Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Presque Isle Downs
Monday - September 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-3   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $10.20 $4.20 70%
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-3 $71.80 $59.80 498%
    DD (3/9/6/10)-(5/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-5 $25.00 $1.00 4%
PID-8   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  7-1 $97.20 $85.20 710%

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELIA 4 1 1 11   11 1½ (stokes l)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 45% 1.20 0.50 W
AMAZON LIZZIE 1 5 34 32   31 2½ (grace john)AYALA J 124 12.00 13.30  
EMERALD CITADELLE 2 3 2 21   21 3 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 124 4.50 4.20  
ROLLING MO 5 2 46 4   4 42 (russell randall)RIQUELME J 124 4.00 6.70  
CLASSY HALO 3 4 5 56   58 510½ (schneider kim)ALLEN D 124 5.00 32% 2.10 4.60  
SCR  SO MOXIE               (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 1.80    
 
PID-2   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY SMILE 2 6 64 6   42 13 (cheeks k)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 60% 0.70 1.30 W
VENEZUELANDREAMERS 7 3 3 32   2 23 (gotera juan )BARBOSA JEIRON 122 6.00 8% 11.20 4.10 P
SUMMER BOSS 6 8 85 7   53 3 (schneider kim)ALLEN D 122 12.00 57.90  
GOVERNOR ATWOOD 1 5 4 43   32 4 (russell rand)AYALA J 122 4.50 4.70  
KRUSIN ROCKET 3 2 2½ 1   1 55 (martin willia)ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00 31.50  
TAPIO (IRE) 4 7 74 8   7 6 (stidham )GALLARDO A 118 3.50 7% 12.40 2.50  
OSBIN 5 1 53 53   64 7 (maddox a)JIMENEZ S 122 20.00 65.00  
10  VELOCIMO 8 4 1½ 2   8 819¼ (sharp j)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 12.70  
SCR  JOSH'S HONOR               (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 118 6.00    
SCR  SPIRITED DEBATE               (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 20.00    
 
PID-3   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED WREN 5 3 4 4   2 1¾ (rice kevin)AYALA J 117 2.50 45% 1.20 4.10 W
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of JACQUELINE GAIL by TIGER RIDGE)
SOUPER CRUNCHY 3 4 1nk 1nk   1 2¾ (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00 5% 19.00 6.20 P
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SMARTY SMART by CONGRATS)
DRIP D'ORO 1 6 6 6   4 3 (hiles a)MARTINEZ W 120 8.00 5.10  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of WICKED WISH by GOLD CASE)
FIRE WIRE 4 7 7 7   6 4 (morey william)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 4.60  
  (by FIRING LINE out of CHARLOTTE'S DI by EL CORREDOR)
BLOODHOUND 7 1 2nk 2nk   3 5 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 27% 2.70 1.90  
  (by MASTERY out of GEM SLEUTH by OFFICER)
COLD STARE 2 5 5 5   5 67 (harty eoin)ALLEN D 120 4.50 5.30  
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of GAME FACE by MENIFEE)
A BIT OF CAPTAIN 6 2 3 31   7 710¾ (hamm timothy)STANLEY O 120 8.00 23.10  
  (by COAL FRONT out of DISCREET STAR by DISCREET CAT)
 
PID-4   09/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:114 1:36   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANA'S BEAUTY 2 3 11 11 12 1 1 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00 3.00  
RED PIXIE 1 5 56 57 5 2 2 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 19% 4.40 1.00 P
HAPPY BEE 4 4 45 46 45 55 38 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 12.00 16.90  
VILLAGE QUEEN 5 1 3 3 33 44 48 (potts g)SPIETH S 122 3.50 56% 0.80 2.10  
SINGLE LADY 3 2 21 21 22 34 5 (vitali marcu)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 10.00 8.30  
SCR  SMOOTH PEBBLE               (alvarado diane)MARTINEZ W 122 15.00    
SCR  TACTICAL PAJAMAS               (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 1.20    
 
PID-5   09/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:14 1:261   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHY DA RUNNER 2 3 11 11 1 1nk 1½ (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 8.00 6.00  
DAWGMENTALITY 6 6 44 5 2 2nk 2½ (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 120 3.00 2.40 P
GOOSE HUNTER 5 1 34 32 4 3 32 (ruberto louis)ROJAS MARTINA 120 12.00 5% 19.00 11.40 S
RICHARD HOOTY 1 4 6 74 7 42 43 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 12.00 12.60  
STRICTLY CONFIDENT 7 7 7 6 5 53 5 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 2.50 69% 0.50 4.30  
NIGHT RIDE 4 2 21 21 3 6 6 (stokes l)MARTINEZ A 118 8.00 10.10  
AMERICA'S GUEST 3 5 55 43 64 7 7 (wismer glenn )MORALES PABLO 118 5.00 1.90  
SCR  GAMBLING TZAR               (alvarado dian)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.00    
 
PID-6   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:22 :442 :563     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIOR'S PAYOFF 3 4 2nk 2nk   11 1¼ (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 17% 4.90 1.00 W
REELED IN 5 5 5 31   21 2¼ (martin w)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 4.20  
PUTTHEBLAMEONME 2 7 6 6   33 32 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 3.00 56% 0.80 2.10 S
NATURAL HARBOR 6 3 31 4   5 4 (walden william)ACHARD ALEX 118 4.50 8.40  
FIERCE AND STRONG 7 1 4 5   7 5 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
WILLIE WANDO 1 6 7 7   6 6 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 118 8.00 44.10  
LEONARD'S LEGACY 4 2 1nk 1nk   44 711¼ (russell randall)ALLEN M 122 10.00 30.30  
SCR  AEGONTHECONQUEROR               (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
 
PID-7   09/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Presque Isle Debutante Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:092     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSA 7 7 6 5   6 1½ (attard kevin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 4.00 3.50  
  (by STREET BOSS out of MAGNIFICIENCE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
LIVING MAGIC 8 3 5 3   2½ 2½ (schoenth)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 16% 5.10 3.50 P
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
PRACTICALLYELUSIVE 4 5 3 2nk   1½ 3 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 3.00 49% 1.00 4.00 S
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TO BE DETERMINED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
10  SNOW DANCE 9 4 4 4   7 44 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 116 6.00 3.10  
  (by COMMISSIONER out of LOVE COVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
CHASING SPRING 2 8 7 7   31 5 (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 118 12.00 8.30  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of IN STEP by BAWLD HORNET)
ATMIDNIGHT 1 10 8 84   85 6 (saville nial)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 12.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
  (by KANTHAROS out of NO MORE MISERY by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
A THOUSAND PLANS 6 6 21 6   4 7 (brooks e)ALLEN M 118 12.00 44.10  
  (by WAR DANCER out of JITNEY by UTOPIA (JPN))
11  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH 10 1 11 1nk   52 8 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 8.00 8% 11.50 13.10  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of STREET DOLL by STREET CRY (IRE))
12  SHOT GIRL 11 2 1110½ 97   911 918½ (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 15.00 69.80  
  (by UNKNOWN out of STRAWBERRY TEQUILA by DAAHER)
SLAINTE MHATH 5 11 10 10   1014½ 1024¾ (wismer glenn)AYALA J 116 20.00 74.90  
  (by UNCLE MO out of LADY WORTHINGTON by SCAT DADDY)
LUCKY LESSON 3 9 9 119   1120 1131 (corrigan jim)ALLEN D 118 20.00 90.70  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of BANJO LESSON by LANGFUHR)
SCR  SHE'S FIRE               (rice kevin)TBA 118 8.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MY WISH LIST by FLATTER)
 
PID-8   09/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:222 :452 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET NONE 5 6 74 5   31 1 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 51% 1.00 2.50 W
UP IN ARMS 1 5 63 42   4 2 (hamm timothy)STANLEY O 122 8.00 6% 15.90 19.50 P
WILD LOOKER 3 4 5 6   6 32 (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 20.00 35.50  
CINCO DE MANDEE 4 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 42 (markgraf davi)ROJAS MARTINA 119 8.00 3.90  
LAWN DART 2 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 5 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00 19% 4.40 1.70  
11  WATERLOO SUNSET 7 7 3 31   5 6 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 8.00 3.50  
LUCKY DAY DIVA 6 2 4 7   7 713½ (salvaggio mich)ALLEN D 124 12.00 13.80  
SCR  EVER SO D'WILD               (schaber debb)AYALA J 122 20.00    
SCR  HAPPY TAPPY TIM               (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 122 3.50    
SCR  MONGOLIAN MISSION               (lucarell)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
SCR  WALKS LIKE A LADY               (nagle sarah)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.