Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - February 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT-12:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMINERO         (joseph a)CENTENO E 120 4.50    
VIVE BIEN         (negrete javier)CASTILLO A 120 20.00    
DORSODURO         (lerman s)FERRER C 120 12.00    
BOURBON READY         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
MONEY SUPPLY         (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 1.80 32% 2.10    
BOY I HOPE SO         (leces)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 20.00    
QUALITY G         (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
MAINTAINER         (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
EXXEL Jan14         (lund valorie)CARDOSO DAVID 120 8.00    
 
TAM-2   02/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 4UP M/F PT-12:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAVAL BATTLE         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
VENUS OYZO Jan26 Jan15       (seyler)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00    
SILVER SEA Jan15         (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00    
STARSHIP BELMONT Jan15         (ferraro ant)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00    
PEACHTREE ROAD         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 122 8.00    
BEACH BREEZE Jan15         (brown l)PEREZ EDGAR 122 15.00    
WEEZY DOES IT Jan15         (mcgaughey re)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
CIELO D'ORO         (day-phil)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
SHE'S JUST QUALITY Jan14         (alvarado dian)ALVARADO JR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FAREWELL LADY Jan15         (yanez mois)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00    
11  FANTASTIC RAFAELA Jan15         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 30.00    
12  GATHER AS YOU GO         (proctor thomas)CASTANON L 122 10.00    
SCR  CAPACIOUS         (bell michael)CARDOSO DAVID 122 30.00    
14  APPROACH THE DAWN (IRE)         (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
 
TAM-3   02/12/2022 5400ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACALLAN Jan14         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
GIANT'S FIRE Jan14         (terranova john)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
AFJAN Jan08         (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
ARROW STRIKE         (oliver victoria)CENTENO E 120 15.00    
ROYAL COURT Jan08         (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 10.00    
BRUCE BANNER Jan14         (campbell)GALLARDO A 120 15.00    
MOMENT OF PEACE         (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 6.00    
SCR  KHUFU Feb05         (bianco)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00    
AZURE SKY Jan08         (raymond robe)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
10  BALLOT BOX Jan14         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
 
TAM-4   02/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REQUESTFORPROPOSAL         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 23% 3.40    
RIBALDRY (IRE)         (delacour arnau)CASTANON L 120 15.00    
LAZARA         (mcgaughe)GALLARDO A 120 10.00    
AU CHOCOLAT         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 12.00    
NOVEL IDEA Jan22         (stidham)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
CORNICE TRAVERSE Jan01         (cleme)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00 19% 4.20    
BIG TENTATIONS Jan12         (romero rafael)REYES LEONEL 120 30.00    
CURIOUSLY         (mot)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 15.00    
EDYE'S CANDY         (motion graha)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 7% 13.50    
10  GOLD WATCH         (einhorn skip)MORALES PABLO 120 30.00 6% 14.50    
11  BAHAMIAN CLUB (IRE)         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
12  MISS SUGAR HILL (GB) Jan01         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 120 15.00    
SCR  CROSS FLEET Jan22         (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 20.00    
SCR  STANDUP COMEDIENNE Jan22         (arnett jon )GARCIA A 120 10.00    
 
TAM-5   02/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIDNIGHT STROLL         (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00    
LULI'S DANCER         (gonzalez ja)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
NAPA CANDY         (oliver victoria)CENTENO E 120 15.00    
ANY PORT         (lerman s)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
TRUST THE NUMBERS         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 23% 3.40    
BROOKWOOD HILLS Jan15         (harty eoin)GARCIA A 120 30.00    
HOP PICKER         (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
GWENDOLA         (harty eoin)BOWEN ROCCO 120 20.00    
SUMMER OF MISCHIEF Jan15         (o'conno)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 7% 14.10    
10  INDIA CARIBE         (lopez bernardo)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00    
11  DESERT OF MALIBU         (joseph s)GALLARDO A 120 5.00    
12  BLUSTERY         (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 19% 4.30    
 
TAM-6   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL PRINCESS Jan15         (duncan christ)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 20.00    
NIGHT CAP Jan16         (raymond robert)CASTANON L 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
DROP A HINT         (wilensky)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
FEELING MISCHIEF Jan19         (campbell mic)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  POSEIDON'S PASSION Jan14         (gulick m)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50 7% 12.90    
MY DESTINY Jan08         (wilensky her)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 6.00    
TAP DANCE FEVER Jan19 Jan08       (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 118 10.00    
QUINOA TIFAH Jan22         (david carlos )ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 17% 5.00    
 
TAM-7   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R MERCEDES BOY Feb05 Jan08       (raven kerri)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00 7% 13.70    
KING GUILLERMO         (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
BABY YODA         (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 1.20 30% 2.30    
BANK ON SHEA Jan07         (david carlos )ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 10% 8.90    
PUDDING Jan15         (dobles elizabe)REYES LEONEL 118 4.00 27% 2.70    
CAJUN CASANOVA Jan08         (delgado jose )MORALES PABLO 118 8.00 6% 16.10    
BOCA BOY Jan15         (winebaug)GALLARDO A 118 12.00    
 
TAM-8   02/12/2022 5400ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAMETHECHAMPAGNE Jan22         (wil)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 12.00    
NEST         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 0.60 36% 1.80    
ALITTLELOVEANDLUCK Jan01         (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
MINING CHROME Jan01         (bennett geral)ALVARADO JR 118 12.00    
SCR  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT Jan01         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
PEACEFUL SURPRISE Jan14         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00 9% 10.20    
HA' PENNY Jan15         (orseno f)PANICI LUCA 118 8.00    
PRINCESS ELIN Jan15         (ali alnaz)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00    
 
TAM-9   02/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOCA Jan23         (falk jacqueline)JUDE JOHN 118 20.00    
JOYOUS TIMES Jan12         (lerman s)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 7% 12.80    
GIGGLE FACTORY         (albertrani t)GARCIA GEOVANY 118 5.00    
INDEPENDENCE LAW Jan23         (wilson tony)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 15.00    
JEAN V'S LEGACY Jan12         (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 24% 3.20    
C'EST MARDI Jan01         (cruz jes)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
ADRIATIC ROSE         (gory mark)FERRER C 118 30.00    
EDITOR AT LARGE (IRE) Jan02         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 11% 8.20    
SCR  ZERENIA         (alvarado diane)BOWEN ROCCO 118 15.00 10% 8.80    
10  GLADYS Jan29         (danner kelsey)CENTENO E 118 5.00    
11  SPEED SALSA Feb02         (mazza josep)GARCIA A 118 30.00    
12  HOITY TOITY Feb02 Jan02       (wasil)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 12.00    
SCR  MET IN MIAMI Jan07         (motio)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 8.00    
SCR  APPLECROSS (IRE)         (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 19% 4.40    
 
TAM-10   02/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR RUM RUNNER Jan01         (bianco)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 6% 14.80    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of JITTERBUG BLUES by PLEASANT TAP)
UNPREDICTABLE BAY         (ali alnaz)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 20.00 19% 4.20    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of PREDICTRESS by VICAR)
CLASSIC CAUSEWAY         (lynch a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of PRIVATE WORLD by THUNDER GULCH)
GOLDEN GLIDER Jan07         (casse ma)GALLARDO A 118 12.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of GOLDEN SCARF by ORIENTATE)
GOD OF LOVE         (cas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 10.00    
  (by CUPID out of NO WONDER by THREE WONDERS)
TRADEMARK         (oliver victoria)CENTENO E 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UPSTART out of CREATIVE TRICK by CREATIVE CAUSE)
MAKE IT BIG         (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 122 4.50    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of RUBY ON MY MIND by CONGRATS)
SHIPSATIONAL         (barker edwar)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of REGAL APPROACH by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  HOWLING TIME         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 5.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WEREWOLF by ARCH)
10  VOLCANIC Jan08         (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 12.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of PULPIT ANGEL by PULPIT)
11  STRIKE HARD Jan01         (williams matth)REYES LEONEL 118 6.00 42% 1.40    
  (by FLASHBACK out of COCO'S SWEETIE by TENPINS)
12  KITTEN MISCHIEF Jan09         (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of KITTEN'S POINT by KITTEN'S JOY)
13  LITTLE VIC         (avila c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 15.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ROCK AND GLORY by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
TAM-11   02/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST FIRE Jan22         (albertrani thom)BOWEN ROCCO 120 8.00    
FLY FLY AWAY Jan22 Jan01       (wilson tony)GARCIA A 120 6.00    
SOBERANO (FR) Jan26 Jan01       (hall philip)HERNANDEZ K 120 30.00    
MOTATAABEQ Jan22 Jan01       (escobar alison)BISONO J 120 12.00    
UNLEVERAGED Jan08         (rodriguez dari)CASTANON L 120 3.00 75% 0.30    
THOMOND PARK Jan22         (ryan s)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 8.00    
FADE AWAY Jan23 Jan08       (glysh)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 12.00    
CHIC N WILBUR         (ferraro a)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 15.00    
TOSS Jan12         (bennett)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
10  MISSIONATTHESPA Jan08         (lecesse micha)MORALES PABLO 120 10.00    
11  DOMAIN Jan08         (mccarthy bre)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 12.00    
12  DREAM LINER (BRZ)         (joseph a)CENTENO E 120 3.50    
SCR  MINNESOTA LUCKY Jan23 Jan12 Jan02     (nunn dougla)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 4.00    
SCR  NINJA DUST         (sweezey )GALLARDO A 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.