Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Friday - January 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   01/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:224 :461 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKDALE 1 4 11 13   15 112¼ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.00 1.50  
MAXIMILIANO (BRZ) 4 2 21 23   25 212¼ (tracy tanner)SANJUR SANTO 121 2.50 27% 2.70 2.90 P
DA GOLD ROOM 5 6 3 45   3 313 (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 116 5.00 5.90  
KYLE'S BRO JIMMY 3 5 54 5   5 414½ (hatcher d)DIAZ RENE 116 8.00 34.80  
CHARMING BULLET 7 7 7 711½   713 517 (clark d)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 20.00 50.80  
HOMELAND MESSA 6 1 68 610½   612½ 617¼ (toups brent)COTTO L 121 5.00 18% 4.60 15.80  
THIRTYEIGHTCALIBER 2 3 4 3   4 717¾ (russell b)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 18% 4.60 2.20  
 
FG-2   01/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:124 1:252   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TREASURY 3 1 1 1 11 1 12 (forster t)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 1.90  
CRIMINAL DEFENSE 1 3 3 43 3 2 22 (barnett bo)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50 10.30 P
U S NAVY CROSS 4 6 6 6 6 34 3 (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.50 14% 6.10 4.10 S
OUTLIER 2 2 43 3 42 4 4 (cash l)PARKER L 122 2.00 27% 2.80 2.10  
1A  SCIENCE (IRE) 6 5 54 54 5 6 513¼ (cash l)DIAZ RENE 120 2.00 2.10  
GIMME SOME MO 5 4 2 2 21 5 618 (hargrave )HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 34% 1.90 2.70  
 
FG-3   01/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:142 1:412   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I LIKE DREAMING 1 5 3 31 2½ 11 1 (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 115 4.50 1.10  
MORE HARDER 8 9 912½ 911½ 68 3 2 (ney john)DIAZ RENE 115 6.00 14.10  
RY DONT LIE 2 2 11 11 1½ 21 3 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 4.00 27% 2.70 2.50 S
CLASSIC'S OMEGA 5 7 810 57 46 4 47 (wilson shane)RIQUELME J 120 8.00 31.50  
MAGIC ICE 3 1 21 21 31 5 519¾ (bourgeois)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 35% 1.90 8.80  
RUNWILDWITHDREAMS 6 6 5 4 5 611 623¾ (duke steven)LAVIOLETTE S 120 12.00 86.90  
ANYOTHERQUESTIONS 4 4 45 710 813 718 734¼ (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 6% 15.90 45.00  
MAGNOLIA RIDGE 9 8 7 68 711 818¼ 840½ (schwandt emile)MOJICA O 120 5.00 5.00  
ROCK STAR ALEX 7 3 6 810½ 913 920¾ 943¼ (dandridge cou)VARGAS P 120 20.00 6% 15.90 20.50  
 
FG-4   01/21/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:261 :50 1:173     1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STITCHED 1 1 1nk 11   12 1nk (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 9% 10.20 4.80 W
MATH MAN 5 5 6 52   32 1nk (hartman chris)MOJICA O 120 5.00 6.50 DH
VASILEVSKIY (IRE) 2 4 5 4   22 3nk (casse w)CARROLL DECLAN 120 4.50 16% 5.10 4.20 DQ↓5
FIGHTVILLE 7 6 3½ 31   4 4 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 120 5.00 9.30  
TIZABIGMICK 4 2 2nk 21   53 57 (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 1.20  
HERO DRAGON 8 7 7 7   69 614½ (dorochenko g)LAVIOLETTE S 120 8.00 36.20  
SWEET DREAMS BABE 6 3 41 6   711 733 (cordero angel )COTTO L 120 20.00 55.20  
ACHILLES (GB) 3 8 816¼ 820½   826 864¼ (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 120 4.00 51% 1.00 7.10  
 
FG-5   01/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:22 :452 :58     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALERIE VALESKI 3 1 1 15   16 1 (lopez elias)SANJUR SANTO 122 8.00 7.10  
KATIE'S KARAT 5 3 59 4   3 2 (gelner scott)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.00 1.90  
SPY A STAR 4 5 610 512½   510 36 (charles keith)DIAZ RENE 117 4.50 9% 10.50 3.50 S
ZERO POINT ZERO 6 2 3 25   26 47 (claire alexis)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 6.00 39% 1.50 4.40  
SNEAK PEEK 1 4 2 3   4 511 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 10% 9.50 2.70  
FANDANCER 2 6 48 614½   620 631¾ (foley greg)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 12.00  
SCR  CONNIE BABY               (stemmans )HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
SCR  SKY FACTOR               (sharp joe)PARKER L 120 5.00 14% 6.10    
 
FG-6   01/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:26 :52 1:181 1:30   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGA MAN 7 2 1 11 1nk 11 1nk (bourgeois keit)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 7.00  
CITY PARK 4 5 55 3 3½ 21 2nk (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 122 3.00 6% 14.80 3.00 P
JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT 1 3 44 6 4 4 3 (pennino frank)GRAHAM J 122 8.00 6% 16.70 15.80 S
PAYDAY TOO 2 1 77 75 6 5 4 (rodriguez hu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 58% 0.70 2.80  
JACI'S ROYALTY 5 4 2 21 2nk 33 55 (harrison cor)CARROLL DECLAN 120 5.00 4.00  
RELUCTANT WARRIOR 6 7 3 43 5 6 67 (wilson shane)PARKER L 120 8.00 6.70  
RUN ROCKET 3 8 87 8 8 7 78 (duke stev)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.50 9% 10.20 4.20  
1A  IMINDYCATBIRDSEAT 8 6 6 53 7 87 89 (rodriguez)ULLOA JOAN 120 3.50 2.80  
SCR  LUCKENBACHER               (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00    
SCR  WAR COUNT               (wilson shane)PARKER L 120 8.00    
 
FG-7   01/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:222 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNA VOLANTE 1 2 11 1½   1 1¾ (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.50 37% 1.70 1.50 W
JOAN'S WAY 3 5 5 55   4 2¾ (silva h)MOJICA O 125 12.00 8% 12.30 14.80 P
CHIONE 4 4 32 3   32 32 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 125 1.60 32% 2.10 1.50 S
WHISPERED KISS 2 1 21 2½   2 44 (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 125 3.00 2.40  
FINE COTTON 5 3 4 44   56 5 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 12.00 15.40  
SCR  DIAL IT UP A NOTCH               (wilson shane)GRAHAM J 125 8.00    
SCR  HERO'S DAUGHTER               (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 125 12.00    
 
FG-8   01/21/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
See original race card.
:243 :511 1:163 1:432   1:554   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIMMY DAN 1 1 3 3 32 12 1 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 1.80  
HIGH DEFF (FR) 4 3 4 4 4 22 2 (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 3.50 27% 2.70 2.80 P
SAILOR'S RETURN 2 2 2nk 1nk 1nk 33 3 (habeeb do)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 4.50 33% 2.00 2.60 S
TONAL IMPACT 6 6 7 7 7 49 412¼ (howard j)PARKER L 125 8.00 15.60  
MASTER MCGRATH 5 7 6 6 5 611½ 519 (casse mark)MOJICA O 125 6.00 16% 5.40 7.50  
BEAU NOIR (IRE) 7 5 1nk 2nk 2nk 510½ 622½ (walsh brenda)CARROLL DECLAN 117 8.00 6.80  
INFLUENTIAL 3 4 5 5 6 714½ 728 (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 125 20.00 47.40  
SCR  DEFIED               (murphy co)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00    
SCR  GLOBAL EMPIRE               (roussel j)DIAZ RENE 120 8.00    
 
FG-9   01/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:07
See original race card.
:222 :462 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KICK N KISS 2 8 8 6   32 1 (patt jr)CULP BRIANNE 116 12.00 9.20  
10  LUCKY LINZ 10 1 43 3½   11 2 (alonzo howard)COTTO L 121 8.00 2.60  
BLONDIE LOX BABE 3 6 6 5   43 3 (flugence henry)CHAVEZ ORIEL 121 8.00 10.50  
KEHRON'S CREED 1 9 10 7   6 4 (hargrave kenneth )DIAZ RENE 116 20.00 19.00  
GILDED APPLE 4 3 33 4   5 5 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00 12% 7.30 9.30  
PEACEFUL VISION 8 5 2½ 1½   21 6 (thomas le)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 22% 3.50 3.90  
ACTIVE GIRL 6 11 11 9   75 710¼ (wilson shane)SANJUR SANTO 121 20.00 6% 15.60 34.90  
TUFFOLOGY 9 10 9 8   86 812 (savoie sh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 5.00 19% 4.30 8.90  
OMA LEE 5 7 7 10   1010½ 918½ (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00 22.70  
11  FANCY MALLORY 11 4 5 1110¼   1112 1020¾ (dandridge courtn)RIQUELME J 121 3.50 14% 6.00 4.60  
ELLA'S LIL STAR 7 2 1½ 2½   9 1121½ (schwandt emile)MOJICA O 121 10.00 18.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.