Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Saturday - April 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:121     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
H. T. XENA 1 3 32 33   1 1 (kenneally eddi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 4.00 4.60  
YES TO MISCHIEF 3 1 11 11   2 2 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 49% 1.00 2.10 P
BELIEVING 4 4 21 21   33 3 (maker j)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 1.90 S
CLASSY CHROME 2 5 44 4   4 413¼ (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 6.00 6.10  
LIZY D 5 6 610½ 614½   616 520 (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 11.30  
MOONSHINE DREAMER 6 2 56 510   514½ 627½ (corrigan jim)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 18% 4.60 6.60  
SCR  GRATZ PARK               (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
 
KEE-2   04/16/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:121 1:241   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE CLUTCH 2 5 3 33 4 1 1 (arnold r)LANERIE J 120 6.00 5% 19.00 3.90 W
12  GROWTH CAPITAL 12 7 7 76 63 32 2 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 39% 1.50 1.70 P
CHASING THE CROWN 8 6 53 54 31 2 3 (maker j)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 11% 7.80 4.50 S
11  URBAN FOREST 11 8 9 9 87 75 4 (mott william )RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00 8.00  
MAHONEY ROAD 6 2 21 21 2½ 5 56 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 15% 5.60 5.90  
TRULY MISCHIEF 7 3 64 66 5 4 66 (beckman whitwor)COHEN DAVID 120 15.00 71.40  
10  LUCKMAN 10 11 1111 1111 1010 8 7 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00 8% 11.50 25.70  
AIRSPEED VELOCITY 3 10 10 1010½ 9 9 810¾ (toner j)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00 11.30  
CAMP DADDY 1 1 11 11 1½ 6 914 (vaughan edward)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00 45.10  
MIZZEN MAN 4 4 4 4 75 109 1014¼ (flint bernar)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 30.00 94.70  
HE REIGNS 9 9 8 8 1112 1116 1123½ (ares paul)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 120 50.00 ######  
SPUNS SON 5 12 12100 12100 12100 12100 12100 (taylor brent)ROCCO S 120 30.00 96.70  
SCR  BIG HELLO               (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 30.00    
SCR  BRINGER OF RAIN               (colebrook b)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
SCR  TAFFIN               (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120 20.00    
SCR  TANGLED EMOTIONS               (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00    
 
KEE-3   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:221 :461 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORT SUMMER DRESS 8 1 2½ 11   11 1½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 24% 3.20 0.80 W
REMAIN ANONYMOUS 6 5 6 21   21 2½ (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 15% 5.60 5.20 P
RECODED 2 3 4 31   3 3½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 12.00  
HABOBANERO 3 6 5 5   4 4 (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 7.50  
1A  DANCE RHYTHMS 5 8 810½ 8   610 511¾ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 37% 1.70 3.60  
VINTAGE READY 7 2 1½ 4   5 614¼ (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 10.00 14.80  
YOGURT 4 7 77 79   713½ 718¾ (short derrick )WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 20.00 65.90  
BOLD FIGURE 1 4 31 6   815½ 824¼ (bahena ismael)CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00 5% 19.00 69.80  
SCR  DISTINCTIVE FLOWER               (peach a)MOJICA JR 118 8.00    
SCR  STERLING MISS               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00    
 
KEE-4   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:221 :452 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNDER OATH 8 3 66 54   31 1 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 33% 2.00 1.20 W
ARTORIUS 3 9 88 68   6 2 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 21% 3.70 3.10 P
IMPROBABLE JOURNEY 7 4 3 42   4 3 (jones larry)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00 9.00 S
10  TRUE JEDI 9 2 21 2nk   2nk 4 (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 16% 5.20 3.50  
12  THE JUDGE AND JURY 10 1 11 1nk   1nk 55 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00 7% 12.70 70.30  
14  YOU MAKE ME HAPPY 11 5 4 31   5 6 (veinot trudy)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 67.90  
DINI D'AMORE 1 6 54 7   7 710½ (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 34.00  
VINTAGE VINYL 6 11 1011 812½   812¾ 816 (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 113 15.00 41.20  
STRINGS 5 7 910 1014½   1014¾ 917¾ (demeritte lar)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00 ######  
RIKIO 2 8 7 913½   914¼ 1018 (beckman wh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 31.90  
KANSAS COMET 4 10 1111 1116   1118¾ 1126½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 15.00 12.40  
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN               (barnett c)BEJARANO R 120 30.00    
SCR  KINGMAKER               (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00    
SCR  KRAHENBUHL               (mendez luis)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00    
 
KEE-5   04/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:141 1:38   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIMITED LIABILITY 5 9 1213¼ 12 12 6 1¼ (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 117 3.00 17% 4.80 4.00 W
FREEDOM'S WAY 2 1 55 5 41 2½ 2¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 5.80  
PLAY ACTION PASS 4 3 7 63 63 31 3 (medina robert)LANERIE J 117 8.00 10.50  
MERCI 6 12 1010½ 11 9 52 4 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 117 6.00 5.50  
UNDERDRESSED 1 2 4 3 3½ 1½ 52 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 117 20.00 74.00  
12  SETNA THE WISE 11 10 8 9 10 9 6 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 122 15.00 22.40  
13  SKYLANDER 12 11 1110¾ 10 84 10 74 (mott william )RISPOLI UMBERTO 117 10.00 31.50  
10  BRIT'S WIT 9 8 99 85 11 114 8 (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 117 30.00 ######  
11  CHURCHTOWN 10 5 32 42 5 41 9 (attfield roger)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 6.00 7% 12.40 9.20  
CREDIT EVENT 3 6 6 73 7 12 106 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 3.50 19% 4.30 1.70  
WATCH THE MUSIC 7 7 2 2½ 1nk 7 11 (mcgaughey j )HERNANDEZ J 117 20.00 54.20  
LESSON LEARNED (IRE) 8 4 1 1½ 2nk 8 12 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 117 15.00 29.10  
SCR  BLACKSMITH STRONG               (jurado)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 117 30.00    
SCR  GINGRICH               (lynch a)GRAHAM J 117 12.00 6% 14.70    
SCR  SLIM SLOW SLIDER               (hernandez r)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 12.00    
SCR  TYSON (SAF)               (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 117 3.50 24% 3.10    
 
KEE-6   04/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:12 1:384   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RATIONAL CHOICE 2 3 5 59 4 1 1 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 29% 2.50 1.30 W
SOUTHERN PASSAGE 3 7 711½ 712½ 78 43 2 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 6% 15.60 10.60 P
MR. TIP 4 2 6 610 5 5 36 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 14% 6.30 9.40 S
MEISTER 1 4 21 2½ 21 2 48 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 2.50 3.20  
MARTINI BLU 7 5 11 1½ 11 3 5 (robertson mc)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 27.50  
WAYAKIN 6 6 3 32 32 65 612 (maker j)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 21% 3.70 2.40  
SOROS 5 1 44 4 6 712 730½ (cash norman )CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 40.20  
 
KEE-7   04/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:104     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  EBBEN 10 1 9 9   2nk 1nk (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 14% 6.00 21.00 W
HERE MI SONG 8 5 7 6   4¾ 2nk (stinson wil)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 5.00 54% 0.90 8.80 P
INJUNCTION 6 6 3 3.2   1nk 3.2 (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 118 2.00 2.00 S
CANDY TYCOON 4 9 42 5   5¾ 4 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 5.00  
SPEITFUL SAM 7 3 53 4¼   3½ 5 (londono genevie)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 19.20  
FLAMINGO HAWK 1 8 6 8   6 6 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
11  RUNWAY MAGIC 11 2 8 7   7 711½ (drury thoma)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 30.10  
BASQUIAT 9 10 10 10   84 815 (lewis l)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 12.00 12.00  
NEXT 5 7 2nk 1nk   107 923½ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
SECOND OF JULY 2 11 11 11   11 1024¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 42.50  
THERIDEOFALIFETIME 3 4 1nk 2nk   96 1130 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 10.00 6.10  
 
KEE-8   04/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:22 :444 :56     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMPANELLE (IRE) 3 5 52 5   31 1 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 12% 7.70 1.90 W
STAR DEVINE (IRE) 2 6 4 4   21 2 (abreu r)VELAZQUEZ R 122 30.00 17.30  
11  GOIN' GOOD 10 4 95 8   5 34 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 7% 12.40 9.30 S
CHANGE OF CONTROL 5 11 118 117   8 44 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 33% 2.10 4.20  
12  ELLE Z 11 1 1½ 1½   11 5 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.00 16% 5.10 4.60  
JOUSTER 6 13 1310¼ 12   11 65 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 8.50  
RISKY REWARD 4 7 62 6   105 7 (kenneally eddi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 30.00 38.20  
15  PHANTOM VISION 13 3 7 95   12 8 (maker j)ORTIZ L 122 15.00 10% 8.90 21.80  
VIOLENZA 1 10 84 7   43 9 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 122 30.00 79.50  
14  A G INDY 12 2 31 31   9 10 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 23.10  
HEAR MY PRAYER 7 8 10 10   6 11 (cerin vladimir)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 19.80  
HEADLINE HUNTER 8 9 2½ 2½   7 1210 (d'angelo jose)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 30.00 25.30  
10  GHOSTING KIM 9 12 1210 1310½   1310 1314¼ (correas iv)GRAHAM J 122 30.00 45.30  
SCR  AMBASSADOR LUNA               (colebrook ben)LANERIE J 122 20.00    
SCR  SOCIAL CHATTER               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 50.00    
 
KEE-9   04/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:122 1:383   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAWNY PORT 9 8 5 8 5 3 11 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 21% 3.70 5.10 W
MAJOR GENERAL 7 4 1nk 1½ 1nk 2nk 21 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 42% 1.40 7.10 P
IN DUE TIME 2 2 63 5 6 6 3 (breen j)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 14% 6.30 1.90 S
ETHEREAL ROAD 4 3 74 6 8 4 4 (lukas wayne)ESPINOZA V 118 10.00 9.50  
STRAVA 8 5 2nk 2½ 2nk 1nk 5 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 8.70  
10  DASH ATTACK 10 9 3½ 3 3 53 67 (mcpeek g)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 8.30  
MIDNIGHT CHROME 1 7 1111¼ 11 11 913½ 714½ (servis c)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 35.00  
HOWLING TIME 5 6 8 9 10 812 814½ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 19.10  
11  CALL ME MIDNIGHT 11 11 9 10 7 711½ 915½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 8.10  
SKATE TO HEAVEN 6 10 10 7 9 1115¾ 1023¾ (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 118 30.00 57.40  
WE ALL SEE IT 3 1 4 42 42 1015½ 1127¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 17.10  
 
KEE-10   04/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:114 1:35   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REGAL GLORY 4 4 21 21 21 1 11 (brown c)ORTIZ L 123 1.40 36% 1.80 1.00 W
SHANTISARA (IRE) 3 1 3 4 33 2 21 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.20 24% 3.20 1.20 P
LADY SPEIGHTSPEARE 6 6 64 6 6 6 3 (attfield roger)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 6.70 S
SCARABEA 1 3 5 54 55 44 48 (sisterson j)LEPAROUX R 123 20.00 8% 11.70 43.00  
NAVRATILOVA 5 2 11 11 11 3 58 (arnold geor)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 17.10  
WALIYAK (FR) 2 5 4 3 43 56 615¼ (vaughan edwar)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 6.00 15.90  
 
KEE-11   04/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:10     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME GERRY 3 6 7 6   4 1 (joseph saffi)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 20.90  
ESCAPE ROUTE 2 5 3.2 3.2   1nk 2 (glatt mark)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 11% 8.40 4.90 P
SOUP AND SANDWICH 5 4 2nk 1nk   2nk 3 (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 9.20  
HIGHLY MOTIVATED 4 7 9 9   8 4 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.60 1.40  
PAYNE 1 9 6 7   7 5 (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 8% 11.80 69.20  
VIOLENT CITY 7 3 1nk 2nk   3.2 63 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 18.90 DH
DUCALE 8 1 4 4   5 63 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 11% 8.20 2.30 DH
11  CHOCOLATE BAR 10 2 5 5   6 8 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 39% 1.50 10.40  
SOARING BIRD 9 10 8 8   9 910 (cundiff waylon)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00 8% 12.30 88.70  
SANTA CRUISER 6 8 10 1010   10 1016½ (desormeaux j)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 81.70  
SCR  OURNATIONONPARADE               (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.