Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - February 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT-12:11
See original race card.
:22 :45 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY SUPPLY 5 8 811 7   21 12 (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 1.80 32% 2.10 2.30 W
VIVE BIEN 2 4 1½ 1½   11 22 (negrete javier)CASTILLO A 120 20.00 47.60  
QUALITY G 7 3 2½ 4   42 32 (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 5.30 S
BOURBON READY 4 9 78 54   54 4 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 37% 1.70 3.40  
CAMINERO 1 7 4 3   32 5 (joseph a)CENTENO E 120 4.50 4.00  
EXXEL 9 1 6 66   7 68 (lund valorie)CARDOSO DAVID 120 8.00 6.70  
MAINTAINER 8 2 33 2½   6 7 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 8.10  
BOY I HOPE SO 6 5 914 913½   912¼ 818 (leces)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 20.00 25.50  
DORSODURO 3 6 55 810   811¾ 919½ (lerman s)FERRER C 120 12.00 28.70  
 
TAM-2   02/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 4UP M/F PT-12:41
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:113 1:232   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  GATHER AS YOU GO 11 3 1 12 11 1½ 13 (proctor thomas)CASTANON L 122 10.00 14.60  
PEACHTREE ROAD 5 10 98 98 5 44 23 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 122 8.00 12.80  
14  APPROACH THE DAWN (IRE) 12 4 3 22 21 3 35 (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 4.00  
NAVAL BATTLE 1 5 54 65 7 7 4 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 21% 3.70 1.60  
WEEZY DOES IT 7 11 1212½ 1212¾ 910¼ 8 5 (mcgaughey re)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 19% 4.30 5.40  
BEACH BREEZE 6 12 1110 1011 8 910½ 6 (brown l)PEREZ EDGAR 122 15.00 57.20  
SHE'S JUST QUALITY 9 7 64 44 4 57 7 (alvarado dian)ALVARADO JR 122 20.00 5% 19.00 53.30  
SILVER SEA 3 8 87 88 1213¾ 1012½ 813 (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 6.20  
VENUS OYZO 2 2 2 3 6 6 913¼ (seyler doug)GARCIA A 122 30.00 ######  
11  FANTASTIC RAFAELA 10 9 109 1111¼ 1010¾ 1113 1014 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 30.00 ######  
STARSHIP BELMONT 4 1 4 5 1110¾ 1213½ 1114¾ (ferraro ant)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00 28.20  
CIELO D'ORO 8 6 76 7 3 2½ 12100 (day-phil)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 36% 1.80 7.40  
SCR  CAPACIOUS               (bell michael)CARDOSO DAVID 122 30.00    
SCR  FAREWELL LADY               (yanez mois)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00    
 
TAM-3   02/12/2022 5400ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 1:11
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:121 1:372   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACALLAN 1 6 5 4 3 1nk 1 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 23% 3.30 1.10 W
AFJAN 3 4 2nk 2nk 2nk 2nk 2 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 120 3.00 50% 1.00 1.80 P
GIANT'S FIRE 2 2 1nk 1nk 1nk 3.2 310 (terranova john)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 18.40  
ROYAL COURT 5 9 913¾ 912¼ 8 5 411½ (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 10.00 15.00  
ARROW STRIKE 4 7 6 6 44 4 512¾ (oliver victoria)CENTENO E 120 15.00 27.80  
AZURE SKY 8 8 8 8 910¼ 6 614¼ (raymo)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 20.00 59.00  
10  BALLOT BOX 9 1 7 7 7 7 715 (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 16.60  
BRUCE BANNER 6 3 3 3 5 8 818¾ (cam)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 15.00 33.00  
MOMENT OF PEACE 7 5 4 5 6 915¼ 940¼ (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 6.00 6.50  
SCR  KHUFU               (bianco)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00    
 
TAM-4   02/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:233 :49 1:133 1:371   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BAHAMIAN CLUB (IRE) 11 7 6 43 4 1nk 1nk (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 24% 3.10 3.20 W
EDYE'S CANDY 9 1 11 11 11 2nk 2nk (motion graha)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 7% 13.50 10.70 P
12  MISS SUGAR HILL (GB) 12 11 9 64 6 3 33 (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 120 15.00 22.40  
REQUESTFORPROPOSAL 1 2 4 5 54 4 4 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 23% 3.40 1.30  
CURIOUSLY 8 5 55 8 77 7 5 (mot)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 15.00 28.20  
BIG TENTATIONS 7 8 8 75 8 85 64 (romero rafael)REYES LEONEL 120 30.00 64.90  
10  GOLD WATCH 10 4 3 21 21 5 75 (einhorn skip)MORALES PABLO 120 30.00 6% 14.50 37.80  
CORNICE TRAVERSE 6 3 21 32 32 63 86 (cleme)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00 19% 4.20 11.50  
LAZARA 3 12 1211¼ 1212 1213½ 107 9 (mcgaughey j )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 10.00 23.90  
AU CHOCOLAT 4 6 7 10 1011½ 9 10 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 12.00 11.10  
NOVEL IDEA 5 10 11 97 98 11 11 (stidham)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 12.40  
RIBALDRY (IRE) 2 9 10 119 1112 1215½ 1215¾ (delacour arnau)CASTANON L 120 15.00 13.60  
SCR  CROSS FLEET               (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 20.00    
SCR  STANDUP COMEDIENNE               (arnett jon )GARCIA A 120 10.00    
 
TAM-5   02/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:113     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUST THE NUMBERS 4 4 3 42   2½ 1¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 23% 3.40 2.10 W
NAPA CANDY 2 3 1nk 1½   1½ 2¼ (oliver victoria)CENTENO E 120 15.00 21.10  
12  BLUSTERY 11 5 6 3   32 35 (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 19% 4.30 2.90 S
HOP PICKER 6 11 1010¼ 89   7 46 (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 22% 3.60 3.60  
BROOKWOOD HILLS 5 6 5 52   42 5 (harty eoin)GARCIA A 120 30.00 35.10  
10  INDIA CARIBE 9 7 7 7   8 6 (lopez bernardo)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00 21.70  
SUMMER OF MISCHIEF 8 1 2nk 2½   55 711¾ (o'conno)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 7% 14.10 12.70  
11  DESERT OF MALIBU 10 2 4 6   66 812½ (joseph s)GALLARDO A 120 5.00 5.00  
GWENDOLA 7 9 9 910   912¼ 915 (harty eoin)BOWEN ROCCO 120 20.00 34.60  
ANY PORT 3 10 1110¾ 1011   1013¼ 1015½ (lerman s)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 39.50  
LULI'S DANCER 1 8 8 1114   1116¼ 1123¼ (gonzalez ja)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 30.00 5% 19.00 58.30  
SCR  MIDNIGHT STROLL               (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00    
 
TAM-6   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:224 :453 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DROP A HINT 3 7 64 3   3 1¼ (wilensky)GALLARDO A 118 8.00 6.00  
MY DESTINY 5 1 11 2nk   1nk 2¼ (wilensky her)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 6.00 5.20  
FEELING MISCHIEF 4 4 53 6   4 3 (campbell mic)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 24% 3.10 3.80 S
TAP DANCE FEVER 6 5 4 1nk   2nk 44 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 118 10.00 13.20  
SPECIAL PRINCESS 1 6 76 7   69 5 (duncan christ)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 20.00 44.30  
NIGHT CAP 2 3 31 5   5 6 (raymond robert)CASTANON L 120 3.50 27% 2.70 1.90  
QUINOA TIFAH 7 2 21 4   710½ 720½ (david carlos )ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 17% 5.00 2.70  
SCR  POSEIDON'S PASSION               (gulick m)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50 7% 12.90    
 
TAM-7   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:222 :453 :573     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANK ON SHEA 4 6 5 21   1nk 1¼ (david carlos )ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 10% 8.90 3.80 W
BABY YODA 3 5 3.2 3   2nk 2¼ (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 1.20 30% 2.30 0.60 P
PUDDING 5 2 4 43   4 32 (dobles elizabe)REYES LEONEL 118 4.00 27% 2.70 8.60 S
CAJUN CASANOVA 6 4 6 64   5 4 (delgado jose )MORALES PABLO 118 8.00 6% 16.10 5.20  
R MERCEDES BOY 1 3 1nk 11   3 5 (raven kerri)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00 7% 13.70 51.40  
BOCA BOY 7 7 7 79   7 617½ (winebaug)GALLARDO A 118 12.00 35.50  
KING GUILLERMO 2 1 2nk 53   6 718 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 11.20  
 
TAM-8   02/12/2022 5400ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 3:49
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:132 1:371   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEST 2 4 3 31 2nk 11 16 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 0.60 36% 1.80 0.30 W
ALITTLELOVEANDLUCK 3 2 21 2½ 1nk 21 26 (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 5.00 31% 2.20 4.50 P
BLAMETHECHAMPAGNE 1 5 42 4 4 3 3 (wil)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 12.00 32.20  
HA' PENNY 6 3 53 53 54 4 4 (orseno f)PANICI LUCA 118 8.00 14.30  
PRINCESS ELIN 7 6 7 75 66 57 511½ (ali alnaz)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00 16.00  
PEACEFUL SURPRISE 5 7 63 65 7 611 618½ (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00 9% 10.20 10.20  
MINING CHROME 4 1 11 1½ 32 712½ 729½ (bennett geral)ALVARADO JR 118 12.00 67.60  
SCR  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT               (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-9   02/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:23
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:124 1:361   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GLADYS 9 4 1 1 1½ 13 1 (danner kelsey)CENTENO E 118 5.00 2.10  
GIGGLE FACTORY 3 6 5 53 6 5 2 (albertrani t)GARCIA GEOVANY 118 5.00 10.40  
JOYOUS TIMES 2 2 43 64 9 6 3 (lerman s)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 7% 12.80 5.90 S
EDITOR AT LARGE (IRE) 8 11 11 11 8 77 4 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 11% 8.20 1.20  
12  HOITY TOITY 11 3 2 2 2½ 23 57 (wasil)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 12.00 35.10  
BOCA 1 8 7 7 75 3 6 (falk jacqueline)JUDE JOHN 118 20.00 68.80  
C'EST MARDI 6 9 9 8 5 8 7 (cruz jes)GALLARDO A 118 8.00 18.80  
INDEPENDENCE LAW 4 1 3 32 3 44 8 (wilson tony)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 15.00 33.80  
JEAN V'S LEGACY 5 10 10 9 10 99 9 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 24% 3.20 16.90  
11  SPEED SALSA 10 7 6 42 43 1012 1015 (mazza josep)GARCIA A 118 30.00 ######  
ADRIATIC ROSE 7 5 8 10 1113¾ 1116½ 1120 (gory mark)FERRER C 118 30.00 59.20  
SCR  APPLECROSS (IRE)               (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 19% 4.40    
SCR  MET IN MIAMI               (motio)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 8.00    
SCR  ZERENIA               (alvarado diane)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00 10% 8.80    
 
TAM-10   02/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:223 :463 1:113 1:364   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC CAUSEWAY 3 1 1nk 2nk 1nk 1 1 (lynch a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 1.60  
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of PRIVATE WORLD by THUNDER GULCH)
SHIPSATIONAL 8 8 8 8 7 65 2 (barker edwar)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 7.80 P
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of REGAL APPROACH by THUNDER GULCH)
10  VOLCANIC 9 6 6 6 5 33 3 (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 12.00 8.80  
  (by VIOLENCE out of PULPIT ANGEL by PULPIT)
11  STRIKE HARD 10 11 1211½ 10 9 8 4 (williams matth)REYES LEONEL 118 6.00 42% 1.40 12.40  
  (by FLASHBACK out of COCO'S SWEETIE by TENPINS)
GOLDEN GLIDER 4 7 7 7 8 5 5 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 118 12.00 8.30  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of GOLDEN SCARF by ORIENTATE)
GOD OF LOVE 5 12 1110½ 12 11 10 68 (cas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 10.00 15.00  
  (by CUPID out of NO WONDER by THREE WONDERS)
13  LITTLE VIC 12 3 2nk 1nk 2nk 2 7 (avila c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 15.00 13.30  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ROCK AND GLORY by ROCK HARD TEN)
12  KITTEN MISCHIEF 11 9 1010 9 10 9 8 (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 10.40  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of KITTEN'S POINT by KITTEN'S JOY)
MR RUM RUNNER 1 2 4 5 43 44 9 (bianco)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 6% 14.80 ######  
  (by UNCAPTURED out of JITTERBUG BLUES by PLEASANT TAP)
MAKE IT BIG 7 4 3 3 3 7 1016¾ (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 122 4.50 6.30  
  (by NEOLITHIC out of RUBY ON MY MIND by CONGRATS)
UNPREDICTABLE BAY 2 10 9 11 1210¼ 1115¾ 1122½ (ali alnaz)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 20.00 19% 4.20 25.40  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of PREDICTRESS by VICAR)
TRADEMARK 6 5 5 42 6 1215¾ 1233 (oliver victoria)CENTENO E 122 15.00 5% 19.00 27.10  
  (by UPSTART out of CREATIVE TRICK by CREATIVE CAUSE)
SCR  HOWLING TIME               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 5.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WEREWOLF by ARCH)
 
TAM-11   02/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:33
See original race card.
:22 :46 1:102 1:35   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MISSIONATTHESPA 10 2 1nk 13 12 15 1 (lecesse micha)MORALES PABLO 120 10.00 8.20  
MOTATAABEQ 4 11 1015¾ 1016½ 810 67 2 (escobar alison)BISONO J 120 12.00 33.90  
UNLEVERAGED 5 7 810¾ 812½ 6 36 33 (rodriguez dari)CASTANON L 120 3.00 75% 0.30 1.70 S
11  DOMAIN 11 3 6 611 5 46 4 (mccarthy bre)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 12.00 5.60  
THOMOND PARK 6 4 4 47 33 25 5 (ryan s)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 8.00 20.20  
FAST FIRE 1 9 1116¾ 1119 1014 711 69 (albertrani thom)BOWEN ROCCO 120 8.00 22.40  
FADE AWAY 7 8 710¾ 711½ 7 811½ 711½ (glysh)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 12.00 54.00  
12  DREAM LINER (BRZ) 12 6 5 510 46 912½ 812½ (joseph a)CENTENO E 120 3.50 2.50  
FLY FLY AWAY 2 1 2nk 23 22 5 912½ (wilson tony)GARCIA A 120 6.00 8.70  
TOSS 9 10 913¼ 912½ 911 1013½ 1014½ (bennett)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 37.60  
SOBERANO (FR) 3 12 1219¾ 1223 1219 1116 1114¾ (hall philip)HERNANDEZ K 120 30.00 ######  
CHIC N WILBUR 8 5 34 3 1116 1231 12100 (ferraro a)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 15.00 38.80  
SCR  MINNESOTA LUCKY               (nunn dougla)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 4.00    
SCR  NINJA DUST               (sweezey )GALLARDO A 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.