Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Monday - May 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:101     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIZZY ECHO 5 2 21 2½   1½ 1¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 7% 12.40 8.40 W
SPARKLE OF HOPE 6 4 4 32   2½ 2¼ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 6.20 P
BOURBINA 4 7 6 5   4 3 (cook b)BEJARANO R 124 4.00 1.50  
MEGAN'S CLARA 2 5 33 4   3 4 (ortiz alexa)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 5.00 41% 1.40 2.30  
RUN FEARLESS 3 6 56 6   66 5 (fires h)COURT K 124 12.00 5% 17.50 15.10  
ZMUDA 7 1 79 711½   79 6 (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 10.20  
FOUR DAWN 1 3 11 1½   56 714 (garcia genaro)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.50 13% 6.60 6.30  
 
CD-2   05/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I CROSS MY HEART 4 2 2½ 21   2nk 1 (lynch brian )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 1.30  
GARDENLY 2 6 6 5   33 2 (drury j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00 19% 4.30 7.20 P
OAXACA 1 1 1½ 11   1nk 3 (gutie)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 5.00 3.80  
PONTIFFANY 3 4 52 32   44 4 (barrett rod)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 7.40  
NOGRATZ 6 5 31 4   512 525½ (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 35% 1.80 2.50  
MAXINE'S CANDY 5 3 42 67   613½ 636¾ (vance r)DIAZ RENE 111 15.00 14.50  
SCR  OPEN SAYS ME               (williamson brian)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
 
CD-3   05/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:111 1:234   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGHTVILLE 3 2 2½ 1½ 1 1 1 (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 111 3.00 11% 7.80 1.80 W
PLEMMONSTON 9 7 6 53 4 33 2 (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 6.60  
BARSTOW 8 5 31 42 2 2 36 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 5.00 S
EL FRANCO 1 9 87 85 65 56 4 (norris mike)MORALES EDGAR 124 12.00 6% 16.30 6.50  
CHASE TRACKER 4 6 76 74 7 66 5 (garcia genaro)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 8.00 7.40  
KIDYOUNOT 6 1 1½ 2½ 3 4 6 (barnett c)COURT K 124 10.00 6.70  
TIGHTWAD 7 3 4 3 5 79 713¾ (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 45% 1.20 14.00  
MO HEAT 5 4 5 63 88 813 821¼ (murphy shane)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 6.00 10% 9.10 14.00  
STUD PUPPY 2 8 910 912 919½ 931 946½ (zito )FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 10.00 20.70  
 
CD-4   05/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:124 1:372   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHILENO 2 4 32 42 42 4 1¼ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 26% 2.90 3.30 W
JEEPER 8 3 4 3 31 2nk 2¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 2.50 22% 3.60 1.60 P
GATE RUNNER 3 8 8 6 5 5 3 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 20% 4.10 3.00 S
CONSPIRACY FACT 6 1 1 11 1nk 3.2 4 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 11.00  
G FLAT 7 2 2 21 2nk 1nk 55 (ortiz alexa)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 47.30  
SUPERCOOL 5 5 53 5 65 610¾ 616¼ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 6.00 13.00  
MAGNIFICUS 4 7 6 7 710 816¼ 720¾ (moquett ronald )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 10.10  
TOUCH CODE 1 6 75 8 810¼ 715¾ 821¼ (vance david)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 11% 7.80 9.50  
 
CD-5   05/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:23 :451 1:084 1:211   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JELLY NOUGAT 1 2 11 1 1 12 1 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 3.20  
NEPOTISM 5 5 21 2 2 22 2 (scherer marianne)LANERIE J 124 3.00 38% 1.60 4.50 P
SOUTHERN PASSAGE 4 1 88 8 68 4 39 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 4.50 8% 11.30 4.90 S
GROUP HUG 7 6 42 4 3 35 411¾ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 124 5.00 3.90  
MOUNT ATHOS 2 4 53 53 5 5 511¾ (brisset rodolp)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 3.50 2.50  
MOON DOG 6 7 32 32 45 6 613¼ (glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 18.40  
FED MONEY 3 3 6 64 7 710½ 716 (baker james)GARCIA MARTIN 124 20.00 33.10  
LEADING WEST 8 8 76 76 8 811 816¼ (ortiz alexan)COHEN DAVID 124 4.00 25% 3.00 13.90  
 
CD-6   05/30/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:213 :441 :56     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THANKS MR. EIDSON 2 3 1½ 11   1 1 (lynch bria)SANTANA JR 121 5.00 5.30  
BAD BEAT BRIAN 7 1 2½ 21   2 2 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 47% 1.10 3.20 P
ON YOUR MARK 3 2 7 7   44 3 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 10.70  
10  MAJOR WAGER 9 4 31 31   33 4 (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 25.10  
11  ANACONDA 10 7 8 8   67 5 (walsh brend)LEPAROUX R 121 3.50 7% 13.20 2.30  
READY TO POUNCE 6 9 9 10   10 6 (pessin l)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 5% 19.00 20.10  
GALLANT GUY 8 10 10 9   8 7 (gonza)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 15.00 29.30  
STRIKE ME DOWN 1 8 42 43   5 8 (lovell michelle)BEJARANO R 121 3.50 13% 6.60 6.50  
DEVIL'S TOWER 4 5 52 5   7 9 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00 10.80  
COWAN 5 6 6 6   9 1010¾ (asmussen ste)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.00 9.20  
SCR  ELUSIVE MISCHIEF               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 12.00    
SCR  MUTAKATIF (IRE)               (brown h)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00    
SCR  SPRINKLEHEAD               (salas felipe)DIAZ RENE 114 30.00    
SCR  UPSTRIKER               (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 6% 15.60    
 
CD-7   05/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:09     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  A C EXPRESSWAY 10 6 5 31   21 1¼ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 3.50 4.50  
SCHMOOZIN 9 5 31 2nk   11 2¼ (pessin l)LANERIE J 123 15.00 26.30  
ANGKOR 2 2 21 4   3 3½ (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 6.00 6.40  
GREENER PASTURES 6 3 8 5   53 41 (mccarthy w)BEJARANO R 123 4.50 44% 1.30 3.50  
UBER KIRK 7 4 42 7   6 5 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 123 15.00 9% 9.50 16.70  
RIGHT TONE 8 7 11 1nk   4 65 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 4.70  
CRITICAL THREAT 1 1 10 10   9 75 (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 123 8.00 16.90  
CRYO 5 9 6 6   7 8 (morey william )BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 10.00 25% 3.10 38.40  
MEISTER 4 10 9 8   8 9 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 123 5.00 3.80  
BOURBON THUNDER 3 8 7 9   10 10 (wilkes r)GRAHAM J 123 5.00 7.10  
 
CD-8   05/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:214 :442 :56     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCONSIN 3 4 42 21   1nk 1¾ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.20 43% 1.30 0.50 W
JOYFUL CADENCE 1 3 11 11   2nk 2¾ (ortiz alex)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 5.00 P
LI'L TOOTSIE 4 1 53 43   33 3 (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 17% 5.00 7.60 S
NOVEL SQUALL 2 5 3 5   46 414¾ (ortiz a)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 3.70  
TIPSY GAL 5 2 21 33   5 516½ (stewart da)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 15.00  
SCR  EUPHORIC               (flint bernar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 11% 8.30    
 
CD-9   05/30/2022 7260ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:142 1:39 2:04 2:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS ABOVE 8 10 10 9 6 22 1 (nihei michelle)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 11.80  
11  STICKY ISSUE 10 1 11 12 11 12 2 (ennis john)GRAHAM J 125 3.00 17% 5.00 2.30 P
SURROGATE 3 64 5 6 85 69 3 (biancone)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 27.70  
VINTAGE YEAR 7 43 4 5 74 5 410 (arnold geor)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.00 21% 3.70 4.10  
MADISON LUVS DUKE 5 5 6 7 4 46 512 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 12.60  
SAILOR'S RETURN 2 87 86 43 21 3 615½ (habeeb j)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 12.00 16% 5.30 22.10  
CONSULATE 1 9 98 106 10 711 717¼ (sisterson ja)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 4.00 17% 5.00 8.50  
TRUMPETS BLARE 6 76 76 8 96 814 828¾ (wilkes r)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 43.80  
CALRISSIAN 9 3 21 22 53 1017 936¼ (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 125 3.50 7.40  
STAMKOS 4 2 32 32 3 916 1036¼ (mcgaughey cl)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 3.10  
SCR  AQUACAT               (beckman whitwor)COHEN DAVID 118 20.00    
SCR  BIGGIE               (medina rob)SANTANA JR 125 10.00 5% 18.80    
SCR  LITTLE RED RIFLE               (semkin sam)MOJICA JR 118 30.00    
SCR  LOLAS BEAU               (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 111 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.