Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Tuesday - May 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/03/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDYWRAPPER CRAZY Apr15 Mar20 Feb27 Jan30   (bauer a)DIAZ RENE 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHOPIN DRIVE Mar09 Jan28 Jan15     (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00 ★    
2  DANIELLA'S CAUSE Mar24 Jan01       (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 ★    
3  FREUDIAN Jan20 Jan09       (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00 48% 1.10    
4  EARLEY ROSE Mar09 Feb03       (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 ★    
5  START CLASS         (medley jose)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00    
6  DUNVEGAN DOLL Apr10 Feb11       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
7  MARGARITA TIME         (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 8.00    
 
CD-2   05/03/2022 7920ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONE ROCK Apr03 Feb12       (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 123 0.60 38% 1.70    
2  CURRENT Apr17 Mar12 Feb04 Jan07   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 3.50 34% 2.00    
3  CELERITY Apr22 Apr02 Jan16     (cundiff w)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 20.00 ★    
4  TENFOLD Apr03 Feb25 Jan09     (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 ★    
5  HOZIER Apr16         (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 ★    
 
CD-3   05/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY LAUREN Apr15 Mar26       (newton troy)BEJARANO R 123 8.00 14% 6.30    
2  SUPER WONDER GIRL Apr10 Mar06 Feb11 Jan23   (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50 20% 4.00    
3  FLORIS Apr10         (duvall e)COURT K 123 8.00    
4  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI Mar27 Mar06 Jan28 Jan10   (habeeb dona)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.00 15% 5.70    
5  MOHAYLADY Apr08 Feb20 Jan22     (lukas wayne)DIAZ RENE 111 3.50    
6  RISATA Apr13 Mar03 Jan22     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 4.50 ★    
7  BERTRADA Feb24         (garcia genaro)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 4.50 11% 7.90    
 
CD-4   05/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGAL RETORT Apr15 Feb19 Jan29     (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.60 ★    
2  REMAIN ANONYMOUS Apr16 Feb10 Jan22     (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
3  XTREMA         (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
4  DANCE RHYTHMS Apr16 Mar13 Feb13     (foley greg)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 23% 3.30    
5  RECODED Apr16 Mar19 Jan22 Jan09   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 ★    
6  LARIMAR Feb16 Jan20       (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 4.50 17% 5.00    
 
CD-5   05/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MUN LUV Apr02 Feb27 Jan30     (maker mi)SANTANA JR 123 10.00    
SCR  FLIRTING BRIDGE (IRE)         (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  GAMBLING CAT Jan15         (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 123 12.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  BERATE         (mcgaughey j )GEROUX FLORENT 123 12.00    
5  IF YOU PLEASE Apr08 Mar16       (kobiskie )HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
6  BLAZING STAR (GB)         (mulcahy g)LEPAROUX R 123 12.00    
SCR  EUPHIMA (ARG)         (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 123 12.00    
SCR  BREAKER OF CHAINS         (weaver geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00 52% 0.90    
9  MILLEFEUILLE Apr09 Feb12       (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.00 14% 6.30    
10  SUPER CHIANTI Mar06 Feb12       (stewart dal)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 15.00    
11  LAYNLOMAKNDOUGH Apr15         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 123 12.00    
12  HIGH FASHION Feb18 Jan09       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 123 4.00 ★    
 
CD-6   05/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STUBBORNKINDAFELLA Apr20         (corrigan jim)ROCCO S 118 12.00    
2  TEO Mar04 Jan15       (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 ★    
3  BABY QUINN         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 38% 1.70    
4  LUNAR ROCKET Apr20 Jan17       (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  OFFICER NICK Feb10         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
6  JOYFUL CANDY Mar13         (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.50 8% 11.70    
7  LEAGAL         (drury jr)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
8  NAVAL OFFICER         (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 ★    
 
CD-7   05/03/2022 6600ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONSULATE Apr10 Feb26 Jan29 Jan14   (sisterson j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50    
1A  JEEPER Apr09         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 10% 9.40    
2  MADISON LUVS DUKE Mar26         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 ★    
3  SCATTERSHACK Apr22 Mar12 Feb16 Jan07   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 ★    
4  CRYPTIC CODE Mar23 Feb03 Jan22     (margolis steph)ROCCO S 118 20.00    
5  PIONEERING SPIRIT Apr09 Feb26 Jan22     (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 58% 0.70    
6  CURBSTONE Mar04 Jan30       (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
7  DEPUTY CONNECT Mar13 Feb12       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 9% 9.60    
8  ONE MORE BABY Mar25 Feb20 Jan22     (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
9  GATE RUNNER Apr03         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
 
CD-8   05/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  JAMMERS JUSTICE Apr15         (gonzalez e)DIAZ RENE 115 15.00    
SCR  GALLANT GUY Apr09 Mar04 Jan16     (gonzalez e)DIAZ RENE 115 15.00    
SCR  CITY DRIFTER Apr09 Feb19       (davis chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00    
SCR  STRIKE ME DOWN Mar19 Feb19 Jan22     (lovell michelle)BEJARANO R 122 4.00    
4  ON YOUR MARK Mar18 Feb20 Jan23     (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  FIELD DAY Mar19         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50    
SCR  DIVINE LEADER Feb12 Jan23       (ennis john)GRAHAM J 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  BAD BEAT BRIAN Feb19 Jan30       (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
8  COLTONATOR Jan14         (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
9  THANKS MR. EIDSON         (lynch br)SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
SCR  LEAGUE OF SHADOWS Mar25 Feb20       (caramori ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00    
11  NIGHT TIME         (romans dale)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
12  VERB Mar27         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 11% 8.20    
 
CD-9   05/03/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIMBERLEY DREAM Apr14 Mar18 Feb17 Jan29 Jan09 (winston d)DIAZ RENE 111 12.00 9% 10.00    
2  MALIBU MARLEE Feb10         (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
3  ENCHANTED NILE Mar26         (reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00    
4  STROLLIN THE BAYOU Mar12 Jan15       (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
5  MATT'S HONEY Apr14 Apr01 Feb17     (chaudoin william)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 15% 5.60    
6  FUNNYBET Feb12         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 20% 4.00    
7  AURA Mar24 Mar10       (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 17% 4.80    
8  SARIAH SARIAH Apr14 Mar01 Jan20     (rodriguez hugo)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.