Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Friday - April 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:123     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAY HOME 1 7 6 6   31 1½ (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 3.50 13% 6.80 2.90 W
FIRST DEPUTY 8 8 8 5   1nk 2½ (riley barbara)OUZTS W 118 6.00 18% 4.70 3.50 P
JAMMERS JUSTICE 3 4 2½ 1½   2nk 3 (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 15.00  
BOBBY BABY 6 6 7 8   5 4 (navarrete anna)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 9% 9.50 16.40  
IMPROBABLE STORY 5 2 52 7   87 5 (rider m)MOJICA JR 118 20.00 33.20  
FREDERICKTOWN 7 1 42 2½   6 610¼ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 118 30.00 36.00  
HIGH HEATER 2 3 1½ 3½   43 712¾ (ennis john)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 2.70  
FROLIC MORE 4 5 3 4¾   7 815¾ (catalano wayne )JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.00 20% 4.00 2.70  
SCR  AIRWAR               (smith larry)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.50 14% 6.30    
 
KEE-2   04/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:242 :51 1:173 1:404   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WILLAKIA 9 8 7 8 6 4¼ 1¾ (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 31% 2.20 3.60 W
I'M GLAD (IRE) 5 5 6 6 4 3.2 2¾ (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 7.70  
PERSONAL BEST 3 2 2½ 2nk 11 1nk 3¾ (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 1.40  
10  QUALITY STAR 8 9 31 4 5 2nk 4 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00 19.10  
MACADAMIA (FR) 7 6 5 5 7 5¾ 54 (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00 6% 15.80 9.20  
13  SHE'S GONE 11 10 84 7 8 6 6 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 5.00 12.10  
PARIS PARAMOUR 4 3 4 31 21 7 7 (murphy conor)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 23.00  
12  WESTERN LANE 10 11 11 9 10 9 810 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 16% 5.20 15.90  
MEANT TO BE 1 4 107 10 11 10 910 (kenneally eddie)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 20.60  
BELLA MORNING 2 1 1½ 1nk 3 8 1010½ (mattingly j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 50.00 92.80  
MADELYN'S MAGIC 6 7 95 11 9 11 1113¼ (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 8.00 13.40  
SCR  BEDTIME FOR BUFFY               (garner peter)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 30.00    
SCR  LOST BIKINI               (reed r)MCKEE J 120 20.00    
SCR  PHAROAH'S SONG               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  SURELY (FR)               (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
SCR  WALKATHON               (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 3.50    
 
KEE-3   04/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:143 1:394   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL CHARGE 5 7 4 3 41 1 1 (sisterson ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.50 2.00  
DREAMING OF GERRY 3 2 3 42 3½ 2 2 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 16% 5.40 2.00 P
TONAL IMPACT 1 4 7 74 7 3 3 (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 4.00 8.40  
CARILLO 4 3 6 63 52 4 46 (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 118 8.00 6.30  
SONIC CITY 2 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 57 511½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.50 58% 0.70 4.10  
BERN N ASH 6 6 5 53 63 714 622½ (dunn d)GRAHAM J 125 12.00 11.20  
THE PENINSULA 7 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 613 723 (meah anna)CANUTO THIAGO 111 12.00 48.80  
SCR  MAXIMUM IMPACT               (cash l)MCKEE J 118 10.00    
 
KEE-4   04/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:14 1:393   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAN CLUB 8 6 21 21 2nk 1 1½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 2.00 23% 3.40 1.30 W
MOBSTER GUN 1 1 3 3 4 2 2½ (sims a)LANERIE J 125 15.00 31.80 P
PERFECT CUT 7 8 4 43 3 3 3 (mcgee paul)ROSARIO JOEL 125 5.00 14% 6.00 9.60 S
BLUE JAYS 2 2 5 5 74 55 4 (desormeaux kei)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 3.00 35% 1.90 2.90  
GUILLAUME 5 4 11 11 1nk 44 57 (stidham mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.50 4.00  
FAIR HAIRED BOY 6 7 6 7 5 67 6 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 125 12.00 5% 19.00 16.60  
COUSIN LARRY 3 3 7 6 6 77 710¼ (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 6.00 9.20  
TWENTY TWICE 4 5 8 8 86 810½ 820 (sisterson jack)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 15.00 20.90  
 
KEE-5   04/15/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:244 :502 1:154 1:39   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN ROAD (IRE) 1 6 8 8 85 5 1hd (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 20% 3.90 1.30 W
FLOWN 2 1 32 32 32 3 2hd (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 5.60  
TEXAS SHUFFLE 5 2 11 1 11 1 3½ (mcgaughey re)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5% 18.60 16.50 S
FINAL BELLE 6 5 21 2 21 2 4¾ (mott william )RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 6.00 4.80  
LUCY'S CAKES FLY 3 3 6 6 6 4 52 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 7.40  
TALKING BOOK 7 7 7 7 74 7 6 (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 9.20  
QUEEN BOURBON 4 4 5 5 5 65 7 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 118 6.00 5.40  
LAYNLOMAKNDOUGH 8 8 42 4 4 8 813 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 44.50  
SCR  SCARABEA               (sisterson jack)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 44% 1.30    
 
KEE-6   04/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:124 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC NIGHT 8 5 7 7 6 11 12 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 1.80  
MISCHIEF AFOOT 7 8 8 87 7 5 22 (toner j)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 8% 12.10 11.70 P
MAJOR FED 1 3 5 4 5 42 3 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 9.40  
WAR STOPPER 2 4 21 3 3 3 4 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 6.60  
CONCERT TOUR 6 1 11 11 1 21 5 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 37% 1.70 2.10  
FARMINGTON ROAD 5 6 31 21 2 6 613½ (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 7.50  
BEAVER HAT 4 2 4 5 43 7 714 (williamson bri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 5% 19.00 45.70  
ENFORCEABLE 3 7 6 65 8 814½ 822½ (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 27% 2.80 11.90  
 
KEE-7   04/15/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:223 :454 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUTHIN (GB) 3 3 11 1½   1nk 1¼ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.10 W
DERRYNANE 5 6 7 7   6 2¼ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50 34% 2.00 2.50 P
HER WORLD (IRE) 2 4 3 3   2nk 31 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 18% 4.50 1.10 S
LOST MY SOCK 6 2 4 4   43 4 (ryan derek )HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 53.80  
UNBRIDLED MARY 7 5 63 5   54 5 (sadler w)BRAVO J 118 6.00 12% 7.40 5.10  
10  GUN BOAT 8 1 21 2½   3 6 (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 9.90  
SIN CITY GAL 4 8 86 86   7 7 (diodoro rober)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 37.50  
THUNDER LOVE (GB) 1 7 5 6   87 8 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00 30.90  
SCR  FAST COREY               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
SCR  KAUFYMAKER               (ward a)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 13% 6.70    
 
KEE-8   04/15/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:113     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ SPLENDID NEWS 4 2 12 1   1 1½ (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 24% 3.20 2.90 W
12  HONORIFIQUE 9 10 7 5   2 2½ (kenneally eddie)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 20.30  
11  LIBERTY M D 8 8 8 6   35 3 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 4.40  
13  REGAL RETORT 10 1 9 85   4 4 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 118 5.00 5.60  
FRAUDULENT CHARGE 3 9 10 107   59 57 (gaudet lacey)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
10  BEES AND HONEY 7 7 65 7   810½ 611¾ (mcgaughey re)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 25% 2.90 5.10  
ZAINALARAB 6 6 5 33   69 713¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 3.90  
FARSIGHTED 5 5 4 43   710 818¾ (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 20.10  
FRONT STREET 2 3 22 2   911 926¾ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 15% 5.60 28.40  
WINWARD FLO 1 4 33 95   1019 1033 (wallace kevin)CANUTO THIAGO 113 30.00 67.20  
SCR  BRATTLE HOUSE               (lobo h)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
SCR  FIRE ON TIME               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00    
SCR  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE)               (meah anna)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  RAZOR GLASS               (walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
SCR  RECODED               (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
 
KEE-9   04/15/2022 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($600K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:132 1:242   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIRL'S SPEIGHT 2 3 7 7 75 7 1hd (attfield roger)SAEZ LUIS 123 50.00 9.00  
MASEN (GB) 4 5 21 21 2½ 1nk 2hd (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 5.00 1.80  
SMOOTH LIKE STRAIT 5 4 11 11 1½ 2nk 3¼ (mccarthy mich)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 2.00 24% 3.20 3.20 S
ATONE 3 2 32 3 42 3 41 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 12.00 16.10  
10  MIRA MISSION 8 7 43 5 63 42 5 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 123 20.00 24.10  
COUNT AGAIN 6 6 8 86 8 8 6 (d'amato philip)ROSARIO JOEL 123 5.00 20% 3.90 6.00  
SET PIECE (GB) 7 8 6 4 3 6 72 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 8.00 8.80  
IN LOVE (BRZ) 1 1 54 6 53 5 8 (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 123 10.00 4.80  
SCR  IVAR (BRZ)               (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  PUBLIC SECTOR (GB)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00    
SCR  SOMELIKEITHOTBROWN               (maker j)ORTIZ L 123 12.00 10% 8.90    
 
KEE-10   04/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:221 :463 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAPA CANDY 4 11 53 4   13 15 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 4.50 21% 3.70 4.50 W
12  VERONICA GREENE 12 9 98 6   3 25 (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 17% 4.70 3.90 P
SUPER CHRISTIE 2 4 3 3   45 3 (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 31% 2.20 4.00 S
DONTGETABOVURAISIN 5 12 6 5   55 4 (kenneally eddi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00 4.70  
SURCHARGE 9 2 1212¾ 9   7 5 (lyster s)GRAHAM J 120 20.00 69.50  
OMA THE GREAT 1 10 77 7   6 68 (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 11.00  
REGAL REALM 6 6 21 2½   23 710¾ (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 6.80  
11  JETINWITHCLASS 11 7 10 8   8 811 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 26.00  
SIS BOOM BOB 3 3 11 1½   910 918 (gonzalez re)LEPAROUX R 120 15.00 6% 15.10 17.60  
AN APPLE A DAY 8 8 87 1010¼   1013 1020¾ (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00 9.50  
10  JALEBI BABY 10 1 11 1112¼   1116 1127¾ (flint bernar)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00 74.50  
BE TOUGH 7 5 42 1215¼   1220 1232¼ (toye l)HERNANDEZ J 120 50.00 55.90  
SCR  ESTOLE               (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00    
SCR  KENDALL SPIRIT               (davis l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 20.00    
SCR  SWEET BABY RAY               (horn jr)CANUTO THIAGO 113 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.