Handicappers' Race Results

"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Horse Racing Tips and Longshots"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

Ellis Park
Saturday - July 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (5/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $12.32  
ELP-2   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.72 $7.72 1.72
ELP-3   Win (9/4/3/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $7.60  
ELP-4   Win (2/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $6.46 $6.46  
ELP-5   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.16 $6.16 0.16
ELP-6   Win (1/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
ELP-7   Win (4/1/6/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $16.48 $16.48 6.48
ELP-8   Win (2/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.98 $4.98  
ELP-9   Win (4/3/2/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $39.72 $39.72 29.72

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:12 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMANDER CARL 7 5 3 2nk 1nk 12 1 (ortiz alexa)ROCCO S 124 5.00 5.16  
SANTA CRUISER 4 2 5 52 32 34 2 (cano m)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 26% 2.80 7.83 P
PICO D'ORO 6 4 2nk 1nk 2nk 22 310¼ (caramori cai)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 6.00 10% 9.40 6.93 S
MAD ADAM 5 7 6 6 5 4 414½ (amoss m)GILLIGAN JACK 124 1.80 36% 1.80 4.78  
PRIMER DIMER 3 3 4 3½ 4 57 519½ (asmussen st)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 4.50 6.18  
RIVER BOY 1 1 1nk 4 6 610½ 631¼ (claire alexis)LANERIE J 120 3.00 1.08  
STUD PUPPY 2 6 7 7 7 712½ 735 (zito nicholas)PETERSON FERRIN 124 30.00 5% 19.00 49.24  
 
ELP-2   07/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:23 :463       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUDACIOUS COLTON 2 1 11 1   13 1 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 3.50 21% 3.70 2.86 W
COLLINS 3 2 21 2   23 2 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00 42% 1.40 0.76 P
TRUTH EXPLAINED 1 3 4 4   3 311¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.00 2.70  
PRETTY FAST 4 4 3 3   410 421½ (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 114 6.00 7.52  
SCR  KING BUKELE               (torres ale)AYALA ISAIAS 119 12.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  NULLIFY               (lukas wayne)CHUAN MARTIN 119 2.00    
 
ELP-3   07/08/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:121 1:364   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MISCHIEVOUS GAL 10 10 9 8 1nk 15 1 (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 2.80  
AMANDA'S CHALLENGE 5 6 53 53 4 4 2 (molloy thomas)HEARD TYLER 118 15.00 30.57  
REQUESTFORPROPOSAL 3 3 6 74 5 36 3 (mcgee paul)ROCCO S 124 5.00 19% 4.20 8.95 S
GET BY 9 8 7 6 6 57 4 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.50 34% 2.00 2.15  
RED JAG 2 4 32 3 2nk 25 5 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 5.19  
PROUD PERFORMER 6 5 8 9 8 711 614½ (king l)CASTANON L 118 20.00 5% 19.00 15.72  
MELINOE 1 1 12 1 3.2 6 719½ (maker j)LANERIE J 118 6.00 9.26  
HIGH END VIXEN 7 9 10 109 10 919 825½ (ortiz al)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00 36.51  
BLOSSOM DIVA 8 7 4 42 7 819 933¼ (galindo-torres cli)NAVAS YOEL 111 15.00 5% 19.00 25.01  
NEWYEARSPRESENT 4 2 22 2 9 1022½ 1040¼ (o'connor robert )CHUAN MARTIN 124 4.00 26% 2.80 7.56  
 
ELP-4   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKIE'S SPIRIT 2 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 11 (vaccarezza carl)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 2.50 44% 1.30 2.23 W
ITSABLINGTHING 1 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 21 (barrett roddi)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00 18.63  
I GOTTA BOLT 5 4 52 6   45 3 (hancock john)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 55.36  
STORM HAVEN 7 5 4 32   33 49 (asmussen m)LANERIE J 124 1.40 32% 2.10 2.37  
BOLTS BABE 3 6 64 43   5 512 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.50 1.36  
ALTER THE STARS 6 7 7 7   711¾ 622¾ (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 25.24  
BAMBEROOSKI 4 3 3½ 5   6 723¾ (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 114 10.00 12.02  
SCR  ELEGANT MOVES               (pittman bonnie)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-5   07/08/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Dade Park Dash Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:211 :442 :56     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHISELER 6 1 52 4   2½ 1 (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 5.00 34% 1.90 2.08 W
MOUNSIEUR COCO 1 6 1nk 1nk   1½ 2 (gutierrez fausti)CHUAN MARTIN 118 3.50 2.60  
RELEASE MCCRAKEN 5 5 6 6   55 3 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 2.00 39% 1.60 2.19 S
BAL A KAZOO 2 4 2nk 2nk   3 4 (gorham m)ROCCO S 118 8.00 6.14  
MAJOR BLUE 3 2 3½ 5   6 5 (lukas wayn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 10.00 7.38  
STORM DADDY 4 3 41 3½   4 611 (gonzale)ULLOA PATRICIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 25.25  
SCR  MIDNIGHT TAXES               (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00    
 
ELP-6   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:22 :451 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JERSEY PEARL 1 4 11 11   15 1 (miller darr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 1.60 34% 2.00 0.60 W
LET'S BE CLEAR 2 5 44 33   35 2 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 12.39  
KANT BELIEVE IT 3 1 21 21   25 312½ (divito jame)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 13% 6.60 8.32 S
FASHION RAGE 7 6 7 7   58 420¾ (asmussen steven)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 5.00 32% 2.10 4.24  
FRANKEL BABY 4 7 66 6   4 521 (butler gera)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 20.00 43.41  
J L'S ROCKETTE 5 2 3 5   714 632¾ (reed eric )RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00 5% 19.00 6.03  
PUNCHY GIRL 6 3 54 4   613 733 (morse randy )MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 12.00 17.00  
 
ELP-7   07/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:104 1:23   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIGGER HAPPY 4 3 21 22 2nk 1½ 1 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 5.00 10% 9.30 7.24 W
MOON CAT 1 1 53 6 6 31 2 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 118 3.00 22% 3.60 1.86 DQ↓7
BEN DREAMING 2 6 75 75 4 5 3 (divito p)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 9% 10.40 6.02 P
IMPULSIVENESS 5 8 89 88 8 6 4 (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 123 10.00 14.63  
MAHONEY ROAD 3 2 11 12 1nk 2½ 5 (foley greg)LANERIE J 123 4.50 29% 2.40 2.26  
10  SKATE TO HEAVEN 8 5 63 5 7 8 6 (walden william)HEARD TYLER 123 12.00 6% 15.70 18.76  
UNCLE BERLEY 6 4 3 33 32 4 7 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 123 6.00 5.56  
MISTER SHARPIE 7 7 4 43 5 75 8 (foster eric)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00 36.32  
SCR  HE'S A ANGEL               (macias adolfo)CANNON DECLAN 123 10.00    
SCR  LAZARUS               (cundiff wa)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00    
 
ELP-8   07/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:093     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOYAL COMPANY 2 6 5 4   1½ 1 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 120 1.80 62% 0.60 1.49 W
ITZOS 7 3 4 2nk   2½ 2 (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 115 8.00 5% 19.00 6.46 P
COMMUNICATION MEMO 1 7 66 6   45 3 (asmussen m)LANERIE J 120 6.00 10% 9.20 6.40 S
QUICK HAMMER 6 1 1½ 1nk   3 4 (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 120 2.50 3.49  
KING'S GLORY (GB) 5 2 31 3.2   5 515½ (asmussen steven)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 3.21  
FUNNY UNCLE 4 5 77 7   710½ 618¾ (vance d)COURT K 120 15.00 16.41  
NULLARBOR 3 4 2½ 5   69 720 (manley steve)LOPEZ E 120 20.00 5% 19.00 37.55  
SCR  EASY FAST               (divito jame)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00    
 
ELP-9   07/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:12 1:24   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACH WALKN 6 6 9 9 7 5 11 (colebrook b)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 18.86 W
LADY DYNAMO 5 5 6 31 2nk 2½ 21 (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 23.54 P
JUST SAY SO 2 2 5 7 42 41 3 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 4.00 11% 7.70 4.44 S
SCATLIE 3 9 13 11 1nk 1½ 4 (lynch a)CHUAN MARTIN 118 3.00 19% 4.30 1.43  
12  TAKE SHAPE 10 7 23 21 6 31 5 (arnold r)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 16.95  
11  BIRDIE ROSE 9 4 4 53 3½ 6 67 (blair jordan)CASTANON L 118 20.00 39.10  
BOPPY 4 3 8 8 9 7 7 (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.50 47% 1.10 2.34  
10  MIRUS 8 8 77 64 5 87 8 (catalano wayne )GILLIGAN JACK 118 30.00 89.18  
POOL NOODLE 1 1 3 4 8 9 912 (asmussen steven)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 8.69  
KISS ME KATIE 7 10 1011¼ 108 1010¾ 1016½ 1023½ (ortiz a)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 20.00 29.36  
SCR  CALM COOL               (stall m)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
SCR  GOLDEN RUNNER               (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
SCR  MINDFUL               (devaux cherie)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 8.00    
SCR  NATURALIST               (medina rob)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00    
SCR  SNOW PRINCESS               (mott willia)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
SCR  TIGER TAP               (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.