Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Saturday - April 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   04/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:121     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  H. T. XENA 1 3 32 33   11½ 18½ (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 4.00 ★ 4.60  
3  YES TO MISCHIEF 3 1 11 11   21½ 28½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 49% 1.00 2.10 P
4  BELIEVING (IRE) 4 4 21 21   33 39¼ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 124 3.00 ★ 1.90 S
2  CLASSY CHROME 2 5 44 47½   48½ 413¼ (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 6.00 ★ 6.10  
6  LIZY D 5 6 610½ 614½   616 520 (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 11.30  
7  MOONSHINE DREAMER 6 2 56 510   514½ 627½ (corrigan j)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 18% 4.60 6.60  
SCR  GRATZ PARK               (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
 
KEE-2   04/16/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:121 1:241   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DOUBLE CLUTCH 2 5 32½ 33 41½ 11½ 12¼ (arnold r)LANERIE J 120 6.00 5% 19.00 3.90 W
12  GROWTH CAPITAL 12 7 74½ 76 63 32 22¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 39% 1.50 1.70 P
8  CHASING THE CROWN 8 6 53 54 31 21½ 33¾ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 120 3.50 11% 7.80 4.50 S
11  URBAN FOREST 11 8 96½ 98½ 87 75 44½ (mott willia)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00 8.00  
6  MAHONEY ROAD 6 2 21 21 2½ 52½ 56 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 15% 5.60 5.90  
7  TRULY MISCHIEF 7 3 64 66 52½ 42½ 66 (beckman whitw)COHEN DAVID 120 15.00 71.40  
10  LUCKMAN 10 11 1111 1111 1010 87½ 76¼ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00 8% 11.50 25.70  
3  AIRSPEED VELOCITY 3 10 108½ 1010½ 98½ 98½ 810¾ (toner james )GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00 11.30  
1  CAMP DADDY 1 1 11 11 1½ 64½ 914 (vaughan edward)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00 45.10  
4  MIZZEN MAN 4 4 42½ 43½ 75 109 1014¼ (flint bern)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 30.00 94.70  
9  HE REIGNS 9 9 85½ 87½ 1112 1116 1123½ (ares paul)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 120 50.00 ######  
5  SPUNS SON 5 12 12100 12100 12100 12100 12100 (taylor brent)ROCCO S 120 30.00 96.70  
SCR  BIG HELLO               (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 30.00    
SCR  BRINGER OF RAIN               (colebrook)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
SCR  TAFFIN               (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120 20.00    
SCR  TANGLED EMOTIONS               (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00    
 
KEE-3   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:221 :461 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SHORT SUMMER DRESS 8 1 2½ 11   11 1½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 24% 3.20 0.80 W
7  REMAIN ANONYMOUS 6 5 64½ 21   21 2½ (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 15% 5.60 5.20 P
3  RECODED 2 3 42½ 31   31½ 3½ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 12.00  
4  HABOBANERO 3 6 54½ 55½   46½ 48¼ (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 7.50  
1A  DANCE RHYTHMS 5 8 810½ 89½   610 511¾ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 37% 1.70 3.60  
8  VINTAGE READY 7 2 1½ 41½   57½ 614¼ (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 10.00 14.80  
6  YOGURT 4 7 77 79   713½ 718¾ (short derric)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 20.00 65.90  
2  BOLD FIGURE 1 4 31 67½   815½ 824¼ (bahena ismael)CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00 5% 19.00 69.80  
SCR  DISTINCTIVE FLOWER               (peach chadwick )MOJICA JR 118 8.00 ★    
SCR  STERLING MISS               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 ★    
 
KEE-4   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:221 :452 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  UNDER OATH 8 3 66 54   31 11½ (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 33% 2.00 1.20 W
3  ARTORIUS 3 9 88 68   65¼ 21½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 21% 3.70 3.10 P
7  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY 7 4 31½ 42   41½ 34¾ (jones larr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00 ★ 9.00 S
10  TRUE JEDI 9 2 21 2nk   2nk 44¾ (davis christop)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 16% 5.20 3.50  
12  THE JUDGE AND JURY 10 1 11 1nk   1nk 55 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00 7% 12.70 70.30  
14  YOU MAKE ME HAPPY 11 5 43½ 31   51¾ 65¾ (veinot trudy)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 67.90  
1  DINI D'AMORE 1 6 54 78½   78¼ 710½ (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 34.00  
6  VINTAGE VINYL 6 11 1011 812½   812¾ 816 (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 113 15.00 41.20  
5  STRINGS 5 7 910 1014½   1014¾ 917¾ (demeritte l)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00 ######  
2  RIKIO 2 8 76½ 913½   914¼ 1018 (beckman d )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 31.90  
4  KANSAS COMET 4 10 1111 1116   1118¾ 1126½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 15.00 12.40  
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN               (barnett c)BEJARANO R 120 30.00    
SCR  KINGMAKER               (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00    
SCR  KRAHENBUHL               (mendez luis)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00    
 
KEE-5   04/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:141 1:38   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LIMITED LIABILITY 5 9 1213¼ 128¼ 126¼ 62½ 1¼ (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 117 3.00 17% 4.80 4.00 W
2  FREEDOM'S WAY 2 1 55 52½ 41 2½ 2¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 5.80  
5  PLAY ACTION PASS 4 3 76½ 63 63 31 31¼ (medina robert)LANERIE J 117 8.00 10.50  
7  MERCI 6 12 1010½ 116¾ 94¼ 52 41½ (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 117 6.00 5.50  
1  UNDERDRESSED 1 2 43½ 31½ 3½ 1½ 52 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 117 20.00 74.00  
12  SETNA THE WISE 11 10 88½ 95¼ 104¾ 93¼ 63¼ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 122 15.00 22.40  
13  SKYLANDER 12 11 1110¾ 106¼ 84 103¾ 74 (mott willia)RISPOLI UMBERTO 117 10.00 31.50  
10  BRIT'S WIT 9 8 99 85 115¾ 114 84¾ (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 117 30.00 ######  
11  CHURCHTOWN 10 5 32 42 51½ 41 94¾ (attfield rog)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 6.00 7% 12.40 9.20  
4  CREDIT EVENT 3 6 66½ 73 73½ 124½ 106 (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 3.50 19% 4.30 1.70  
8  WATCH THE MUSIC 7 7 21½ 2½ 1nk 72¾ 118¾ (mcgaughey )HERNANDEZ J 117 20.00 54.20  
9  LESSON LEARNED (IRE) 8 4 11½ 1½ 2nk 82¾ 129¼ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 117 15.00 29.10  
SCR  BLACKSMITH STRONG               (jura)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 117 30.00    
SCR  GINGRICH               (lynch a)GRAHAM J 117 12.00 6% 14.70    
SCR  SLIM SLOW SLIDER               (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 12.00    
SCR  TYSON (SAF)               (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 117 3.50 24% 3.10    
 
KEE-6   04/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:12 1:384   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RATIONAL CHOICE 2 3 56½ 59 44½ 11½ 12¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 29% 2.50 1.30 W
3  SOUTHERN PASSAGE 3 7 711½ 712½ 78 43 22¾ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 6% 15.60 10.60 P
4  MR. TIP 4 2 67½ 610 56½ 54½ 36 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 14% 6.30 9.40 S
1  MEISTER 1 4 21 2½ 21 21½ 48 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 2.50 3.20  
7  MARTINI BLU 7 5 11 1½ 11 31½ 58½ (robertson )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 27.50  
6  WAYAKIN 6 6 31½ 32 32 65 612 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 118 2.50 21% 3.70 2.40  
5  SOROS 5 1 44 44½ 66½ 712 730½ (cash norma)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 ★ 40.20  
 
KEE-7   04/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:104     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  EBBEN 10 1 94¾ 94¾   2nk 1nk (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 14% 6.00 21.00 W
8  HERE MI SONG 8 5 74¼ 62¼   4¾ 2nk (stinson w)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 5.00 54% 0.90 8.80 P
6  INJUNCTION 6 6 31½ 3.2   1nk 3.2 (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 118 2.00 ★ 2.00 S
4  CANDY TYCOON 4 9 42 51¼   5¾ 42½ (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 5.00  
7  SPEITFUL SAM 7 3 53 4¼   3½ 58½ (londono genev)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 19.20  
1  FLAMINGO HAWK 1 8 63¼ 83¾   63¼ 69¾ (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
11  RUNWAY MAGIC 11 2 84¾ 72¾   73½ 711½ (drury tho)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 30.10  
9  BASQUIAT 9 10 105¾ 106¼   84 815 (lewis lisa )RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 12.00 12.00  
5  NEXT 5 7 2nk 1nk   107 923½ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
2  SECOND OF JULY 2 11 116¾ 117¾   118½ 1024¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 42.50  
3  THERIDEOFALIFETIME 3 4 1nk 2nk   96 1130 (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 6.10  
 
KEE-8   04/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:22 :444 :56     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CAMPANELLE (IRE) 3 5 52 52½   31 12½ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 12% 7.70 1.90 W
2  STAR DEVINE (IRE) 2 6 41½ 41½   21 22½ (abreu r)VELAZQUEZ R 122 30.00 17.30  
11  GOIN' GOOD 10 4 95 84½   53¼ 34 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 7% 12.40 9.30 S
5  CHANGE OF CONTROL 5 11 118 117   84¼ 44 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 33% 2.10 4.20  
12  ELLE Z 11 1 1½ 1½   11 54¾ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.00 16% 5.10 4.60  
6  JOUSTER 6 13 1310¼ 128½   115½ 65 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 8.50  
4  RISKY REWARD 4 7 62 63½   105 77¾ (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 30.00 38.20  
15  PHANTOM VISION 13 3 73½ 95   126½ 88¾ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 122 15.00 10% 8.90 21.80  
1  VIOLENZA 1 10 84 74½   43 98¾ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00 79.50  
14  A G INDY 12 2 31 31   94¾ 109¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 23.10  
8  HEAR MY PRAYER 7 8 106½ 106½   63¼ 119½ (cerin vladim)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 19.80  
9  HEADLINE HUNTER 8 9 2½ 2½   73¾ 1210 (d'angelo jo)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 30.00 25.30  
10  GHOSTING KIM 9 12 1210 1310½   1310 1314¼ (correas iv)GRAHAM J 122 30.00 45.30  
SCR  AMBASSADOR LUNA               (colebrook ben)LANERIE J 122 20.00    
SCR  SOCIAL CHATTER               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 50.00    
 
KEE-9   04/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:122 1:383   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  TAWNY PORT 9 8 52½ 83¾ 52¼ 31½ 11 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 21% 3.70 5.10 W
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of LIVI MAKENZIE by MACHO UNO)
7  MAJOR GENERAL 7 4 1nk 1½ 1nk 2nk 21 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 42% 1.40 7.10 P
  (by CONSTITUTION out of NO MO LEMONS by UNCLE MO)
2  IN DUE TIME 2 2 63 52½ 63¼ 63½ 32½ (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 14% 6.30 1.90 S
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SWEET SWEET ANNIE by CURLIN)
4  ETHEREAL ROAD 4 3 74 63½ 84¼ 42½ 43½ (lukas wayne)ESPINOZA V 118 10.00 ★ 9.50  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SUSTAINED by AFFIRMED)
8  STRAVA 8 5 2nk 2½ 2nk 1nk 56½ (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 8.70  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CATCH MY DRIFT by COUNT THE TIME)
10  DASH ATTACK 10 9 3½ 31½ 31½ 53 67 (mcpeek kenneth)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 8.30  
  (by MUNNINGS out of CERCE CAY by HARD SPUN)
1  MIDNIGHT CHROME 1 7 1111¼ 116¼ 119¼ 913½ 714½ (servis c)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 35.00  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of TIPSY AT MIDNIGHT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
5  HOWLING TIME 5 6 84¼ 94¼ 107¾ 812 814½ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 ★ 19.10  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WEREWOLF by ARCH)
11  CALL ME MIDNIGHT 11 11 94¾ 104¼ 73¾ 711½ 915½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 8.10  
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of OVERSEEN by FIRST DEFENCE)
6  SKATE TO HEAVEN 6 10 105¼ 73½ 97¾ 1115¾ 1023¾ (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 118 30.00 57.40  
  (by LAOBAN out of DIAMOND DONA by BERNARDINI)
3  WE ALL SEE IT 3 1 41½ 42 42 1015½ 1127¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 17.10  
  (by STREET SENSE out of KRISSY'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
KEE-10   04/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:114 1:35   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  REGAL GLORY 4 4 21 21 21 11½ 11 (brown c)ORTIZ L 123 1.40 36% 1.80 1.00 W
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of MARY'S FOLLIES by MORE THAN READY)
3  SHANTISARA (IRE) 3 1 31½ 42½ 33 21½ 21 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.20 24% 3.20 1.20 P
  (by COULSTY out of KHARANA by DALAKHANI (IRE))
6  LADY SPEIGHTSPEARE 6 6 64 64½ 65½ 66¼ 37¾ (attfield roger)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 ★ 6.70 S
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of LADY SHAKESPEARE by THEATRICAL (IRE))
1  SCARABEA 1 3 53½ 54 55 44 48 (sisterson)LEPAROUX R 123 20.00 8% 11.70 43.00  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of STARSTRUCK (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
5  NAVRATILOVA 5 2 11 11 11 31½ 58 (arnold ge)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 ★ 17.10  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of CENTRE COURT by SMART STRIKE)
2  WALIYAK (FR) 2 5 42½ 32½ 43 56 615¼ (vaughan edw)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 6.00 15.90  
  (by LE HAVRE (IRE) out of VADARIYA by SEA THE STARS (IRE))
 
KEE-11   04/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:10     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AWESOME GERRY 3 6 75¼ 64¼   41¾ 11½ (joseph saf)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 20.90  
2  ESCAPE ROUTE 2 5 3.2 3.2   1nk 21½ (glatt mark)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 11% 8.40 4.90 P
5  SOUP AND SANDWICH 5 4 2nk 1nk   2nk 31¾ (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 9.20  
4  HIGHLY MOTIVATED 4 7 98¾ 98½   84¼ 42½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.60 1.40  
1  PAYNE 1 9 63¾ 74½   73¾ 52¾ (caramori ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 8% 11.80 69.20  
7  VIOLENT CITY 7 3 1nk 2nk   3.2 63 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 18.90 DH
8  DUCALE 8 1 42¼ 42¼   51¾ 63 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 11% 8.20 2.30 DH
11  CHOCOLATE BAR 10 2 53¼ 52¼   62¼ 88¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 39% 1.50 10.40  
9  SOARING BIRD 9 10 86¾ 86½   95¼ 910 (cundiff waylo)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00 8% 12.30 88.70  
6  SANTA CRUISER 6 8 109¾ 1010   107¾ 1016½ (desormeaux)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 81.70  
SCR  OURNATIONONPARADE               (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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