Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (6/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-2   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-3   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-4   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-5   Win (4/1/13) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-6   Win (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-7   Win (11/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-8   Win (3/2/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-9   Win (2/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (5/3/8/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-11   Win (7/3/8/11/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTAL DISCRETION Apr14 Feb01 Dec29 Dec15 Oct11 (shirer a)NAVAS YOEL 113 6.00 20% 4.10    
2  ELLIE DELI Mar15 Jan13 Dec29 Dec07 Oct06 (rouck l)ROCCO S 118 12.00    
3  TATTERED HEART Mar23 Mar03 Feb10 Jan15 Dec19 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 4.50    
4  SONNYNEEDSMONEY Feb04 Jan12       (west w)ACHARD ALEX 123 12.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  LUCY JANE Apr08 Nov11 Oct01 Feb11 Jan14 (reavis micha)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 3.50    
6  CONDIMENT GIRL Mar09 Nov18 Oct21 Sep08 May22 (medina robert)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 4.00 28% 2.50    
7  WAR ENSIGN Mar19 Jan16 Mar10 Feb24   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 5.00    
8  FREEDOM MACHINE Jan14 Nov04 Aug17 Jul16 May30 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 4.00 13% 6.70    
 
CD-2   05/04/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUXS ARTES Mar23 Feb16 Apr28 Mar27   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 14% 6.40    
2  FINE COTTON Mar11 Jan16 Dec19 Oct15 Sep25 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 5.00    
3  ACADEMIC HONOR Apr14 Feb13       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 123 2.00    
4  SCARLET STRIPE Dec29 Nov27 Oct28 Oct01 Aug13 (beckman wh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
5  FRANGO ELECTRICO Apr18 Mar30 Jul04 Jun17 May26 (bahena ismael)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
6  BRITTLE AND YOO Apr07 Feb17 Jan18 Dec21 Nov27 (hess b)BEJARANO R 123 3.00 15% 5.50    
 
CD-3   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TETSU Apr06 Dec31 Dec11 Nov27 Nov06 (manley stev)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 35% 1.90    
2  HIGH TONE Apr19 Feb21 Jan20 Dec29 Oct26 (shirer a)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
3  CARAMEL CHIP Apr12 Mar23 Feb25 Jan20 Jan08 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 123 1.40 44% 1.30    
4  IMPROBABLE STORY Apr26 Apr12 Mar14 Feb11 Jan25 (king l)MOJICA JR 118 20.00    
5  MASAI MAN Apr16 Feb18 Feb07 Jan27 Jan19 (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
6  MY MAN FLINTSTONE Apr20 Feb17 Jan27 Jan01 Dec03 (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 ★    
SCR  SAND MOUNTAIN Apr14 Mar18 Nov09 Jun24 May20 (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 120 10.00    
SCR  CONCRETE GLORY Mar23 Feb25 Jan20 Dec09 Nov19 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60    
 
CD-4   05/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Kentucky Juvenile Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 2:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIBERNACLE Apr12         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 117 1.00    
2  YOUALMOSTHADME Apr19         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 1.20 64% 0.60    
3  LIL ANTHONY         (mendez luis)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
4  LOU'S LEGACY Apr13         (andrade hug)CORREA L 118 10.00 9% 9.70    
5  TRANCHE Apr07         (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 118 12.00 6% 15.40    
6  WHO'S SNOW TROUBLE         (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
 
CD-5   05/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S GOT SWAGGER Apr08 Feb25 Feb03     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 30% 2.30    
2  ARCHIE THE GIZA         (medina robert)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 20.00    
SCR  ACCIDENT Apr08 Mar04 Feb10 Jan21 Jan07 (short thom)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00    
4  HIDDEN PATH Mar31         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
5  QUALIFIED Feb25 Sep13       (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
6  RIDGERUNNER         (mardif jame)CORREA L 125 30.00    
7  HARD SPUN FANTASY Apr15 Feb18 Jan21     (von donnie)ROCCO S 118 20.00    
8  KIGALI Mar25 Feb18 Jan21 Jun09   (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 ★    
SCR  DECANTED Apr08 Feb10 Nov18 Oct16 Sep14 (maker j)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
10  CURLINS INCHARGE Mar31 Feb18 Jan07 Nov26 Oct01 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 6.00 ★    
11  MAIN LINE CIPHER Mar31         (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
12  NOW AND LATER Jan28 Dec03 Oct18     (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
13  MO SATURDAYS Feb02 Oct30 Oct09 Sep01   (stall m)LANERIE J 118 4.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  GEORGIE W         (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00    
SCR  FIXITWITHFORWARD Apr08 Jan28 Dec02     (mckeever andrew)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
SCR  PITAGORE         (engler jeff)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 10.00    
SCR  FIGHT'N READY Apr14 Feb18 Jan21 Dec08 Oct30 (stewart dallas)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00    
 
CD-6   05/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RADICAL RIGHT Apr15 Mar11 Feb05 Nov26 Nov06 (miller peter)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50    
2  STRAVA Dec26 Nov27 Oct14 Sep24 Aug14 (stewart dallas)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
3  CHASING TIME Apr08 Feb25 Feb05 Aug14 Jul17 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.50 8% 11.10    
4  DOUBLE CROWN Mar18 Mar07 Feb18 Jan30 Jan07 (cash l)BEJARANO R 121 10.00    
5  READY TO POUNCE Mar18 Jan27 Nov24 Sep15 Jul03 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 12.00 ★    
6  SPANKSTER Apr08 Mar18 Feb25 Feb05 Jan07 (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00    
7  RUN CLASSIC Apr08 Feb18 Jan21 Dec17 Nov13 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
CD-7   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALIANT PRAISE Apr21 Apr02 Mar05 Feb08 Jan13 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 ★    
2  GOOD TURN         (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 124 30.00    
3  HOME PORT         (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00    
4  PROUD PERFORMER Apr06 Feb15 Jan18 Nov20   (king l)MOJICA JR 118 20.00    
5  GOOD TOHAVE AROUND Apr15 Nov02       (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00    
6  ALLINTHECALL Mar30         (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 7% 13.40    
7  ITSABLINGTHING Apr15         (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 118 12.00    
8  KIKI KRAZY Apr12 Mar08 Feb09     (bauer a)COHEN DAVID 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
9  MERRILY RUSH         (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 108 15.00    
10  RED HOT JEANIE Apr01         (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 ★    
11  FEARLESS KRISTIE Apr13 Mar05       (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 41% 1.40    
12  DOODLE DOO         (obert danielle)STEVENS C 119 20.00    
SCR  CRIMALDI Mar16 Feb16 Nov18     (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00    
 
CD-8   05/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CIRCLE BACK JACK Mar10 Feb10 Jan06 Dec16 Jul16 (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 123 12.00 ★    
2  FIGHT FIERCELY Apr12 Mar12 Feb10 Jan11 Nov17 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 21% 3.70    
3  MORNING CUP Apr21 Feb21 Jan15 Nov16 Oct08 (stall m)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 25% 2.90    
SCR  ROCKING ROCKET Apr14 Apr01 Mar17 Feb25 Jan29 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
5  NAVY SOUL Apr18 Aug30 Aug07 Apr09 Mar17 (pittman bonn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 20.00    
6  BUCKTOWN Mar17 Feb11 Dec28 Dec02 Oct22 (morse l)BEJARANO R 123 6.00    
7  LEND IT TEWMEY Jul01 Jun11 May13     (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 123 12.00    
8  UNDISMAYED Apr01 Mar11       (leonard ge)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00 13% 6.50    
9  ONEPARTICULRHARBOR Apr08 Jan23       (glyshaw tim)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 20.00    
10  GROUP HUG Apr19 Mar17 May30 Apr10 Mar20 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 123 4.50 16% 5.10    
11  RUN RUN RAPIDASH Mar10 Feb10 Jan13 May14 Apr10 (kordenbrock matt)ROCCO S 123 20.00    
12  COLOR FIELD Apr12 Feb03 Jan06 Nov27 Oct19 (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
SCR  TREATY Mar19 Feb12 Jan14 Jul10 Jun08 (hobby steve)ROCCO S 123 20.00    
 
CD-9   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST St. Matthews Overnight Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAGBOSS Jul30 Jun12 May04 Apr10 Feb06 (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 11% 8.50    
2  MILES AHEAD Mar18 Jan28 Dec26 Sep17 Jul02 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
3  PIRATE RICK Apr15 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 Jan28 (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
4  HEART RHYTHM Apr08 Mar09 Jan14 Dec26 Nov24 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
SCR  WILLTORUN May02 Apr08 Feb25 Jan14 Dec17 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
6  SURVEILLANCE Apr15 Feb18 Jan21 Dec26 Nov24 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 123 4.00 8% 11.30    
7  BANGO Jan21 Dec26 Nov13 Sep23 Jul24 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
8  COLLABORATE Apr01 Mar16 Mar04 Jan05 Nov12 (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
 
CD-10   05/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Opening Verse Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATIVE THUNDER Mar25 Mar09 Dec26 Nov06 Jun12 (stewart dallas)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 30.00    
2  KENTUCKY GHOST Apr07 Feb04 Dec31 Nov26 Oct15 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 20.00    
3  ANNAPOLIS Nov05 Oct08 Sep03 Aug06 Jul04 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 1.40 12% 7.10    
4  STITCHED Apr08 Sep10 Jun22 May18 Apr30 (foley greg)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00    
5  SET PIECE (GB) Nov26 Oct08 Sep10 Aug13 Jul15 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
6  GRAY'S FABLE Apr01 Feb10 Oct08 Sep10 Aug07 (lynch a)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
7  CHURCHTOWN Apr01 Dec26 Nov19 Sep10 Jul03 (attfield roger)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 9% 10.30    
8  CAMP HOPE Apr07 Mar25 Feb18 May21 Apr20 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  SKY AND SAND Apr08 Mar16 Sep14 Aug14 Jul17 (sisterson ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 30.00    
10  ENGLISH BEE Mar04 Jan13 May21 Apr02 Mar05 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  TIME TO PARTY Apr08 Mar04 Feb11 Dec26 Nov27 (papaprodromou george)BRAVO J 120 20.00    
12  GET SMOKIN Apr02 Sep17 Aug13 Jul15 Jun04 (casse mark)SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
 
CD-11   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT Apr20 Mar18 Feb17 Nov17 Oct15 (gowan william)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
2  EMERALD EXPRESS Feb10 Jan08 Dec18 Nov23 Nov02 (morse l)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
3  DARK TIMBER Mar24 Mar12 Feb05 Dec17 Nov17 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 2.50 25% 3.00    
4  PALACE KITTEN Mar30 Feb18 Jan13 Dec22 Nov26 (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 8.00    
SCR  HOYA PARANOYA Mar19 Mar03 Feb11 Jan28 Apr25 (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
6  BOISE Feb24 Jan28 Jan01 Dec21 Oct26 (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  LEGAL DEAL Apr22 Mar04 Jan14 Nov13 Sep29 (david a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 39% 1.60    
8  RACE DRIVER Apr22 Mar23 Feb25 Jan27 Dec16 (delacruz meji)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 6% 14.90    
9  CRIME SPREE Feb23 Jan12 Dec18 Sep15 Jul21 (leonard george )MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
10  ALL EYES WEST Dec31 Dec11 Nov06 Oct07 Aug21 (diodoro robertino)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00    
11  SOLIDIFY Mar31 Mar10 Jan27 Dec21 Jun26 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 108 12.00 5% 17.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.