41¼   1½ 12¾ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 1.80 62% 0.60 1.49 W
8  ITZOS 7 3 41½ 2nk   2½ 22¾ (lobo pau)RODRIGUEZ A 115 8.00 5% 19.00 6.46 P
1  COMMUNICATION MEMO 1 7 66 66¼   45 37¼ (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 120 6.00 10% 9.20 6.40 S
7  QUICK HAMMER 6 1 1½ 1nk   31½ 47½ (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 120 2.50 3.49  
6  KING'S GLORY (GB) 5 2 31 3.2   55½ 515½ (asmussen stev)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 3.21  
5  FUNNY UNCLE 4 5 77 76¾   710½ 618¾ (vance d)COURT K 120 15.00 16.41  
3  NULLARBOR 3 4 2½ 53¼   69 720 (manley steve)LOPEZ E 120 20.00 5% 19.00 37.55  
SCR  EASY FAST               (divito ja)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00    
 
ELP-9   07/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:12 1:24   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BEACH WALKN 6 6 98¼ 97½ 73¾ 52½ 11 (colebrook)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 18.86 W
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CHINA GROVE by CITY ZIP)
6  LADY DYNAMO 5 5 65½ 31 2nk 2½ 21 (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 23.54 P
  (by LORD NELSON out of SEAUXBELLE by DYNAFORMER)
2  JUST SAY SO 2 2 55½ 74½ 42 41 31½ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 4.00 11% 7.70 4.44 S
  (by WAR FRONT out of SAY (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
3  SCATLIE 3 9 13 11 1nk 1½ 42¼ (lynch a)CHUAN MARTIN 118 3.00 19% 4.30 1.43  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CANA by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
12  TAKE SHAPE 10 7 23 21 62¾ 31 53¼ (arnold george)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 16.95  
  (by STREET SENSE out of LOOM by HARD SPUN)
11  BIRDIE ROSE 9 4 44½ 53 3½ 64½ 67 (blair jordan)CASTANON L 118 20.00 39.10  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HOMEMADE SALSA by TWO STEP SALSA)
4  BOPPY 4 3 87¼ 85½ 95¼ 76½ 77¾ (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.50 47% 1.10 2.34  
  (by BLAME out of DARING DANCER by EMPIRE MAKER)
10  MIRUS 8 8 77 64 52¼ 87 88½ (catalano wayn)GILLIGAN JACK 118 30.00 89.18  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of FARRELL by MALIBU MOON)
1  POOL NOODLE 1 1 33½ 42½ 85¼ 98½ 912 (asmussen stev)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 8.69  
  (by CURLIN out of TIZ NEWS by TIZNOW)
9  KISS ME KATIE 7 10 1011¼ 108 1010¾ 1016½ 1023½ (ortiz john)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 20.00 29.36  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of SAVER THE WAY by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  CALM COOL               (stall m)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of PORT CHARLOTTE by BLAME)
SCR  GOLDEN RUNNER               (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GOLD SERENADE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  MINDFUL               (devaux cherie)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 8.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of TAPLESS by TAPIT)
SCR  NATURALIST               (medina r)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00    
  (by TONALIST out of NEW NORMAL by FORESTRY)
SCR  SNOW PRINCESS               (mott will)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CANDY DRAWER by CANDY RIDE)
SCR  TIGER TAP               (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00    
  (by TAPIT out of TIGER RIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.