Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - November 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-11:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUNS N' GRACES         (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.00    
2  MEAN MONGOL         (weaver g)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 10.00 7% 13.80    
3  AVANT Sep04         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50    
4  SERENA'S COURT         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50 ★    
5  ACCIDENTAL ICON         (mott )DIAZ RAFAEL 119 3.00 35% 1.90    
6  APPALACHIAN TRAIL         (seyle)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 20.00 7% 13.80    
7  FIRELINE Oct02         (brown c)CASTELLANO J 119 2.50 17% 4.70    
 
AQU-2   11/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT-12:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLEY MATRIMONY Oct15         (barre)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 4.50 26% 2.90    
2  DEVILLY Sep22 Aug19 Jul30 Jun24 May27 (ferra)HERNANDEZ OMAR 110 12.00 8% 10.80    
3  KING JAMES (IRE) Jan08         (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00    
4  BLINDING LIGHT Oct06 Sep03 Jul20 Mar26   (englehart je)CASTELLANO J 120 1.60 31% 2.20    
5  NECROMANCER Sep30 Aug25 Jul04 May22 Apr21 (levine bruc)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 ★    
6  DIGITAL FUTURE Oct06 Aug25       (handal ra)VARGAS A 122 2.50 ★    
 
AQU-3   11/04/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHORT SUMMER DRESS Sep01 Jul20 May27 Apr16 Feb14 (lee joseph)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
2  ZELDA (FR)         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.00    
3  MAGGIE'S BID Oct12 Sep19 Aug15 Jul18 Jun21 (beattie )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 9% 9.60    
4  HIT THE WOAH Sep29 Sep02 Aug04 Feb19 Jan23 (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
5  AMALFI PRINCESS Sep01 Jul27 Jun22 May13 Apr08 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 16% 5.40    
6  KEEPER OF TIME (IRE) Sep29 Jul18 Jun05 Apr23 Mar05 (walsh)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
7  ATHWAAQ Sep18 Sep04 Aug04 Jun25 Jun10 (shivmangal lolit)JUAREZ NIK 120 10.00    
SCR  PIECE OF MY HEART Sep16 Aug07 Jul20 May20 Apr22 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 120 1.60 ★    
SCR  HEY MAMALUKE Oct19 Aug22 Jun27 Jun17 Apr25 (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 3.00    
 
AQU-4   11/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Aug28 Jul22 Jun22 May23 May09 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 1.20 ★    
2  LONDON GOLD Oct13 Sep23 Jun04 May06 Apr22 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 118 20.00    
3  BIG TONY'S GIRL Jul27 Jun03 May06 Apr03 Feb25 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 18% 4.40    
4  ALARM CLOCK Oct14 Oct01 Aug29 Aug05 Jul23 (camejo jos)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 4.50 40% 1.50    
5  GRIS TORMENTA Aug29 Jul17 Jun23 Jun05 May22 (clarke d)DAVIS A 120 10.00 ★    
6  SHANES PRETTY LADY Feb04         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 5.00 13% 6.50    
7  GAME THEORY Oct13 Sep16 Aug07 Jul09 Jul04 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 8.00    
 
AQU-5   11/04/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGBY Sep23 Aug13 Jul14 Jun17 May14 (serpe m)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
2  ONE TRACK MINE Oct06 Apr24 Mar25 Mar11   (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
3  INFRINGEMENT Oct06 Sep18 Sep05 Aug11 Jul20 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 121 50.00    
4  FREEDOM MACHINE Aug17 Jul16 May30 May06   (schosber)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00    
5  STRONG EMBRACE May06 Apr08 Mar12 Feb09   (maker)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00 18% 4.40    
6  OUR JESSICA Oct06 Sep01 Aug05 Jul17 Jun26 (donk davi)VARGAS A 123 8.00    
7  CONTROL FUNCTION Sep02 Jan16       (brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 1.00 38% 1.60    
8  TINGLING MINT May21         (quick j)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 ★    
9  ANY PORT Sep24 Aug12 Jul28 Apr15 Mar11 (lerman s)JUAREZ NIK 120 15.00    
SCR  MANDY GREEN Sep25 Aug24 Aug04 Jul08 May14 (hennig m)DAVIS A 118 12.00    
SCR  ICE COLD GOLD Oct30 Oct20 Jul04 May01 Mar12 (jacobson )VARGAS A 118 20.00    
SCR  ROSEMARY POTATOES Sep22 Sep01 Aug19 Jul29 Jun30 (arenas marcelo)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
SCR  PRINCESS BLAKELY Jul16 Apr09 Jan09     (brown c)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 ★    
SCR  HOPE FOR THE BEST Jul04         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
SCR  COMMAND POINT Sep01 Aug05       (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.50    
SCR  DANCING SOPHIA Oct15 Sep17 Jul28 Jul04 Mar11 (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
 
AQU-6   11/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIDNIGHT ROSIE         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 12.00    
2  BLANCHIMENT Sep25 Aug10       (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  HIGHWAY HARMONY Aug12         (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 119 1.80 43% 1.30    
4  VAX Oct01         (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
SCR  PRETTY MISS KEENS Oct01 Sep02       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 5.00 ★    
6  BANK HOLIDAY Sep17         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00    
7  FEMA FUNDS         (rice lin)DAVIS A 119 10.00    
8  LADY QUINN Sep05 Aug04       (breen)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 8.00    
9  CLOVER STREET Oct01         (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00 ★    
10  BRITNEY IS FREE         (donk davi)VARGAS A 119 6.00 29% 2.50    
 
AQU-7   11/04/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE TANK Oct08 Sep10 Aug05 Jun30 Jun05 (maker)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  WORDS OF PRAISE Oct16 Sep13       (maker)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00 ★    
2  GUSTIAMO Oct15 Sep01 Aug04     (don)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
SCR  NIGHTSABER (GB) Oct08 Sep22       (trites a)DAVIS A 119 30.00    
4  CANDLE Aug28 Jul31       (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
5  SPUN SPECIAL Oct14 Sep17 Aug21     (gyarmati leah)JUAREZ NIK 119 8.00    
6  EVERY TIME Oct08 Aug23       (brion keri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00    
7  GALILEO'S JEWEL (IRE)         (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  MATERIAL WITNESS Oct14         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
9  POSITIVE MESSAGE (GB) Sep09 Aug21       (motion gr)WOLFSONT ANDREW 119 8.00    
10  TAP IT UP Oct08 Sep22       (ryers)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 20.00    
11  IGUAZU (IRE) Sep14         (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 10.00    
12  SWEETLOU'SGOTACES Oct08 Sep01       (handal ra)VARGAS A 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
13  OCEAN SPIRIT (GB)         (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00 ★    
SCR  BILOXI BLUES         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
AQU-8   11/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIA BEA STAR Oct27 Oct09 Sep15 Aug17 Aug05 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
2  CARAMOCHA Oct09 Sep15 Aug17 Jul22   (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 10% 9.00    
3  GRINGOTTS Oct09 Sep15 Aug17 Jul22 Jun25 (klesaris)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
4  LA VICTORIA (FR) Oct08 Sep04 Aug11     (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00 38% 1.70    
5  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Oct27 Oct09 Sep16 Aug13 Jun24 (barre)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 1.60 ★    
6  NEW YORK BANKER Oct09 Sep05 Aug05 Jul16 Jun18 (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 8.00    
7  BIG TIME LADY Oct19 Oct03 Aug23 Aug03 Jul19 (eng)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00 6% 15.50    
 
AQU-9   11/04/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXOTIC WEST Aug19 Jul24 May20 Apr10 Feb25 (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 123 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MISS PERSONALITY by EL PRADO (IRE))
SCR  HYBRID ECLIPSE Oct09 Aug27 Jul02 Jun08 Feb21 (russell b)VARGAS A 123 10.00 ★    
  (by PAYNTER out of SUPER PLAN by VALID WAGER)
3  FIRST TO ACT Oct09 Aug19 Jul10 Jun12 Apr15 (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 121 2.00 24% 3.10    
  (by CURLIN out of FIRST PASSAGE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  NOSTALGIC Sep17 Aug20 Jul23 May06 Apr09 (mott )DIAZ RAFAEL 122 8.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BEEN HERE BEFORE by TAPIT)
SCR  COACH Oct01 Feb12 Jan08     (cox h)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50 16% 5.10    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of AND STAY OUT by EXCHANGE RATE)
6  W W FITZY Sep01 Aug04 Jun12 May06 Apr01 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 4.50 17% 5.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of STORMY FITZ by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7  BATTLE BLING Oct01 Sep06 Jul09 Jun08 May06 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 21% 3.70    
  (by VANCOUVER (GB) out of SOLEIL ROUGE by E DUBAI)
 
AQU-10   11/04/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOMB SQUAD         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00    
2  KARA PARA Oct06 Sep05       (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.00 21% 3.70    
3  DENIECE OF DEGRACE         (nod)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
4  SWEETNESS         (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
5  THE SPLENDID ONE Sep22 Aug24 Jul15     (hennig mark)HARKIE K 119 15.00    
6  MISS BARB         (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00    
7  CARIBBEAN BREEZE Sep22         (cox b)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 6.00    
8  SHOWEMYOURHEELS Oct06 Jul28       (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 15% 5.60    
9  SHOPPINGATBLOOMIES         (donk davi)VARGAS A 119 12.00    
SCR  QUEENPIN Sep15         (gargan d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00    
SCR  RED HOT CHICK Sep17 Aug17       (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00    
SCR  LEADERSHIP ABILITY Sep30         (brown c)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  MADDIE'S GRACE Aug24 Jul15       (rodriguez rud)CASTILLO AMIN 119 20.00    
SCR  BERNT AGAIN Oct08 Sep15 Aug18 Aug03   (schet)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00    
SCR  JOEY THE FISH Oct08 Sep25 Aug10     (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
SCR  MISS FASHIONISTA Oct01         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.