Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Saturday - April 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   04/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  H. T. XENA Feb22 Jan15       (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 4.00 ★    
2  CLASSY CHROME Feb21         (devaux cherie)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 6.00 ★    
3  YES TO MISCHIEF         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
4  BELIEVING (IRE) Feb12         (maker michael )ORTIZ L 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  GRATZ PARK Feb22 Jan08       (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
6  LIZY D Mar26 Jan16       (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
7  MOONSHINE DREAMER Feb16         (corrigan j)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 18% 4.60    
 
KEE-2   04/16/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMP DADDY         (vaughan edward)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
2  DOUBLE CLUTCH Feb26         (arnold r)LANERIE J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  AIRSPEED VELOCITY Feb19         (toner james )GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00    
4  MIZZEN MAN Mar26 Mar03 Feb17 Jan17   (flint bern)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 30.00    
5  SPUNS SON Mar25         (taylor brent)ROCCO S 120 30.00    
6  MAHONEY ROAD Mar17         (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 15% 5.60    
7  TRULY MISCHIEF         (beckman whitw)COHEN DAVID 120 15.00    
8  CHASING THE CROWN Feb26         (maker michael )ORTIZ L 120 3.50 11% 7.80    
9  HE REIGNS Mar12 Feb16 Jan22     (ares paul)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 120 50.00    
10  LUCKMAN Mar03 Jan22       (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00 8% 11.50    
11  URBAN FOREST Feb26         (mott willia)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00    
12  GROWTH CAPITAL Feb26         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 39% 1.50    
SCR  BIG HELLO         (sherman alan)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 30.00    
SCR  TANGLED EMOTIONS Mar10         (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00    
SCR  BRINGER OF RAIN Feb26         (colebrook)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
SCR  TAFFIN         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120 20.00    
 
KEE-3   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DANCE RHYTHMS Mar13 Feb13       (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  STERLING MISS Mar12 Feb14       (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 ★    
2  BOLD FIGURE Mar05 Feb11       (bahena ismae)MORALES JOSHUA 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  RECODED Mar19 Jan22 Jan09     (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00    
4  HABOBANERO Mar04 Feb10 Jan22 Jan01   (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
SCR  DISTINCTIVE FLOWER Mar02         (peach chadwick )MOJICA JR 118 8.00 ★    
6  YOGURT Mar21 Feb10 Jan22     (short derric)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 20.00    
7  REMAIN ANONYMOUS Feb10 Jan22       (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 15% 5.60    
8  VINTAGE READY Jan29         (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 10.00    
9  SHORT SUMMER DRESS Feb14 Jan15       (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
KEE-4   04/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DINI D'AMORE         (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
2  RIKIO         (beckman d )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00    
3  ARTORIUS         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
4  KANSAS COMET         (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 15.00    
5  STRINGS Feb23         (demeritte l)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00    
6  VINTAGE VINYL Feb19 Jan22       (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 113 15.00    
7  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY Mar13 Feb21 Jan29     (jones larr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00 ★    
8  UNDER OATH Mar12         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  KRAHENBUHL         (mendez luis)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00    
10  TRUE JEDI Mar18         (davis christop)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN Mar26         (barnett c)BEJARANO R 120 30.00    
12  THE JUDGE AND JURY Feb23 Jan22       (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00 7% 12.70    
SCR  KINGMAKER Mar19 Feb12       (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00    
14  YOU MAKE ME HAPPY Mar02 Feb12 Jan16     (veinot trudy)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
 
KEE-5   04/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNDERDRESSED Mar19 Feb25 Jan22 Jan02   (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 117 20.00    
2  FREEDOM'S WAY Feb19         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
SCR  SLIM SLOW SLIDER Apr02 Mar19 Feb23     (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 12.00    
4  CREDIT EVENT Jan20         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 3.50 19% 4.30    
5  PLAY ACTION PASS         (medina robert)LANERIE J 117 8.00    
6  LIMITED LIABILITY         (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 117 3.00 17% 4.80    
7  MERCI Feb11         (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 117 6.00    
8  WATCH THE MUSIC         (mcgaughey )HERNANDEZ J 117 20.00    
9  LESSON LEARNED (IRE)         (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 117 15.00    
10  BRIT'S WIT Mar25 Feb18       (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 117 30.00    
11  CHURCHTOWN         (attfield rog)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 6.00 7% 12.40    
12  SETNA THE WISE Mar03         (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 122 15.00    
13  SKYLANDER Feb25 Jan15       (mott willia)RISPOLI UMBERTO 117 10.00    
SCR  GINGRICH Mar12 Jan01       (lynch a)GRAHAM J 117 12.00 6% 14.70    
SCR  TYSON (SAF) Mar04         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 117 3.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  BLACKSMITH STRONG Mar19 Mar04 Feb23     (jura)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 117 30.00    
 
KEE-6   04/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEISTER Feb12         (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 2.50    
2  RATIONAL CHOICE Mar20 Feb06       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.00 29% 2.50    
3  SOUTHERN PASSAGE         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 6% 15.60    
4  MR. TIP         (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 14% 6.30    
5  SOROS         (cash norma)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 ★    
6  WAYAKIN Mar18 Feb18       (maker michael )ORTIZ L 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
7  MARTINI BLU Apr02 Jan29 Jan01     (robertson )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
 
KEE-7   04/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAMINGO HAWK         (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SECOND OF JULY         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
3  THERIDEOFALIFETIME         (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
4  CANDY TYCOON Jan22 Jan01       (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
5  NEXT Mar10         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  INJUNCTION Mar05         (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 118 2.00 ★    
7  SPEITFUL SAM Mar09 Jan02       (londono genev)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00    
8  HERE MI SONG Mar12 Jan01       (stinson w)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 5.00 54% 0.90    
9  BASQUIAT Feb19         (lewis lisa )RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 12.00    
10  EBBEN Mar18 Feb03       (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 14% 6.00    
11  RUNWAY MAGIC         (drury tho)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
 
KEE-8   04/16/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIOLENZA Mar10         (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00    
2  STAR DEVINE (IRE)         (abreu r)VELAZQUEZ R 122 30.00    
3  CAMPANELLE (IRE)         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 12% 7.70    
4  RISKY REWARD Mar13 Feb13 Jan06     (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 30.00    
5  CHANGE OF CONTROL Mar01 Jan29       (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 33% 2.10    
6  JOUSTER Mar05         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00    
SCR  SOCIAL CHATTER         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 50.00    
8  HEAR MY PRAYER Feb26 Jan09       (cerin vladim)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00    
9  HEADLINE HUNTER Mar12 Feb09 Jan23     (d'angelo jo)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 30.00    
10  GHOSTING KIM Mar25 Jan29 Jan02     (correas iv)GRAHAM J 122 30.00    
11  GOIN' GOOD Mar01         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 7% 12.40    
12  ELLE Z Mar01 Jan29 Jan01     (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  AMBASSADOR LUNA Mar04         (colebrook ben)LANERIE J 122 20.00    
14  A G INDY Jan29         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
15  PHANTOM VISION Mar10 Jan23       (maker michael )ORTIZ L 122 15.00 10% 8.90    
 
KEE-9   04/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT CHROME Mar20         (servis c)ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of TIPSY AT MIDNIGHT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  IN DUE TIME Mar05 Feb04 Jan08     (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 14% 6.30    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SWEET SWEET ANNIE by CURLIN)
3  WE ALL SEE IT Mar19 Feb11       (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of KRISSY'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  ETHEREAL ROAD Apr09 Feb26 Jan29     (lukas wayne)ESPINOZA V 118 10.00 ★    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SUSTAINED by AFFIRMED)
5  HOWLING TIME Mar05         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 ★    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WEREWOLF by ARCH)
6  SKATE TO HEAVEN Mar19 Jan29 Jan15     (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 118 30.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of DIAMOND DONA by BERNARDINI)
7  MAJOR GENERAL Mar12         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 42% 1.40    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of NO MO LEMONS by UNCLE MO)
8  STRAVA Feb19 Jan15       (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CATCH MY DRIFT by COUNT THE TIME)
9  TAWNY PORT Apr02 Feb19 Jan07     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of LIVI MAKENZIE by MACHO UNO)
10  DASH ATTACK Feb26 Jan29 Jan01     (mcpeek kenneth)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of CERCE CAY by HARD SPUN)
11  CALL ME MIDNIGHT Mar26 Jan22       (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of OVERSEEN by FIRST DEFENCE)
 
KEE-10   04/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCARABEA Apr02 Jan29       (sisterson)LEPAROUX R 123 20.00 8% 11.70    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of STARSTRUCK (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
2  WALIYAK (FR)         (vaughan edw)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 6.00    
  (by LE HAVRE (IRE) out of VADARIYA by SEA THE STARS (IRE))
3  SHANTISARA (IRE)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 1.20 24% 3.20    
  (by COULSTY out of KHARANA by DALAKHANI (IRE))
4  REGAL GLORY Jan29         (brown c)ORTIZ L 123 1.40 36% 1.80    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of MARY'S FOLLIES by MORE THAN READY)
5  NAVRATILOVA Mar05         (arnold ge)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 ★    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of CENTRE COURT by SMART STRIKE)
6  LADY SPEIGHTSPEARE Mar12 Feb05       (attfield roger)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 ★    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of LADY SHAKESPEARE by THEATRICAL (IRE))
 
KEE-11   04/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAYNE Jan29         (caramori ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 8% 11.80    
2  ESCAPE ROUTE Mar12 Jan30       (glatt mark)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 11% 8.40    
3  AWESOME GERRY Mar05         (joseph saf)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
4  HIGHLY MOTIVATED         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.60    
5  SOUP AND SANDWICH Mar05 Feb05       (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
6  SANTA CRUISER Feb10 Jan13       (desormeaux)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00    
7  VIOLENT CITY Feb05 Jan07       (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
8  DUCALE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 11% 8.20    
9  SOARING BIRD Feb17         (cundiff waylo)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  OURNATIONONPARADE Mar01 Feb05 Jan01     (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
11  CHOCOLATE BAR Mar05 Jan07       (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 39% 1.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.