Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Monday - February 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   02/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:25 :51 1:171 1:302   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAKE RUNNER 2 1 11 1½ 1nk 1nk 1hd (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 117 4.50 4.20  
I'M A CUSTOM TO IT 3 3 21 2½ 3.2 2nk 2hd (scherer eric )VARGAS P 117 3.50 56% 0.80 2.20 P
LOOKING HOT 5 2 42 31 2nk 31 3 (mouton pat)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.50 15% 5.60 9.40 S
PAT HAND GIRL 7 5 5 53 4 43 42 (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 117 4.50 2.70  
BAD GAL RIRI 6 6 7 7 6 66 5 (singh s)SINGH R 125 8.00 16.20  
RECKLESS SERGEANT 4 4 32 4 5 5 68 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 3.00 2.60  
ABSOLUTELY MINDY 1 7 6 6 7 716 731 (thompson kev)LAVIOLETTE S 125 20.00 55.70  
 
FG-2   02/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:242 :51 1:17 1:412   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ LIGHT THE WAY 8 6 5 53 32 11 1½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50 7% 13.60 0.70 W
INDY TOURIST 9 7 8 8 63 21 2½ (delany sarah)PARKER L 120 12.00 18.10  
SHARPENDUP 4 9 9 10 9 53 3 (jeansonne ju)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.00 24% 3.10 7.40 S
FREEDOM FACTOR 2 8 7 6 7 32 4 (richards coral)COTTO L 120 4.00 31% 2.20 4.60  
THE GREEN MO'STER 6 2 21 2½ 4 7 5 (singh s)SINGH R 120 8.00 7% 14.30 24.50  
TIGERBEACH 7 5 42 3 1½ 4 6 (wilson shan)MORALES ROBERTO 120 12.00 5% 19.00 42.70  
BOURBON TAN 5 1 64 7 8 97 712½ (tracy tanner)SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00 53.60  
FOOLISH STEVE 3 3 32 4 53 87 815¾ (faucheux r)MARQUEZ L 120 6.00 8.60  
BIG FALCON ROCKET 1 4 11 1½ 2½ 65 916¼ (lopez elias)RIQUELME J 120 12.00 24.50  
10  UPHAM 10 10 10 9 10100 10100 10100 (silva carl)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00 19.60  
SCR  BLUERIDGE MOUNTAIN               (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00    
SCR  BRIAR JUMPER               (crowder m)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 20.00    
SCR  SECRET VISTA               (jeansonne )MARQUEZ L 117 6.00    
 
FG-3   02/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:142 1:28   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOTMOLLY 4 1 914¾ 9 65 2 12 (scherer gary)DIAZ RENE 116 4.50 16% 5.20 2.80 W
BLUE RIDGE QUEEN 6 3 1 1nk 1½ 1 22 (klanfer alan)COTTO L 121 3.00 36% 1.80 2.30 P
STAR'S DREAM 2 5 5 44 4 3 37 (hodges e)GRAHAM J 121 6.00 8.30  
MIDNIGHT TRIP 1 8 6 6 5 45 4 (cordero ang)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 9% 10.70 2.60  
1A  KITTENOFTHE COURT 9 4 3 3 3 5 511½ (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00 8.30  
YOUNMEHONEYBUNNY 5 2 2 2nk 2½ 6 612½ (brinkman brett)GREEN AUBRIE 121 4.00 13% 7.00 6.20  
STAR PRADO 3 7 812¼ 7 76 78 715¼ (wilson shane)CULP BRIANNE 116 10.00 15.50  
NINE LINE BIND 8 6 4 5 99 911½ 824¼ (alonzo howard)SANJUR SANTO 121 20.00 36.20  
TWO WITH A TEN 7 9 712 8 88 810 932 (leblanc jo)MARQUEZ L 121 6.00 21.90  
SCR  MEG AND CLAIR               (gomez jorge)RIQUELME J 121 20.00    
 
FG-4   02/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($46K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:251 :511 1:16 1:30   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVVY SHIPMAN 6 6 56 5 5 21 1hd (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 14% 6.30 8.20 W
10  MONEY WELL SPENT 9 3 3 33 32 11 2hd (scherer t)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 14% 6.10 0.90 P
G'S DEADLINE 5 5 4 44 43 32 3 (jeansonne justin)PARKER L 120 4.00 3.50  
AIR GUITAR STAR 8 7 8 97 8 7 4 (hargrave kenn)GILLIGAN JACK 120 15.00 5% 19.00 18.30  
TOP TEN DUCHESS 4 2 21 22 22 43 5 (thomas lee)MOJICA O 120 15.00 28.00  
LIL ASHLEY B. 2 9 77 86 7 8 6 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 9.70  
MY LITTLE JEN 7 8 9 65 6 64 7 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00 25.10  
SPELLBINDING 3 4 11 12 12 5 810¾ (schwandt em)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 36% 1.80 6.50  
BALOOK 1 1 6 7 9 910 918½ (courville rick)COTTO L 120 20.00 84.10  
SCR  MILA'S GOLD               (wilson shane)RIQUELME J 120 8.00    
SCR  THEBOYZGALAXY               (dandridge co)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00 8% 11.90    
 
FG-5   02/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:143 1:413   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOSH PIT 2 2 3 3 4 2½ 11 (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 117 2.00 49% 1.00 1.90 W
PATH TO SUCCESS 5 3 2½ 2nk 1½ 1½ 21 (stidham michael)GRAHAM J 122 2.50 10% 9.50 2.20 P
TIZABIGMICK 1 4 65 6 5 44 3 (baker james)MOJICA O 122 6.00 7% 12.70 1.80 S
GRAN MUCHACO 4 5 5 5 66 66 4 (lopez elias)MORALES ROBERTO 122 6.00 7% 13.40 11.50  
SHOETRICK 3 1 1½ 1nk 2½ 5 5 (brinkman )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00 12.90 DH
T G'S NELSON 6 6 4 42 31 3 5 (gabriel te)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00 17.70 DH
 
FG-6   02/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:241 :511 1:171 1:433   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEY RUN 7 8 610½ 510½ 57 2nk 14 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 8% 12.20 1.10 W
SUMTING RIGHT 3 1 25 2 24 1nk 24 (casse mar)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00 22% 3.60 10.20 P
CLARA BELLE 2 6 812½ 912¾ 6 6 34 (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 7.80 S
ZEN (IRE) 4 5 4 49 36 4 4 (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 120 5.00 37% 1.70 3.00  
AMERICAN DEPUTY 8 3 37 38 46 5 5 (asmussen ste)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 6.90  
DIAL TEN FOR G 6 2 15 1 14 3½ 6 (west g)PARKER L 120 10.00 18.40  
C C'S COWGIRL 1 7 913 712 814 712½ 714½ (schmidt deni)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00 45.50  
DRESSEDTOIMPRESS 9 9 711 1012¾ 712 813½ 818 (baker james)DIAZ RENE 115 20.00 73.40  
10  GOLDEN TWIST 10 4 5 610½ 914¼ 919½ 930¼ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 120 20.00 15.90  
UNION GRAD 5 10 1013¼ 812½ 1018¼ 1034½ 1055¾ (harrison cor)LAVIOLETTE S 120 10.00 50.20  
SCR  CHATON ROUGE               (glover tracey)GREEN AUBRIE 118 20.00    
SCR  FREUDIAN               (hartman chris)GREEN AUBRIE 120 4.50 9% 10.10    
SCR  SUPER FIRE               (stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
SCR  SURREY               (harrison cort)GILLIGAN JACK 120 10.00    
SCR  TWIN CAUSE               (hartman chris)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
 
FG-7   02/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:222 :454 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASSERTIVE STYLE 5 1 4 1½   1½ 1nk (hartman chris)MOJICA O 120 6.00 11.40  
STERLING MISS 6 5 63 5   2½ 2nk (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 12% 7.50 16.40 P
AUSTRALASIA 2 2 3 4   5 3 (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 117 2.50 31% 2.20 1.80 S
PALIO FLAG 4 6 52 6   32 4 (asmussen st)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00 4.60  
EUPHORIC 3 4 2½ 3½   42 52 (flint bern)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 15% 5.70 3.00  
SHORT SUMMER DRESS 1 3 1½ 2½   6 6 (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 2.30  
SCR  SAIL ON ELLEN               (lovell michelle)PARKER L 122 8.00 11% 8.20    
 
FG-8   02/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($49K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:36
See original race card.
:233 :491 1:153 1:41   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASH LOGISTICS 7 5 5 46 5 31 1nk (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 13.70  
BEMMA'S BOY 1 7 79 7 6 6 2nk (maker michael )SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.00 4.90 P
SPANISH KINGDOM 5 3 22 22 1½ 1nk 3.15 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 3.40 S
T D DANCE 6 4 35 3 2½ 2nk 4¼ (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 41% 1.40 2.30  
LUCKY CURLIN 4 6 6 67 4 52 55 (casse mar)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00 8% 12.30 3.90  
PERFECT SPEIGHTY 2 2 46 56 32 4 6 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 10.20  
MR. HUSTLE 3 1 12 12 712½ 732¼ 791 (cano juan )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 5.30  
SCR  EXCESS MAGIC               (calhoun will)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00    
SCR  JAIS'S SOLITUDE               (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  WARRIOR IN CHIEF               (morley th)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.50    
 
FG-9   02/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:07
See original race card.
:23 :463 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT PERIGEE 5 1 1½ 1   1 1½ (camejo m)DIAZ RENE 119 2.50 46% 1.20 5.90 W
VON DOM 8 3 31 2   2 2½ (courville rick)COTTO L 121 10.00 34.10  
CHAMBLISS 7 2 4 43   4 3 (duhon josep)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00 14.60  
HARBOR KNIGHT 6 7 7 6   66 4 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 5% 19.00 20.30  
MEAN CANNON 1 4 2½ 3   3 5 (jeansonne justin)MOJICA O 121 6.00 3.30  
GALLANT STAR 3 6 5 5   55 6 (faucheux ron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 5.00 7% 12.60 2.80  
APRIORITY STORM 2 5 6 7   7 7 (pedigo randy)CULP BRIANNE 116 20.00 58.80  
MONEY AND ME 4 8 810 811½   814½ 819¼ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 13% 6.70 1.30  
SCR  SEMI CHARMED LIFE               (besancon d)ALBERT S 116 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.