Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Keeneland
Saturday - April 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
H. T. XENA   (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 4.00 4.60  
YES TO MISCHIEF   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 49% 1.00 2.10 P
BELIEVING (IRE)   (maker michael )ORTIZ L 124 3.00 1.90 S
CLASSY CHROME   (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 6.00 6.10  
LIZY D   (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 11.30  
MOONSHINE DREAMER   (corrigan j)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 18% 4.60 6.60  
SCR  GRATZ PARK   (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
 
KEE-2   04/16/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 1:32
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE CLUTCH   (arnold r)LANERIE J 120 6.00 5% 19.00 3.90 W
12  GROWTH CAPITAL   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 39% 1.50 1.70 P
CHASING THE CROWN   (maker michael )ORTIZ L 120 3.50 11% 7.80 4.50 S
11  URBAN FOREST   (mott willia)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00 8.00  
MAHONEY ROAD   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 15% 5.60 5.90  
TRULY MISCHIEF   (beckman whitw)COHEN DAVID 120 15.00 71.40  
10  LUCKMAN   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00 8% 11.50 25.70  
AIRSPEED VELOCITY   (toner james )GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00 11.30  
CAMP DADDY   (vaughan edward)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00 45.10  
MIZZEN MAN   (flint bern)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 30.00 94.70  
HE REIGNS   (ares paul)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 120 50.00 ######  
SPUNS SON   (taylor brent)ROCCO S 120 30.00 96.70  
SCR  BIG HELLO   (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 30.00    
SCR  BRINGER OF RAIN   (colebrook)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
SCR  TAFFIN   (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120 20.00    
SCR  TANGLED EMOTIONS   (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00    
 
KEE-3   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORT SUMMER DRESS   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 24% 3.20 0.80 W
REMAIN ANONYMOUS   (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 15% 5.60 5.20 P
RECODED   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 12.00  
HABOBANERO   (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 7.50  
1A  DANCE RHYTHMS   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 37% 1.70 3.60  
VINTAGE READY   (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 10.00 14.80  
YOGURT   (short derric)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 20.00 65.90  
BOLD FIGURE   (bahena ismael)CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00 5% 19.00 69.80  
SCR  DISTINCTIVE FLOWER   (peach chadwick )MOJICA JR 118 8.00    
SCR  STERLING MISS   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00    
 
KEE-4   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:36
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNDER OATH   (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 33% 2.00 1.20 W
ARTORIUS   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 21% 3.70 3.10 P
IMPROBABLE JOURNEY   (jones larr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00 9.00 S
10  TRUE JEDI   (davis christop)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 16% 5.20 3.50  
12  THE JUDGE AND JURY   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00 7% 12.70 70.30  
14  YOU MAKE ME HAPPY   (veinot trudy)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 67.90  
DINI D'AMORE   (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 34.00  
VINTAGE VINYL   (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 113 15.00 41.20  
STRINGS   (demeritte l)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00 ######  
RIKIO   (beckman d )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 31.90  
KANSAS COMET   (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 15.00 12.40  
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN   (barnett c)BEJARANO R 120 30.00    
SCR  KINGMAKER   (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00    
SCR  KRAHENBUHL   (mendez luis)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00    
 
KEE-5   04/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 3:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIMITED LIABILITY   (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 117 3.00 17% 4.80 4.00 W
FREEDOM'S WAY   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 5.80  
PLAY ACTION PASS   (medina robert)LANERIE J 117 8.00 10.50  
MERCI   (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 117 6.00 5.50  
UNDERDRESSED   (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 117 20.00 74.00  
12  SETNA THE WISE   (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 122 15.00 22.40  
13  SKYLANDER   (mott willia)RISPOLI UMBERTO 117 10.00 31.50  
10  BRIT'S WIT   (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 117 30.00 ######  
11  CHURCHTOWN   (attfield rog)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 6.00 7% 12.40 9.20  
CREDIT EVENT   (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 3.50 19% 4.30 1.70  
WATCH THE MUSIC   (mcgaughey )HERNANDEZ J 117 20.00 54.20  
LESSON LEARNED (IRE)   (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 117 15.00 29.10  
SCR  BLACKSMITH STRONG   (jura)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 117 30.00    
SCR  GINGRICH   (lynch a)GRAHAM J 117 12.00 6% 14.70    
SCR  SLIM SLOW SLIDER   (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 12.00    
SCR  TYSON (SAF)   (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 117 3.50 24% 3.10    
 
KEE-6   04/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RATIONAL CHOICE   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 29% 2.50 1.30 W
SOUTHERN PASSAGE   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 6% 15.60 10.60 P
MR. TIP   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 14% 6.30 9.40 S
MEISTER   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 2.50 3.20  
MARTINI BLU   (robertson )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 27.50  
WAYAKIN   (maker michael )ORTIZ L 118 2.50 21% 3.70 2.40  
SOROS   (cash norma)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 40.20  
 
KEE-7   04/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  EBBEN   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 14% 6.00 21.00 W
HERE MI SONG   (stinson w)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 5.00 54% 0.90 8.80 P
INJUNCTION   (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 118 2.00 2.00 S
CANDY TYCOON   (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 5.00  
SPEITFUL SAM   (londono genev)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 19.20  
FLAMINGO HAWK   (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
11  RUNWAY MAGIC   (drury tho)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 30.10  
BASQUIAT   (lewis lisa )RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 12.00 12.00  
NEXT   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
SECOND OF JULY   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 42.50  
THERIDEOFALIFETIME   (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 6.10  
 
KEE-8   04/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMPANELLE (IRE)   (ward a)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 12% 7.70 1.90 W
STAR DEVINE (IRE)   (abreu r)VELAZQUEZ R 122 30.00 17.30  
11  GOIN' GOOD   (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 7% 12.40 9.30 S
CHANGE OF CONTROL   (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 33% 2.10 4.20  
12  ELLE Z   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.00 16% 5.10 4.60  
JOUSTER   (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 8.50  
RISKY REWARD   (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 30.00 38.20  
15  PHANTOM VISION   (maker michael )ORTIZ L 122 15.00 10% 8.90 21.80  
VIOLENZA   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00 79.50  
14  A G INDY   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 23.10  
HEAR MY PRAYER   (cerin vladim)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 19.80  
HEADLINE HUNTER   (d'angelo jo)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 30.00 25.30  
10  GHOSTING KIM   (correas iv)GRAHAM J 122 30.00 45.30  
SCR  AMBASSADOR LUNA   (colebrook ben)LANERIE J 122 20.00    
SCR  SOCIAL CHATTER   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 50.00    
 
KEE-9   04/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 5:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAWNY PORT   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 21% 3.70 5.10 W
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of LIVI MAKENZIE by MACHO UNO)
MAJOR GENERAL   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 42% 1.40 7.10 P
  (by CONSTITUTION out of NO MO LEMONS by UNCLE MO)
IN DUE TIME   (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 14% 6.30 1.90 S
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SWEET SWEET ANNIE by CURLIN)
ETHEREAL ROAD   (lukas wayne)ESPINOZA V 118 10.00 9.50  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SUSTAINED by AFFIRMED)
STRAVA   (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 8.70  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CATCH MY DRIFT by COUNT THE TIME)
10  DASH ATTACK   (mcpeek kenneth)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 8.30  
  (by MUNNINGS out of CERCE CAY by HARD SPUN)
MIDNIGHT CHROME   (servis c)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 35.00  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of TIPSY AT MIDNIGHT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
HOWLING TIME   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 19.10  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WEREWOLF by ARCH)
11  CALL ME MIDNIGHT   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 8.10  
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of OVERSEEN by FIRST DEFENCE)
SKATE TO HEAVEN   (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 118 30.00 57.40  
  (by LAOBAN out of DIAMOND DONA by BERNARDINI)
WE ALL SEE IT   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 17.10  
  (by STREET SENSE out of KRISSY'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
KEE-10   04/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REGAL GLORY   (brown c)ORTIZ L 123 1.40 36% 1.80 1.00 W
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of MARY'S FOLLIES by MORE THAN READY)
SHANTISARA (IRE)   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.20 24% 3.20 1.20 P
  (by COULSTY out of KHARANA by DALAKHANI (IRE))
LADY SPEIGHTSPEARE   (attfield roger)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 6.70 S
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of LADY SHAKESPEARE by THEATRICAL (IRE))
SCARABEA   (sisterson)LEPAROUX R 123 20.00 8% 11.70 43.00  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of STARSTRUCK (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
NAVRATILOVA   (arnold ge)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 17.10  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of CENTRE COURT by SMART STRIKE)
WALIYAK (FR)   (vaughan edw)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 6.00 15.90  
  (by LE HAVRE (IRE) out of VADARIYA by SEA THE STARS (IRE))
 
KEE-11   04/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME GERRY   (joseph saf)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 20.90  
ESCAPE ROUTE   (glatt mark)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 11% 8.40 4.90 P
SOUP AND SANDWICH   (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 9.20  
HIGHLY MOTIVATED   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.60 1.40  
PAYNE   (caramori ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 8% 11.80 69.20  
VIOLENT CITY   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 18.90 DH
DUCALE   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 11% 8.20 2.30 DH
11  CHOCOLATE BAR   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 39% 1.50 10.40  
SOARING BIRD   (cundiff waylo)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00 8% 12.30 88.70  
SANTA CRUISER   (desormeaux)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 81.70  
SCR  OURNATIONONPARADE   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.