Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Monday - February 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABSOLUTELY MINDY Jan28 Jan13       (thompson kev)LAVIOLETTE S 125 20.00    
2  LAKE RUNNER Jan28         (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 117 4.50 ★    
3  I'M A CUSTOM TO IT Jan28 Jan09       (scherer eric )VARGAS P 117 3.50 56% 0.80    
4  RECKLESS SERGEANT Jan28 Jan13       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 3.00 ★    
5  LOOKING HOT Jan28 Jan07       (mouton pat)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.50 15% 5.60    
6  BAD GAL RIRI Jan28 Jan08       (singh s)SINGH R 125 8.00 ★    
7  PAT HAND GIRL Jan30 Jan14       (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 117 4.50    
 
FG-2   02/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOOLISH STEVE Jan16         (faucheux r)MARQUEZ L 120 6.00    
SCR  SECRET VISTA Jan28 Jan07       (jeansonne )MARQUEZ L 117 6.00    
2  BIG FALCON ROCKET Jan16 Jan06       (lopez elias)RIQUELME J 120 12.00    
3  FREEDOM FACTOR Feb05 Jan07       (richards coral)COTTO L 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
4  SHARPENDUP Jan22         (jeansonne ju)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
5  BOURBON TAN         (tracy tanner)SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00    
6  THE GREEN MO'STER Jan27 Jan07       (singh s)SINGH R 120 8.00 7% 14.30    
7  TIGERBEACH Jan16         (wilson shan)MORALES ROBERTO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  TIZ LIGHT THE WAY Jan07         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50 7% 13.60    
9  INDY TOURIST Jan08         (delany sarah)PARKER L 120 12.00    
10  UPHAM Jan07         (silva carl)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00    
SCR  BRIAR JUMPER         (crowder m)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 20.00    
SCR  BLUERIDGE MOUNTAIN Jan16 Jan06       (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00    
 
FG-3   02/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR'S DREAM         (hodges e)GRAHAM J 121 6.00    
1A  KITTENOFTHE COURT Jan02         (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00 ★    
2  MIDNIGHT TRIP Jan27 Jan07       (cordero ang)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 9% 10.70    
3  STAR PRADO Jan27 Jan06       (wilson shane)CULP BRIANNE 116 10.00    
4  HOTMOLLY Jan17 Jan03       (scherer gary)DIAZ RENE 116 4.50 16% 5.20    
5  YOUNMEHONEYBUNNY Jan02         (brinkman brett)GREEN AUBRIE 121 4.00 13% 7.00    
6  BLUE RIDGE QUEEN Jan02         (klanfer alan)COTTO L 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
7  TWO WITH A TEN         (leblanc jo)MARQUEZ L 121 6.00    
8  NINE LINE BIND Jan27         (alonzo howard)SANJUR SANTO 121 20.00    
SCR  MEG AND CLAIR Jan02         (gomez jorge)RIQUELME J 121 20.00    
 
FG-4   02/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($46K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALOOK Jan23         (courville )BROUSSARD ASHLEY 120 20.00    
2  LIL ASHLEY B. Jan23 Jan02       (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
3  SPELLBINDING Jan23         (schwandt em)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
4  TOP TEN DUCHESS Jan23         (thomas lee)MOJICA O 120 15.00    
5  G'S DEADLINE Jan23         (jeansonne justin)PARKER L 120 4.00    
6  SAVVY SHIPMAN Jan23         (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 14% 6.30    
7  MY LITTLE JEN Jan13         (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
8  AIR GUITAR STAR Jan23         (hargrave kenn)GILLIGAN JACK 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MILA'S GOLD Jan23         (wilson shane)RIQUELME J 120 8.00    
10  MONEY WELL SPENT Jan07         (scherer t)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  THEBOYZGALAXY Jan02         (dandridge co)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 15.00 8% 11.90    
 
FG-5   02/14/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZABIGMICK Jan21         (baker james)MOJICA O 122 6.00 7% 12.70    
2  MOSH PIT Jan17         (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 117 2.00 49% 1.00    
3  SHOETRICK Jan12         (brinkman )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00    
4  GRAN MUCHACO Feb04 Jan17       (lopez elias)MORALES ROBERTO 122 6.00 7% 13.40    
5  PATH TO SUCCESS         (stidham michael)GRAHAM J 122 2.50 10% 9.50    
6  T G'S NELSON Feb03 Jan02       (gabriel te)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00 ★    
 
FG-6   02/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNION GRAD         (harrison cor)LAVIOLETTE S 120 10.00    
SCR  SURREY Jan10         (harrison cort)GILLIGAN JACK 120 10.00    
2  C C'S COWGIRL Jan20         (schmidt deni)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00    
3  CLARA BELLE Jan14         (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 ★    
4  SUMTING RIGHT         (casse mar)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00 22% 3.60    
5  ZEN (IRE) Jan14         (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 120 5.00 37% 1.70    
6  DIAL TEN FOR G Jan20         (west g)PARKER L 120 10.00    
7  HONEY RUN Jan15         (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 8% 12.20    
8  AMERICAN DEPUTY         (asmussen ste)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00    
9  DRESSEDTOIMPRESS Jan20         (baker james)DIAZ RENE 115 20.00    
10  GOLDEN TWIST Feb03         (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 120 20.00    
SCR  SUPER FIRE Jan22         (stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
SCR  CHATON ROUGE Feb06 Jan14       (glover tracey)GREEN AUBRIE 118 20.00    
SCR  FREUDIAN Jan20 Jan09       (hartman chris)GREEN AUBRIE 120 4.50 9% 10.10    
SCR  TWIN CAUSE Jan20         (hartman chris)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
 
FG-7   02/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHORT SUMMER DRESS Jan15         (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50    
2  AUSTRALASIA         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 117 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  EUPHORIC Jan29         (flint bern)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 15% 5.70    
4  PALIO FLAG         (asmussen st)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  SAIL ON ELLEN Jan16         (lovell michelle)PARKER L 122 8.00 11% 8.20    
6  ASSERTIVE STYLE         (hartman chris)MOJICA O 120 6.00    
7  STERLING MISS         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 12% 7.50    
 
FG-8   02/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($49K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EXCESS MAGIC Jan22         (calhoun will)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00    
2  BEMMA'S BOY         (maker michael )SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.00 ★    
3  PERFECT SPEIGHTY         (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
4  MR. HUSTLE Jan22         (cano juan )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
5  LUCKY CURLIN Jan22         (casse mar)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00 8% 12.30    
6  SPANISH KINGDOM         (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 ★    
7  T D DANCE         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  JAIS'S SOLITUDE         (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
9  CASH LOGISTICS         (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
SCR  WARRIOR IN CHIEF Jan27         (morley th)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.50    
 
FG-9   02/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEAN CANNON Feb04 Jan09       (jeansonne justin)MOJICA O 121 6.00 ★    
2  APRIORITY STORM         (pedigo randy)CULP BRIANNE 116 20.00    
3  GALLANT STAR Jan10         (faucheux ron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 5.00 7% 12.60    
4  MONEY AND ME Jan03         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  SEMI CHARMED LIFE Feb05 Jan10       (besancon d)ALBERT S 116 20.00    
6  PERFECT PERIGEE Jan20 Jan03       (camejo m)DIAZ RENE 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
7  HARBOR KNIGHT         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  CHAMBLISS Jan10         (duhon josep)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00    
9  VON DOM Jan10         (courville )BROUSSARD ASHLEY 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.