Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Sunday - August 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $24.00  
SAR-2   Win (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $7.80  
SAR-3   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $14.00 $14.00 8.00
SAR-4   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.10 $5.10  
SAR-5   Win (1/5/9/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $12.60 $12.60 2.60
SAR-6   Win (7/10/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $14.00 $14.00 6.00
SAR-7   Win (5/4/2/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $8.80 $8.80  
SAR-8   Win (7/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $8.30 $8.30 0.30
SAR-9   Win (12/13/15) 3 $2.00 $6.00 12 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
SAR-10   Win (9/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $5.70  
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:25 :474 1:122 1:364   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY 7 3 2nk 35 21½ 13½ 13 (de hor)SANTANA JR 123 12.00 ★ 11.00  
3  MY LION (GB) 2 4 41¾ 46 52¾ 23½ 23 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 30% 2.40 3.15 P
4  FROM HELLO 3 6 85¼ 89 84¾ 76½ 34¾ (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.60 S
1  FAST KIMMIE 4 1 1nk 24½ 31½ 34½ 44¾ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 7.50  
5  ELLE EST FORTE 5 7 73¾ 67 73¾ 45 55 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50 42% 1.40 2.25  
2  STRAND OF GOLD 1 5 95¾ 1010¼ 106¼ 66½ 65 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 ★ 4.50  
9  LADY FIREFOOT 9 8 62¾ 77½ 63¾ 56 75¾ (reynolds patrick )CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 9.00  
8  RED HOT CHICK 8 9 51¾ 56 42½ 88 811¼ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 21.20  
6  SWEET SENSATION 6 10 106¼ 99¼ 95¾ 912 914½ (seyler )HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 50.00 74.75  
10  ROSEMARY POTATOES 10 2 3.2 14½ 11½ 1012½ 1021½ (arenas marcelo)TORRES A 118 30.00 48.50  
SCR  DIVINE WINE               (de horacio)ORTIZ L 123 10.00    
SCR  FROSTY INVASION               (schettino domini)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 10.00    
SCR  MISCREANT               (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 125 5.00    
SCR  TAP IT UP               (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
 
SAR-2   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN 4 1 1½ 11   12 12¾ (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 123 3.00 2.90  
6  DIVA BANKER 5 2 31 21   22 22¾ (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 23% 3.40 2.15 P
1  BEAUTIFUL KAREN 1 5 2½ 31½   44½ 39 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 115 6.00 3.85  
4  ALPINE QUEEN 3 4 42 42   34 412½ (toscano t)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 22% 3.50 1.80  
2  BACKED BY GOLD 2 3 52½ 59   514½ 530¼ (quick p)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 8.00 18% 4.50 14.90  
SCR  LIBERTY FLAME               (begg bentle)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
 
SAR-3   08/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($40K) Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:14 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STRONG ODOR 2 2 21 2½ 2nk 12 1½ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 8% 11.20 6.00 W
6  CAFE FLEUR (FR) 5 5 53½ 53½ 53¼ 42½ 2½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 49% 1.00 1.25 P
3  TASS (GB) 3 4 31½ 31½ 41¾ 22 31¼ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 16% 5.30 3.10 S
5  PEACE SEEKER 4 3 42½ 42½ 31½ 56 45¾ (abreu fernando)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 10.70  
1  AZIZA 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 32 56½ (hemingway michel)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 2.55  
SCR  CHARGE NURSE               (englehart jeremiah )SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  HALO CITY               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00    
SCR  OK HONEY               (chichakly amira)RIDER TBA 118 4.50    
SCR  TONED UP               (atras rob)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
 
SAR-4   08/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 GOOD Bolton Landing Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:223 :453 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AMIDST WAVES 2 1 42½ 42   1½ 1hd (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 122 1.60 35% 1.80 1.55 W
2  CROWN IMPERIAL 1 5 31½ 31½   2½ 2hd (ortiz a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 34% 1.90 8.60 P
4  GRAM 3 3 53½ 53   51¾ 32¼ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50 2.00  
5  SHE'S FIRE 4 4 2½ 2½   4¾ 42½ (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 5% 17.40 3.20  
6  ASTONESTHROWAWAY 5 2 1½ 1½   3½ 55 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 6.90  
SCR  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH               (kintz matt)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00    
 
SAR-5   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:221 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CANDIED 5 7 63½ 52½   21½ 1¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 24% 3.10 5.30 W
1  CATHERINE WHEEL 1 3 42½ 41½   11½ 2¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 28% 2.60 5.50 P
6  MUNNY ROCKETTE 6 2 21½ 21   32½ 34¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 2.75  
9  DANCING NANCY 8 1 32 31½   57 411¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 8% 12.30 7.70  
2  PLATINUM MINIT 2 4 96½ 88   710 512 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00 5% 19.00 30.75  
4  BROOKMESA 4 6 53½ 63   67 612¾ (pompay terri)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 4.60  
10  ELLA ELIZABETH 9 5 11½ 11   46½ 713¼ (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 6.00  
8  MISCHIEVOUS MISS 7 9 85½ 98½   913 818¾ (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 16.00  
3  MOST OF ALL 3 8 74 75½   812½ 918¾ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 10.10  
SCR  MADAM LEOTA               (jimenez l)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00    
 
SAR-6   08/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:143 1:381   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MEMORIALIZE 7 9 76 76¼ 62¾ 1½ 13 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 30% 2.30 6.00 W
1  STEEL LUTE 1 10 86 86¾ 94¼ 54 23 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 11.60  
8  LAMORNA 8 8 109½ 98¼ 84¼ 31½ 33½ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 21% 3.80 1.80 S
10  SNOW DANCE 10 2 21 21 2nk 2½ 44¾ (rice kevin)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 21% 3.70 9.20  
6  GOODNIGHT MY ANGEL 6 6 64½ 54 52¼ 64 56 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 9.20  
3  BUCHU 3 5 54 64¼ 73¼ 95¼ 66¾ (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 5% 19.00 4.60  
9  VICTORY BADGE 9 7 98 108¾ 106¾ 75 78 (trombetta mic)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 ★ 26.50  
4  CANDY LOVER 4 1 11 11 1nk 42 89¼ (devaux che)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 26.25  
5  GROWTH RATE 5 3 43 42 3½ 85¼ 910¾ (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 8.90  
2  CAUSEWAY'S JEWEL 2 4 32 32 42 1013¼ 1022¾ (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 119 20.00 12.40  
SCR  CLASSY MISCHIEF               (contessa c)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
SCR  PARADISE LANE               (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 4.50    
SCR  SASSY PRINCESS               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
 
SAR-7   08/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:12 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MOUNT UP 3 2 2½ 2½ 1½ 13 1½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 13% 6.70 3.40 W
10  CHILENO 9 7 74¼ 73¾ 32 23 2½ (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 125 8.00 8.50  
2  SET SAIL 1 1 1½ 1½ 2½ 34 34½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 10.00 10% 9.50 6.00 S
9  SUNDAESWITHSANDY 8 5 41½ 52 42½ 46½ 46¼ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.00 3.35  
6  FROMANOTHAMUTHA 5 3 62¼ 62¼ 64 58 56¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 20.00 26.25  
3  PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE 2 9 87¾ 96¾ 910 69 69¼ (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
7  FENWICK 6 4 3½ 31½ 74½ 710 79¾ (dutrow e)ROSARIO JOEL 125 20.00 14.50  
8  RESERVE CURRENCY 7 8 98¼ 86¼ 86½ 810½ 89¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 8.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
5  BRAMITO 4 6 52 42 53 911½ 915 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 52% 0.90 3.15  
SCR  DARK VECTOR               (weaver george)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
 
SAR-8   08/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:094     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DIGITIZE 7 1 11½ 1½   13½ 11½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 40% 1.50 3.15 W
6  SILO RIDGE 6 5 21½ 2½   23½ 21½ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.50 P
2  MAGICO 2 6 76½ 65½   56¼ 32½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 20% 3.90 2.40 S
9  BLACK RAIN 9 7 65½ 45   36 43½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 ★ 7.60  
5  QUALITY CHIC 5 8 98 87¾   67¼ 54¼ (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 17% 4.90 5.60  
1  SHAKY PANTS 1 2 42 32   46 68½ (sharp joe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00 27.00  
3  MACHO VILLA 3 9 87½ 98¾   713¼ 717 (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00 19.70  
4  UNCLECHARLIESGIFT 4 4 31½ 55   814¾ 823¼ (zito nicho)SANTANA JR 119 20.00 41.50  
8  LORD VICENTE (ARG) 8 3 55 77½   918¾ 924½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 4.50  
 
SAR-9   08/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:121 1:25   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  MONEY SUPPLY 5 2 53 42 41 2nk 12 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.00 48% 1.10 1.90 W
13  GATE RUNNER 6 3 43 52¼ 2nk 1nk 22 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 28% 2.50 1.15 P
4  STJAMES 2 8 813½ 88¾ 85 86¼ 35¾ (gyarmati leah)MARTINEZ R 125 30.00 38.25  
1  LEFTEMBEHIND 1 7 64 62¾ 63½ 44 46¼ (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00 14.70  
8  BOLD LOOKER 4 6 78 76¼ 74½ 75¾ 57½ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00 ★ 11.40  
15  FIGHT FIERCELY 8 5 32 31 1nk 31 68 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
5  LEGENDARY LORE 3 1 21 2nk 52 65¼ 712½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 8.00  
14  GOOD RAPPORT 7 4 11 1nk 3½ 55 812½ (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 33.50  
SCR  ABLETON               (bond ja)TORRES A 118 30.00    
SCR  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  COVERT KAT               (trombetta micha)ORTIZ JR 125 10.00    
SCR  EMPIRE ATTRACTION               (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 125 4.00    
SCR  FORWARDLY               (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 5.00    
SCR  JAVA BUZZ               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 3.50    
SCR  MORNING CUP               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 8.00    
SCR  QUALITY G               (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
 
SAR-10   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
See original race card.
:223 :464 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MUDVILLE NINE 8 4 41½ 4¾   1nk 1nk (trombetta michae)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 1.85  
8  WOODSIDE WARRIOR 6 7 713½ 61¾   41 2nk (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 10.10  
6  HEY TOBY 4 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 35¼ (hooper james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00 10% 8.60 14.40 S
9  CHALKY CAT 7 5 55½ 51¾   52½ 46½ (barker r)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 40% 1.50 3.10  
5  UNDER THE KNIFE 3 1 2nk 1nk   3½ 56¾ (gutterson katly)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 14% 6.40 6.10  
1  WATCH HILL 1 6 67 75¼   77 614¾ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 13% 6.60 4.60  
7  SIN NOMBRE 5 3 3½ 3.2   63 715 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 8.40  
4  MAJESTIC HEART 2 8 819 820¼   827 841¾ (ferraro jame)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 112 30.00 46.75  
SCR  CONQUIST               (kimmel c)TORRES A 119 4.50    
SCR  TWO CHUCKLES               (englehart ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.