The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Aqueduct
Friday - November 04, 2022

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AQU-1   11/04/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-11:35
:24 :474 1:132     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRELINE 7 2 2nk 2½ 12 110½ 113½ (brown c)CASTELLANO J 119 2.50 17% 4.70 1.95 W
GUNS N' GRACES 1 4 41 42 3 210½ 213½ (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.00 5.40  
SERENA'S COURT 4 6 79 69 4 413½ 316 (clement christophe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50 6.00 S
AVANT 3 3 1nk 1½ 22 311 417¼ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 1.65  
ACCIDENTAL ICON 5 5 67 710 617½ 623 531 (mott i)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 3.00 35% 1.90 6.20  
APPALACHIAN TRAIL 6 1 3½ 32 512½ 521½ 634½ (seyler j)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 20.00 7% 13.80 52.00  
MEAN MONGOL 2 7 54 56 719 729½ 743¾ (weaver george)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 10.00 7% 13.80 36.00  
 
AQU-2   11/04/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT-12:13
:23 :463 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIGITAL FUTURE 6 1 3½ 2nk   13 15 (handal raymond)VARGAS A 122 2.50 4.20  
BLINDING LIGHT 4 4 4 43   23 25 (englehart s)CASTELLANO J 120 1.60 31% 2.20 0.55 P
HOLEY MATRIMONY 1 2 2nk 3½   33 3(barrera s)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 4.50 26% 2.90 6.30 S
NECROMANCER 5 5 6 5   56 4(levine bruce)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 8.30  
KING JAMES 3 3 1nk 1nk   45(jerkens a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00 8.70  
DEVILLY 2 6 5 6   611 617¼ (ferraro w)HERNANDEZ OMAR 110 12.00 8% 10.80 37.00  
 
AQU-3   11/04/2022 3960ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
:23 :451 :564     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATHWAAQ 7 1 1 1   13 11 (shivmangal lolita)JUAREZ NIK 120 10.00 21.40  
HIT THE WOAH 4 6 7 45   23 21 (clement christophe)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 29% 2.50 1.70 P
KEEPER OF TIME (IRE) 6 5 64 57   53(walsh p)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.50 23% 3.30 4.40 S
MAGGIE'S BID 3 4 53 79   69 4(beattie m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 9% 9.60 32.00  
AMALFI PRINCESS 5 2 2 2   34 5(maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 16% 5.40 7.70  
ZELDA (FR) 2 7 3 33   4613 (clement christophe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.00 1.65  
SHORT SUMMER DRESS 1 3 4 68   713½ 720¾ (lee joseph)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 11.50  
SCR  HEY MAMALUKE               (farro patricia)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 3.00    
SCR  PIECE OF MY HEART               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 120 1.60    
 
AQU-4   11/04/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:23
:23 :464 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINDERELLA'S CAUSE 1 3 1½ 1   12 14 (englehart chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 1.20 1.25  
ALARM CLOCK 4 7 6 2   22 24 (camejo m)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 4.50 40% 1.50 3.50 P
GAME THEORY 7 2 42 6   33(jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 8.00 8.60  
GRIS TORMENTA 5 5 76 7   58 412¼ (clarke dylan)DAVIS A 120 10.00 16.60  
BIG TONY'S GIRL 3 6 5 32   47 513¾ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 18% 4.40 6.50  
SHANES PRETTY LADY 6 1 31 43   6614¼ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 5.00 13% 6.50 3.60  
LONDON GOLD 2 4 2½ 53   79 714¾ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 118 20.00 57.75  
 
AQU-5   11/04/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
:232 :482 1:122 1:37   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTROL FUNCTION 7 8 7 7 7 22 1(brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 1.00 38% 1.60 0.45 W
FREEDOM MACHINE 4 1 4 4 2 32 2(schosberg richard)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 12.50  
RIGBY 1 3 1 11 1 12 3(serpe m)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 14.20  
OUR JESSICA 6 6 5 5 4 44(donk david)VARGAS A 123 8.00 8.20  
STRONG EMBRACE 5 7 8 8 9 65(maker j)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00 18% 4.40 7.30  
INFRINGEMENT 3 9 9 99 8 5610 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 121 50.00 79.75  
ANY PORT 9 4 64 64 55 7713¼ (lerman s)JUAREZ NIK 120 15.00 45.00  
TINGLING MINT 8 5 32 3 3 816¼ 829¼ (quick j)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 14.10  
ONE TRACK MINE 2 2 2 21 65 931¼ 973½ (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 20.20  
SCR  COMMAND POINT               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.50    
SCR  DANCING SOPHIA               (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  HOPE FOR THE BEST               (clement christophe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
SCR  ICE COLD GOLD               (jacobson david)VARGAS A 118 20.00    
SCR  MANDY GREEN               (hennig mark)DAVIS A 118 12.00    
SCR  PRINCESS BLAKELY               (brown c)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00    
SCR  ROSEMARY POTATOES               (arenas marcelo)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
 
AQU-6   11/04/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:43
:222 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHWAY HARMONY 2 1 2½ 1½   11 1(abreu r)CASTELLANO J 119 1.80 43% 1.30 0.80 W
VAX 3 4 32 3½   21 2(maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 2.75  
CLOVER STREET 7 2 7 76   43(hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00 9.70 S
FEMA FUNDS 5 7 4 42   34 4(rice linda)DAVIS A 119 10.00 13.20  
LADY QUINN 6 6 5 54   67 514¼ (breen j)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 8.00 9.70  
BLANCHIMENT 1 3 1½ 2½   5615¾ (diprima gregory)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00 42.25  
BANK HOLIDAY 4 5 6 65   79 715¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00 34.25  
10  BRITNEY IS FREE 8 8 815½ 812½   815 820¼ (donk david)VARGAS A 119 6.00 29% 2.50 12.10  
SCR  MIDNIGHT ROSIE               (englehart s)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 12.00    
SCR  PRETTY MISS KEENS               (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00    
 
AQU-7   11/04/2022 3960ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 3:23
:221 :443 :563     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDLE 2 8 52 22   1nk 1hd (mcgaughey iii)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 6.10  
12  SWEETLOU'SGOTACES 10 2 62 54   32hd (handal raymond)VARGAS A 119 2.50 32% 2.10 2.00 P
GALILEO'S JEWEL (IRE) 5 10 9 8   57 3(dutrow w)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 2.90 S
SPUN SPECIAL 3 4 1½ 12   2nk 46 (gyarmati leah)JUAREZ NIK 119 8.00 15.30  
LOVE TANK 7 9 10 10   95(maker j)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00 22% 3.50 8.80  
EVERY TIME 4 1 4 3   46(brion keri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00 8.30  
11  IGUAZU (IRE) 9 3 7 7   6710 (ward a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 10.00 23.80  
13  OCEAN SPIRIT (GB) 11 7 8 6   78 812½ (ward a)CARMOUCHE K 114 6.00 13.80  
10  TAP IT UP 8 6 31 4   89 915½ (ryerson t)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 20.00 64.75  
POSITIVE MESSAGE (GB) 6 5 2½ 9   1011¾ 1017½ (motion graham)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 8.00 17.50  
GUSTIAMO 1 11 11 1113¾   1121¾ 1131½ (donk david)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 20.00 56.75  
SCR  BILOXI BLUES               (mcgaughey iii)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  MATERIAL WITNESS               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
SCR  NIGHTSABER (GB)               (trites lands)DAVIS A 119 30.00    
SCR  WORDS OF PRAISE               (maker j)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00    
 
AQU-8   11/04/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
:232 :47 1:12     1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 5 3 11 1 1 15 12 (barrera s)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 1.60 1.00  
MIA BEA STAR 1 6 69 68 2 25 22 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.00 22% 3.50 3.00 P
NEW YORK BANKER 6 1 3 3 3 337 (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00 16.50  
CARAMOCHA 2 5 4 4 5 411½ 413¾ (friedman mitchell)CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 10% 9.00 5.50  
LA VICTORIA 4 4 5 56 68 511½ 514¾ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00 38% 1.70 4.80  
GRINGOTTS 3 7 712 7 711 715 619¾ (klesaris p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 21.90  
BIG TIME LADY 7 2 21 2 46 612½ 720¾ (englehart chris)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00 6% 15.50 31.50  
 
AQU-9   11/04/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
:254 :504 1:154 1:403   1:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATTLE BLING 5 1 11 1½ 11 11¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 21% 3.70 1.90 W
NOSTALGIC 3 4 43 42 32 22¼ (mott i)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 8.00 7.60  
FIRST TO ACT 2 2 32 3 4 3314 (mcgaughey iii)CASTELLANO J 121 2.00 24% 3.10 0.90 S
W W FITZY 4 3 21 2½ 21 415½ 433½ (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 4.50 17% 5.00 5.40  
EXOTIC WEST 1 5 5100 5100 5100 5100 5100 (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 123 12.00 15.50  
SCR  COACH               (cox h)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  HYBRID ECLIPSE               (russell t)VARGAS A 123 10.00    
 
AQU-10   11/04/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 5:15
:233 :503 1:163 1:401   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEETNESS 4 3 1½ 11 11 11(abreu r)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 27% 2.70 3.50 W
THE SPLENDID ONE 5 5 32 3 32 22(hennig mark)HARKIE K 119 15.00 32.25  
BOMB SQUAD 1 2 43 63 6 34 34 (clement christophe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00 8.70  
KARA PARA 2 1 5 42 43 46 48 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.00 21% 3.70 2.70  
CARIBBEAN BREEZE 7 7 6 52 53 659 (cox h)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 6.00 6.60  
SHOPPINGATBLOOMIES 9 8 7 7 75 56(donk david)VARGAS A 119 12.00 37.50  
DENIECE OF DEGRACE 3 9 9 9 86 710 710½ (noda orlando)LUZZI J 119 20.00 70.00  
MISS BARB 6 6 86 8 9 810 811¼ (nevin michelle)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00 23.20  
SHOWEMYOURHEELS 8 4 2½ 21 21 917 933¼ (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 15% 5.60 1.75  
SCR  BERNT AGAIN               (schettino a)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00    
SCR  JOEY THE FISH               (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
SCR  LEADERSHIP ABILITY               (brown c)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  MADDIE'S GRACE               (rodriguez r)CASTILLO AMIN 119 20.00    
SCR  MISS FASHIONISTA               (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50    
SCR  QUEENPIN               (gargan danny)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00    
SCR  RED HOT CHICK               (rodriguez r)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.