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Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Sunday - October 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI


Simulator Race results


KEE-1			10/16/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($47K)			2		F		PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	KEY TO SUCCESS									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						2.50		26%		2.80		1.58	W
6	THESTRAL									(caramori caio)PARKER L 119						20.00						28.15
5	GOODBETTERBEST									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						1.80		37%		1.70		1.85	S
1	FREE SPIRITED									(ortiz john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						6.00		★				6.78
7	UNDER THE BED									(cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 119						15.00		5%		19.00		12.61
8	SHE HAS THE LOOK									(romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119						8.00						6.75
3	UNESCORTED									(mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119						5.00		8%		11.80		10.17
SCR	LUCKY PHOENIX									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119						10.00

KEE-2			10/16/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Claiming ($40K)					Purse ($52K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:32
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	KEEPCALMCARRYON									(margolis stephen)BEJARANO R 118						3.00		★				2.76
7	GARMENTO									(ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118						4.50		29%		2.50		4.20	P
6	MR CREED									(casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118						10.00						4.39
1	OFFICIAL BUSINESS									(sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 122						20.00						14.19
2	BLUE NORTHER									(ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 118						3.50		★				1.37
4	MR. CUNNINGHAM									(meredith charl)MACHADO LUAN 113						30.00		5%		19.00		15.71
SCR	RIGHT TONE									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						1.60		36%		1.80

KEE-3			10/16/2022		5940ft	DIRT	RC0	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($50K)					Purse ($49K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	FREEZE POP									(casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						3.50		★				3.68
1	BRIGHT SPARK									(flint bernar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120						20.00		★				26.03	P
3	MAASAI WARRIOR									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120						1.00		39%		1.60		0.97	S
5	AWAY FROM HOME									(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120						12.00						15.06
6	MINT									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124						6.00		★				5.98
8	VALE									(forster t)GRAHAM J 120						20.00						36.24
7	RA'S AL GHUL									(colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 120						10.00						19.58
2	GRAND JURY									(ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 120						5.00		39%		1.60		5.55

KEE-4			10/16/2022		5610ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($100K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:36
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	SPEED BIAS									(moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						8.00		29%		2.50		6.04	W
5	UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL									(pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 121						0.50		40%		1.50		0.51	P
3	LUPO'S LEGACY									(englehart jeremia)SAEZ LUIS 121						10.00		7%		12.90		14.11	S
6	REDEMPTION TIME									(calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121						4.00		★				6.50
1	WAR ROOM									(brisset )SANTANA JR 121						6.00		★				6.68
4	RAMPATIOUS									(o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 121						20.00						16.37

KEE-5			10/16/2022		3630ft	TURF	RC0	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($110K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	KAUFYMAKER									(ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 115						2.00		22%		3.50		2.01	W
2	SUTHERLAND									(calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120						4.50						2.98
9	MUMAYAZ									(peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						15.00						4.87
7	APACHE TEARS									(mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 121						20.00						21.08
1	STRIDE									(mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 118						30.00		9%		10.80		38.22
12	WILLTORUN									(colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 120						6.00						9.67
8	BADGEBALL									(foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118						20.00						17.21
3	YOU VEE CEE									(deville carl)GEROUX FLORENT 121						30.00						35.79
10	SWITZER									(moquett )SANTANA JR 118						20.00						12.80
13	OXWOOD									(woodbury judy)CANUTO THIAGO 121						30.00						91.81
11	RUM 'N TONIC									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120						8.00						8.30
SCR	DATA STORM									(martin timot)JORDAN R 121						15.00
SCR	DR. DUKE									(antonucci je)LANDEROS CHRIS 121						4.50		★
SCR	JUST SAY WHEN									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						3.50		15%		5.60
SCR	SOSUA SUMMER									(mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118						3.00		32%		2.10
SCR	TRUST DADDY									(o'dwyer jere)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						30.00

KEE-6			10/16/2022		4620ft	DIRT	RC1	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($100K)			2		F		PT- 3:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	JULIA SHINING									(pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119						4.00		19%		4.20		2.37	W
5	POSITANO SUNSET									(wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119						3.50		28%		2.60		6.37	P
11	ROMAN GODDESS									(maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119						15.00						24.33
9	THEROANRUNNER									(sharp joe)VELAZQUEZ R 119						15.00						9.18
7	GHOSTLY GIRL									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						2.50		27%		2.70		3.25
6	ACRIMONY									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						8.00		6%		15.20		7.11
12	WITH THIS RING									(brisset )SANTANA JR 119						12.00						15.97
8	TWO MINUTE LICK									(arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119						12.00		★				21.46
2	MO DIVINE									(hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 119						30.00						76.70
1	PENNY ARCADE									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						15.00						8.53
3	VOGELSANG									(ewing michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 119						30.00						48.94
10	MORAL TURPITUDE									(casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119						15.00						44.41
SCR	SUN VALLEY ROAD									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						12.00
SCR	TABOR TIME									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						10.00

KEE-7			10/16/2022		3630ft	TURF	RC5	FIRM	Grade III Stake/Handicap					Purse ($300K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	CARAVEL									(cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						4.00		8%		11.40		2.44	W
		(by MIZZEN MAST out of ZEEZEE ZOOMZOOM by CONGRATS)
9	THUNDERING CREED									(tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 122						12.00						19.73
		(by JIMMY CREED out of THUNDERING GALE by THUNDERELLO)
1	STAR DEVINE (IRE)									(abreu jorge )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120						8.00		5%		19.00		7.77	S
		(by FASTNET ROCK (AUS) out of STARS AT NIGHT by GALILEO (ARG))
6	TWILIGHT GLEAMING (IRE)									(ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118						3.50		18%		4.60		2.52
		(by NATIONAL DEFENSE out of THAMES PAGEANT by DANSILI (GB))
5	HAVE A GOOD DAY (IRE)									(delgado gus)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118						30.00						43.55
		(by ADAAY out of BLACK MEYEDEN by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
4	CREATIVE CREDIT									(haehn r)OUZTS W 120						20.00						29.35
		(by CREATIVE CAUSE out of CREDIT CRUNCH (IRE) by CAERLEON)
11	BROOKE MARIE									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 124						8.00						6.85
		(by LEMON DROP KID out of MAMASEZ by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7	TOBYS HEART									(lynch bri)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122						15.00						15.62
		(by JACK MILTON out of PICK OF THE PACK by LIL'S LAD)
3	QUEROBIN DOURADA									(lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120						15.00						27.43
		(by CAPO BASTONE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8	BOUT TIME									(devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120						6.00		6%		16.30		6.92
		(by NOT THIS TIME out of CHILLING EFFECT by GOLD FEVER)
12	ELLE Z									(hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120						20.00						19.13
		(by CITY ZIP out of COURT APPEAL by WORLD APPEAL)
SCR	CHANGE OF CONTROL									(lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 122						5.00		36%		1.80
		(by FED BIZ out of AMERICA'S BLOSSOM by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR	ILLEGAL SMILE (IRE)									(ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120						4.00
		(by CAMACHO (NZ) out of FINE IF by IFFRAAJ (GB))
SCR	MINER'S QUEEN									(hernandez rey)TALAMO JOSEPH 120						30.00
		(by BERNARDINI out of QUEEN'S AWARD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR	VIOLENZA									(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120						15.00
		(by VIOLENCE out of SOUTH STREET GAL by STREET SENSE)

KEE-8			10/16/2022		4620ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($80K)					Purse ($120K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	RUN CLASSIC									(calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 123						6.00		9%		9.90		2.31	W
2	SPANKSTER									(lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 118						10.00						14.42
9	NO SHIRT NO SHOES									(anderson dou)JORDAN R 121						20.00						13.34
5	BRIEFCASE BULLY									(devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 121						12.00						16.10
8	A C EXPRESSWAY									(casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 121						8.00						9.36
7	UBER KIRK									(mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 123						2.50		16%		5.20		3.79
6	GAGETOWN									(simms j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123						8.00		★				12.87
4	RISING EMPIRE									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						4.50		8%		11.50		16.26
1	HIDDEN SCROLL									(ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 121						3.50		43%		1.30		2.83

KEE-9			10/16/2022		5610ft	TURF	RC1	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($100K)			2		F		PT- 5:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	JUNIPERMARSHMALLOW									(pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119						10.00						5.41
2	BOTANICAL									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						15.00						4.66
9	MISS PEABODY									(newton troy)PARKER L 119						5.00		12%		7.50		10.13	S
5	STAY LOST									(casse w)VELAZQUEZ R 119						3.00						5.17
8	MRS. ASTOR									(thomas jon)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119						6.00						26.69
7	WORDS OF PRAISE									(maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119						8.00						3.42
3	BEST PERFORMER									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						12.00						7.89
10	AUDACIOUSNESS									(stall alb)LEPAROUX R 119						4.00		24%		3.20		5.59
11	MO NEDA									(correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119						15.00						35.65
12	PIGEON CAY									(ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119						20.00						64.46
1	PSYCHEDELIC									(danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119						20.00						45.66
6	DOT MARIE									(caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 119						30.00						60.55
SCR	BEAT THE ESTIMATES									(brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						6.00		★
SCR	MALAWNIA									(tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119						30.00
SCR	OUR DOTSIE									(oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119						10.00		10%		8.60
SCR	SAFEEN									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119						2.00		33%		2.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.