The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - October 12, 2022

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PID-1   10/12/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
:22 :453 :574     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY NINETEEN 2 3 24 2   11 13 (roman d)MARTINEZ A 119 3.50 1.40  
AMERICAN CHAOS 4 1 36 35   21 23 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 119 2.50 44% 1.30 2.60 P
FEAR THE DEER 5 4 48 45   33(kurtinecz lilli)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 2.00 21% 3.90 4.50 S
BISHI 1 5 58 57   43 4(schneider kim)AYALA J 122 6.00 10% 9.10 6.10  
FAST AXTON 3 6 616½ 611½   6510 (rotunno r)VALDES ALEXIS 119 8.00 22.40  
OSBIN 6 2 14 1   5617¼ (maddox a)WALKER M 122 12.00 5.00  
SCR  SUMMER BOSS               (schneider kim)ALLEN D 119 12.00    
 
PID-2   10/12/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:57
:272 :52 1:153 1:403   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUDRINA'S CITY 7 5 56 47 4 31¼ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 3.50 4.70  
LIGHTNING ROUND 5 4 11 1½ 2nk 1nk 2¼ (valdez moises)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 6.00 6.30  
TEAM HOT LINE 2 1 21 2½ 1nk 2nk 3½ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 4.00 18% 4.50 0.80 S
THISAINTJUMPSTREET 6 6 67 68 56 55 4(rojas e)MORALES PABLO 124 5.00 23% 3.40 9.20  
WORKING OVERTIME 1 2 3 3 33 44 5(barron rory)ALLEN D 124 8.00 12% 7.50 5.00  
MIDNIGHT LEAP 4 3 4 57 7 710½ 6(blackhurst randy)CCAMAQUE M 124 15.00 68.90  
TIZ PROMISING RVF 3 7 7 710 6 69 7(valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 124 10.00 10.70  
SCR  GOLDEN OLDIE               (bowersock maria)ALENCAR WALBER 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
PID-3   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
:223 :451 :57     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERE YOU WAS 3 3 32 3   22 1½ (rogers w)GALLARDO A 122 4.50 6.00  
RIO ABAJO 1 2 11 1½   12 2½ (rojas e)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 51% 1.00 1.30 P
SUMMERFEST 2 5 5 4   43(antus lawrence)AYALA J 124 3.00 3.00 S
LIFE DON'T OWE YOU 4 1 21 2½   33 4(potts g)MARTINEZ W 124 2.50 24% 3.10 3.20  
KEYSTONE HANK 5 4 47 54   55(morrell r)MARTINEZ A 121 8.00 5.60  
SCR  ETTAPLACE               (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 121 12.00    
 
PID-4   10/12/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 2:51
:252 :492 1:13 1:251   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA PANDA 7 1 11 11 1½ 11¾ (skawinski a)VALDES ALEXIS 120 5.00 12.80  
ELLA FRANCES 5 5 5 4 3 22¾ (clement christophe)CARROLL DECLAN 120 3.00 39% 1.50 3.90 P
AZTEC PRINCESS 3 3 43 55 5 45 35 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 21% 3.90 2.40 S
LEVISA 2 7 32 21 2½ 34(stidham michael)GALLARDO A 120 4.00 2.10  
HONEY HAULER 1 4 21 3 4 56 5(wismer s)WALKER M 120 6.00 6.00  
BRIGHTHILL 6 6 76 710 7 712 612½ (stidham michael)MARTINEZ W 120 10.00 11.80  
FREE SHOT 4 2 6 68 6 611 712¾ (bennett s)ALLEN D 120 5.00 13% 6.70 8.60  
 
PID-5   10/12/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
:25 :484 1:12 1:363   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANZ JOSEF 6 2 1 11 1nk 113 (wismer s)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 3.70  
BARNEGAT LIGHT 3 1 2 3 3 223 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 1.60 57% 0.80 0.50 P
READY REWARD 4 3 44 4 44 33 3(dowling william)SPIETH S 122 10.00 31.10  
WEST NEWTON (GB) 1 6 67 610½ 69 67 49 (hendriks j)WALKER M 122 2.50 12% 7.40 9.40  
BEACH HOLIDAY 5 4 54 5 5 559 (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 118 4.50 6.50  
HARPOON HARRY 2 5 3 21 2nk 46(bennett s)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 8.60  
 
PID-6   10/12/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 3:45
:242 :474 1:122 1:254   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITTEN AROUND 5 9 9 87 44 4¾ 11 (brion keri)SPIETH S 120 3.50 11% 8.30 4.60 W
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 8 5 4 3 33 3½ 21 (weaver cassondra)STANLEY O 120 12.00 11.40  
WILD GUESS 1 8 3 2 22 1nk 31 (clement christophe)CARROLL DECLAN 120 4.00 34% 2.00 2.70 S
DR. HYDE 6 6 74 66 65 543 (dickey keith)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 8.00 9.50  
CACTUS KEVIN 7 4 5 4 54 65(walsh d)DELGADO DAVID 120 5.00 8% 11.50 5.30  
FALK 4 7 1½ 1 12 2nk 610 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 22% 3.50 3.00  
UWHARRIE 3 2 2½ 5 911¼ 8712¼ (caramori eduardo)GALLARDO A 120 10.00 5% 18.50 11.20  
GOTTA GO GATOR 2 1 63 98 810¼ 7812¾ (rice kevin)MARTINEZ A 120 12.00 10.80  
10  BIALYSTOCK 9 3 8 76 710 910¼ 934¼ (hamm timothy)ALLEN D 120 15.00 65.30  
SCR  MOBOT               (gomez alejandro)VALDES ALEXIS 120 15.00    
 
PID-7   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
:22 :45 :563     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOO BOO KITTY 9 1 12 11   11 11 (rice kevin)AYALA J 119 2.50 17% 4.80 2.80 W
FORGOTTEN PEACE 3 4 33 21   21 21 (girten tim)SPIETH S 122 4.00 53% 0.90 2.40 P
PUPPYMONKEYBABY 1 7 7 42   33(nagle sarah)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 16.20 S
SHE'S PEACHY KEEN 4 6 43 53   43 43 (bennett s)ALLEN D 119 6.00 15.10  
SHE'S DANCING 2 8 8 8   53 53 (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 10.00 4.90  
MAGGIE'S BID 7 5 6 7   764 (beattie m)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 7% 13.60 2.70  
STAND BY YOU 8 9 9 9   87(beattie m)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 19.00  
TOOLCAT 6 2 5 32   64 8(potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00 26.10  
SHEISTHEHERO 5 3 22 6   910½ 911 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 122 20.00 61.40  
 
PID-8   10/12/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
:222 :451 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILITARY DRILL 3 3 11 11   111 (stites w)MARTINEZ W 122 12.00 6.60  
OLDZFOURFORTYTWO 1 4 42 42   221 (hayes leland)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 5.00 3.00 P
CLAW 7 7 7 8   43 3(buhrow d)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 27.50  
WAPITI WAY 9 8 6 6   74(cheeks p)GALLARDO A 124 4.50 20% 4.10 5.30  
STRETCH RUNNER 2 9 8 7   85 5(girten tim)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 10.00 13.10  
K'S LITTLE BILL 4 2 21 21   36(martin n)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 38% 1.60 2.30  
SAMURAI ZIP 6 6 31 31   64 7(radosevich r)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.00 15% 5.70 6.00  
TOTAL DISTRACTION 5 5 54 53   54 8(rotunno r)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00 8.10  
ANOTHER BREEZE 8 1 9 9   99(kintz matthew)AYALA J 122 15.00 51.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.