Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Tuesday - May 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/03/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:141 1:402   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EARLEY ROSE 3 4 2 21 2nk 12 14 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 4.80  
FREUDIAN 2 5 6 4 3 22 24 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00 48% 1.10 3.70 P
DUNVEGAN DOLL 5 6 76 66 4 45 3 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 21% 3.70 3.00 S
CANDYWRAPPER CRAZY 6 2 1 11 1nk 33 4 (bauer a)DIAZ RENE 118 5.00 5% 19.00 2.30  
MARGARITA TIME 7 7 3 3 6 515 528½ (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 8.00 9.10  
DANIELLA'S CAUSE 1 3 4 5 5 615 631½ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 5.30  
START CLASS 4 1 5 77 719¾ 735 778 (medley joseph)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00 34.60  
SCR  CHOPIN DRIVE               (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00    
 
CD-2   05/03/2022 7920ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:152 1:41 2:063 2:332   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONE ROCK 1 1 11 1½ 1 12 1 (diodoro robertino)VAZQUEZ A 123 0.60 38% 1.70 0.30 W
HOZIER 5 43 42 31 2 22 2 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 9.30 P
CURRENT 2 2 21 2½ 33 3 310¾ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 3.50 34% 2.00 5.80 S
TENFOLD 4 5 5 5 49 4 415¼ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 3.90  
CELERITY 3 3 3 4 519½ 520½ 564 (cundiff way)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 20.00 24.60  
 
CD-3   05/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:123     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOHAYLADY 5 2 74 53   3 1 (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 111 3.50 4.70  
RISATA 6 1 3 2nk   1nk 2 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 4.50 3.80 P
SUPER WONDER GIRL 2 7 2½ 1nk   2nk 35 (williamson bri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50 20% 4.00 2.20 S
BERTRADA 7 5 6 6   5 49 (garcia genaro)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 4.50 11% 7.90 4.10  
SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 4 3 5 4   43 510¼ (habeeb donald)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.00 15% 5.70 5.30  
FLORIS 3 4 4 75   7 616¼ (duvall william )TALAMO JOSEPH 123 8.00 11.90  
LUCKY LAUREN 1 6 1½ 3½   6 717½ (newton troy)BEJARANO R 123 8.00 14% 6.30 9.40  
 
CD-4   05/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:103     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECODED 5 1 42 21   22 1½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 5.80  
REMAIN ANONYMOUS 2 4 11 11   12 2½ (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 33% 2.00 5.70 P
REGAL RETORT 1 2 21 6   35 32 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.60 0.40 S
XTREMA 3 5 6 53   45 4 (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 22.70  
LARIMAR 6 3 31 31   6 512 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 4.50 17% 5.00 8.20  
DANCE RHYTHMS 4 6 53 4   56 614½ (foley greg)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 23% 3.30 10.90  
 
CD-5   05/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:103 1:24   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILLEFEUILLE 3 2 1nk 11 1 1 15 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.00 14% 6.30 0.60 W
12  HIGH FASHION 6 3 42 4 3 2 25 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 123 4.00 3.00 P
11  LAYNLOMAKNDOUGH 5 5 610½ 611½ 56 47 3 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 123 12.00 6.50  
10  SUPER CHIANTI 4 4 2nk 21 2 36 410¼ (stewart dalla)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 15.00 17.40  
IF YOU PLEASE 1 1 31 32 45 511 513¾ (kobiskie da)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 15.30  
BLAZING STAR (GB) 2 6 5 5 611 619 629½ (mulcahy geo)LEPAROUX R 123 12.00 9.80  
SCR  BERATE               (mcgaughey re)GEROUX FLORENT 123 12.00    
SCR  BREAKER OF CHAINS               (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  EUPHIMA (ARG)               (mcpeek g)ACHARD ALEX 123 12.00    
SCR  FLIRTING BRIDGE (IRE)               (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00    
SCR  GAMBLING CAT               (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 123 12.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  MUN LUV               (maker mich)SANTANA JR 123 10.00    
 
CD-6   05/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:211 :444 :574     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY QUINN 3 2 21 1nk   1 1 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 38% 1.70 1.00 W
NAVAL OFFICER 8 7 45 34   3 2 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 6.90 P
LUNAR ROCKET 4 8 6 4   46 34 (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 32% 2.10 4.00 S
TEO 2 4 11 2nk   2 4 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 6.00  
OFFICER NICK 5 5 7 69   610½ 5 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 13.00  
JOYFUL CANDY 6 1 55 5   59 6 (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.50 8% 11.70 8.80  
LEAGAL 7 3 810½ 810½   714½ 728¼ (drury jr)LANERIE J 118 10.00 25.00  
STUBBORNKINDAFELLA 1 6 33 7   816½ 829 (corrigan jim)ROCCO S 118 12.00 23.70  
 
CD-7   05/03/2022 6600ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:131 1:393   2:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURBSTONE 7 11 11 11 1 13 1 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 11.10  
1A  JEEPER 6 21 32 3 32 23 2 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 10% 9.40 2.40 P
GATE RUNNER 10 42 4 5 2 34 3 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 7.10  
PIONEERING SPIRIT 4 7 7 74 4 4 4 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 58% 0.70 1.40  
CONSULATE 5 52 53 42 54 55 5 (sisterson jac)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 2.40  
MADISON LUVS DUKE 1 6 6 63 65 6 612 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 18.90  
SCATTERSHACK 2 1013¼ 918 910 79 711½ 716¾ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 15.30  
ONE MORE BABY 9 3 21 21 811 815½ 826½ (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 26.70  
DEPUTY CONNECT 8 8 86 85 911 918½ 942½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 9% 9.60 6.00  
CRYPTIC CODE 3 912¾ 1022½ 1025 1026 1030½ 1058¾ (margolis stephen)ROCCO S 118 20.00 56.80  
 
CD-8   05/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:222 :454 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  NIGHT TIME 5 3 21 2½   1nk 1 (romans dale)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 33% 2.00 0.70 W
COLTONATOR 3 1 53 5   4 2 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 5.20  
12  VERB 6 4 11 1½   2nk 3 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 11% 8.20 4.80 S
ON YOUR MARK 1 5 43 43   32 46 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 4.80  
THANKS MR. EIDSON 4 2 3 32   5 5 (lynch bria)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 8.60  
1A  JAMMERS JUSTICE 2 6 6 611   614¼ 616½ (gonzalez e)DIAZ RENE 115 15.00 25.40  
SCR  LEAGUE OF SHADOWS               (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00    
SCR  GALLANT GUY               (gonzalez e)DIAZ RENE 115 15.00    
SCR  FIELD DAY               (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50    
SCR  DIVINE LEADER               (ennis john)GRAHAM J 122 4.00    
SCR  CITY DRIFTER               (davis christ)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00    
SCR  STRIKE ME DOWN               (lovell michelle)BEJARANO R 122 4.00    
SCR  BAD BEAT BRIAN               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
 
CD-9   05/03/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:132 1:412   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENCHANTED NILE 3 1 11 1 1 1 1 (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 6.30  
MALIBU MARLEE 2 7 6 6 56 45 2 (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 10.60  
MATT'S HONEY 5 8 8 7 68 5 3 (chaudoin c)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 15% 5.60 14.00 S
SARIAH SARIAH 8 3 4 3 2 2 4 (rodriguez hugo)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 2.80  
AURA 7 2 21 2 3 34 5 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 17% 4.80 3.50  
STROLLIN THE BAYOU 4 4 53 5 4 610 617½ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 3.50  
KIMBERLEY DREAM 1 5 32 44 713 728 744¼ (winston d)DIAZ RENE 111 12.00 9% 10.00 14.10  
FUNNYBET 6 6 7 89 816 835 8100 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 20% 4.00 5.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.