Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - January 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKDALE         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.00 ★    
2  THIRTYEIGHTCALIBER         (russell b)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 18% 4.60    
3  KYLE'S BRO JIMMY Jan03         (hatcher d)DIAZ RENE 116 8.00    
4  MAXIMILIANO (BRZ)         (tracy tanner)SANJUR SANTO 121 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  DA GOLD ROOM Jan07         (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 116 5.00    
6  HOMELAND MESSA Jan07         (toups brent)COTTO L 121 5.00 18% 4.60    
7  CHARMING BULLET         (clark d)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 20.00 ★    
 
FG-2   01/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTLIER Jan07         (cash l)PARKER L 122 2.00 27% 2.80    
1A  SCIENCE (IRE)         (cash l)DIAZ RENE 120 2.00 ★    
2  CRIMINAL DEFENSE Jan02         (barnett bo)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50 ★    
3  TREASURY         (forster t)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 ★    
4  U S NAVY CROSS         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.50 14% 6.10    
5  GIMME SOME MO         (hargrave )HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
 
FG-3   01/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I LIKE DREAMING         (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 115 4.50    
2  RY DONT LIE         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
3  MAGIC ICE Jan08         (bourgeois)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
4  ANYOTHERQUESTIONS         (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 6% 15.90    
5  CLASSIC'S OMEGA Jan06         (wilson shane)RIQUELME J 120 8.00    
6  RUNWILDWITHDREAMS Jan06         (duke steven)LAVIOLETTE S 120 12.00    
7  ROCK STAR ALEX         (dandridge cou)VARGAS P 120 20.00 6% 15.90    
8  MORE HARDER Jan06         (ney john)DIAZ RENE 115 6.00    
9  MAGNOLIA RIDGE Jan06         (schwandt emile)MOJICA O 120 5.00 ★    
 
FG-4   01/21/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STITCHED         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 9% 10.20    
2  VASILEVSKIY (IRE)         (casse w)CARROLL DECLAN 120 4.50 16% 5.10    
3  ACHILLES (GB)         (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 120 4.00 51% 1.00    
4  TIZABIGMICK         (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 ★    
5  MATH MAN Jan09         (hartman chris)MOJICA O 120 5.00 ★    
6  SWEET DREAMS BABE         (cordero an)MARQUEZ L 120 20.00    
7  FIGHTVILLE Jan13         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 120 5.00    
8  HERO DRAGON Jan07         (dorochenko ge)MARTIN M 120 8.00    
 
FG-5   01/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNEAK PEEK         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 10% 9.50    
2  FANDANCER         (foley greg)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 ★    
3  VALERIE VALESKI         (lopez elias)SANJUR SANTO 122 8.00    
4  SPY A STAR         (charles keith)DIAZ RENE 117 4.50 9% 10.50    
SCR  SKY FACTOR Jan06         (sharp joe)PARKER L 120 5.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  CONNIE BABY         (stemmans )HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
7  KATIE'S KARAT         (gelner scott)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.00    
8  ZERO POINT ZERO         (claire alexis)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 6.00 39% 1.50    
 
FG-6   01/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAYDAY TOO         (rodriguez hu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 58% 0.70    
1A  IMINDYCATBIRDSEAT         (rodriguez)ULLOA JOAN 120 3.50    
2  RELUCTANT WARRIOR         (wilson shane)PARKER L 120 8.00    
SCR  WAR COUNT         (wilson shane)PARKER L 120 8.00    
3  JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT Jan06         (pennino frank)GRAHAM J 122 8.00 6% 16.70    
4  RUN ROCKET Jan07         (duke stev)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.50 9% 10.20    
5  CITY PARK         (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 122 3.00 6% 14.80    
6  JACI'S ROYALTY         (harrison cor)CARROLL DECLAN 120 5.00    
7  MAGA MAN         (bourgeois keit)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00    
SCR  LUCKENBACHER Jan08         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00 ★    
 
FG-7   01/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNA VOLANTE         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  HERO'S DAUGHTER Jan10         (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 125 12.00 ★    
3  WHISPERED KISS         (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 125 3.00 ★    
4  JOAN'S WAY         (silva h)MOJICA O 125 12.00 8% 12.30    
5  CHIONE         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 125 1.60 32% 2.10    
6  FINE COTTON         (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 12.00    
SCR  DIAL IT UP A NOTCH Jan03         (wilson shane)GRAHAM J 125 8.00    
 
FG-8   01/21/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIMMY DAN Jan03         (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00    
2  SAILOR'S RETURN Jan03         (habeeb do)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 4.50 33% 2.00    
3  INFLUENTIAL Jan03         (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 125 20.00    
SCR  DEFIED         (murphy co)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00 ★    
SCR  GLOBAL EMPIRE         (roussel j)DIAZ RENE 120 8.00 ★    
6  HIGH DEFF (FR)         (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 3.50 27% 2.70    
7  MASTER MCGRATH         (casse mark)MOJICA O 125 6.00 16% 5.40    
8  TONAL IMPACT Jan05         (howard j)PARKER L 125 8.00    
9  BEAU NOIR (IRE)         (walsh brenda)CARROLL DECLAN 117 8.00    
 
FG-9   01/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEHRON'S CREED Jan01         (hargrave kenneth )DIAZ RENE 116 20.00    
2  KICK N KISS         (patt jr)CULP BRIANNE 116 12.00    
3  BLONDIE LOX BABE Jan01         (flugence henry)CHAVEZ ORIEL 121 8.00    
4  GILDED APPLE Jan07         (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00 12% 7.30    
5  OMA LEE         (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
6  ACTIVE GIRL Jan01         (wilson shane)SANJUR SANTO 121 20.00 6% 15.60    
7  ELLA'S LIL STAR         (schwandt emile)MOJICA O 121 10.00    
8  PEACEFUL VISION Jan01         (thomas le)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 22% 3.50    
9  TUFFOLOGY         (savoie sh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 5.00 19% 4.30    
10  LUCKY LINZ         (alonzo howard)COTTO L 121 8.00    
11  FANCY MALLORY         (dandridge courtn)RIQUELME J 121 3.50 14% 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.