Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - March 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCKY Mar01 Feb14 Jan26 Jan14   (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.60 40% 1.50    
2  NO ENTIENDO Feb14 Jan11       (maver e)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
3  ALGORIX Mar02         (vecchi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ALFRED Mar01 Jan26 Jan05     (murillo rodrigue)LEON SONNY 124 2.00 23% 3.30    
5  GUCCISSIMO Mar01 Feb14 Feb01 Jan24   (bailey rica)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.50 ★    
6  GOTSOMEMOJO Mar01 Jan26 Jan05     (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 11% 8.20    
 
MVR-2   03/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIS MAN CAN Feb22 Jan12 Jan05     (tumblin a)CORREA L 124 4.00 13% 6.50    
1A  BUCKITITLEWAVE Mar08 Feb19 Jan24 Jan12   (tu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00    
2  WEST LEONARD Mar09 Feb22 Jan26     (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00 ★    
3  CAPTAIN RILEY Feb26 Feb15 Jan24 Jan12 Jan05 (spiess m)LEON SONNY 124 2.50 8% 11.70    
4  JACK BE FAST Feb26 Feb15 Jan24 Jan05   (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
5  ONE CRAZY RIDE Feb22 Jan15       (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
6  FUNNY BACHELOR Feb22 Jan19 Jan04     (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 126 5.00 15% 5.50    
 
MVR-3   03/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BITTERSWT SYMPHONY         (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 10.00    
2  KEEN ICE SIGHT Mar04 Feb11       (paquette raym)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00    
3  PISTOL Feb19 Jan09       (mccarthy mi)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 3.50 12% 7.10    
4  SURPRISED GEM Feb23 Feb14 Feb01 Jan25   (bailey rica)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 10.00    
5  IF YOU PLEASE         (kobiski)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00    
SCR  ROSES FOR ASHLEY         (quartarolo antho)RIVERA R 122 4.50 5% 17.40    
7  MIDNIGHTMAKESSENSE         (kenneally e)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
8  ITSALLABOUTACTION Feb14         (reed r)LEON SONNY 122 6.00 30% 2.30    
9  ICY RAIN Feb23         (hamm timoth)MARTINEZ R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  QUEST FOR GOLD         (gorham ro)CORREA L 122 20.00    
 
MVR-4   03/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREE SPEECH Feb22 Jan26       (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 1.80 33% 2.00    
SCR  VENETIAN DREAM Mar07         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 1.80    
2  PAT DADDY Feb28 Feb15 Jan31 Jan14   (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
3  BIG TRIP Mar05 Feb15 Jan31     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
4  PRETTY STORMY Feb21 Jan24       (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
5  WIZARD WILLIE Mar07 Feb28 Jan14     (johnson g)CORREA L 124 6.00 ★    
6  MY MAE DAY Feb28 Jan14       (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 3.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   03/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFETTO Feb28 Jan25       (poole jami )FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 2.50 11% 8.20    
SCR  OX TROT Mar02 Feb18 Jan26 Jan11   (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 8.00    
3  ROBERTOS TICKET Feb15         (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
4  YO BERBS Mar02 Feb15 Jan14     (brown t)BRACHO A 124 20.00 6% 14.80    
5  RED BLUE AND TRUE Mar02         (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00    
6  PRESIDENT ELECT Mar02 Feb15 Jan11     (meraz antoni)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 3.00 15% 5.60    
7  ROLLS ROYCE DEAL Feb22 Jan26       (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
8  MARRIAGE COUNSELOR Mar07 Feb22       (erfle gerald)CCAMAQUE M 124 10.00    
9  JOHNNY CAB Feb01 Jan11       (dodge albert)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00 10% 9.20    
 
MVR-6   03/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSION GIRL Mar02 Jan24 Jan08     (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
1A  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ         (gorham ro)CORREA L 118 2.50    
2  STATE OF GRACE         (feebeck thom)ROSARIO L 118 8.00 ★    
3  MISS ELLIE Mar02         (doering mark)HOUGHTON D 118 3.00 28% 2.50    
4  MARGARITA CINCO Mar02 Feb14 Jan12     (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 5.00    
5  SHOSHA SHOSHA Mar05 Feb16 Jan11     (jones e)MUSARRO JOE 118 6.00    
6  LADY FORTUNE Mar02 Jan08       (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 118 4.50 ★    
7  COPPER BEECH Mar02         (langemeier j)ROMERO GREGORY 118 8.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   03/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY STREAK Feb15 Jan15       (gorham )PILARES P 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
2  PECKS NOT BAD Feb18         (barker w)LEON SONNY 124 10.00    
3  RUN BUBBA RUN         (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 ★    
4  KITTENS ADAIR Feb18         (egbert james)BARBARAN ERIK 126 6.00 ★    
5  GIFT OF OAK Jan15         (haehn terry )KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00    
6  MANGA MAN Feb15 Jan15       (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
7  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP Feb15 Jan24       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
MVR-8   03/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OAKS HONEY Jan11         (jackson r)RIVERA R 124 3.50    
2  GALACTIC Mar08 Feb14 Jan04     (mcdonald jam)HALDAR J 124 1.60 54% 0.90    
3  REANIMATE Feb22 Jan11       (castro raquel )HOUGHTON D 126 8.00 ★    
4  OFTEN ENOUGH Mar07 Feb22 Jan24 Jan05   (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 ★    
5  SEND ME ON         (gorham m)LEON SONNY 124 15.00    
6  JUDGE HEAD Feb19 Jan11       (johnson g)CORREA L 124 15.00    
7  MANNFORD Jan04         (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 4.00 17% 5.10    
SCR  BUCKEYE RUCKUS Feb19 Jan24       (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.