The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Churchill Downs
Monday - May 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $7.88 $7.88 1.88
    Exacta (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-5 2 1 $40.26 $40.26 28.26
    Trifecta (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-5-2 3 0 $20.14 $0.00 -3.00
CD-2   Win (2/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.12 $5.12 -2.88
    Exacta (2/3/7/8)-(2/3/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 3-1 2 0 $87.34 $0.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/3/7/8)-(2/3/7/8)-(2/3/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 3-1-8 3 0 $84.29 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (3/4/5)-(2/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-3 2 1 $12.18 $12.18 0.18
CD-3   Win (3/6/7/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $6.08 $6.08 -3.92
    Exacta (3/6/7/8/10)-(3/6/7/8/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 3-6 2 1 $17.82 $17.82 -22.18
    Trifecta (3/6/7/8/10)-(3/6/7/8/10)-(3/6/7/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 3-6-10 3 1 $45.05 $45.05 15.05
    Daily Double (2/3/7/8)-(3/6/7/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 3-3 2 1 $8.18 $8.18 -11.82
    Pick Three (3/4/5)-(2/3/7/8)-(3/6/7/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 3-3-3 3 1 $15.23 $15.23 -14.77
CD-4   Win (4/6/7/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $8.42 $8.42 -1.58
    Exacta (4/6/7/9/10)-(4/6/7/9/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 6-10 2 1 $79.40 $79.40 39.40
    Trifecta (4/6/7/9/10)-(4/6/7/9/10)-(4/6/7/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 6-10-4 3 1 $86.82 $86.82 56.82
    Daily Double (3/6/7/8/10)-(4/6/7/9/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 3-6 2 1 $19.77 $19.77 -5.23
    Pick Three (2/3/7/8)-(3/6/7/8/10)-(4/6/7/9/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 3-3-6 3 1 $20.40 $20.40 -29.60
CD-5   Win (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $7.30 $7.30 1.30
    Exacta (4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-6 2 1 $15.54 $15.54 3.54
    Trifecta (4/6/7)-(4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 7-6-2 3 0 $22.63 $0.00 -3.00
    Daily Double (4/6/7/9/10)-(4/6/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 6-7 2 1 $17.96 $17.96 2.96
    Daily Double (4/6/7/9/10)-(4/6/7) 6-1 2 0 $4.06 $0.00 0.00
    Pick Three (3/6/7/8/10)-(4/6/7/9/10)-(4/6/7) 75 $0.50 $37.50 3-6-7 3 1 $25.70 $25.70 -11.80
    Pick Three (3/6/7/8/10)-(4/6/7/9/10)-(4/6/7) 3-6-1 3 0 $7.06 $0.00 0.00
CD-6   Win (1/2/3/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $36.48 $0.00 -10.00
    Exacta (1/2/3/6/8)-(1/2/3/6/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 7-4 2 0 $334.34 $0.00 -40.00
    Trifecta (1/2/3/6/8)-(1/2/3/6/8)-(1/2/3/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 7-4-3 3 0 $688.64 $0.00 -30.00
    Daily Double (4/6/7)-(1/2/3/6/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 7-7 2 0 $112.12 $0.00 -15.00
    Pick Three (4/6/7/9/10)-(4/6/7)-(1/2/3/6/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 6-7-7 3 0 $316.80 $0.00 -37.50
    Pick Three (4/6/7/9/10)-(4/6/7)-(1/2/3/6/8) 6-1-7 3 0 $69.29 $0.00 0.00
CD-7   Win (1/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $8.76 $8.76 0.76
    Exacta (1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-6 2 0 $45.14 $0.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 5-6-1 3 0 $28.56 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3/6/8)-(1/2/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 7-5 2 0 $68.67 $0.00 -20.00
    Pick Three (4/6/7)-(1/2/3/6/8)-(1/2/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 7-7-5 3 0 $266.98 $0.00 -30.00
CD-8   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.62 $2.62 -3.38
    Exacta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-6 2 0 $10.78 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 5-6-4 3 0 $5.74 $0.00 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/2/5/8)-(1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-5 2 1 $6.86 $6.86 -5.14
    Pick Three (1/2/3/6/8)-(1/2/5/8)-(1/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 7-5-5 3 0 $109.91 $0.00 -30.00
CD-9   Win (1/5/9/10/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $8.54 $8.54 -1.46
    Exacta (1/5/9/10/12)-(1/5/9/10/12) 20 $2.00 $40.00 10-9 2 1 $38.16 $38.16 -1.84
    Trifecta (1/5/9/10/12)-(1/5/9/10/12)-(1/5/9/10/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 10-9-5 3 1 $30.74 $30.74 0.74
    Daily Double (1/3/5)-(1/5/9/10/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 5-10 2 1 $7.62 $7.62 -7.38
    Pick Three (1/2/5/8)-(1/3/5)-(1/5/9/10/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 5-5-10 3 1 $18.73 $18.73 -11.27

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/29/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
:23 :47 1:122 1:25   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD 3 3 4 3 1½ 11(mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 3.00 44% 1.30 2.94 W
MALIBU SMART 5 4 32 4 2½ 22(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.00 16% 5.20 4.83 P
ORIGAMI GIRL 2 6 6 5 62 33 3(devaux cheri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 0.91  
MERRILY RUSH 4 2 5 6 5 44 4(colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 111 8.00 12% 7.50 11.44  
EMBRACEABLE 6 5 2nk 2nk 31 5513¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 16.84  
LUCKY PHOENIX 1 1 1nk 1nk 4 6618½ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 5.00 6.83  
 
CD-2   05/29/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
:231 :464       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEWURZTRAMINER 3 2 12 1½   12 15 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 3.00 36% 1.80 1.56 W
BAYTOWN KITTY CAT 1 1 22 3   325 (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 116 15.00 30.52  
FIVE O' SOMEWHERE 7 6 32 2½   22 3(spraggins ke)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.50 23% 3.30 2.23 S
KENNEL CLUB 5 7 6 68   67 4(caramori ca)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 4.81  
INMYDREAMS 6 4 5 56   45(corrigan jim)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 5.00 7% 12.90 8.04  
MIDNIGHT STORMY 4 5 44 4   57 611 (minnock g)NAVAS YOEL 112 10.00 26.96  
BAYTOWN CHATTERBOX 2 3 710½ 711   710 713¼ (mcentee paul)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 7% 13.40 5.11  
SCR  WOODCOURT               (ennis john)RODRIGUEZ A 114 3.50    
 
CD-3   05/29/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 1:43
:224 :471 1:12 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WONDERFULL LADY (FR) 3 8 6 67 6 21 1¾ (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 2.50 50% 1.00 2.04 W
MO SHIRO 6 4 76 78 7 52¾ (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 8% 11.10 2.11 P
10  SANTA FE GOLD 10 6 1½ 11 1 11 31 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 12.91 S
EMBRACE ME 4 7 87 89 8 43 4(catalano wayne)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00 31.64  
KNOCKYOURSOCKSOFF 8 10 98 9 98 75(goldfine mic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00 7% 13.70 5.03  
CLOUDY BAY 5 3 4 4 34 36(davis christ)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 14.17  
C C CRUISE CONTROL 9 5 5 5 55 64 7(mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 10.00 10.30  
NOMADIC PRIDE 2 9 1010 1011½ 1010 109 8(amoss m)GILLIGAN JACK 118 10.00 30.04  
CHICA DE ORO 1 1 2½ 21 2 87 913¼ (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 53.02  
SHOPLIFTER 7 2 33 35 4 98 1013¼ (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 11% 8.20 10.16  
 
CD-4   05/29/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
:243 :492 1:144 1:401   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T LAW 5 8 66 5 21 22 1hd (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 5% 18.60 3.21 W
10  NORTHWIND 9 2 1 11 11 12 2hd (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50 31% 2.30 8.17 P
STORM STRATEGY 3 3 44 4 64 36 3(asmussen ste)MICHEL MICKAELLE 125 4.00 32% 2.10 5.16 S
SPUNS SON 2 7 9 99 9 68 4(taylor brent)GILLIGAN JACK 125 20.00 20.70  
MY FAVORITE UNCLE 8 9 7 8 75 85(capps a)BEJARANO R 125 4.00 11% 8.00 3.09  
NOBLE CONNECTION 7 5 2 3 32 56(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 7.52  
SCHMEAR 6 6 8 6 5 77(tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 20.00 5% 19.00 33.05  
ROYAL AIR FORCE 1 4 32 21 42 46 8(puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 125 5.00 6.94  
MOON OVER DUBAI 4 1 5 76 86 912¼ 917¾ (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 6.05  
SCR  CLOSE KNIT               (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 118 8.00    
 
CD-5   05/29/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
:221 :453 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARBONITE 5 1 3 12   114 (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 123 5.00 31% 2.20 2.65 W
LEMON DROP SHOT 4 3 53 43   324 (wong jonathan)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 2.00 32% 2.10 1.19 P
BORN FLAWLESS 1 5 1½ 22   235 (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 18.41  
BABY QUINN 2 2 2½ 3   4412½ (amoss thoma)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00 13% 6.40 2.04  
MULTI PLATINUM 3 4 4 5   5519¾ (santamaria )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00 8.61  
SCR  MORNING DRIVE               (lauer michae)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 15.00    
SCR  VOBISCUM               (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 123 3.50    
 
CD-6   05/29/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
:22 :443 :561     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET MY PEOPLE GO 6 5 6 6   31(oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 30.00 17.24  
DIAMOND CITY 4 3 1nk 1nk   12 2(hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 121 15.00 8.06  
AGENT PETER GRAVES 3 4 2nk 2nk   22 3(mott i)GARCIA MARTIN 121 4.00 42% 1.40 5.99 S
GREGORY'S PRIDE 7 7 9 9   64(d'amato philip)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.00 27% 2.70 1.87  
ANGASTON 1 8 5 32   45 57 (barkley jaso)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 11% 8.30 2.96  
PRIME FACTOR 5 2 4 5   77 6(devaux cheri)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 5.66  
MAJOR BLUE 8 6 3 4   57(lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 116 20.00 25.98  
10  SAIL AT SUNRISE 9 1 84 8   8810 (jazdzewski)RODRIGUEZ A 116 30.00 76.35  
11  SUTHERLAND 10 9 7 7   9910¼ (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00 19.15  
FRIAR LAURENCE 2 10 10 10   101010½ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
SCR  NINJA WARRIOR               (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.00    
SCR  ONE FOR RICHIE               (contreras ci)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50    
SCR  SHEKKY SHEBAZ               (drexler mart)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 5.00    
SCR  WILLTORUN               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00    
 
CD-7   05/29/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:231 :464 1:112     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED HOT JEANIE 5 3 42 31   11 1(drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 11% 7.80 3.38 W
STORM HAVEN 6 2 1½ 2nk   21 2(asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.50 6.38  
LITTLE SISTER SUE 1 6 7 76   44 3(reed r)MCKEE J 124 3.00 58% 0.70 1.28 S
GOODBYE FOG 2 8 8 64   5410½ (hobby steve)ROCCO S 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.53  
ITSABLINGTHING 8 1 2½ 1nk   3511½ (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 118 12.00 5% 19.00 30.11  
BAMBEROOSKI 7 5 3 42   66 616½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 9.18  
MYSTIFY 4 4 6 8   815 728 (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 8.89  
BRYLEE 3 7 5 53   712½ 829 (medina robert)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 9.83  
 
CD-8   05/29/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Winning Colors Purse ($225K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:22
:214 :443 :562     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECHO ZULU 4 2 1½ 1nk   11(asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 0.80 48% 1.10 0.31 W
FIRE ON TIME 5 1 2½ 2nk   22(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00 7.62  
LAST LEAF 3 4 43 46   46 3(kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 8.00 7.55  
SPIRIT WIND 1 3 3 3   34(nicks ralph )HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 20% 4.10 7.68  
MARISSA'S LADY 2 5 54 5   59 512¾ (morey e)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 5% 17.80 8.60  
SCR  SCARLET STRIPE               (beckman wh)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
 
CD-9   05/29/2023 5940ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
:222 :464 1:114 1:364   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FREYDIS THE RED (FR) 10 8 6 8 7 11 1(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 13% 6.60 3.27 W
SRI LANKA 9 7 10 96 9 42(walsh brendan )GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 25% 3.10 2.91 P
BOPPY 5 3 1½ 11 1½ 31 3(cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.00 35% 1.90 2.39 S
LADY DYNAMO 4 11 11 12 11 74(tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 59.39  
12  HOLY FOLEY 12 10 5 3 3½ 21 5(lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 25.05  
BLESSING THE FLAG 1 1 74 74 8 64 67 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 12.00 5% 18.60 6.73  
DIXIE SUPREME 7 12 12 11 10 877 (murphy cono)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 48.87  
HARMONICA 8 5 32 53 6 53 8(drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 26.55  
SUMMERTIME ROSE 6 9 8 64 52 9910¾ (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 27.65  
ABBREVIATION 3 2 9 10 12 1211¾ 1013½ (mott riley)ROCCO S 118 15.00 58.75  
11  ROSY TOMORROWS 11 6 2½ 21 2½ 101117½ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 8.71  
MAD CAPER 2 4 4 4 4 1111¼ 1225½ (bauer a)BEJARANO R 125 12.00 29.18  
SCR  CATHERINE BLAZE               (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
SCR  FIRST HILL               (medina robert)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00    
SCR  MY TALLULAH               (mott riley)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.