Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVERLY D'ORO May12         (cook b)ROCCO S 119 5.00    
2  BOOK OF KELLS May04         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50    
SCR  ZAFIRO ANEJO         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 5.00 ★    
4  DOC BALLARD         (lightner mary)LANERIE J 119 8.00 8% 11.80    
5  SPURS UP Apr28         (mccutche)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
6  KBCYA LATER         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 17% 5.00    
7  RAMOS         (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 119 5.00 7% 12.80    
 
CD-2   05/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACE'S SECRET Jan02         (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 2.00 61% 0.60    
2  LUNCH LADY         (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 ★    
3  PARISH BELLE Apr16         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 ★    
4  JUMAKAN BOURBON Apr27 Apr02 Mar12     (minnock g)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 12% 7.60    
5  SHAOLIN Apr27         (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 5.00    
6  DAY N THE STARS         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 5.00 ★    
 
CD-3   05/29/2022 7260ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURE COUNTRY May04 Apr08 Mar12     (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  TAKE A STAND Apr30 Apr10 Feb26 Jan14   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 ★    
2  ENGLISH TREASURE May04 Jan27       (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00    
3  UNDER ONE SKY Apr27         (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
4  QUALITY STAR May04 Apr15 Mar19     (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 7% 12.50    
5  RED LIGHT RACER May04 Jan27       (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 6.00    
6  JOYFUL APPLAUSE May04 Apr16       (pitts hel)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00    
7  START CLASS May03         (medley jose)PETERSON FERRIN 118 50.00 5% 19.00    
8  CINQ SOUERS May09         (medina r)SANTANA JR 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  PRETTY PROVOCATIVE Jan22         (bianco)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  DUVET DAY (IRE) Apr08 Mar07 Jan29     (mccarthy mic)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00    
 
CD-4   05/29/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T FORGET Apr23 Mar27 Mar05 Jan29   (shorter )SANTANA JR 118 3.50 13% 6.80    
2  ROLLING FORK Apr30 Apr09 Mar20 Feb26   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00    
3  WILD BEHAVIOR Apr29 Mar27 Jan29 Jan07   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 ★    
4  SAMURAI PRINCE May05 Mar18 Feb11 Jan07   (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
5  DIVINE LEADER May15 May05 Feb12 Jan23   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 120 1.60 22% 3.50    
6  THE QUEENS JULES May05 Mar27 Feb20 Jan29   (van thomas)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 ★    
7  LOST IN LIMBO May12 Apr26 Apr09 Jan08   (lauer michae)GEROUX FLORENT 120 12.00    
 
CD-5   05/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVEMESOMEME         (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 14% 6.30    
2  RECODED May03 Apr16 Mar19 Jan22 Jan09 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00 ★    
3  SHE'S A DIME Apr03         (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 121 5.00    
4  HONORIFIQUE Apr15 Mar03 Jan15     (kenneally )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 35% 1.80    
5  GIANNA'S GIFT Mar12 Jan29 Jan15     (miller f)COURT K 121 15.00    
6  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) May03         (meah m)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 20% 3.90    
7  MURGATROYD May03 Feb12       (macias ado)VILLASANA CARLOS 116 20.00    
8  WELL SPENT Apr16 Mar06       (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 121 3.50 6% 15.20    
 
CD-6   05/29/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEMOS CUNHA Apr30 Apr08       (caramori edua)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 12.00    
2  STERLING MISS Apr30 Mar12 Feb14     (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 49% 1.00    
3  SOUTHERN MAMA May20 Apr30       (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.00    
4  SIGNIFY         (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.50 12% 7.30    
5  PERFECT HAPPINESS Apr30 Mar20 Jan22 Jan02   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50 7% 14.10    
6  THUNDER LOVE (GB) Apr15         (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 116 6.00    
7  MUSED (GB) Apr30 Jan02       (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 121 12.00    
SCR  ALBERTA SUN Apr16 Feb19 Jan09     (maker mi)SANTANA JR 121 3.50 6% 17.20    
SCR  CHANDANA May03         (dobbsjr r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 4.00 6% 14.90    
 
CD-7   05/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONAL IMPACT Apr15 Mar11 Feb13 Jan21 Jan05 (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00    
2  SPEIGHTY WAR Mar17 Feb26       (west w)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00    
3  RED KNOBS Apr09 Feb05       (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00    
4  HUNT THE FRONT Apr08 Mar17 Feb26     (zito p)BEJARANO R 123 12.00    
5  SOROS Apr16         (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 6.00 20% 3.90    
6  PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE Apr21 Mar16 Feb17 Jan23   (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 10.00 ★    
7  GULFSTREAM WAY Feb03         (baker jame)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 3.50 16% 5.40    
8  MR SIPPI May04         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  READY PURSUIT Mar12 Feb26 Jan07     (antonuik jerry)REYES R 118 15.00    
10  AMONGST FRIENDS Apr15 Mar18 Feb13 Jan07   (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 123 6.00 10% 9.40    
 
CD-8   05/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON TALKING May10 Apr02 Mar17 Feb23   (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
2  SMOKIN WILLIE May04 Feb21       (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 7% 12.50    
3  RESPECT THE CODE         (miller pet)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 ★    
4  MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR Mar26         (wilkes r)LANERIE J 118 4.00    
5  BURNINHUNKOFLOVE May04 Mar24 Feb28 Jan10   (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
6  MOMENTOUS Apr23 Feb19       (pletcher)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 28% 2.60    
7  RAYMOND Apr23         (asmussen )LEPAROUX R 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  PRIVATE ROAD Apr02 Mar12 Jan08     (spicer t)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
 
CD-9   05/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMBLING CAT Jan15         (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 7% 13.80    
2  PRINTER'S ROW Apr09 Feb11       (devaux cheri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 12.00    
3  ELLE EST FORTE         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 4.00    
4  AIZU Apr20 Jan29       (nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 124 12.00 6% 16.40    
5  FAIRCHILD         (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 12.00    
6  TEXAS SHUFFLE Apr15         (mcgaughey cl)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
7  BERATE         (mcgaughey claud)LANERIE J 124 15.00    
8  BLAZING STAR (GB) May03         (lynch br)SANTANA JR 124 20.00    
9  FLOWN Apr15         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 8% 11.90    
10  FLIRTING BRIDGE (IRE)         (walsh bre)LEPAROUX R 124 5.00    
SCR  TWO SIXTYONE May07         (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 15.00    
SCR  DUPLICITOUS Apr29 Apr08 Mar19 Feb20 Jan23 (hawley wesl)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 15.00    
SCR  LAYNLOMAKNDOUGH May03 Apr15       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00    
SCR  MY SWEET STORY         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 10.00    
SCR  RICHEBOURG May10 Feb23 Jan15     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 3.00 17% 5.00    
 
CD-10   05/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWIFT TAP May06 Apr10 Mar11 Feb11 Jan15 (moquett rona)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
2  BLUE KENTUCKY Apr14 Mar09 Jan22     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 28% 2.50    
3  TURNSANDCONDITIONS May14 Apr15 Mar11 Feb27 Feb05 (vance dav)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 5% 17.70    
SCR  CONCEPT Apr01 Jan30       (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 9% 10.30    
5  RED LABEL Apr23 Feb11 Jan08     (demeritte larry)BOWEN ROCCO 118 30.00    
SCR  MICKY FROM WEXFORD May07 Apr13       (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.50    
7  HATCH (GB) Apr23 Feb11 Jan14     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00    
8  PRAYFORPEACE May14 Mar24 Feb28 Jan17   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.00 15% 5.70    
9  BIG BOSS BEN Apr15 Feb27 Feb11 Jan15   (sharp joe)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 12% 7.20    
10  PURE PANIC May07 Apr10 Feb28 Jan30   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.