The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Presque Isle Downs
Monday - September 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -1.00
PID-2   Win (3/9/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -3.40
PID-3   Win (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 4.20
PID-4   Win (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $8.00 -4.00
PID-5   Win (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $14.00 -4.00
PID-6   Win (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
PID-7   Win (5/9/11/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $9.00 -8.00
PID-8   Win (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
:223 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELIA 4 1 1 11   11 1½ (stokes lan)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 45% 1.20 0.50 W
AMAZON LIZZIE 1 5 34 32   31 2½ (grace john)AYALA J 124 12.00 13.30  
EMERALD CITADELLE 2 3 2 21   21 3(wilson b)FOX CHRIS 124 4.50 4.20  
ROLLING MO 5 2 46 4   442 (russell randall)RIQUELME J 124 4.00 6.70  
CLASSY HALO 3 4 5 56   58 510½ (schneider kim)ALLEN D 124 5.00 32% 2.10 4.60  
SCR  SO MOXIE               (skawinski carol)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 1.80    
 
PID-2   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
:222 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY SMILE 2 6 64 6   42 13 (cheeks kat)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 60% 0.70 1.30 W
VENEZUELANDREAMERS 7 3 3 32   223 (gotera ca)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 6.00 8% 11.20 4.10 P
SUMMER BOSS 6 8 85 7   53 3(schneider kim)ALLEN D 122 12.00 57.90  
GOVERNOR ATWOOD 1 5 4 43   32 4(russell randal)AYALA J 122 4.50 4.70  
KRUSIN ROCKET 3 2 2½ 1   155 (martin william )ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00 31.50  
TAPIO 4 7 74 8   76(stidham mi)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 7% 12.40 2.50  
OSBIN 5 1 53 53   64 7(maddox a)JIMENEZ S 122 20.00 65.00  
10  VELOCIMO 8 4 1½ 2   8819¼ (sharp j)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 12.70  
SCR  JOSH'S HONOR               (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 118 6.00    
SCR  SPIRITED DEBATE               (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 20.00    
 
PID-3   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
:224 :461 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED WREN 5 3 4 4   21¾ (rice kevin)AYALA J 117 2.50 45% 1.20 4.10 W
SOUPER CRUNCHY 3 4 1nk 1nk   12¾ (trombetta mich)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00 5% 19.00 6.20 P
DRIP D'ORO 1 6 6 6   43(hiles a)MARTINEZ W 120 8.00 5.10  
FIRE WIRE 4 7 7 7   64(morey e)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 4.60  
BLOODHOUND 7 1 2nk 2nk   35(potts ron )GALLARDO A 120 3.50 27% 2.70 1.90  
COLD STARE 2 5 5 5   567 (harty eoin)ALLEN D 120 4.50 5.30  
A BIT OF CAPTAIN 6 2 3 31   7710¾ (hamm timothy)STANLEY O 120 8.00 23.10  
 
PID-4   09/25/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
:234 :473 1:114 1:36   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANA'S BEAUTY 2 3 11 11 12 11(rogers michae)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00 3.00  
RED PIXIE 1 5 56 57 5 22(brooks ger)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 19% 4.40 1.00 P
HAPPY BEE 4 4 45 46 45 55 38 (markgraf david)WALKER M 122 12.00 16.90  
VILLAGE QUEEN 5 1 3 3 33 44 48 (potts g)SPIETH S 122 3.50 56% 0.80 2.10  
SINGLE LADY 3 2 21 21 22 34 5(vitali marcus )BARBOSA JEIRON 122 10.00 8.30  
SCR  SMOOTH PEBBLE               (alvarado diane)MARTINEZ W 122 15.00    
SCR  TACTICAL PAJAMAS               (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 1.20    
 
PID-5   09/25/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
:244 :494 1:14 1:261   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHY DA RUNNER 2 3 11 11 1 1nk 1½ (girten tim)GALLARDO A 118 8.00 6.00  
DAWGMENTALITY 6 6 44 5 2 2nk 2½ (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 120 3.00 2.40 P
GOOSE HUNTER 5 1 34 32 4 332 (ruberto v)ROJAS MARTINA 120 12.00 5% 19.00 11.40 S
RICHARD HOOTY 1 4 6 74 7 42 43 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 12.00 12.60  
STRICTLY CONFIDENT 7 7 7 6 5 53 5(corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 2.50 69% 0.50 4.30  
NIGHT RIDE 4 2 21 21 3 66(stokes lan)MARTINEZ A 118 8.00 10.10  
AMERICA'S GUEST 3 5 55 43 64 77(wismer s)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00 1.90  
SCR  GAMBLING TZAR               (alvarado diane)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.00    
 
PID-6   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
:22 :442 :563     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIOR'S PAYOFF 3 4 2nk 2nk   11 1¼ (kulp l)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 17% 4.90 1.00 W
REELED IN 5 5 5 31   21 2¼ (martin wil)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 4.20  
PUTTHEBLAMEONME 2 7 6 6   33 32 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 3.00 56% 0.80 2.10 S
NATURAL HARBOR 6 3 31 4   54(walden william)ACHARD ALEX 118 4.50 8.40  
FIERCE AND STRONG 7 1 4 5   75(salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
WILLIE WANDO 1 6 7 7   66(markgraf david)WALKER M 118 8.00 44.10  
LEONARD'S LEGACY 4 2 1nk 1nk   44 711¼ (russell randall)ALLEN M 122 10.00 30.30  
SCR  AEGONTHECONQUEROR               (rotunno sy)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
 
PID-7   09/25/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Presque Isle Debutante Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 5:42
:221 :45 1:092     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSA 7 7 6 5   61½ (attard kevin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 4.00 3.50  
LIVING MAGIC 8 3 5 3   2½ 2½ (schoenthal)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 16% 5.10 3.50 P
PRACTICALLYELUSIVE 4 5 3 2nk   1½ 3(wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 122 3.00 49% 1.00 4.00 S
10  SNOW DANCE 9 4 4 4   744 (rice kevin)MARTINEZ A 116 6.00 3.10  
CHASING SPRING 2 8 7 7   31 5(harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 118 12.00 8.30  
ATMIDNIGHT 1 10 8 84   85 6(saville niall)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 12.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
A THOUSAND PLANS 6 6 21 6   47(brooks e)ALLEN M 118 12.00 44.10  
11  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH 10 1 11 1nk   52 8(kintz matt)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 8.00 8% 11.50 13.10  
12  SHOT GIRL 11 2 1110½ 97   911 918½ (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 15.00 69.80  
SLAINTE MHATH 5 11 10 10   1014½ 1024¾ (wismer s)AYALA J 116 20.00 74.90  
LUCKY LESSON 3 9 9 119   1120 1131 (corrigan jim)ALLEN D 118 20.00 90.70  
SCR  SHE'S FIRE               (rice kevin)TBA 118 8.00    
 
PID-8   09/25/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
:222 :452 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET NONE 5 6 74 5   31 1(rodriguez )GALLARDO A 122 6.00 51% 1.00 2.50 W
UP IN ARMS 1 5 63 42   42(hamm timothy)STANLEY O 122 8.00 6% 15.90 19.50 P
WILD LOOKER 3 4 5 6   632 (skawinski carol)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 20.00 35.50  
CINCO DE MANDEE 4 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 42 (markgraf david)ROJAS MARTINA 119 8.00 3.90  
LAWN DART 2 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 5(stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00 19% 4.40 1.70  
11  WATERLOO SUNSET 7 7 3 31   56(allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 8.00 3.50  
LUCKY DAY DIVA 6 2 4 7   7713½ (salvaggio michae)ALLEN D 124 12.00 13.80  
SCR  EVER SO D'WILD               (schaber debbie)AYALA J 122 20.00    
SCR  HAPPY TAPPY TIM               (kulp l)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50    
SCR  MONGOLIAN MISSION               (lucarelli )MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
SCR  WALKS LIKE A LADY               (nagle sarah)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.