Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Monday - September 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(3/9/6/10) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(3/9/6/10)-(5/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-2   WIN (3/9/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/6/10)-(3/9/6/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/9/6/10)-(3/9/6/10)-(3/9/6/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/6/10)-(5/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/9/6/10)-(5/7/3)-(7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-3   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(7/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(7/1)-(7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-4   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/1)-(7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(7/5)-(3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-5   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/5)-(3/4/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(3/4/8)-(5/9/11/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-6   WIN (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/8)-(3/4/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/8)-(3/4/8)-(3/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/8)-(5/9/11/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/4/8)-(5/9/11/2)-(7/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-7   WIN (5/9/11/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/11/2)-(5/9/11/8/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (5/9/11/2)-(5/9/11/8/2)-(5/9/11/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/9/11/2)-(7/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SO MOXIE Sep05 Jun26 Jun06 May17 Mar22 (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 1.80    
AMAZON LIZZIE Aug22 Aug09 Aug02 Jul19 Jun19 (grace john)AYALA J 124 12.00    
EMERALD CITADELLE Sep11 Aug22 Aug09 Jul24 Jun26 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 124 4.50    
CLASSY HALO Sep13 Aug21 May09 Sep06 Aug15 (schneider kim)ALLEN D 124 5.00 32% 2.10    
ELIA Jul25 Jul05 Oct06 Aug03 Jul14 (stokes l)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
ROLLING MO Sep13 Jul19 Jul05 Jun13 May29 (russell randall)RIQUELME J 124 4.00    
 
PID-2   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JOSH'S HONOR Sep19 Aug15 Aug01 Jul10 Jun07 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 118 6.00    
GOVERNOR ATWOOD Sep04 Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 Jun27 (russell rand)AYALA J 122 4.50    
LUCKY SMILE Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 May12 Apr22 (cheeks k)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50 60% 0.70    
SCR  SPIRITED DEBATE Sep05 Aug21 Aug08 Jul18 Jun27 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 20.00    
KRUSIN ROCKET Aug21 Jul25 Jul05 Jun19 May06 (martin willia)ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00    
TAPIO (IRE) Aug26 Aug03 Jul15 Jun11 May20 (stidham )GALLARDO A 118 3.50 7% 12.40    
OSBIN Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 Jul12 Oct12 (maddox a)JIMENEZ S 122 20.00    
SUMMER BOSS Sep04 Aug10 Jul25 Jul03 Jun19 (schneider kim)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
VENEZUELANDREAMERS Aug29 Aug15 Sep25 Jul10   (gotera juan )BARBOSA JEIRON 122 6.00 8% 11.20    
10  VELOCIMO Sep14 Jul18 May30 May21 Apr19 (sharp j)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-3   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIP D'ORO Aug31         (hiles a)MARTINEZ W 120 8.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of WICKED WISH by GOLD CASE)
COLD STARE Aug23         (harty eoin)ALLEN D 120 4.50    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of GAME FACE by MENIFEE)
SOUPER CRUNCHY Aug23         (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SMARTY SMART by CONGRATS)
FIRE WIRE         (morey william)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of CHARLOTTE'S DI by EL CORREDOR)
RED WREN Sep05 Aug23       (rice kevin)AYALA J 117 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of JACQUELINE GAIL by TIGER RIDGE)
A BIT OF CAPTAIN Aug23 Jul19 Jun14 May31   (hamm timothy)STANLEY O 120 8.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of DISCREET STAR by DISCREET CAT)
BLOODHOUND Sep08 Aug23       (potts ro)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by MASTERY out of GEM SLEUTH by OFFICER)
 
PID-4   09/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED PIXIE Sep19 Aug26 Aug15 Jul17 Jul05 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 19% 4.40    
SCR  TACTICAL PAJAMAS Jul24 Jul05 Jun19 May22 Apr22 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 1.20    
DANA'S BEAUTY Aug29 Aug08 Jul11 Jun19 May22 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00    
SCR  SMOOTH PEBBLE Aug12 Jun15 Mar11 Jan14 Oct29 (alvarado diane)MARTINEZ W 122 15.00    
SINGLE LADY Aug14 Jul17 Jun19 Apr01 Feb22 (vitali marcu)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 10.00    
HAPPY BEE Aug14 Jul11 Jun20 May31 Apr13 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 122 12.00    
VILLAGE QUEEN Sep12 Aug14 Jul26 Jul11 Jun21 (potts g)SPIETH S 122 3.50 56% 0.80    
 
PID-5   09/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICHARD HOOTY Aug23 Aug09 Jul25 Jul04 May29 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 12.00    
SHY DA RUNNER Sep05 Aug07 Jul24 Jun16 May26 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
AMERICA'S GUEST Sep11 Aug29 Aug10 Jul24 Jul10 (wismer glenn )MORALES PABLO 118 5.00    
NIGHT RIDE Sep11 Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jun14 (stokes l)MARTINEZ A 118 8.00    
GOOSE HUNTER Sep11 Aug23 Aug15 Jul24 Jul10 (ruberto lo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
DAWGMENTALITY Sep13 Aug07 Jul24 Jun21 May30 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 120 3.00    
STRICTLY CONFIDENT Jul04 Jun10 May28 May07 Mar17 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 2.50 69% 0.50    
SCR  GAMBLING TZAR Sep07 Aug04 Jul20 Jun30 May23 (alvarado dian)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.00    
 
PID-6   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AEGONTHECONQUEROR Aug31 Oct26 Oct20 Sep20 Sep08 (rotunno )MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
WILLIE WANDO Sep13 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Jun07 (markgraf davi)WALKER M 118 8.00    
PUTTHEBLAMEONME Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jun10 Jul16 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 3.00 56% 0.80    
WARRIOR'S PAYOFF Sep06 Aug21 Aug02 Jul11 Jun14 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 17% 4.90    
LEONARD'S LEGACY Aug30 Aug15 Jun14 May30 Oct20 (russell randall)ALLEN M 122 10.00    
REELED IN Aug29 Apr23 Apr08 Mar11 Oct29 (martin w)GALLARDO A 120 6.00    
NATURAL HARBOR Feb25 Dec16 Nov03 Oct13   (walden william)ACHARD ALEX 118 4.50    
FIERCE AND STRONG Aug30 Aug10 Jul19 Jul07 May26 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-7   09/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Presque Isle Debutante Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE'S FIRE Sep16 Aug20 Jul29 Jul07 Jun12 (rice kevin)NO RIDER 118 8.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MY WISH LIST by FLATTER)
ATMIDNIGHT Sep09 Aug19 Jul22     (saville nial)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of NO MORE MISERY by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
CHASING SPRING Aug21         (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 118 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of IN STEP by BAWLD HORNET)
LUCKY LESSON Jun08 May27 May10     (corrigan jim)NO RIDER 118 20.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of BANJO LESSON by LANGFUHR)
PRACTICALLYELUSIVE Aug12 Jul13       (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 3.00 49% 1.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TO BE DETERMINED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SLAINTE MHATH Jun17 May04       (wismer glenn)AYALA J 116 20.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LADY WORTHINGTON by SCAT DADDY)
A THOUSAND PLANS Sep01 Aug21       (brooks e)ALLEN M 118 12.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of JITNEY by UTOPIA (JPN))
ROSA Aug20 Jul08       (attard kevin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 4.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of MAGNIFICIENCE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
LIVING MAGIC Aug20 Jul15 Jun11 May01   (schoenth)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  SNOW DANCE Sep03 Aug20 Jul23     (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 116 6.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of LOVE COVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
11  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH Aug30 Jul17       (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 8.00 8% 11.50    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of STREET DOLL by STREET CRY (IRE))
12  SHOT GIRL Sep13 May23       (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 15.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of STRAWBERRY TEQUILA by DAAHER)
 
PID-8   09/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UP IN ARMS Aug22 Aug09 Jul24 Jun26 Nov01 (hamm timothy)STANLEY O 122 8.00 6% 15.90    
LAWN DART Aug14 Jul17 Jun26 Jun06 May17 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 5.00 19% 4.40    
WILD LOOKER Sep11 Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 Jun19 (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 20.00    
SCR  MONGOLIAN MISSION Sep11 Aug22 Aug02 Jul10 Jun19 (lucarell)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
SCR  HAPPY TAPPY TIM Aug02 Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 May07 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 122 3.50    
CINCO DE MANDEE Aug30 Aug14 Aug02 Jun12 Sep26 (markgraf davi)ROJAS MARTINA 119 8.00    
GET NONE Sep04 Aug23 May25 Oct16 Jul17 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  EVER SO D'WILD Sep05 Aug23 Aug07 Jul21 Jun23 (schaber debb)AYALA J 122 20.00    
LUCKY DAY DIVA Sep14 Sep05 Jun28 May19 Oct24 (salvaggio mich)ALLEN D 124 12.00    
SCR  WALKS LIKE A LADY Sep01 Aug17 Jul13 Jun17 Mar22 (nagle sarah)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.50    
11  WATERLOO SUNSET Aug21 Aug02 Jul12 Jun07 May17 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.