Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Friday - April 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   04/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLYMAR Mar31 Mar10 Feb16 Jan15 Jan01 (rangel arnulf)CANUTO THIAGO 118 20.00    
2  VERY WEALTHY Mar10 Feb17       (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 ★    
3  YO PUEDO         (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
4  CUPID'S STRIKE         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 14% 6.10    
5  SHELL SHOCK         (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 125 6.00    
6  ALLOCATE Feb28 Feb06 Jan14     (drury jr)LANERIE J 118 4.00 10% 9.00    
7  MRS. NUSHI         (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 51% 0.90    
8  BACHELORETTE         (mccutchen robe)ROCCO S 125 6.00 ★    
 
KEE-2   04/22/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIVALINA Mar17         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 20% 4.10    
2  FRIPPET Apr02 Mar13       (thomas jonatha)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 13% 7.00    
3  EDYE'S CANDY Mar12 Feb12       (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
4  ROSIA BAY         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
5  WHAT'S TO DO         (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 20.00    
6  QUARIA DREAM Apr02         (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00    
7  SACRED KITTEN         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 120 12.00    
8  WALKATHON Feb13 Jan09       (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 120 4.50    
9  PHAROAH'S SONG Jan19         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
10  PARIS KENTUCKY Apr02 Mar19 Feb19 Jan23   (correas ign)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 10.00 8% 10.90    
11  THREAVE'S COMPANY Feb26 Jan23       (jones larr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00    
12  SPARTINA         (medina robert)ORTIZ JR 120 20.00    
SCR  UNDER ONE SKY         (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 12.00    
SCR  MISS SUSIE R         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 15.00    
SCR  CASA DE GOAT         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  LOST BIKINI Mar19         (reed r)MCKEE J 120 15.00    
 
KEE-3   04/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON MAGIC Feb16         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 126 5.00 12% 7.60    
2  JELLY NOUGAT Mar11         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 20% 3.90    
3  SWATH Feb10         (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 10% 9.10    
4  VERSATILE Feb19         (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
5  SNOWSCAPE Mar03         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
6  LOCO Mar18 Jan16       (drury thom)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00    
7  CRIMSON AND CREAM Mar12 Feb12       (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00    
8  ARROW STRIKE Mar19 Feb12       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
9  HESTON Feb19         (engler jeff)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 30% 2.30    
10  SCATTERSHACK Mar12 Feb16 Jan07     (romans dale)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 7% 12.60    
 
KEE-4   04/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TELLER TO SING Mar18 Feb24       (brownfield cla)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  CARRY ON Apr14 Jan19       (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
3  SINGSONG BIRD Feb12         (pincins j)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  MISS MOON PIE         (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00    
5  JUMP INTO THE FIRE Mar19 Feb16       (colebrook)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
6  JAZZY LADY Apr08 Jan28       (van thom)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 21% 3.80    
7  ABSOLUTE LOVE Jan28         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 ★    
8  SENSE YOU LEFT Feb26 Jan14       (forster gr)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00    
 
KEE-5   04/22/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KONA KAI         (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
2  URSULINA Apr08 Mar19 Mar06 Feb12   (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
3  IRON LADY AWAY Feb25         (pitts c)CASTANON L 118 30.00    
4  DYNAMITE GIFT Mar24 Feb24 Jan28     (lovell michelle)BEJARANO R 123 15.00    
5  SALVAJE Feb24 Jan06       (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  MUN LUV Apr02 Feb27 Jan30     (maker micha)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 12.00    
SCR  LUBNA (GB) Feb25 Jan01       (meah ma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
8  ONLY KIDDING Mar06 Feb03       (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 17% 5.00    
9  CRUZ BAY         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
10  SAND AND SEA Mar27         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 32% 2.10    
11  SIX FEET APART Mar11 Jan23       (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 22% 3.60    
12  NOTA BENE Mar18 Jan01       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00 7% 13.40    
13  OFF WE GO Apr01 Mar09 Jan23     (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
 
KEE-6   04/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM KISS Jan14         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
2  KNOWING GLANCE Feb06         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
3  MOUFFY Feb20 Jan08       (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60 29% 2.40    
4  OLIVIA DARLING         (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
5  LOVELY LISA         (butcher malcolm)MCKEE J 118 15.00 ★    
6  QUEROBIN DOURADA Mar26 Feb16       (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 3.00 ★    
7  TALEOFREADYCHIANTI Mar18 Feb19       (stewart dalla)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 ★    
 
KEE-7   04/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLIN'S MALIBU Mar16 Feb03 Jan13     (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00    
2  BRINGER OF RAIN Feb26         (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
3  SILVER SPUR Mar04 Feb04       (joseph saffi)GEROUX FLORENT 126 3.00 15% 5.70    
4  BRIGHT PROSPECTER Mar05 Feb16 Jan08     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 126 10.00 7% 13.80    
5  ALWAYS ABOVE Mar12 Feb12       (nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00    
6  AUSSIE PRIDE Feb25 Jan29       (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 126 4.00 29% 2.40    
7  GREYS THE BOY Mar26         (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
8  MAKING IT Feb13         (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 126 10.00    
SCR  AWAY FROM HOME Mar26         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
10  MAQAMAT Apr09         (engler jeff)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
11  STAY RESTLESS Mar12 Feb05       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 8% 10.90    
12  AFJAN Feb12 Jan08       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  CITY LEGEND         (minshall barbara )SAEZ LUIS 126 10.00    
 
KEE-8   04/22/2022 7920ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLANKET OF ROSES Apr02 Mar18 Feb23     (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
SCR  OFFLEE NAUGHTY Mar12 Feb04       (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 12% 7.20    
3  CIBOLIAN         (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 34% 2.00    
4  BRITISH ROYALTY         (minshall barba)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
5  REIGNING SPIRIT Mar20 Feb19       (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
6  MODUS OPERANDI (IRE) Mar18 Feb13       (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 6% 15.80    
7  CELERITY Apr02 Jan16       (cundiff way)NAUPAC WILLIAMS 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ENGLISH CONQUEROR         (banach darwin)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
9  FENWICK STATION Mar19 Feb10 Jan13     (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
10  RISK TAKING Mar25 Feb26       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 23% 3.40    
11  JIMMY DAN Mar10 Jan21 Jan03     (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
 
KEE-9   04/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALATHAAT         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 0.80 44% 1.30    
  (by CURLIN out of DREAMING OF JULIA by A.P. INDY)
2  SUPER QUICK Mar16         (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of QUICK TOWN by CAPE TOWN)
3  AUDREY'S TIME Mar16 Jan30       (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNFORGOTTEN (IRE) by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
4  BONNY SOUTH         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 26% 2.80    
  (by MUNNINGS out of TOUCH THE STAR by TAPIT)
5  CRAZY BEAUTIFUL Apr02 Feb26       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 ★    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of INDIAN BURN by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  LADY MYSTIFY Mar12         (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 ★    
  (by BERNARDINI out of J. QUIRK by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
KEE-10   04/22/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS MERRABEL         (ennis john)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
2  DEVILLY Mar16 Feb16 Jan19     (maker micha)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 4.50 17% 4.70    
3  ON THE RISE Feb03         (tomlinson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 5.00 8% 12.00    
4  LADY PELE         (blair jord)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
5  MY LILY MAE Apr02 Mar19 Jan23 Jan14   (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 111 8.00    
6  SHANNON         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 15.00    
7  MUSICAL DESIGN Mar16         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 27% 2.70    
8  ICY RIVER         (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
9  COLONEL ABY B Mar11         (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 15.00    
10  TEASING Mar13 Feb06       (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
SCR  CAPITAL ALLOCATION (GB) Mar24         (reed r)MCKEE J 125 30.00    
12  JAZZ TIME GIRL         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
13  HONORABLY Mar18 Feb18       (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  VINEGAR VEGGIES Mar11 Feb12 Jan23 Jan08   (rubley kel)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00    
SCR  LADYBELUCKY Mar10         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TROUBLE MAKING Mar24 Feb24 Jan01     (meah mar)MORALES EDGAR 125 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.