Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Friday - July 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   07/29/2022 5940ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTERNAL CAPITAL Jul02         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 7% 12.40    
2  GOLDEN ALCHEMIST Jun26         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 31% 2.30    
3  GATE RUNNER May30 May03 Apr03     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 ★    
4  CHEEKY TICO Jul01 Jun11 May07 Apr21 Feb03 (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
5  SIDEKICK Jul08 Jun02       (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80 35% 1.90    
6  BOLD LOOKER Jul03         (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 ★    
SCR  SOUTHERN FLAG Jun26         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00    
 
SAR-2   07/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KARMA'S WARRIOR Jun19 Apr29       (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  TOGA DANCER Jun23 Apr22       (nevin michelle)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
2  SEANAN         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 124 10.00    
SCR  MARIE'S TUFF SON Jul04         (goodwin gabriel)LUZZI J 118 50.00    
4  SELL SOMETHING Jun23 May28 Apr29 Mar11 Feb12 (sciacca gar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
5  MEDIA SENSATION Jul10 Jun19 May30 Apr24 Apr08 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 6% 14.90    
SCR  CASH BAIL Jun29         (meadow e)USKE S 118 50.00    
SCR  LOOKIN GRAND Jul09 May30       (baker charlto)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
8  ON PALM SUNDAY Jun23 May13       (donk david)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  HIGHGATE ROAD Apr24 Mar05       (hemingwa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  LOZ Jun30 Apr24 Mar19     (weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
SCR  ABLETON Jun17 May13 Feb19 Jan08   (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
SCR  PIVOTAL RUN Jun19 May20       (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00    
13  PHOEBE'S FROSTY Jan16         (baker charl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 30.00    
 
SAR-3   07/29/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROST ME Jul10 Mar27 Feb18 Jan20   (kimmel c)CANCEL ERIC 125 10.00    
2  JOIN THE DOTS Jun11 May22 Mar18 Jan07   (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 ★    
3  FINGAL'S CAVE Jun25 May21       (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Jul23 Jun02 May08 Apr23 Mar27 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 123 12.00    
5  SOCIAL DILEMMA Jun26 Jun02 May05     (summers chad)CARMOUCHE K 125 20.00 9% 10.30    
6  SPIKED Jun09 Mar12       (terranova joh)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 11% 8.20    
7  INSIGNIA Jun23 May01       (cox brad)SANTANA JR 120 1.20 26% 2.80    
 
SAR-4   07/29/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATRIA May06 Apr08 Mar13     (salazar )SANTANA JR 120 20.00    
2  OUCH THAT HURT         (barrow paul)LUZZI J 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  FLIP MY ID Jun11 Apr14 Jan22     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00    
4  BLAME IT ON MARY Jun11 Apr30 Apr03 Feb11   (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00    
5  LAOBAN'S LEGACY Jun22         (englehart j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00    
6  BUSTIN BULLET Jul08 Jun17 May21     (miceli michae)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
7  SUMMER AT THE SPA Jun26 May22 Apr24     (nevin michelle)ORTIZ L 124 8.00    
8  SILKEN DOLLAR Jun19 May30 May07     (schosberg richard)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
9  LUCKY LATKES May14 Mar25 Feb09 Jan01   (antonucci jena )CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 ★    
10  TIS A PITY Jun12 May22       (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 61% 0.70    
11  HAPPY HILL LIL Jul02 Jun11 May14     (sciacca gary)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
12  FONTANAFREDDA Jun11 Apr14       (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
SCR  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Jun26 Jun03 Mar20 Feb12 Jan13 (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 20.00    
SCR  BARBARA'S BANK May24 Apr25       (englehart jeffrey)RIDER TBA 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CAPTIVATING CARA Jun25 May28 Apr30 Mar25 Mar18 (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50    
SCR  TELLAPERFECTTALE Jul05 May28 Apr25 Mar31 Mar04 (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 2.50 10% 9.40    
 
SAR-5   07/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYPLAYALINDA         (levine bruce)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
2  BLUEBERRY         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 20% 4.00    
3  STREAMING TAP Jun18 Apr16 Apr03 Feb06 Jan05 (serpe phili)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  MAD MAGIC Jul03         (wilkes ian )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 ★    
5  GUT FEELING Jun03 May05 Feb26 Jan13   (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 12% 7.40    
6  FAZARO Jul04 Jun19 May22 May15 Apr21 (williams)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 20.00    
7  SEBARAY Jun12 Apr26 Mar22     (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
8  DRUID Jun17         (goodwin gabriel)LUZZI J 124 50.00    
9  INSPIRED MISCHIEF Jul15 Jun04       (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
10  SWEEPING GIANT         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40 41% 1.40    
SCR  STRIKE PRICE Jun12 May15 Apr15     (morey william )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
SCR  EMPIRE RIDGE Jul04 May22 Jan19     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
SCR  UNION OF THOUGHTS Jul10 Jun17 May27 Apr23   (antonucci jena )CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
SCR  GROWTH MINDSET         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
SCR  GOOD SOLDIER Jul14 May21       (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
 
SAR-6   07/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 3:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMM' DUKE Jun24         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  WITH KNOW NAME         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
3  SOCIAL SIDEKICK         (tagg barcla)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
4  DEE'S SPEEDSTRE Jun24         (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
5  SHORTSINTHEWINTER Jun24         (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
6  LIOTTA         (hills timothy )ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
7  ACOUSTIC AVE         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 20% 4.10    
8  QUICK CHAOS Jun24         (abreu r)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 18% 4.60    
9  TEN CENT TOWN Jun24         (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 23% 3.40    
10  BOBBY THE TANK         (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 17% 5.00    
 
SAR-7   07/29/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 3 ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERN RIVER Jun18 May14 Apr02 Feb26   (brisset )SANTANA JR 120 8.00    
2  GILDED AGE Jul04 Feb05       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
3  A. P.'S SECRET May30 Apr09 Mar05 Jan09   (joseph saffie)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 7% 14.20    
4  MAKE IT BIG Feb12         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 6% 16.10    
5  GOLDEN GLIDER Jun11 May14 Apr09 Mar12 Feb12 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
SCR  WOLFE COUNTY Jun24 Jun09 Mar12 Feb12   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
7  CREATIVE MINISTER Jun11 May21 May07 Apr09 Mar05 (mcpeek kenneth )DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
8  BE BETTER Jul04 Jun05       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 16% 5.20    
9  ARTORIUS Jun10 Apr16       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 11% 8.20    
 
SAR-8   07/29/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LYRICAL POET Apr21         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  XY SPEED Jun22 May22 Mar30 Feb19   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 6% 16.00    
3  MUCH BETTER Jul03 Jun12 Apr24 Mar05 Jan01 (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00    
4  FAUCI Jul04 Jun09 May12     (antonacc)SANTANA JR 122 4.50    
5  ANACONDA May30 Apr09 Mar11 Jan30   (sharp joe)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00    
6  DANCING BUCK Jun16 May05 Apr07     (nevin michelle)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00    
7  COMEDY TOWN Jul04 May20       (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
8  SPIRIT ANIMAL Jul13 May30 May17     (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 122 50.00    
9  KOBE TOUGH Jul03 May20 Apr23 Feb21 Jan21 (keefe l)DAVIS DYLAN 122 30.00    
SCR  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) Jul02 Jun09 Apr24     (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 126 3.50 18% 4.50    
11  NOBLE EMOTION Jun19         (de horacio)ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
12  RUNNINGWSCISSORS Jun26 Jun04 May21 Apr16 Mar19 (kirby t)SAEZ LUIS 126 12.00    
SCR  HIGHER STANDARD Jun26 Apr02 Mar09 Feb05   (amoss m)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  FITZPATRICK Jun19 May21 Apr28 Mar05 Feb05 (hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00    
SCR  MEXICAN WONDER BOY Jun19 Jun03 May22 May06 Apr21 (joseph saffie)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00    
SCR  MONTAUK DADDY Jul23 Jun19 Jun10 May22 Apr29 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.00 18% 4.50    
 
SAR-9   07/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  NICHOLAS JAMES Jul01 Jun05 May08 Apr14   (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
SCR  MOTION TO STRIKE Jul03 Jun05 May19 Apr07 Mar13 (reynolds pat)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  VIKRAM Jun12         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 124 12.00    
3  LIFE CHANGER Jun05 May05 Apr01 Feb19   (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50 69% 0.50    
4  QUICK TO BLAME Jun19 May14 Apr02 Feb26 Jan29 (barkley )SANTANA JR 120 6.00 6% 16.50    
5  ON THE HILL Jul03 May19 Apr02 Feb21   (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 ★    
SCR  STREET CULTURE Apr16 Mar13 Feb27     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00    
7  DARK TIMBER Jul14 Jun19 May22 Apr23   (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00    
8  CHARGER Jul01 Apr07 Mar20 Feb13 Jan22 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 ★    
9  BALTASAR Jun05 May05 Apr10 Mar13   (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50    
 
SAR-10   07/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUNTRESS MOON Jun12 May06 Mar18 Feb13   (lerman r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
2  LADY OF THOROTON Jul02 Jun11 May15 Apr16 Feb25 (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
3  VOICE OF SPRING Jul02 May21 Mar11 Feb13 Jan13 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 125 12.00    
4  ROSEMARY POTATOES Jun30 Jun19 May21 Apr24 Mar19 (arenas marc)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00    
5  MORE MANGO Jul02 Jun17 May22     (ferraro w)SAEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
6  STELLA MARS Jun26 May14 Apr16     (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00 14% 6.00    
7  SHAOLIN Jul01 May29 Apr27     (sharp joe)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00    
8  RADIANT GEM Jun30 Jun10 May15 Mar16 Feb17 (klesaris stev)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00    
9  IN MY WAKE Jun16         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  BUILT DIFFERENT Jun16 May29 Apr10 Mar10   (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 120 4.50    
11  FRENCH FRANC (FR) May15 Apr17       (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00    
SCR  MIA AT MIDNIGHT Jun11 May15 Mar02 Jan26   (walder peter )ORTIZ JR 125 4.00 5% 19.00    
13  RUNAWAY ROCKETTE Jun12 Apr29 Apr20 Mar02   (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 125 8.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  MASABEEH Jun19 May20 Apr14 Jan14   (de h)SANTANA JR 120 15.00    
SCR  PONCHO SONG Jun25 Jun03 Apr30     (lucas bonnie)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00    
SCR  MAYBE LATER Jul02 Jun12 May22 May08 Mar25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.