The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Keeneland
Sunday - October 16, 2022
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KEE-1   10/16/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 2 F PT- 1:00
:234 :492 1:151 1:411   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KEY TO SUCCESS 2 4 42½ 41½ 31½ 11½ 1hd (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 26% 2.80 1.58 W
6  THESTRAL 5 3 2½ 2½ 1nk 21½ 2hd (caramori caio)PARKER L 119 20.00 28.15  
5  GOODBETTERBEST 4 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 39½ 318½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.80 37% 1.70 1.85 S
1  FREE SPIRITED 1 5 64¾ 52 45 412 425 (ortiz alexander)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 ★ 6.78  
7  UNDER THE BED 6 7 75¼ 62¼ 67½ 518 530¾ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 12.61  
8  SHE HAS THE LOOK 7 6 32½ 31½ 56½ 619½ 644 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 6.75  
3  UNESCORTED 3 1 54½ 76¼ 712½ 727½ 762¼ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119 5.00 8% 11.80 10.17  
SCR  LUCKY PHOENIX               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
 
KEE-2   10/16/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
:241 :484 1:134 1:41   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KEEPCALMCARRYON 3 6 65½ 52½ 53 31½ 12 (margolis r)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 ★ 2.76  
7  GARMENTO 6 3 31 31 31 42 22 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 29% 2.50 4.20 P
6  MR CREED 5 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 1½ 32¼ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 4.39  
1  OFFICIAL BUSINESS 1 5 1½ 1½ 1nk 2½ 46¼ (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 122 20.00 14.19  
2  BLUE NORTHER 2 4 42½ 42 42½ 54½ 57¾ (ortiz alexander)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 ★ 1.37  
4  MR. CUNNINGHAM 4 1 53½ 62½ 63¼ 68 614¼ (meredith charles)MACHADO LUAN 113 30.00 5% 19.00 15.71  
SCR  RIGHT TONE               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 36% 1.80    
 
KEE-3   10/16/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($49K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
:243 :494 1:142 1:401   1:531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FREEZE POP 4 2 11½ 11 11 13 13 (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 ★ 3.68  
1  BRIGHT SPARK 1 7 84¾ 84½ 66½ 23 23 (flint s)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 ★ 26.03 P
3  MAASAI WARRIOR 3 4 63¼ 52 43½ 55 35½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.00 39% 1.60 0.97 S
5  AWAY FROM HOME 5 3 21½ 21 21 33½ 46½ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 15.06  
6  MINT 6 5 42½ 31½ 32½ 45 58 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 ★ 5.98  
8  VALE 8 6 73¾ 73 54½ 611 621½ (forster t)GRAHAM J 120 20.00 36.24  
7  RA'S AL GHUL 7 8 53 62½ 78 714 726¼ (colebrook ben)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 19.58  
2  GRAND JURY 2 1 31½ 42 88 818 839¼ (ortiz alexander)SANTANA JR 120 5.00 39% 1.60 5.55  
 
KEE-4   10/16/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
:231 :473 1:133 1:393   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SPEED BIAS 2 6 54 53½ 41½ 2nk 1hd (moquett e)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 29% 2.50 6.04 W
5  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL 5 2 31½ 2½ 1½ 1nk 2hd (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 0.50 40% 1.50 0.51 P
3  LUPO'S LEGACY 3 1 21 32 52 47 38 (englehart c)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 7% 12.90 14.11 S
6  REDEMPTION TIME 6 3 42 42½ 31 36 49½ (calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 ★ 6.50  
1  WAR ROOM 1 4 11 1½ 2½ 510 522¾ (brisset rodolphe)SANTANA JR 121 6.00 ★ 6.68  
4  RAMPATIOUS 4 5 68 67½ 67 614 625¼ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 121 20.00 16.37  
 
KEE-5   10/16/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
:214 :45 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  KAUFYMAKER 4 3 11 1½   12 12¼ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 115 2.00 22% 3.50 2.01 W
2  SUTHERLAND 2 2 84½ 74¼   43½ 22¼ (calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50 2.98  
9  MUMAYAZ 7 7 52½ 62¼   33 32¼ (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 4.87  
7  APACHE TEARS 5 4 21 2½   22 42½ (mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 121 20.00 21.08  
1  STRIDE 1 9 96 96¾   88 55 (mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 30.00 9% 10.80 38.22  
12  WILLTORUN 10 10 63 42   66 65¾ (colebrook ben)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 9.67  
8  BADGEBALL 6 6 74 85¼   76½ 76 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 17.21  
3  YOU VEE CEE 3 5 42½ 52   55½ 86¾ (deville j)GEROUX FLORENT 121 30.00 35.79  
10  SWITZER 8 8 108 107¾   910 97 (moquett e)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 12.80  
13  OXWOOD 11 11 119½ 119¾   1113 1011½ (woodbury judy)CANUTO THIAGO 121 30.00 91.81  
11  RUM 'N TONIC 9 1 31½ 31   1011 1113½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 8.30  
SCR  DATA STORM               (martin e)JORDAN R 121 15.00    
SCR  DR. DUKE               (antonucci m)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 4.50 ★    
SCR  JUST SAY WHEN               (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  SOSUA SUMMER               (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  TRUST DADDY               (o'dwyer jeremiah)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
 
KEE-6   10/16/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:40
:231 :464 1:13     1:292   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JULIA SHINING 4 8 117¾ 97½   12 12¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 19% 4.20 2.37 W
5  POSITANO SUNSET 5 2 74 64½   42½ 22¾ (wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 119 3.50 28% 2.60 6.37 P
11  ROMAN GODDESS 11 3 1nk 2½   32 36¼ (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 24.33  
9  THEROANRUNNER 9 5 2nk 1½   22 46¼ (sharp joe)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 9.18  
7  GHOSTLY GIRL 7 7 41½ 52   54 57¼ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 27% 2.70 3.25  
6  ACRIMONY 6 1 52 42   67½ 615½ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 6% 15.20 7.11  
12  WITH THIS RING 12 6 3½ 31½   78½ 717½ (brisset rodolphe)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 15.97  
8  TWO MINUTE LICK 8 11 94¼ 76½   811 818¾ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 ★ 21.46  
2  MO DIVINE 2 12 84¼ 87   911¼ 918¾ (hamilton sarah)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 76.70  
1  PENNY ARCADE 1 10 1210¼ 1215½   1114¾ 1021¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 8.53  
3  VOGELSANG 3 9 105¼ 119½   1014¼ 1123½ (ewing ann)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00 48.94  
10  MORAL TURPITUDE 10 4 62½ 108½   1216¾ 1229¾ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 44.41  
SCR  SUN VALLEY ROAD               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00    
SCR  TABOR TIME               (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
 
KEE-7   10/16/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
:212 :444 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CARAVEL 2 3 31½ 31   2nk 11¾ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 8% 11.40 2.44 W
9  THUNDERING CREED 9 7 116 106¾   75¼ 21¾ (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 122 12.00 19.73  
1  STAR DEVINE (IRE) 1 11 42½ 42   42½ 31¾ (abreu r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.77 S
6  TWILIGHT GLEAMING (IRE) 6 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 42¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 18% 4.60 2.52  
5  HAVE A GOOD DAY (IRE) 5 10 84¼ 74½   54½ 54 (delgado gustavo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 43.55  
4  CREATIVE CREDIT 4 2 2nk 1nk   31½ 64¼ (haehn r)OUZTS W 120 20.00 29.35  
11  BROOKE MARIE 10 6 94¾ 84¾   85¼ 74¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 6.85  
7  TOBYS HEART 7 9 63¾ 52½   65 87 (lynch a)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 15.00 15.62  
3  QUEROBIN DOURADA 3 4 52¾ 63   97¾ 911 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 27.43  
8  BOUT TIME 8 8 73¾ 95¾   109¾ 1011¾ (devaux cherie)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 6% 16.30 6.92  
12  ELLE Z 11 5 105 116¾   1112¼ 1115 (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00 19.13  
SCR  CHANGE OF CONTROL               (lovell michelle)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  ILLEGAL SMILE (IRE)               (ward a)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00    
SCR  MINER'S QUEEN               (hernandez rey)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 30.00    
SCR  VIOLENZA               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 15.00    
 
KEE-8   10/16/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
:23 :461 1:104     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RUN CLASSIC 3 5 32½ 31   14½ 18¼ (calhoun bret)HERNANDEZ J 123 6.00 9% 9.90 2.31 W
2  SPANKSTER 2 4 21½ 2½   24½ 28¼ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 14.42  
9  NO SHIRT NO SHOES 9 1 75 73½   37 38½ (anderson l)JORDAN R 121 20.00 13.34  
5  BRIEFCASE BULLY 5 9 95¾ 95   59 411 (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 16.10  
8  A C EXPRESSWAY 8 8 64 84½   79½ 513¾ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 8.00 9.36  
7  UBER KIRK 7 3 85½ 53   48½ 615¾ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 123 2.50 16% 5.20 3.79  
6  GAGETOWN 6 2 43 41½   69 716¼ (simms jr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00 ★ 12.87  
4  RISING EMPIRE 4 7 53 63   812 820¼ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 8% 11.50 16.26  
1  HIDDEN SCROLL 1 6 11½ 1½   914 928¼ (ward a)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.50 43% 1.30 2.83  
 
KEE-9   10/16/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 5:16
:23 :483 1:15 1:391   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JUNIPERMARSHMALLOW 4 6 64¼ 93¼ 73¼ 3.2 1¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5.41  
2  BOTANICAL 2 10 107¼ 103¾ 94½ 83 2¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 4.66  
9  MISS PEABODY 9 12 118¾ 115¼ 127 72½ 31¼ (newton troy)PARKER L 119 5.00 12% 7.50 10.13 S
5  STAY LOST 5 7 54 51¾ 62¼ 1nk 43¼ (casse w)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 5.17  
8  MRS. ASTOR 8 5 74¼ 41¼ 52¼ 2nk 54 (thomas jonathan)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 6.00 26.69  
7  WORDS OF PRAISE 7 3 2nk 1nk 2nk 5¾ 64 (maker j)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 3.42  
3  BEST PERFORMER 3 2 42½ 61¾ 41¾ 62¼ 74½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 7.89  
10  AUDACIOUSNESS 10 4 32 2nk 31½ 4¾ 87½ (stall m)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 24% 3.20 5.59  
11  MO NEDA 11 9 95¾ 82¾ 84¼ 116 97¾ (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 15.00 35.65  
12  PIGEON CAY 12 11 129¾ 125¾ 105 106 109¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 64.46  
1  PSYCHEDELIC 1 1 1nk 3.2 1nk 95½ 1111½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 45.66  
6  DOT MARIE 6 8 84¾ 72¼ 116 1211 1217½ (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 119 30.00 60.55  
SCR  BEAT THE ESTIMATES               (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  MALAWNIA               (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 119 30.00    
SCR  OUR DOTSIE               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  SAFEEN               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.