The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 29, 2022

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CD-1   05/29/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
:223 :46 :583     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPURS UP 4 3 2½ 2½   21¼ (mccutchen b)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 38% 1.60 1.80 W
BOOK OF KELLS 2 1 1½ 1½   12¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 4.00  
OVERLY D'ORO 1 2 4 410½   47 3(cook b)ROCCO S 119 5.00 8.20  
KBCYA LATER 5 4 3 3   34(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 17% 5.00 1.60  
DOC BALLARD 3 5 510½ 511   55(lightner mary)LANERIE J 119 8.00 8% 11.80 7.00  
RAMOS 6 6 612 616½   622 628 (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 119 5.00 7% 12.80 20.60  
SCR  ZAFIRO ANEJO               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 5.00    
 
CD-2   05/29/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
:221 :453 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMAKAN BOURBON 4 1 32 32   32 1¼ (minnock g)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 12% 7.60 10.20 W
PARISH BELLE 3 5 2 21   12¼ (calhoun bret)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 2.60 P
GRACE'S SECRET 1 6 610½ 65   43(puhich mike)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 2.00 61% 0.60 2.60 S
LUNCH LADY 2 4 1 11   24(moquett e)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 2.50  
SHAOLIN 5 2 42 4   59 511¾ (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 3.20  
DAY N THE STARS 6 3 53 5   614½ 625 (tomlinson a)ROCCO S 118 5.00 15.20  
 
CD-3   05/29/2022 7260ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
:24 :481 1:143 1:401 2:044 2:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DUVET DAY (IRE) 9 74 43 42 3½ 1(mccarthy w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 4.40  
QUALITY STAR 3 33 32 31 1½ 2(lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 7% 12.50 5.60 P
JOYFUL APPLAUSE 5 1½ 1nk 1½ 1nk 2½ 3(pitts helen)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 3.00  
UNDER ONE SKY 2 47 64 6 53 4(kenneally eddie)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 17.40  
ENGLISH TREASURE 1 101010¾ 10 8 75(drury jr)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 5.40  
RED LIGHT RACER 4 88 8 85 7 66(joseph a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 6.00 6.80  
PURE COUNTRY 10 2½ 2nk 2½ 2nk 478 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 48% 1.10 3.40  
PRETTY PROVOCATIVE 8 65 67 5 5 8810½ (biancone l)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00 5% 19.00 42.50  
CINQ SOUERS 7 99 910½ 96 9 921¾ 937 (medina robert)SANTANA JR 118 30.00 5% 19.00 30.00  
START CLASS 6 53 5 75 1012¾ 1029¾ 1061 (medley joseph)PETERSON FERRIN 118 50.00 5% 19.00 64.60  
SCR  TAKE A STAND               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 3.00    
 
CD-4   05/29/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
:222 :444 1:094     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T FORGET 1 2 77 7   41(shorter aaron)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 13% 6.80 4.20 W
ROLLING FORK 2 3 64 65   34 2(ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 14.20 DH
WILD BEHAVIOR 3 4 1 11   12(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 6.90 P
SAMURAI PRINCE 4 1 2 32   55 45 (morey e)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 36% 1.80 7.60  
DIVINE LEADER 5 7 32 21   25(ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 1.60 22% 3.50 0.70  
THE QUEENS JULES 6 5 43 44   67 66 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 9.20  
LOST IN LIMBO 7 6 53 54   7716¼ (lauer michael)GEROUX FLORENT 120 12.00 23.10  
 
CD-5   05/29/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
:222 :443 1:091     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVEMESOMEME 1 6 1½ 11   13 1(drury jr)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 14% 6.30 1.80 W
JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) 6 3 2½ 21   23 2(meah m)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 20% 3.90 15.00 P
HONORIFIQUE 4 7 8 710   510 38 (kenneally eddie)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 35% 1.80 1.60 S
SHE'S A DIME 3 5 5 58   4410 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 15.10  
GIANNA'S GIFT 5 2 33 3   38 513½ (miller f)COURT K 121 15.00 30.20  
RECODED 2 1 4 68   611 613¾ (cano munoz)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00 4.10  
MURGATROYD 7 4 7 812   814½ 722¼ (macias adolfo)VILLASANA CARLOS 116 20.00 54.80  
WELL SPENT 8 8 6 47   713 822¼ (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 121 3.50 6% 15.20 7.70  
 
CD-6   05/29/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
:222 :453 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIGNIFY 4 2 11 12   1½ 1¾ (brisset rodolphe)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.50 12% 7.30 2.60 W
THUNDER LOVE (GB) 6 3 33 34   32¾ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 116 6.00 3.60  
PERFECT HAPPINESS 5 1 21 22   2½ 3(hartman chris)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50 7% 14.10 7.40 S
MUSED (GB) 7 4 4 45   44(kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 7.70  
STERLING MISS 2 7 77 7   753 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 49% 1.00 2.40  
LEMOS CUNHA 1 5 5 5   66(caramori eduardo)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 12.00 8.30  
SOUTHERN MAMA 3 6 66 6   57(ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.00 9.70  
SCR  ALBERTA SUN               (maker j)SANTANA JR 121 3.50 6% 17.20    
SCR  CHANDANA               (dobbsjr e)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 4.00 6% 14.90    
 
CD-7   05/29/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:231 :454 1:093     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GULFSTREAM WAY 7 8 11 11   12 1(baker james)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 3.50 16% 5.40 3.00 W
RED KNOBS 3 3 4 32   22 2(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 12.70  
MR SIPPI 8 7 31 21   32 3(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 33% 2.00 1.10 S
10  AMONGST FRIENDS 9 6 6 63   44(matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 123 6.00 10% 9.40 9.00  
TONAL IMPACT 1 9 9 9   75(sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00 8.70  
SPEIGHTY WAR 2 1 5 53   5612½ (west w)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 28.70  
PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE 6 2 7 75   67 714 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 10.00 9.20  
SOROS 5 4 21 4   9815 (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 6.00 20% 3.90 17.20  
HUNT THE FRONT 4 5 8 8   8917¼ (zito p)BEJARANO R 123 12.00 25.20  
SCR  READY PURSUIT               (antonuik jerry)REYES R 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   05/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
:213 :45 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURNINHUNKOFLOVE 5 2 3 2nk   1nk 1hd (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 5% 19.00 5.20 W
SMOKIN WILLIE 2 3 11 1nk   2nk 2hd (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 7% 12.50 4.10 P
RAYMOND 7 1 5 3   32 3(asmussen m)LEPAROUX R 122 3.00 37% 1.70 2.20 S
MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR 4 4 21 5   44 4(wilkes r)LANERIE J 118 4.00 3.50  
MOMENTOUS 6 6 6 6   65(pletcher a)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 28% 2.60 7.10  
RESPECT THE CODE 3 5 42 43   56(miller peter)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 4.60  
BOURBON TALKING 1 7 7 7   7715¼ (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 32.20  
SCR  PRIVATE ROAD               (spicer t)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
 
CD-9   05/29/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
:234 :48 1:123 1:37   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FLIRTING BRIDGE (IRE) 10 10 10 10 10 11 1(walsh p)LEPAROUX R 124 5.00 3.80  
FLOWN 9 2 54 6 63 21 2(walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 8% 11.90 1.70 P
FAIRCHILD 5 7 9 7 8 43(asmussen m)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 12.00 15.90  
ELLE EST FORTE 3 6 64 3 42 34(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 4.00 16.10  
PRINTER'S ROW 2 8 88 9 74 66 5(devaux cherie)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 12.00 28.30  
BERATE 7 4 21 2 2nk 5611¼ (mcgaughey iii)LANERIE J 124 15.00 30.60  
AIZU 4 9 7 8 9 8712½ (nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 124 12.00 6% 16.40 23.00  
GAMBLING CAT 1 5 42 5 5 10814½ (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 7% 13.80 9.30  
TEXAS SHUFFLE 6 1 3 4 3 9920 (mcgaughey iii)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.50 36% 1.80 3.20  
BLAZING STAR (GB) 8 3 11 1 1nk 71020½ (lynch a)SANTANA JR 124 20.00 10.40  
SCR  DUPLICITOUS               (hawley wesley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 15.00    
SCR  LAYNLOMAKNDOUGH               (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00    
SCR  MY SWEET STORY               (correas iv)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 10.00    
SCR  RICHEBOURG               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  TWO SIXTYONE               (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 15.00    
 
CD-10   05/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 5:26
:213 :444 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAYFORPEACE 6 2 21 2½   11 1(hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.00 15% 5.70 2.30 W
SWIFT TAP 1 5 3 32   32(moquett e)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 9.30  
BLUE KENTUCKY 2 8 76 54   434 (maker j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 28% 2.50 1.10 S
TURNSANDCONDITIONS 3 7 8 64   64(vance r)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 5% 17.70 14.20  
RED LABEL 4 3 11 1½   21 5(demeritte larry)BOWEN ROCCO 118 30.00 21.80  
10  PURE PANIC 8 4 4 43   86(cano munoz)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 12.40  
BIG BOSS BEN 7 1 5 85   77(sharp joe)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 12% 7.20 7.40  
HATCH 5 6 64 7   5812½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00 18.70  
SCR  CONCEPT               (asmussen m)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  MICKY FROM WEXFORD               (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.