Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Sunday - October 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:234 :492 1:151 1:411   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEY TO SUCCESS 2 4 4 4 3 1 1hd (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 26% 2.80 1.58 W
THESTRAL 5 3 2½ 2½ 1nk 2 2hd (caramori caio)PARKER L 119 20.00 28.15  
GOODBETTERBEST 4 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 3 318½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.80 37% 1.70 1.85 S
FREE SPIRITED 1 5 6 52 45 412 425 (ortiz a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 6.78  
UNDER THE BED 6 7 7 6 6 518 530¾ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 12.61  
SHE HAS THE LOOK 7 6 3 3 5 619½ 644 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 6.75  
UNESCORTED 3 1 5 7 712½ 727½ 762¼ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119 5.00 8% 11.80 10.17  
SCR  LUCKY PHOENIX               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
 
KEE-2   10/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:134 1:41   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPCALMCARRYON 3 6 6 5 53 3 12 (margolis r)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 2.76  
GARMENTO 6 3 31 31 31 42 22 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 29% 2.50 4.20 P
MR CREED 5 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 1½ 3 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 4.39  
OFFICIAL BUSINESS 1 5 1½ 1½ 1nk 2½ 4 (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 122 20.00 14.19  
BLUE NORTHER 2 4 4 42 4 5 5 (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 1.37  
MR. CUNNINGHAM 4 1 5 6 6 68 614¼ (meredith charles)MACHADO LUAN 113 30.00 5% 19.00 15.71  
SCR  RIGHT TONE               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 36% 1.80    
 
KEE-3   10/16/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($49K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:243 :494 1:142 1:401   1:531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEZE POP 4 2 1 11 11 13 13 (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 3.68  
BRIGHT SPARK 1 7 8 8 6 23 23 (flint bernard )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 26.03 P
MAASAI WARRIOR 3 4 6 52 4 55 3 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.00 39% 1.60 0.97 S
AWAY FROM HOME 5 3 2 21 21 3 4 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 15.06  
MINT 6 5 4 3 3 45 58 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 5.98  
VALE 8 6 7 73 5 611 621½ (forster t)GRAHAM J 120 20.00 36.24  
RA'S AL GHUL 7 8 53 6 78 714 726¼ (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 19.58  
GRAND JURY 2 1 3 42 88 818 839¼ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 120 5.00 39% 1.60 5.55  
 
KEE-4   10/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:133 1:393   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEED BIAS 2 6 54 5 4 2nk 1hd (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 29% 2.50 6.04 W
UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL 5 2 3 2½ 1½ 1nk 2hd (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 0.50 40% 1.50 0.51 P
LUPO'S LEGACY 3 1 21 32 52 47 38 (englehart jeremiah )SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 7% 12.90 14.11 S
REDEMPTION TIME 6 3 42 4 31 36 4 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 6.50  
WAR ROOM 1 4 11 1½ 2½ 510 522¾ (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 121 6.00 6.68  
RAMPATIOUS 4 5 68 6 67 614 625¼ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 121 20.00 16.37  
 
KEE-5   10/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:214 :45 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAUFYMAKER 4 3 11 1½   12 1 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 115 2.00 22% 3.50 2.01 W
SUTHERLAND 2 2 8 7   4 2 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50 2.98  
MUMAYAZ 7 7 5 6   33 3 (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 4.87  
APACHE TEARS 5 4 21 2½   22 4 (mckeever andrew)ACHARD ALEX 121 20.00 21.08  
STRIDE 1 9 96 9   88 55 (mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 30.00 9% 10.80 38.22  
12  WILLTORUN 10 10 63 42   66 6 (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 9.67  
BADGEBALL 6 6 74 8   7 76 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 17.21  
YOU VEE CEE 3 5 4 52   5 8 (deville j)GEROUX FLORENT 121 30.00 35.79  
10  SWITZER 8 8 108 10   910 97 (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 12.80  
13  OXWOOD 11 11 11 11   1113 1011½ (woodbury judy)CANUTO THIAGO 121 30.00 91.81  
11  RUM 'N TONIC 9 1 3 31   1011 1113½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 8.30  
SCR  DATA STORM               (martin timothy)JORDAN R 121 15.00    
SCR  DR. DUKE               (antonucci jena)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 4.50    
SCR  JUST SAY WHEN               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  SOSUA SUMMER               (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  TRUST DADDY               (o'dwyer jeremi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
 
KEE-6   10/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:13     1:292   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULIA SHINING 4 8 11 9   12 1 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 19% 4.20 2.37 W
POSITANO SUNSET 5 2 74 6   4 2 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 119 3.50 28% 2.60 6.37 P
11  ROMAN GODDESS 11 3 1nk 2½   32 3 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 24.33  
THEROANRUNNER 9 5 2nk 1½   22 4 (sharp joe)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 9.18  
GHOSTLY GIRL 7 7 4 52   54 5 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 27% 2.70 3.25  
ACRIMONY 6 1 52 42   6 615½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 6% 15.20 7.11  
12  WITH THIS RING 12 6 3½ 3   7 717½ (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 15.97  
TWO MINUTE LICK 8 11 9 7   811 818¾ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 21.46  
MO DIVINE 2 12 8 87   911¼ 918¾ (hamilton sarah)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 76.70  
PENNY ARCADE 1 10 1210¼ 1215½   1114¾ 1021¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 8.53  
VOGELSANG 3 9 10 11   1014¼ 1123½ (ewing a)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00 48.94  
10  MORAL TURPITUDE 10 4 6 10   1216¾ 1229¾ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 44.41  
SCR  SUN VALLEY ROAD               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00    
SCR  TABOR TIME               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
 
KEE-7   10/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:212 :444 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARAVEL 2 3 3 31   2nk 1 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 8% 11.40 2.44 W
THUNDERING CREED 9 7 116 10   7 2 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 122 12.00 19.73  
STAR DEVINE (IRE) 1 11 4 42   4 3 (abreu r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.77 S
TWILIGHT GLEAMING (IRE) 6 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 4 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 18% 4.60 2.52  
HAVE A GOOD DAY (IRE) 5 10 8 7   5 54 (delgado gusta)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 43.55  
CREATIVE CREDIT 4 2 2nk 1nk   3 6 (haehn r)OUZTS W 120 20.00 29.35  
11  BROOKE MARIE 10 6 9 8   8 7 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 6.85  
TOBYS HEART 7 9 6 5   65 87 (lynch brian)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 15.00 15.62  
QUEROBIN DOURADA 3 4 5 63   9 911 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 27.43  
BOUT TIME 8 8 7 9   10 1011¾ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 6% 16.30 6.92  
12  ELLE Z 11 5 105 11   1112¼ 1115 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00 19.13  
SCR  CHANGE OF CONTROL               (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  ILLEGAL SMILE (IRE)               (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00    
SCR  MINER'S QUEEN               (hernandez rey)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 30.00    
SCR  VIOLENZA               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 15.00    
 
KEE-8   10/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:104     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN CLASSIC 3 5 3 31   1 1 (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 123 6.00 9% 9.90 2.31 W
SPANKSTER 2 4 2 2½   2 2 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 14.42  
NO SHIRT NO SHOES 9 1 75 7   37 3 (anderson doug )JORDAN R 121 20.00 13.34  
BRIEFCASE BULLY 5 9 9 95   59 411 (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 16.10  
A C EXPRESSWAY 8 8 64 8   7 513¾ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 8.00 9.36  
UBER KIRK 7 3 8 53   4 615¾ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 123 2.50 16% 5.20 3.79  
GAGETOWN 6 2 43 4   69 716¼ (simms jr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00 12.87  
RISING EMPIRE 4 7 53 63   812 820¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 8% 11.50 16.26  
HIDDEN SCROLL 1 6 1 1½   914 928¼ (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.50 43% 1.30 2.83  
 
KEE-9   10/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:23 :483 1:15 1:391   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUNIPERMARSHMALLOW 4 6 6 9 7 3.2 1¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5.41  
BOTANICAL 2 10 10 10 9 83 2¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 4.66  
MISS PEABODY 9 12 11 11 127 7 3 (newton troy)PARKER L 119 5.00 12% 7.50 10.13 S
STAY LOST 5 7 54 5 6 1nk 4 (casse w)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 5.17  
MRS. ASTOR 8 5 7 4 5 2nk 54 (thomas jonat)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 6.00 26.69  
WORDS OF PRAISE 7 3 2nk 1nk 2nk 5¾ 64 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 3.42  
BEST PERFORMER 3 2 4 6 4 6 7 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 7.89  
10  AUDACIOUSNESS 10 4 32 2nk 3 4¾ 8 (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 24% 3.20 5.59  
11  MO NEDA 11 9 9 8 8 116 9 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 15.00 35.65  
12  PIGEON CAY 12 11 12 12 105 106 10 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 64.46  
PSYCHEDELIC 1 1 1nk 3.2 1nk 9 1111½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 45.66  
DOT MARIE 6 8 8 7 116 1211 1217½ (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 119 30.00 60.55  
SCR  BEAT THE ESTIMATES               (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  MALAWNIA               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 119 30.00    
SCR  OUR DOTSIE               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  SAFEEN               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 33% 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.