The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
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Ellis Park
Saturday - July 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $12.32 -8.00
    Exacta (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-4 2 0 $50.68 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 7-4-6 3 0 $108.18 -12.00
ELP-2   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $7.72 $7.72 3.72
    Exacta (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2-5 2 1 $19.84 $19.84 15.84
    Daily Double (2/4/5/6)-(2/5) 7-2 2 0 $26.01 0.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5/6)-(2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 7-4 2 0 $4.30 -8.00
ELP-3   Win (3/4/6/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $7.60 -10.00
    Exacta (3/4/6/8/9)-(3/4/6/8/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 10-5 2 0 $174.48 -40.00
    Trifecta (3/4/6/8/9)-(3/4/6/8/9)-(3/4/6/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 10-5-3 3 0 $400.52 -30.00
    Daily Double (2/5)-(3/4/6/8/9) 10 $1.00 $10.00 2-10 2 0 $25.37 -10.00
    Pick Three (2/4/5/6)-(2/5)-(3/4/6/8/9) 7-2-10 3 0 $52.08 0.00
    Pick Three (2/4/5/6)-(2/5)-(3/4/6/8/9) 40 $0.50 $20.00 7-4-10 3 0 $12.47 -20.00
ELP-4   Win (2/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.46 $6.46 0.46
    Exacta (2/7/8)-(2/7/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-1 2 0 $56.06 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/7/8)-(2/7/8)-(2/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-1-6 3 0 $178.31 -3.00
    Daily Double (3/4/6/8/9)-(2/7/8) 10-2 2 0 $21.63 0.00
    Daily Double (3/4/6/8/9)-(2/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 10-4 2 0 $4.00 -15.00
    Pick Three (2/5)-(3/4/6/8/9)-(2/7/8) 2-10-2 3 0 $44.27 0.00
    Pick Three (2/5)-(3/4/6/8/9)-(2/7/8) 30 $0.50 $15.00 2-10-4 3 0 $11.90 -15.00
ELP-5   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.16 $6.16 0.16
    Exacta (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-1 2 0 $23.36 -12.00
    Trifecta (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 6-1-5 3 0 $15.62 -3.00
    Daily Double (2/7/8)-(4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 2-6 2 1 $15.84 $15.84 6.84
    Pick Three (3/4/6/8/9)-(2/7/8)-(4/5/6) 10-2-6 3 0 $49.60 0.00
    Pick Three (3/4/6/8/9)-(2/7/8)-(4/5/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 10-4-6 3 0 $11.96 -22.50
ELP-6   Win (1/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -4.80
    Exacta (1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-2 2 0 $17.42 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 1-2-3 3 0 $10.49 -12.00
    Daily Double (4/5/6)-(1/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-1 2 1 $8.35 $8.35 -3.65
    Pick Three (2/7/8)-(4/5/6)-(1/3/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 2-6-1 3 1 $16.20 $16.20 -1.80
ELP-7   Win (1/3/4/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $16.48 $16.48 6.48
    Exacta (1/3/4/6/10)-(1/3/4/6/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 6-3 2 1 $94.78 $94.78 54.78
    Trifecta (1/3/4/6/10)-(1/3/4/6/10)-(1/3/4/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 6-3-7 3 0 $202.12 -30.00
    Daily Double (1/3/5/7)-(1/3/4/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 1-6 2 1 $20.26 $20.26 0.26
    Daily Double (1/3/5/7)-(1/3/4/6/10) 1-5 2 0 $1.80 0.00
    Pick Three (4/5/6)-(1/3/5/7)-(1/3/4/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 6-1-6 3 1 $43.42 $43.42 13.42
    Pick Three (4/5/6)-(1/3/5/7)-(1/3/4/6/10) 6-1-5 3 0 $4.36 0.00
ELP-8   Win (1/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.98 $4.98 -3.02
    Exacta (1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-8 2 1 $28.40 $28.40 4.40
    Trifecta (1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2-8-1 3 1 $22.60 $22.60 10.60
    Daily Double (1/3/4/6/10)-(1/2/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 6-2 2 1 $26.47 $26.47 6.47
    Pick Three (1/3/5/7)-(1/3/4/6/10)-(1/2/3/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 1-6-2 3 1 $28.15 $28.15 -11.85
    Pick Three (1/3/5/7)-(1/3/4/6/10)-(1/2/3/8) 1-5-2 3 0 $2.22 0.00
ELP-9   Win (2/3/4/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $39.72 $39.72 29.72
    Exacta (2/3/4/6/7)-(2/3/4/6/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 7-6 2 1 $534.16 $534.16 494.16
    Trifecta (2/3/4/6/7)-(2/3/4/6/7)-(2/3/4/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 7-6-2 3 1 $608.72 $608.72 578.72
    Daily Double (1/2/3/8)-(2/3/4/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 2-7 2 1 $59.90 $59.90 39.90
    Pick Three (1/3/4/6/10)-(1/2/3/8)-(2/3/4/6/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 6-2-7 3 1 $370.13 $370.13 320.13
    Pick Three (1/3/4/6/10)-(1/2/3/8)-(2/3/4/6/7) 6-6-7 3 0 $2883.45 0.00
    Pick Three (1/3/4/6/10)-(1/2/3/8)-(2/3/4/6/7) 6-5-7 3 0 $388.98 0.00
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/08/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:233 :47 1:12 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  COMMANDER CARL 7 5 31½ 2nk 1nk 12 19½ (ortiz alexa)ROCCO S 124 5.00 5.16  
4  SANTA CRUISER 4 2 52¾ 52 32 34 29½ (cano m)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 26% 2.80 7.83 P
6  PICO D'ORO 6 4 2nk 1nk 2nk 22 310¼ (caramori cai)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 6.00 10% 9.40 6.93 S
5  MAD ADAM 5 7 68¼ 65½ 54¾ 45½ 414½ (amoss m)GILLIGAN JACK 124 1.80 36% 1.80 4.78  
3  PRIMER DIMER 3 3 42½ 3½ 42¼ 57 519½ (asmussen st)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 4.50 6.18  
1  RIVER BOY 1 1 1nk 41½ 65¼ 610½ 631¼ (claire alexis)LANERIE J 120 3.00 1.08  
2  STUD PUPPY 2 6 78¼ 76½ 78¼ 712½ 735 (zito nicholas)PETERSON FERRIN 124 30.00 5% 19.00 49.24  
 
ELP-2   07/08/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
:23 :463       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BEAUDACIOUS COLTON 2 1 11 11½   13 14¾ (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 3.50 21% 3.70 2.86 W
5  COLLINS 3 2 21 21½   23 24¾ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00 42% 1.40 0.76 P
1  TRUTH EXPLAINED 1 3 46½ 47½   39½ 311¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.00 2.70  
6  PRETTY FAST 4 4 31½ 33½   410 421½ (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 114 6.00 7.52  
SCR  KING BUKELE               (torres ale)AYALA ISAIAS 119 12.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  NULLIFY               (lukas wayne)CHUAN MARTIN 119 2.00    
 
ELP-3   07/08/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
:234 :474 1:121 1:364   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MISCHIEVOUS GAL 10 10 95¾ 85½ 1nk 15 16¼ (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 2.80  
5  AMANDA'S CHALLENGE 5 6 53 53 41¼ 46½ 26¼ (molloy thomas)HEARD TYLER 118 15.00 30.57  
3  REQUESTFORPROPOSAL 3 3 63¼ 74 52¼ 36 37¾ (mcgee paul)ROCCO S 124 5.00 19% 4.20 8.95 S
9  GET BY 9 8 74¼ 63½ 62¼ 57 47¾ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.50 34% 2.00 2.15  
2  RED JAG 2 4 32 31½ 2nk 25 58¼ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 5.19  
6  PROUD PERFORMER 6 5 85¼ 96½ 84¾ 711 614½ (king l)CASTANON L 118 20.00 5% 19.00 15.72  
1  MELINOE 1 1 12 11½ 3.2 68½ 719½ (maker j)LANERIE J 118 6.00 9.26  
7  HIGH END VIXEN 7 9 107¼ 109 109¾ 919 825½ (ortiz al)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00 36.51  
8  BLOSSOM DIVA 8 7 42½ 42 74¼ 819 933¼ (galindo-torres cli)NAVAS YOEL 111 15.00 5% 19.00 25.01  
4  NEWYEARSPRESENT 4 2 22 21½ 97¾ 1022½ 1040¼ (o'connor robert )CHUAN MARTIN 124 4.00 26% 2.80 7.56  
 
ELP-4   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
:224 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JACKIE'S SPIRIT 2 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 11 (vaccarezza carl)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 2.50 44% 1.30 2.23 W
1  ITSABLINGTHING 1 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 21 (barrett roddi)PETERSON FERRIN 119 10.00 18.63  
6  I GOTTA BOLT 5 4 52 65¾   45 38¾ (hancock john)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 55.36  
8  STORM HAVEN 7 5 41½ 32   33 49 (asmussen m)LANERIE J 124 1.40 32% 2.10 2.37  
3  BOLTS BABE 3 6 64 43   55¼ 512 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.50 1.36  
7  ALTER THE STARS 6 7 75½ 78¼   711¾ 622¾ (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 25.24  
5  BAMBEROOSKI 4 3 3½ 53¼   69¼ 723¾ (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 114 10.00 12.02  
SCR  ELEGANT MOVES               (pittman bonnie)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-5   07/08/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Dade Park Dash Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
:211 :442 :56     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CHISELER 6 1 52 41½   2½ 12¼ (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 5.00 34% 1.90 2.08 W
1  MOUNSIEUR COCO 1 6 1nk 1nk   1½ 22¼ (gutierrez fausti)CHUAN MARTIN 118 3.50 2.60  
5  RELEASE MCCRAKEN 5 5 65½ 65¼   55 35½ (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 2.00 39% 1.60 2.19 S
2  BAL A KAZOO 2 4 2nk 2nk   31½ 46¼ (gorham m)ROCCO S 118 8.00 6.14  
3  MAJOR BLUE 3 2 3½ 51¾   65½ 58¾ (lukas wayn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 10.00 7.38  
4  STORM DADDY 4 3 41 3½   44½ 611 (gonzale)ULLOA PATRICIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 25.25  
SCR  MIDNIGHT TAXES               (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00    
 
ELP-6   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
:22 :451 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JERSEY PEARL 1 4 11 11   15 19½ (miller darr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 1.60 34% 2.00 0.60 W
2  LET'S BE CLEAR 2 5 44 33   35 29½ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 12.39  
3  KANT BELIEVE IT 3 1 21 21   25 312½ (divito jame)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 13% 6.60 8.32 S
7  FASHION RAGE 7 6 76½ 75¾   58 420¾ (asmussen steven)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 5.00 32% 2.10 4.24  
4  FRANKEL BABY 4 7 66 65½   47½ 521 (butler gera)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 20.00 43.41  
5  J L'S ROCKETTE 5 2 31½ 54½   714 632¾ (reed eric )RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00 5% 19.00 6.03  
6  PUNCHY GIRL 6 3 54 44½   613 733 (morse randy )MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 12.00 17.00  
 
ELP-7   07/08/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:234 :464 1:104 1:23   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TRIGGER HAPPY 4 3 21 22 2nk 1½ 11½ (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 5.00 10% 9.30 7.24 W
1  MOON CAT 1 1 53 64½ 64¼ 31 21½ (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 118 3.00 22% 3.60 1.86 DQ↓7
3  BEN DREAMING 2 6 75 75 42¼ 52½ 31¾ (divito p)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 9% 10.40 6.02 P
7  IMPULSIVENESS 5 8 89 88 87¼ 64½ 43¾ (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 123 10.00 14.63  
4  MAHONEY ROAD 3 2 11 12 1nk 2½ 54½ (foley greg)LANERIE J 123 4.50 29% 2.40 2.26  
10  SKATE TO HEAVEN 8 5 63 53½ 74¼ 85½ 64½ (walden william)HEARD TYLER 123 12.00 6% 15.70 18.76  
8  UNCLE BERLEY 6 4 31½ 33 32 42½ 74¾ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 123 6.00 5.56  
9  MISTER SHARPIE 7 7 42½ 43 52¾ 75 89¾ (foster eric)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00 36.32  
SCR  HE'S A ANGEL               (macias adolfo)CANNON DECLAN 123 10.00    
SCR  LAZARUS               (cundiff wa)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00    
 
ELP-8   07/08/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
:221 :452 1:093     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LOYAL COMPANY 2 6 54½ 41¼   1½ 12¾ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 120 1.80 62% 0.60 1.49 W
8  ITZOS 7 3 41½ 2nk   2½ 22¾ (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 115 8.00 5% 19.00 6.46 P
1  COMMUNICATION MEMO 1 7 66 66¼   45 37¼ (asmussen m)LANERIE J 120 6.00 10% 9.20 6.40 S
7  QUICK HAMMER 6 1 1½ 1nk   31½ 47½ (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 120 2.50 3.49  
6  KING'S GLORY 5 2 31 3.2   55½ 515½ (asmussen steven)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 3.21  
5  FUNNY UNCLE 4 5 77 76¾   710½ 618¾ (vance d)COURT K 120 15.00 16.41  
3  NULLARBOR 3 4 2½ 53¼   69 720 (manley steve)LOPEZ E 120 20.00 5% 19.00 37.55  
SCR  EASY FAST               (divito jame)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00    
 
ELP-9   07/08/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
:24 :474 1:12 1:24   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BEACH WALKN 6 6 98¼ 97½ 73¾ 52½ 11 (colebrook b)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 18.86 W
6  LADY DYNAMO 5 5 65½ 31 2nk 2½ 21 (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 23.54 P
2  JUST SAY SO 2 2 55½ 74½ 42 41 31½ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 4.00 11% 7.70 4.44 S
3  SCATLIE 3 9 13 11 1nk 1½ 42¼ (lynch a)CHUAN MARTIN 118 3.00 19% 4.30 1.43  
12  TAKE SHAPE 10 7 23 21 62¾ 31 53¼ (arnold r)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 16.95  
11  BIRDIE ROSE 9 4 44½ 53 3½ 64½ 67 (blair jordan)CASTANON L 118 20.00 39.10  
4  BOPPY 4 3 87¼ 85½ 95¼ 76½ 77¾ (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.50 47% 1.10 2.34  
10  MIRUS 8 8 77 64 52¼ 87 88½ (catalano wayne )GILLIGAN JACK 118 30.00 89.18  
1  POOL NOODLE 1 1 33½ 42½ 85¼ 98½ 912 (asmussen steven)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 8.69  
9  KISS ME KATIE 7 10 1011¼ 108 1010¾ 1016½ 1023½ (ortiz a)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 20.00 29.36  
SCR  CALM COOL               (stall m)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
SCR  GOLDEN RUNNER               (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
SCR  MINDFUL               (devaux cherie)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 8.00    
SCR  NATURALIST               (medina rob)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00    
SCR  SNOW PRINCESS               (mott willia)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
SCR  TIGER TAP               (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.