The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - March 16, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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MVR-1   03/16/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:253 :502 1:152 1:282   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCKY 1 4 52¼ 43 31 1nk 12 (rivera nestor)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.60 40% 1.50 1.00 W
3  ALGORIX 3 2 11 1½ 1nk 2nk 22 (vecchio caryn)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 11.30 P
5  GUCCISSIMO 5 5 41¼ 2½ 2nk 33 33¾ (bailey ricardo)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.50 ★ 7.70 S
6  GOTSOMEMOJO 6 6 63¾ 65 67 57 410 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 11% 8.20 12.50  
4  ALFRED 4 1 21 32 43 45 513 (murillo alejandro)LEON SONNY 124 2.00 23% 3.30 1.20  
2  NO ENTIENDO 2 3 31 53 54 68 615¼ (maver eduardo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 58.60  
 
MVR-2   03/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
:23 :463 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIS MAN CAN 1 5 1½ 11½   15 13½ (tumblin andrew)CORREA L 124 4.00 13% 6.50 2.90 W
2  WEST LEONARD 2 7 65½ 76   45½ 23½ (johnson l)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00 ★ 1.70 P
4  JACK BE FAST 5 3 2½ 21½   35 37½ (faulkner c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00 38% 1.60 3.80 S
3  CAPTAIN RILEY 4 1 76 66   77¾ 48½ (spiess m)LEON SONNY 124 2.50 8% 11.70 3.80  
6  FUNNY BACHELOR 7 2 54 55½   56 59¾ (faulkner c)TAPARA BRANDON 126 5.00 15% 5.50 6.50  
5  ONE CRAZY RIDE 6 4 42½ 44½   67½ 610½ (brown glenroy)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 14.40  
1A  BUCKITITLEWAVE 3 6 31½ 32½   25 713 (tumblin andrew)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 2.90  
 
MVR-3   03/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 1:40
:232 :47 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  IF YOU PLEASE 5 4 21 2nk   1½ 12¾ (kobiskie dane)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 5.80  
7  MIDNIGHTMAKESSENSE 6 6 32 31   31½ 22¾ (kenneally eddie)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 4.00 27% 2.70 4.30 P
8  ITSALLABOUTACTION 7 2 54½ 41½   41½ 32¾ (reed r)LEON SONNY 122 6.00 30% 2.30 2.80 S
3  PISTOL 3 3 11 1nk   2½ 44¾ (mccarthy w)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 3.50 12% 7.10 1.60  
2  KEEN ICE SIGHT 2 8 43½ 51¾   53½ 59¼ (paquette iii)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00 17.00  
4  SURPRISED GEM 4 7 87 76¾   67½ 613 (bailey ricardo)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 10.00 17.80  
1  BITTERSWT SYMPHONY 1 9 98½ 87   78½ 715½ (elliott l)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 10.00 11.20  
9  ICY RAIN 8 5 66½ 66¾   811 820 (hamm timothy)MARTINEZ R 122 15.00 5% 19.00 33.90  
10  QUEST FOR GOLD 9 1 76½ 97   915 927½ (gorham m)CORREA L 122 20.00 39.00  
SCR  ROSES FOR ASHLEY               (quartarolo t)RIVERA R 122 4.50 5% 17.40    
 
MVR-4   03/16/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
:214 :452 :581     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREE SPEECH 1 3 11½ 13   15 15¾ (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 1.80 33% 2.00 0.70 W
6  MY MAE DAY 6 5 612½ 611½   57½ 25¾ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 3.00 ★ 4.30 P
2  PAT DADDY 2 6 48 49   47 36 (rivera nestor)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 24% 3.20 4.00 S
4  PRETTY STORMY 4 4 36½ 37½   35½ 48½ (murillo alejandro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 19.50  
3  BIG TRIP 3 1 21½ 23   25 59¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 8.00 19% 4.30 6.60  
5  WIZARD WILLIE 5 2 58 59½   68½ 611¾ (johnson l)CORREA L 124 6.00 ★ 10.10  
SCR  VENETIAN DREAM               (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 1.80    
 
MVR-5   03/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
:23 :461 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PRESIDENT ELECT 5 8 87¼ 73¾   54¼ 12¼ (meraz antonio)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 3.00 15% 5.60 5.70 W
7  ROLLS ROYCE DEAL 6 5 51¾ 42½   44 22¼ (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 3.50 24% 3.20 2.10 P
4  YO BERBS 3 6 31½ 31½   34 32¾ (brown t)BRACHO A 124 20.00 6% 14.80 36.10 S
3  ROBERTOS TICKET 2 3 1½ 2nk   13½ 44 (pappada a)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 43.80  
5  RED BLUE AND TRUE 4 4 2½ 1nk   23½ 54½ (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 3.00  
9  JOHNNY CAB 8 2 62¼ 63½   77¼ 66 (dodge albert)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00 10% 9.20 9.20  
1  PERFETTO 1 7 41½ 53   65¼ 76¼ (poole c)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 2.50 11% 8.20 2.60  
8  MARRIAGE COUNSELOR 7 1 74¼ 84¾   87¾ 88¼ (erfle gerald)CCAMAQUE M 124 10.00 10.90  
SCR  OX TROT               (bernardini p)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 8.00    
 
MVR-6   03/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
:232 :48 1:013     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSION GIRL 3 5 42½ 4¾   3.2 12 (gorham m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 2.50 47% 1.10 1.20 W
6  LADY FORTUNE 7 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 22 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 118 4.50 ★ 5.90 P
3  MISS ELLIE 2 4 1nk 2nk   2nk 32¾ (doering mark)HOUGHTON D 118 3.00 28% 2.50 1.50 S
7  COPPER BEECH 8 1 31½ 3.2   41¾ 42¾ (langemeier l)ROMERO GREGORY 118 8.00 ★ 12.80  
4  MARGARITA CINCO 4 6 75¼ 62¾   51¾ 53 (castro a)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 5.00 18.00  
5  SHOSHA SHOSHA 6 8 87¼ 74¼   73¾ 65¾ (jones e)MUSARRO JOE 118 6.00 48.10  
2  STATE OF GRACE 1 7 52¾ 52¼   63¼ 76 (feebeck h)ROSARIO L 118 8.00 ★ 9.10  
1A  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 5 3 63¾ 85¾   84¾ 87 (gorham m)CORREA L 118 2.50 1.20  
 
MVR-7   03/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:223 :454 :591     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RUN BUBBA RUN 3 6 610½ 610¼   47½ 11 (smith larry)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 ★ 8.70  
7  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP 7 1 13 16½   15 21 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 31% 2.20 1.70 P
1  LUCKY STREAK 1 5 23 26½   25 33½ (gorham m)PILARES P 124 3.50 23% 3.30 1.70 S
6  MANGA MAN 6 7 712 713¼   711¼ 44¼ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 3.00 21% 3.80 4.00  
2  PECKS NOT BAD 2 2 35 38½   36½ 54½ (barker w)LEON SONNY 124 10.00 19.60  
5  GIFT OF OAK 5 4 58 58¾   67¾ 66¼ (haehn r)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00 34.60  
4  KITTENS ADAIR 4 3 45½ 48½   57½ 710¾ (egbert james)BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00 ★ 7.60  
 
MVR-8   03/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
:224 :463 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MANNFORD 7 2 32½ 3½   1½ 11¼ (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 124 4.00 17% 5.10 2.60 W
2  GALACTIC 2 3 1nk 1nk   2½ 21¼ (mcdonald james)HALDAR J 124 1.60 54% 0.90 0.50 P
6  JUDGE HEAD 6 4 43½ 43   32½ 34 (johnson l)CORREA L 124 15.00 41.40  
1  OAKS HONEY 1 7 67 55½   54 44¾ (jackson r)RIVERA R 124 3.50 10.80  
5  SEND ME ON 5 5 56½ 65¾   64½ 55 (gorham m)LEON SONNY 124 15.00 11.80  
3  REANIMATE 3 1 2nk 2nk   42½ 67¼ (castro a)HOUGHTON D 126 8.00 ★ 23.00  
4  OFTEN ENOUGH 4 6 713 711¾   710½ 710 (rivera nestor)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 ★ 11.80  
SCR  BUCKEYE RUCKUS               (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 126 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.