Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - April 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   04/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAWNDO 1 3 21½ 32   1½ 1¾ (garcia gena)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00 ★ 4.90  
3  HANEY BOYS 3 2 42½ 43½   31½ 2¾ (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 123 4.50 ★ 6.90 P
2  TERAWATT 2 4 31½ 21   2½ 35¾ (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.50 14% 6.20 3.60 S
4  FIREMAN DAN 4 1 54½ 54½   53½ 45¾ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 3.50 ★ 7.00  
6  FORMAL ORDER 6 6 68 67½   67 56 (desormeaux keith)DIAZ RENE 111 10.00 22.40  
5  SPEED BOAT 5 5 11½ 11   42 67½ (vanden br)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 1.40 50% 1.00 0.80  
 
CD-2   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:214 :452 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SPEND BENJAMINS 5 6 46½ 43½   32½ 11 (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 ★ 8.30  
5  EL VENUE 4 2 21½ 1nk   11½ 21 (morse l)DIAZ RENE 111 12.00 12.10  
3  DREWZANO 2 3 33 31   21½ 33¼ (wiggins lon)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 8.00  
7  SOUL STREIT 6 1 11½ 2nk   43½ 49 (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 2.50 46% 1.20 0.90  
4  AREYOUTALKINGTOME 3 5 67½ 68   69 59½ (quartarolo a)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 22.40  
1  DEANO 1 4 57 57   58½ 613 (diodoro rober)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 8% 11.90 1.70  
SCR  HONEY WON'T               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  MY MAN FLINTSTONE               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 11% 7.90    
 
CD-3   04/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRILLS 1 3 2½ 22   22 11¼ (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 123 1.60 50% 1.00 1.70 W
6  FOREIGN EXCHANGE 6 2 1½ 12   12 21¼ (ares paul)PETERSON FERRIN 118 3.50 ★ 4.90 P
3  DELTA GAMMA CATS 3 6 65 56½   36 34¾ (west w)BEJARANO R 118 1.80 20% 4.00 1.10 S
4  A LOT OF SPUNK 4 1 32½ 45   47 49¼ (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 ★ 6.70  
2  BRUNELLA 2 4 43 34½   57½ 510¼ (cook b)ROCCO S 118 8.00 5% 19.00 16.10  
5  LA TOURISTA 5 5 53½ 67½   612 624½ (vasque)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 20.00 47.00  
 
CD-4   04/30/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
See original race card.
:252 :501 1:142 1:253   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STITCHED 1 1 11 11½ 1½ 12 11 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 11.80  
4  EVAN SING 3 5 32 42 42 22 21 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 3.50  
1  BAKWENA 5 6 54½ 63¾ 63½ 75½ 33½ (miller darrin)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 4.00 23% 3.40 3.40 S
3  MOUNT KENYA 2 7 76½ 75¼ 74 65 44¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 125 5.00 ★ 5.40  
5  BRYCE CANYON 4 3 21 21½ 2½ 33½ 55¾ (toner j)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 3.50 25% 3.00 2.10  
6  GINSBURNED 7 4 66 53½ 52½ 55 66¼ (arnold geor)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 6.00 3.40  
1A  GINGRICH 6 2 42½ 32 31½ 44½ 77 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 3.40  
SCR  GRANDEUR               (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 125 8.00    
SCR  GREAT ESCAPE (ARG)               (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 ★    
SCR  KOOLHAUS               (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.50 29% 2.50    
 
CD-5   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:211 :443 :571     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ALTERED SHOT 5 1 32½ 21   11 12½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.80 42% 1.40 0.90 W
4  BOURBINA 4 4 48½ 45   34½ 22½ (cook b)BEJARANO R 124 5.00 ★ 7.80 P
2  J L'S ROCKETTE 2 3 2½ 11   21 33½ (mott william )RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 4.00 4.60  
1  OLD PHO 1 2 1½ 31½   48½ 419¼ (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 29% 2.40 3.00  
3  MUCHO MACHO MOMMA 3 5 511 510½   513 520¼ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.50 ★ 5.20  
SCR  PREMIER WISH               (garcia gena)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 10.00 6% 14.50    
 
CD-6   04/30/2022 6600ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:14 1:394   2:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MISS YEARWOOD 5 612½ 611½ 55 2½ 14 17¼ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 3.00 18% 4.40 1.00 W
2  RUNAWAY WIFE 2 32 31 31½ 31½ 24 27¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 ★ 5.40 P
5  INVITING (IRE) 4 21½ 21 2½ 1½ 35½ 310½ (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 4.40  
3  TAKE A STAND 3 43 43 42 42 47½ 413½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 2.30  
7  SUMMER MATE 6 11½ 11 1½ 54 511½ 517 (pessin l)GEROUX FLORENT 126 10.00 5% 19.00 16.50  
1  BAYOU WIND 1 510 511 66 610 621 639¼ (caramori edua)PETERSON FERRIN 126 12.00 5% 19.00 31.30  
SCR  FIVE PRIZES               (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
CD-7   04/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:144 1:40   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MOON DOG 1 7 65½ 43 42 11 1½ (glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 16.80  
4  STRONG LIGHT 3 9 1012 96¼ 53 32½ 2½ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00 7% 12.60 2.80 P
7  BIG PAPER 6 2 55 66 64 74¼ 33 (correas iv)GRAHAM J 126 6.00 9% 10.00 7.90 S
3  MY FAVORITE UNCLE 2 5 910½ 107¼ 96½ 64 43¼ (asmussen m)DIAZ RENE 119 4.50 50% 1.00 4.90  
6  WORKINFROMHOME 5 4 33 32½ 31 21 56¼ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 126 20.00 23.30  
12  DOWN TO BIZZNESS 10 8 21 2½ 2½ 54 69½ (boland sharo)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 53.10  
9  LEVEE PROUD 7 1 11 1½ 1½ 43 711¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 7.70  
10  TRICOLOUR 8 6 76½ 86¼ 86 88¾ 815 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 8.30  
11  HOLD THE LINE 9 10 44 55 107 1012¼ 918¼ (kobiskie dane)LANERIE J 118 15.00 9.80  
5  BANDIMERE 4 3 87½ 76 74½ 911¾ 1025¼ (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 10% 9.50 3.10  
SCR  FOTHERINGAY               (colebrook b)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HE'S A KEEPER               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 126 10.00    
 
CD-8   04/30/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:39
See original race card.
:221 :451 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  RICHIES GREAT GIRL 11 11 56 45½   32½ 13½ (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00 10% 8.70 10.40 W
10  BAY STORM 9 3 21 21   21 23½ (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.80 32% 2.10 0.80 P
9  SPICY MARG 8 4 11 11   11 33½ (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 5.10  
6  STERLING MISS 5 5 66½ 67   45 43¾ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00 20% 4.00 10.50  
2  MAMBA WAMBA (IRE) 2 8 1112½ 1113   911 55½ (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 122 6.00 4.80  
8  MUSED (GB) 7 6 89 79   67½ 65¾ (kenneally eddie)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00 51.10  
13  BLISSFUL CHANGE 12 7 45 56   57 76 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00 30.60  
5  LEMOS CUNHA 4 1 78½ 89½   78½ 86½ (caramori eduardo)COURT K 122 20.00 26.70  
3  INAJIFFY 3 2 911 911   1011 97 (sharp joe)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 12.00 26.50  
1  SOUTHERN MAMA 1 12 1011½ 1011½   89 1010½ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 39.90  
7  HABOBANERO 6 10 1213½ 1214   1214 1111¼ (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 122 30.00 59.10  
11  COMPETENT 10 9 33 34   1111½ 1221 (tomczak mar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 30.00 5% 19.00 70.50  
SCR  CLARA PEETERS (GB)               (hartman chris)LANERIE J 122 5.00    
SCR  GERRI B               (danner kelse)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 11% 8.30    
 
CD-9   04/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 4UP M/F PT-10:11
See original race card.
:22 :453 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BAYERNESS 2 1 21 2½   12½ 14½ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 30% 2.40 0.80 W
4  CLUB CAR 3 3 34½ 34   22½ 24½ (colebrook ben)LANERIE J 118 2.50 ★ 1.40 P
2  CHEETARA (CHI) 1 2 11 1½   32½ 37¾ (correas iv)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 ★ 3.00 S
SCR  CARRIBEAN CAPER               (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.60 26% 2.80    
SCR  EUPHORIC               (flint bernar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 9% 10.30    
 
CD-10   04/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-10:42
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:121     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VASILEVSKIY (IRE) 1 10 73¼ 44   22½ 1½ (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 51% 1.00 3.10 W
6  OUT WORK'N 5 9 31 1½   12½ 2½ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 125 4.50 2.10  
4  KNIGHTLY MISCHIEF 4 7 97¼ 87½   32½ 31¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 2.90  
3  MR GHOST 3 1 42 66   58½ 44¾ (navarrete an)CORRALES GERARDO 125 15.00 25.20  
2  ASHWINS ORB 2 8 83¾ 55½   46½ 56¾ (garcia gena)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 12.00 21.90  
9  MIGHTY CRAIC 8 4 63¼ 98   79¾ 69¾ (deegan jose)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 37.90  
10  RIVER STONES 9 3 1110½ 1112½   913¼ 715 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 15.00 10% 8.60 30.40  
8  SUPER BROTHER 7 6 1nk 32   68¾ 816¾ (scherer marianne)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 15.00 ★ 7.20  
11  ZIPPER ZAPPER 10 2 2nk 2½   812¾ 923 (boland sharon)BUSH V 118 20.00 35.60  
7  MY HOT TODDY 6 5 107½ 1010   1018¾ 1036¼ (newton troy)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 10.00 10.30  
12  KEEP ON 11 11 52¼ 77   1124¼ 1138¾ (williamson b)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 48.70  
SCR  GALLANT DUDE               (dunn d)COURT K 118 12.00    
SCR  ISTHMIAN               (gutierrez faustio)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 ★    
SCR  LAKE TAHOE               (moquett e)DIAZ RENE 111 5.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  ME WE               (gowan william)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.