Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Sunday - August 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-3   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (1/5/9/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-6   Win (7/10/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (5/4/2/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-8   Win (7/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (12/13/15) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-10   Win (9/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   08/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST KIMMIE Jun22 Apr20 Aug20 Jul24 Jun24 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
SCR  MISCREANT Jul13 May11 Mar31 Mar01 Oct14 (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 125 5.00    
2  STRAND OF GOLD Mar24 Mar05 Dec11 Sep03 Aug07 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 ★    
3  MY LION (GB)         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 30% 2.40    
4  FROM HELLO Jul15 Jun11 May12 Apr21 Mar24 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  ELLE EST FORTE Jul26 May18 Apr16 Mar05 Jan05 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
6  SWEET SENSATION Aug09 Jul10 Jun20 May16 May08 (seyler )HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 50.00    
7  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY Jul13 Jun17 Apr28 Apr08 Nov19 (de hor)SANTANA JR 123 12.00 ★    
8  RED HOT CHICK Jun25 May06 Apr08 Sep17 Aug17 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
9  LADY FIREFOOT Dec02 Oct21 Sep22 Aug19 Jul30 (reynolds patrick )CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00    
10  ROSEMARY POTATOES Jul13 Jul02 May18 Apr28 Nov17 (arenas marcelo)TORRES A 118 30.00    
SCR  FROSTY INVASION Jul27 Jul02 May28 Apr14 Mar12 (schettino domini)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 10.00    
SCR  TAP IT UP Jul27 Jun22 Jun02 May14 Apr16 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
SCR  DIVINE WINE Jul02 Jun11 May12 Apr02 Mar12 (de horacio)ORTIZ L 123 10.00    
 
SAR-2   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL KAREN Jul27 Jul04 May11 Apr20 Apr13 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 115 6.00    
2  BACKED BY GOLD Jul27 Jul07 Mar03 Jan28 Jan13 (quick p)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 8.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  LIBERTY FLAME Jul30 Jul09 Jun04 May11 Apr23 (begg bentle)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
4  ALPINE QUEEN May07 Apr06 Mar10 Feb09 Jan13 (toscano t)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 22% 3.50    
5  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Jul20 May14 Apr25 Mar31 Jan29 (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 123 3.00    
6  DIVA BANKER Aug03 Jul04 May07 Apr13 Mar19 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 23% 3.40    
 
SAR-3   08/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($40K) Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZIZA Jul16 May26 Mar08 Jan25 Oct12 (hemingway michel)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00    
2  STRONG ODOR Jul23 May26 May12 Apr01 Feb24 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 8% 11.20    
3  TASS (GB) Jul23 May26 Oct26 Oct02 Sep24 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  CHARGE NURSE Jul25 Jul11 Jun15 Nov15 Oct24 (englehart jeremiah )SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
5  PEACE SEEKER Jul23 Jul04 Jun11 May19 Mar26 (abreu fernando)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
6  CAFE FLEUR (FR) Jul23 Oct13 Aug17 Jul03 May19 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  TONED UP Jul30 May18 Apr21 Mar17 Feb24 (atras rob)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
SCR  HALO CITY Jul20 Jun02 May26 Apr03 Nov11 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00    
SCR  OK HONEY Aug03 Jul26 Jul07 Jun16 May29 (chichakly amira)RIDER TBA 118 4.50    
 
SAR-4   08/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 GOOD Bolton Landing Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH Jul17         (kintz matt)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00    
2  CROWN IMPERIAL Jul29 Jul07 May31     (ortiz a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 34% 1.90    
3  AMIDST WAVES Jul29 Jun11 May04     (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 122 1.60 35% 1.80    
4  GRAM Jul26 Jun15 May28     (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.50    
5  SHE'S FIRE Jul29 Jul07 Jun12     (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 5% 17.40    
6  ASTONESTHROWAWAY Jun15         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
 
SAR-5   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATHERINE WHEEL         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  PLATINUM MINIT         (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MOST OF ALL         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
4  BROOKMESA         (pompay terri)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
5  CANDIED         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 24% 3.10    
6  MUNNY ROCKETTE         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
SCR  MADAM LEOTA         (jimenez l)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00    
8  MISCHIEVOUS MISS         (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  DANCING NANCY Jul20         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 8% 12.30    
10  ELLA ELIZABETH         (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
 
SAR-6   08/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 4:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEEL LUTE         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00    
2  CAUSEWAY'S JEWEL Jul30         (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 119 20.00    
3  BUCHU Jul30 Jun16       (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  CANDY LOVER Jul23 Jun23       (devaux che)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
5  GROWTH RATE         (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
6  GOODNIGHT MY ANGEL         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
7  MEMORIALIZE Jul20         (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 30% 2.30    
8  LAMORNA Jul20         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
9  VICTORY BADGE Jul20         (trombetta mic)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 ★    
10  SNOW DANCE Jul23         (rice kevin)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  SASSY PRINCESS Jul23         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
SCR  PARADISE LANE         (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 4.50    
SCR  CLASSY MISCHIEF Jul30 Jul13       (contessa c)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
 
SAR-7   08/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DARK VECTOR Jul08 Jun10 May21 Apr28 Mar30 (weaver george)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
2  SET SAIL Jul23 Jun11 May14 Mar27 Feb26 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 10.00 10% 9.50    
3  PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE Jul16 Jun18 Jun01 May19 Mar31 (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MOUNT UP Jul23 Jun22 Oct01     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 13% 6.70    
5  BRAMITO Jul02         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 52% 0.90    
6  FROMANOTHAMUTHA Jun09 May13 Mar24 Feb17 Jan07 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 20.00    
7  FENWICK Jul08 Oct30 Oct01 Sep03 Aug05 (dutrow e)ROSARIO JOEL 125 20.00    
8  RESERVE CURRENCY Jul01 Apr23 Mar11 Feb02 Nov03 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  SUNDAESWITHSANDY Jul07 Jun11 May28 Apr14 Mar18 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.00    
10  CHILENO Aug12 Jul13 May28 Apr19 Mar11 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 125 8.00    
 
SAR-8   08/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKY PANTS Sep24         (sharp joe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00    
2  MAGICO Jul04         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 20% 3.90    
3  MACHO VILLA Aug04 Jun25 Jun04 May06 Apr08 (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00    
4  UNCLECHARLIESGIFT Oct21         (zito nicho)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
5  QUALITY CHIC Jun25 May28 May06 Apr22 Apr01 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 17% 4.90    
6  SILO RIDGE Jul21         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  DIGITIZE May15 Apr16       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
8  LORD VICENTE (ARG)         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50    
9  BLACK RAIN         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 ★    
 
SAR-9   08/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEFTEMBEHIND Jul30 Jul08 Jun09 May06 Mar17 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
SCR  EMPIRE ATTRACTION Jun18 May20 Apr27 Mar05 Jan08 (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 125 4.00    
SCR  QUALITY G Jul26 Jun10 Jun26 May29 May05 (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
4  STJAMES Jul28 Jun04 May11 Mar24 Feb02 (gyarmati leah)MARTINEZ R 125 30.00    
5  LEGENDARY LORE Jun25 May26 May06 Apr22 Mar17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00    
SCR  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES Jul26 Jun15 May14 Mar25 Mar04 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  ABLETON Nov05 Oct06 Aug18 Jun17 May13 (bond ja)TORRES A 118 30.00    
8  BOLD LOOKER Jul21 Jun18 May13 Apr19 Mar10 (wilkes r)CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00 ★    
SCR  JAVA BUZZ Mar18 Feb24 Jan25 Nov20 Oct22 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 3.50    
SCR  FORWARDLY Jul01 Dec24 Oct26 Sep05 Jul27 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 5.00    
SCR  COVERT KAT Aug03 Jul08 Jun09 May19 Feb10 (trombetta micha)ORTIZ JR 125 10.00    
12  MONEY SUPPLY Apr01 Jan14 Dec18 Oct29 Aug06 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.00 48% 1.10    
13  GATE RUNNER Nov19 Oct22 Sep23 Jul29 May30 (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 123 2.50 28% 2.50    
14  GOOD RAPPORT Jun15 May26 Apr13 Mar04 Jan21 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
15  FIGHT FIERCELY Jul16 Jun11 May04 Apr12 Mar12 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MORNING CUP Jul01 May04 Apr21 Feb21 Jan15 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 8.00    
 
SAR-10   08/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATCH HILL         (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  CONQUIST Jul26 Jul03 May29 Dec21 Nov20 (kimmel c)TORRES A 119 4.50    
SCR  TWO CHUCKLES Jul01 Jun04 Jan08 Dec17 Dec02 (englehart ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
4  MAJESTIC HEART Jul01         (ferraro jame)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 112 30.00    
5  UNDER THE KNIFE Jul21 Jun28       (gutterson katly)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 14% 6.40    
6  HEY TOBY         (hooper james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00 10% 8.60    
7  SIN NOMBRE Jul21         (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
8  WOODSIDE WARRIOR Jul21 Jul01 Jun09 Apr27 Mar04 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
9  CHALKY CAT Aug02 Jul07 Feb24 Jan26   (barker r)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
10  MUDVILLE NINE Jul30 Jun01 Apr14 Mar18 Feb24 (trombetta michae)ORTIZ L 119 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.