Handicappers' Race Results
"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Horse Racing Tips and Longshots"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (6/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.82 $6.82  
CD-2   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $4.28  
CD-3   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $2.82 $2.82  
CD-4   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.54 $2.54  
CD-5   Win (4/1/13) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.50 $6.50 0.50
CD-6   Win (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.54 $6.54 0.54
    Win (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
CD-7   Win (11/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $49.06  
CD-8   Win (3/2/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $16.00  
CD-9   Win (2/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.56 $6.56  
CD-10   Win (5/3/8/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $3.66 $3.66  
CD-11   Win (7/3/8/11/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $52.64 $52.64 42.64
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:221 :462 :583     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CONDIMENT GIRL 5 3 11 1½   13 13¾ (medina robert)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 4.00 28% 2.50 2.41 W
2  ELLIE DELI 2 7 42½ 63   43¼ 23¾ (rouck l)ROCCO S 118 12.00 15.53  
3  TATTERED HEART 3 6 53 31   23 33¾ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 3.92  
1  TOTAL DISCRETION 1 4 75½ 52½   54¼ 45½ (shirer a)NAVAS YOEL 113 6.00 20% 4.10 5.19  
7  WAR ENSIGN 6 2 31½ 2½   33 57¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 5.00 4.62  
4  SONNYNEEDSMONEY 4 1 21 41½   64¾ 613 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 123 12.00 11% 8.20 6.78  
8  FREEDOM MACHINE 7 5 65½ 74½   77¼ 714¼ (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 4.00 13% 6.70 4.32  
SCR  LUCY JANE               (reavis micha)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 3.50    
 
CD-2   05/04/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:103     1:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ACADEMIC HONOR 3 4 41½ 42   1nk 1½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 123 2.00 1.14  
4  SCARLET STRIPE 4 2 2½ 2½   2nk 2½ (beckman wh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 42% 1.40 2.64 P
1  BEAUXS ARTES 1 1 1½ 1½   3.2 32 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 14% 6.40 7.12 S
2  FINE COTTON 2 3 51¾ 32   43¼ 44¾ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 5.00 12.17  
6  BRITTLE AND YOO 6 5 61¾ 52¼   53¾ 54¾ (hess b)BEJARANO R 123 3.00 15% 5.50 3.44  
5  FRANGO ELECTRICO 5 6 31½ 62¾   65¾ 67½ (bahena ismael)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 19.95  
 
CD-3   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:221 :453 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CARAMEL CHIP 3 3 31½ 41½   21 14½ (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 123 1.40 44% 1.30 0.41 W
1  TETSU 1 2 63¾ 63½   64½ 24½ (manley stev)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 35% 1.90 5.81 P
6  MY MAN FLINTSTONE 6 1 1nk 1nk   11 35 (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 ★ 3.80 S
2  HIGH TONE 2 5 53½ 52   44 45½ (shirer a)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 14.04  
5  MASAI MAN 5 6 2nk 2nk   33 55¾ (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 25.97  
4  IMPROBABLE STORY 4 4 42 31   54½ 67½ (king l)MOJICA JR 118 20.00 19.74  
SCR  CONCRETE GLORY               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60    
SCR  SAND MOUNTAIN               (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 120 10.00    
 
CD-4   05/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Kentucky Juvenile Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:223 :452       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  YOUALMOSTHADME 1 1 11 12   15 18¾ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 1.20 64% 0.60 0.27 W
4  LOU'S LEGACY 3 3 43 35½   37½ 28¾ (andrade hug)CORREA L 118 10.00 9% 9.70 9.91 P
5  TRANCHE 4 4 21 22   25 39¾ (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 118 12.00 6% 15.40 9.17 S
3  LIL ANTHONY 2 2 53¼ 59½   517 433¾ (mendez luis)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 11.30  
6  WHO'S SNOW TROUBLE 5 5 33 46   414½ 534¾ (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5.37  
SCR  HIBERNACLE               (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 117 1.00    
 
CD-5   05/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:13 1:363   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HIDDEN PATH 3 4 21½ 21 2nk 11½ 1½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 33% 2.00 2.25 W
1  HE'S GOT SWAGGER 1 2 43 42 32 32½ 2½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 30% 2.30 4.23 P
10  CURLINS INCHARGE 8 6 53 52½ 53¾ 43 31¾ (romans dale)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 ★ 8.05 S
5  QUALIFIED 4 9 86½ 85¼ 76¼ 77 44 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 35.22  
8  KIGALI 7 1 11½ 11 1nk 21½ 54½ (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 ★ 7.04  
13  MO SATURDAYS 11 11 107¼ 95¼ 87¼ 97¾ 64½ (stall m)LANERIE J 118 4.00 11% 7.80 4.87  
12  NOW AND LATER 10 8 32 32 42¼ 55 74¾ (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 13.21  
11  MAIN LINE CIPHER 9 5 75 64½ 64¼ 65 85¼ (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 7.34  
2  ARCHIE THE GIZA 2 3 96¾ 107¼ 99¼ 87½ 96 (medina robert)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 20.00 25.45  
7  HARD SPUN FANTASY 6 10 119¾ 118¾ 109¾ 1010¼ 109½ (von donnie)ROCCO S 118 20.00 30.30  
6  RIDGERUNNER 5 7 64½ 74¾ 1110¾ 1119¼ 1134¾ (mardif jame)CORREA L 125 30.00 45.36  
SCR  ACCIDENT               (short thom)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00    
SCR  DECANTED               (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
SCR  FIGHT'N READY               (stewart dallas)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00    
SCR  FIXITWITHFORWARD               (mckeever andrew)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
SCR  GEORGIE W               (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00    
SCR  PITAGORE               (engler jeff)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 10.00    
 
CD-6   05/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:093     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STRAVA 2 3 11 1½   11½ 14¾ (stewart dallas)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 22% 3.50 2.27 W
7  RUN CLASSIC 7 2 41½ 2½   21½ 14¾ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 2.00 42% 1.40 1.60 W
3  CHASING TIME 3 4 31 42   34 34¾ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.50 8% 11.10 4.62 S
6  SPANKSTER 6 1 21 31   68 49 (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 9.45  
5  READY TO POUNCE 5 6 74¼ 53½   47½ 59¼ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 12.00 ★ 19.56  
4  DOUBLE CROWN 4 7 64 63½   78½ 69½ (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 10.00 10.07  
1  RADICAL RIGHT 1 5 52 74   57½ 711¾ (miller peter)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 8.07  
 
CD-7   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:212 :451 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HOME PORT 3 9 1½ 11   14 16 (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00 23.53  
11  FEARLESS KRISTIE 11 7 72¾ 52¾   24 26 (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 41% 1.40 2.71 P
1  VALIANT PRAISE 1 4 62½ 64¾   56½ 38¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 ★ 5.38 S
10  RED HOT JEANIE 10 6 41½ 21   34½ 410 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 ★ 5.53  
8  KIKI KRAZY 8 11 118¾ 97¼   89 510½ (bauer a)COHEN DAVID 118 3.50 26% 2.90 3.44  
5  GOOD TOHAVE AROUND 5 8 84¼ 75¼   68½ 610¾ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 5.29  
9  MERRILY RUSH 9 1 107¼ 107¾   78½ 711¾ (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 108 15.00 37.71  
2  GOOD TURN 2 12 52½ 32½   45 813 (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 124 30.00 46.41  
12  DOODLE DOO 12 10 1213¼ 1211¾   1013½ 916¾ (obert danielle)STEVENS C 119 20.00 32.53  
6  ALLINTHECALL 6 5 31 42½   911 1023½ (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 7% 13.40 17.50  
7  ITSABLINGTHING 7 3 94¼ 118¾   1115½ 1126¼ (barrett rod)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 16.62  
4  PROUD PERFORMER 4 2 2½ 86¾   1216 1234½ (king l)MOJICA JR 118 20.00 47.25  
SCR  CRIMALDI               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00    
 
CD-8   05/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:102     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CIRCLE BACK JACK 1 6 41½ 62¾   21½ 1¾ (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 123 12.00 ★ 7.00  
2  FIGHT FIERCELY 2 7 62¼ 32   32½ 2¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 21% 3.70 4.06 P
10  GROUP HUG 9 8 107¼ 74¾   53½ 3¾ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 123 4.50 16% 5.10 5.10 S
3  MORNING CUP 3 2 2½ 21   11½ 41¾ (stall m)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 25% 2.90 2.24  
7  LEND IT TEWMEY 6 1 1½ 11   43 56 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 123 12.00 15.62  
12  COLOR FIELD 11 4 51¾ 52½   64½ 67½ (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 43.55  
9  ONEPARTICULRHARBOR 8 10 119¼ 119¾   1011 79 (glyshaw tim)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 20.00 37.92  
8  UNDISMAYED 7 9 84¾ 86¾   77½ 89¼ (leonard ge)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00 13% 6.50 35.59  
6  BUCKTOWN 5 11 96¾ 108¼   910½ 910 (morse l)BEJARANO R 123 6.00 3.98  
11  RUN RUN RAPIDASH 10 3 3½ 42½   89 1013¼ (kordenbrock matt)ROCCO S 123 20.00 17.07  
5  NAVY SOUL 4 5 74¼ 97¾   1115½ 1126¾ (pittman bonn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 20.00 37.77  
SCR  ROCKING ROCKET               (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
SCR  TREATY               (hobby steve)ROCCO S 123 20.00    
 
CD-9   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST St. Matthews Overnight Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:213 :444 :563     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BANGO 6 1 21 11½   14 15 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 24% 3.20 2.28 W
2  MILES AHEAD 2 7 31½ 63½   46½ 25 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 2.50 33% 2.00 3.40 P
6  SURVEILLANCE 5 6 52 21½   24 35¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 123 4.00 8% 11.30 6.92 S
1  BAGBOSS 1 5 41½ 43   36½ 49 (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 11% 8.50 2.98  
4  HEART RHYTHM 4 2 73¾ 77   711¼ 510¾ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 13.93  
8  COLLABORATE 7 3 63½ 53   58 612¾ (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 11.44  
3  PIRATE RICK 3 4 11 32½   68¼ 714½ (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 5.37  
SCR  WILLTORUN               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
 
CD-10   05/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Opening Verse Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:124 1:24   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ANNAPOLIS 3 4 64 53½ 31 2½ 1nk (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 1.40 12% 7.10 0.83 W
7  CHURCHTOWN 7 2 21½ 21½ 2½ 1½ 2nk (attfield roger)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 9% 10.30 7.88 P
5  SET PIECE (GB) 5 11 118¾ 117¼ 116¼ 116¾ 32 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 45% 1.20 3.70 S
10  ENGLISH BEE 9 3 43 32½ 52 53 42¼ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00 5% 19.00 27.31  
4  STITCHED 4 1 32½ 42½ 42 42 53 (foley greg)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00 16.45  
12  GET SMOKIN 11 5 11½ 11½ 1½ 31 63¾ (casse mark)SANTANA JR 120 15.00 16.58  
2  KENTUCKY GHOST 2 10 108¼ 96 105¾ 73½ 73¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 33.21  
11  TIME TO PARTY 10 7 75½ 85½ 63½ 63 84 (papaprodromou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 20.00 23.19  
6  GRAY'S FABLE 6 9 96¼ 106¼ 95½ 85 94½ (lynch a)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 18.52  
8  CAMP HOPE 8 6 54 64 74 95¼ 105 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 11% 8.40 19.80  
1  NATIVE THUNDER 1 8 85¾ 74½ 84½ 105¾ 117¾ (stewart dallas)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 30.00 42.67  
SCR  SKY AND SAND               (sisterson ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 30.00    
 
CD-11   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:214 :45 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SOLIDIFY 10 7 104¾ 43   3½ 11¾ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 108 12.00 5% 17.60 25.32 W
7  LEGAL DEAL 6 4 41½ 53½   63½ 21¾ (david a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 39% 1.60 2.36 P
1  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT 1 5 2½ 74¼   41 31¾ (gowan william)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 26.18  
2  EMERALD EXPRESS 2 10 94¼ 106¾   74½ 42¼ (morse l)LANERIE J 118 10.00 10.29  
10  ALL EYES WEST 9 3 52 32   51½ 52½ (diodoro robertino)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00 6.76  
8  RACE DRIVER 7 1 3½ 2nk   1nk 62¾ (delacruz meji)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 6% 14.90 5.84  
3  DARK TIMBER 3 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 73¾ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 25% 3.00 2.36  
4  PALACE KITTEN 4 9 63 86¼   85 85½ (irion heathe)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 9.81  
9  CRIME SPREE 8 6 83¼ 64   97 910 (leonard george )MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 22.65  
6  BOISE 5 8 73¼ 96¼   109½ 1011¼ (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
SCR  HOYA PARANOYA               (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.