The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Saratoga
Friday - July 29, 2022

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SAR-1   07/29/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
:24 :48 1:122 1:38   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN ALCHEMIST 2 3 3½ 41 4 11 1(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 31% 2.30 2.85 W
SIDEKICK 5 2 4 3½ 1 21 2(mcgaughey iii)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80 35% 1.90 1.80 P
BOLD LOOKER 6 6 6 64 6 36 3(lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 4.00 S
GATE RUNNER 3 4 52 5 5 46 4(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 4.40  
CHEEKY TICO 4 1 2nk 2nk 2 512 524½ (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 15.50  
INTERNAL CAPITAL 1 5 1nk 1nk 3 614½ 627½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 7% 12.40 6.40  
SCR  SOUTHERN FLAG               (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00    
 
SAR-2   07/29/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
:24 :472 1:131     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEANAN 1 1 1nk 1½ 1½ 11(clement christophe)DAVIS DYLAN 124 10.00 2.80  
13  PHOEBE'S FROSTY 5 4 3½ 2½ 2½ 22(baker charlton)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00 2.80  
SELL SOMETHING 2 2 56 510 47 49 310½ (sciacca gary)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 10.60  
MEDIA SENSATION 3 3 4 45 3 3418½ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 6% 14.90 2.30  
ON PALM SUNDAY 4 5 2nk 33 5 513½ 539 (donk david)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 18% 4.60 2.60  
SCR  LOZ               (weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
SCR  MARIE'S TUFF SON               (goodwin gabriel)LUZZI J 118 50.00    
SCR  PIVOTAL RUN               (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00    
SCR  LOOKIN GRAND               (baker charlton)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KARMA'S WARRIOR               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  HIGHGATE ROAD               (hemingway michelle)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  TOGA DANCER               (nevin michelle)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
SCR  ABLETON               (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
SCR  CASH BAIL               (meadow e)USKE S 118 50.00    
 
SAR-3   07/29/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:11
:243 :49 1:131 1:373   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINGAL'S CAVE 3 2 11 11 1 14 1(donk david)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 24% 3.20 1.40 W
SPIKED 5 3 21 21 2 24 2(terranova p)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 11% 8.20 6.80 P
INSIGNIA 6 4 42 42 3 34 3(cox h)SANTANA JR 120 1.20 26% 2.80 1.15 S
SOCIAL DILEMMA 4 5 6 5 53 4410¾ (summers chad)CARMOUCHE K 125 20.00 9% 10.30 28.50  
JOIN THE DOTS 2 6 3 3 4 59 512¼ (mcgaughey iii)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 7.80  
FROST ME 1 1 5 6 67 610 616 (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 125 10.00 21.60  
SCR  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN               (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 123 12.00    
 
SAR-4   07/29/2022 3630ft TURF GOOD Allowance   Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:43
:214 :452 :573     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  FONTANAFREDDA 12 11 96 64   21¼ (bond james)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 14.50  
10  TIS A PITY 10 3 75 8   42¼ (clement christophe)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 61% 0.70 3.40 P
PATRIA 1 2 1 11   13¼ (salazar marco)SANTANA JR 120 20.00 41.00  
11  HAPPY HILL LIL 11 9 86 9   94¾ (sciacca gary)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 6.90  
BUSTIN BULLET 6 1 2 21   32 51 (miceli michael)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 7.60  
SUMMER AT THE SPA 7 6 10 10   862 (nevin michelle)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 14.30  
BLAME IT ON MARY 4 5 53 5   574 (barker r)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 2.40  
LUCKY LATKES 9 12 119 11   1085 (antonucci m)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 52.25  
SILKEN DOLLAR 8 8 32 31   698 (schosberg richard)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 5.70  
FLIP MY ID 3 4 4 42   710(maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 16.60  
LAOBAN'S LEGACY 5 10 6 7   1111(englehart c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00 29.00  
OUCH THAT HURT 2 7 1210½ 1213¼   1216¾ 1222¾ (barrow paul)LUZZI J 124 30.00 5% 19.00 43.00  
SCR  BARBARA'S BANK               (englehart s)RIDER TBA 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CAPTIVATING CARA               (friedman mitchell)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50    
SCR  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH               (barker r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 20.00    
SCR  TELLAPERFECTTALE               (lucas bonnie)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 2.50 10% 9.40    
 
SAR-5   07/29/2022 5280ft TURF GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:13
:254 :504 1:16     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SWEEPING GIANT 10 5 3 3 2nk 11 1(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40 41% 1.40 1.60 W
FAZARO 6 3 42 4 4 32(williams o)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 20.00 28.75  
SEBARAY 7 8 53 5 5 42 3(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 6.60  
GUT FEELING 5 6 85 8 8 543 (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 12% 7.40 3.80  
MAD MAGIC 4 7 7 63 6 654 (wilkes r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 6.90  
INSPIRED MISCHIEF 9 4 1½ 1½ 1nk 21 6(martin f)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 24.50  
STREAMING TAP 3 10 108 10 10 97 7(serpe m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 5% 19.00 24.00  
BLUEBERRY 2 1 6 7 7 76 88 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 20% 4.00 4.40  
DRUID 8 9 2½ 2½ 3½ 8910½ (goodwin gabriel)LUZZI J 124 50.00 58.50  
MYPLAYALINDA 1 2 9 96 9 109 1011¼ (levine bruce)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 27.50  
SCR  EMPIRE RIDGE               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
SCR  GOOD SOLDIER               (joseph a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
SCR  GROWTH MINDSET               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
SCR  STRIKE PRICE               (morey e)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
SCR  UNION OF THOUGHTS               (antonucci m)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
 
SAR-6   07/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 3:46
:22 :452 :581     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACOUSTIC AVE 7 1 1½ 1   11(clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 20% 4.10 1.50 W
TEN CENT TOWN 9 6 2½ 2   22(morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 23% 3.40 4.50 P
QUICK CHAOS 8 2 64 67   49 3(abreu r)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 18% 4.60 6.80 S
10  BOBBY THE TANK 10 4 31 33   3410¼ (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 17% 5.00 3.25  
SHORTSINTHEWINTER 5 8 5 5   5517 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 41.25  
DEE'S SPEEDSTRE 4 5 7 711½   715 618 (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 12.50  
CAMM' DUKE 1 3 41 4   610½ 721 (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 31.25  
WITH KNOW NAME 2 7 9 1016½   918 822¾ (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 17.90  
SOCIAL SIDEKICK 3 10 87 812   817½ 926½ (tagg barclay)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00 41.50  
LIOTTA 6 9 109 915   1019½ 1027½ (hills a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 18.50  
 
SAR-7   07/29/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($135K) 3 ALL PT- 4:18
:24 :481 1:12 1:372   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTORIUS 8 6 44 4 4 11(brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 11% 8.20 2.70 W
GILDED AGE 2 5 76 77 6 45 2(mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 10.90  
CREATIVE MINISTER 6 7 6 6 55 33(mcpeek g)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 38% 1.60 1.85 S
A. P.'S SECRET 3 1 11 1½ 11 24(joseph a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 7% 14.20 11.60  
WESTERN RIVER 1 8 811½ 812 812½ 7510½ (brisset rodolphe)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 9.70  
GOLDEN GLIDER 5 3 3 3 3 56 610¾ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 22.30  
MAKE IT BIG 4 2 21 2½ 21 6713 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 6% 16.10 18.50  
BE BETTER 7 4 5 5 7 829½ 865 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 16% 5.20 3.50  
SCR  WOLFE COUNTY               (mcpeek g)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
 
SAR-8   07/29/2022 3630ft TURF GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:56
:214 :45 :564     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCING BUCK 5 4 5 55   21 1(nevin michelle)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00 7.90  
COMEDY TOWN 6 3 32 3   42 2(trombetta j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00 26.75  
FAUCI 3 8 8 8   54 3(antonacci philip)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 3.35  
LYRICAL POET 1 2 1½ 1½   11 4(ward a)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 5% 19.00 2.95  
11  NOBLE EMOTION 9 1 2½ 2½   35(de horacio)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 4.00  
12  RUNNINGWSCISSORS 10 10 77 77   86(kirby t)SAEZ LUIS 126 12.00 9.60  
KOBE TOUGH 8 7 67 67   77(keefe l)DAVIS DYLAN 122 30.00 36.50  
SPIRIT ANIMAL 7 6 911 99   987 (caramori eduardo)LEZCANO ABEL 122 50.00 48.75  
MUCH BETTER 2 5 43 42   64 9(asmussen m)LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00 18.70  
ANACONDA 4 9 1011½ 1011   10108 (sharp joe)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 4.70  
SCR  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE)               (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 126 3.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  FITZPATRICK               (hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00    
SCR  HIGHER STANDARD               (amoss m)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  MEXICAN WONDER BOY               (joseph a)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00    
SCR  MONTAUK DADDY               (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  XY SPEED               (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 6% 16.00    
 
SAR-9   07/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
:223 :454 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON THE HILL 3 3 2nk 11   12 1(bond james)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 2.40  
LIFE CHANGER 1 2 1nk 21   22 2(terranova p)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50 69% 0.50 2.60 P
CHARGER 5 4 31 4   334 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 12.30 S
BALTASAR 6 5 4 3   44(de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 2.60  
QUICK TO BLAME 2 6 6 6   68 59 (barkley jason)SANTANA JR 120 6.00 6% 16.50 7.20  
1A  NICHOLAS JAMES 7 1 5 52   5612 (reynolds j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00 16.20  
DARK TIMBER 4 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 9.50  
SCR  MOTION TO STRIKE               (reynolds j)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
SCR  STREET CULTURE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00    
SCR  VIKRAM               (englehart s)DAVIS DYLAN 124 12.00    
 
SAR-10   07/29/2022 5610ft TURF GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:08
:243 :492 1:141 1:38   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  RUNAWAY ROCKETTE 12 1 2½ 2½ 2½ 11½ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 125 8.00 7% 12.80 7.60 W
STELLA MARS 6 4 43 4 3 22½ (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00 14% 6.00 2.80 P
LADY OF THOROTON 2 12 10 11 10 43(englehart chris)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00 28.25  
HUNTRESS MOON 1 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 32 4(lerman s)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 36.75  
ROSEMARY POTATOES 4 3 3 34 42 55(arenas marcelo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00 6.00  
10  BUILT DIFFERENT 10 9 9 77 63 66(d'angelo francisco)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 6.20  
VOICE OF SPRING 3 10 5 5 53 876 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 125 12.00 14.60  
IN MY WAKE 9 5 86 9 95 78(clement christophe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
11  FRENCH FRANC (FR) 11 6 6 66 7 1097 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00 24.25  
RADIANT GEM 8 8 118 109 11 1210(klesaris steve)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 8.90  
SHAOLIN 7 11 1210½ 1210¾ 12 1111(sharp joe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00 10.70  
MORE MANGO 5 7 7 8 8 9128 (ferraro w)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00 8.10  
SCR  MASABEEH               (de horacio)SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
SCR  MAYBE LATER               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  MIA AT MIDNIGHT               (walder r)ORTIZ JR 125 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PONCHO SONG               (lucas bonnie)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.