The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Keeneland
Friday - April 22, 2022

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KEE-1   04/22/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
:231 :464 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHELL SHOCK 5 2 2½ 1nk   1½ 1(vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 125 6.00 5.80  
VERY WEALTHY 2 4 1½ 2nk   2½ 2(calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 4.00 P
YO PUEDO 3 6 42 5   43 3(medina robert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 9.50  
BACHELORETTE 8 3 32 3   33 4(mccutchen b)ROCCO S 125 6.00 5.00  
MRS. NUSHI 7 5 53 44   5511½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 51% 0.90 4.20  
CUPID'S STRIKE 4 8 8 6   6612½ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 14% 6.10 3.90  
WILLYMAR 1 7 64 8   77 718¾ (rangel arnulfo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 20.00 39.80  
ALLOCATE 6 1 7 7   88 820½ (drury jr)LANERIE J 118 4.00 10% 9.00 4.70  
 
KEE-2   04/22/2022 5610ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 1:32
:231 :492 1:16 1:382   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WALKATHON 8 4 43 42 3½ 11 12 (wilkes r)LEPAROUX R 120 4.50 4.00  
FRIPPET 2 2 1 1½ 1nk 21 22 (thomas jonathan)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 13% 7.00 5.90 P
PHAROAH'S SONG 9 6 5 5 41 32 3(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 25% 3.00 2.30 S
ROSIA BAY 4 5 6 64 8 64(devaux cherie)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 40.00  
KIVALINA 1 1 32 3 5 55(walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 20% 4.10 3.60  
SACRED KITTEN 7 8 109 75 7 868 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 120 12.00 19.70  
10  PARIS KENTUCKY 10 7 76 85 6 779 (correas iv)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 10.00 8% 10.90 34.20  
12  SPARTINA 12 12 1110½ 10 10 108(medina robert)ORTIZ JR 120 20.00 15.80  
WHAT'S TO DO 5 10 9 9 9 9910½ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00 79.30  
EDYE'S CANDY 3 3 2 2½ 2nk 41011 (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 7.70  
QUARIA DREAM 6 9 8 12 11 1111¾ 1113¼ (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00 30.50  
11  THREAVE'S COMPANY 11 11 1210½ 11 12 1213¾ 1217¾ (jones larry)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 78.40  
SCR  CASA DE GOAT               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  LOST BIKINI               (reed r)MCKEE J 120 15.00    
SCR  MISS SUSIE R               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 15.00    
SCR  UNDER ONE SKY               (mcgaughey reeve)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 12.00    
 
KEE-3   04/22/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
:242 :491 1:141 1:394   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JELLY NOUGAT 2 1 21 21 5 11¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 20% 3.90 3.00 W
10  SCATTERSHACK 10 9 8 52 4 22¾ (romans dale)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 7% 12.60 2.90 P
CRIMSON AND CREAM 7 4 11 11 1½ 336 (colebrook ben)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 11.60  
ARROW STRIKE 8 7 7 8 6 64(oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 21.40  
VERSATILE 4 3 3 31 2½ 45(hiles a)LANERIE J 118 6.00 12.90  
HESTON 9 8 5 4 3½ 5610 (engler jeff)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 30% 2.30 21.50  
SNOWSCAPE 5 5 6 7 7 7713¼ (devaux cherie)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 10.60  
LOCO 6 6 9 9 9 8813½ (drury jr)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 13.50  
SWATH 3 2 4 6 8 910¾ 923 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 10% 9.10 6.90  
BOURBON MAGIC 1 10 10100 10100 10100 10100 10100 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 126 5.00 12% 7.60 4.70  
 
KEE-4   04/22/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:36
:234 :473 1:124 1:384   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMP INTO THE FIRE 3 1 1 11 11 11(colebrook ben)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 28% 2.50 1.40 W
JAZZY LADY 4 5 610 6 6 34 2(van thomas)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 21% 3.80 2.00 P
ABSOLUTE LOVE 5 3 34 3 21 23(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 4.90 S
SINGSONG BIRD 2 4 48 56 54 54(pincins j)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 7% 12.60 13.20  
TELLER TO SING 1 6 58 46 43 46 5(brownfield claude)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 11% 8.20 26.60  
SENSE YOU LEFT 6 2 2 21 33 615½ 629¼ (forster t)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 4.40  
SCR  CARRY ON               (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
SCR  MISS MOON PIE               (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00    
 
KEE-5   04/22/2022 3630ft TURF GOOD Allowance   Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:08
:214 :451 :57     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALVAJE 5 9 74 7   41nk (devaux cherie)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 1.50  
ONLY KIDDING 6 7 9 95   62nk (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 17% 5.00 5.50 P
CRUZ BAY 7 8 8 8   83.15 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 8.50  
12  NOTA BENE 10 11 11 11   1041 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00 7% 13.40 14.00  
KONA KAI 1 4 3 32   53 5(blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 42.20  
11  SIX FEET APART 9 2 21 21   26(ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 22% 3.60 4.70  
IRON LADY AWAY 3 3 11 11   172 (pitts c)CASTANON L 118 30.00 64.00  
URSULINA 2 5 53 43   74 8(lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 22.90  
10  SAND AND SEA 8 10 10 10   393 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 32% 2.10 4.50  
DYNAMITE GIFT 4 6 43 53   910(lovell michelle)BEJARANO R 123 15.00 42.70  
13  OFF WE GO 11 1 6 6   1111(foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 45.30  
SCR  LUBNA (GB)               (meah marie)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
SCR  MUN LUV               (maker j)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 12.00    
 
KEE-6   04/22/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 3:40
:224 :463 1:111     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOUFFY 3 5 4 42   11(thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60 29% 2.40 0.70 W
OLIVIA DARLING 4 1 2½ 2½   42(motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 18.50  
QUEROBIN DOURADA 6 4 6 3   234 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 3.00 7.50 S
STORM KISS 1 3 1½ 1½   33 47 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 43% 1.30 3.60  
TALEOFREADYCHIANTI 7 7 7 63   512½ 519½ (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 6.60  
KNOWING GLANCE 2 6 31 53   615½ 623½ (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 12.90  
LOVELY LISA 5 2 5 7   717 725¾ (butcher malcolm)MCKEE J 118 15.00 33.00  
 
KEE-7   04/22/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
:234 :48 1:123 1:381   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUSSIE PRIDE 6 7 85 9 53 11 1(mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 126 4.00 29% 2.40 6.40 W
MAKING IT 8 3 32 31 2nk 21 2(weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 126 10.00 12.60  
12  AFJAN 11 8 64 6 3 335 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 14% 6.20 5.00 S
BRIGHT PROSPECTER 4 4 4 4 42 44 4(mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 126 10.00 7% 13.80 10.40  
ALWAYS ABOVE 5 11 11 10 9 75(nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00 7.60  
SILVER SPUR 3 1 1 1½ 1nk 56(joseph a)GEROUX FLORENT 126 3.00 15% 5.70 5.20  
CURLIN'S MALIBU 1 10 96 85 10 8712 (heitzman eric)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 65.10  
11  STAY RESTLESS 10 6 5 52 64 6818¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 8% 10.90 2.00  
BRINGER OF RAIN 2 5 7 75 88 915½ 927 (colebrook ben)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 62.00  
GREYS THE BOY 7 2 2 2½ 75 1017½ 1028½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 12.10  
10  MAQAMAT 9 9 10 11 1114¾ 1122½ 1135¼ (engler jeff)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00 57.40  
SCR  AWAY FROM HOME               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
SCR  CITY LEGEND               (minshall j)SAEZ LUIS 126 10.00    
 
KEE-8   04/22/2022 7920ft TURF GOOD Allowance   Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
:251 :503 1:161 1:42 2:06 2:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FENWICK STATION 7 11 1 11 1 1½ 11 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 4.10  
BRITISH ROYALTY 3 32 32 32 2 2½ 21 (minshall j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 8.80  
CIBOLIAN 2 54 54 5 5 33 3(brisset rodolphe)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 34% 2.00 5.10 S
REIGNING SPIRIT 4 876 8 67 644 (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 16.20  
MODUS OPERANDI (IRE) 5 64 65 6 4 45(walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 6% 15.80 2.70  
10  RISK TAKING 8 21 2 21 33 56(brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 23% 3.40 2.60  
BLANKET OF ROSES 1 98 9 9 911¾ 87(hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 38.30  
CELERITY 6 44 4 8 788 (cundiff waylon)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 118 30.00 5% 19.00 52.10  
11  JIMMY DAN 9 786 77 7 99(stewart dallas)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 9.80  
SCR  ENGLISH CONQUEROR               (banach d)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
SCR  OFFLEE NAUGHTY               (mccarthy w)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 12% 7.20    
 
KEE-9   04/22/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($300K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:16
:234 :464 1:114 1:374   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALATHAAT 1 6 4 49 34 2½ 1¾ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 0.80 44% 1.30 0.30 W
BONNY SOUTH 4 4 6 612 66 42 2¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 26% 2.80 3.70 P
SUPER QUICK 2 2 1nk 23 23 31 3(casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00 5% 19.00 38.80 S
LADY MYSTIFY 6 1 2nk 13 13 1½ 3(eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 13.70 S
AUDREY'S TIME 3 5 56 510 5 53 5(pessin l)LANERIE J 118 12.00 37.20  
CRAZY BEAUTIFUL 5 3 34 39 4 64 6(mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 8.60  
 
KEE-10   04/22/2022 3630ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
:214 :452 :564     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHANNON 6 4 32 3   11(correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 15.00 24.50  
MY LILY MAE 5 8 9 8   42(kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 111 8.00 10.10  
DEVILLY 2 5 5 4   33(maker j)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 4.50 17% 4.70 8.10 S
MUSICAL DESIGN 7 2 2½ 2nk   243 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 27% 2.70 1.00  
LADY PELE 4 11 11 11   75(blair jordan)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 32.00  
ON THE RISE 3 10 8 93   665 (tomlinson a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 5.00 8% 12.00 7.60  
MS MERRABEL 1 12 1½ 1nk   579 (ennis john)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 73.80  
10  TEASING 10 1 10 10   1110¾ 810½ (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 21.70  
COLONEL ABY B 9 9 12 12   910 911¼ (williamson brian)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 15.00 73.30  
13  HONORABLY 12 7 7 7   81012½ (walsh p)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00 19% 4.30 8.90  
12  JAZZ TIME GIRL 11 3 6 5   1010½ 1120¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 7.40  
ICY RIVER 8 6 42 6   1212¾ 1222¾ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 32.50  
SCR  CAPITAL ALLOCATION (GB)               (reed r)MCKEE J 125 30.00    
SCR  LADYBELUCKY               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TROUBLE MAKING               (meah marie)MORALES EDGAR 125 8.00    
SCR  VINEGAR VEGGIES               (rubley kelly)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.