Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:222 :454       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREW'S GOLD 3 6 43 3   1nk 1 (chapman ja)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 7.50  
UNDALAY 7 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 2 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 10.00 P
TOP OF MY GAME 6 3 54 54   4 3 (o'neill doug)DIAZ RENE 112 2.00 18% 4.60 4.70 S
TUSTLER 5 8 6 6   5 43 (mccutchen r)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 13.60  
SERGEANT COUNTZLER 2 2 32 42   32 53 (walden willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.80 52% 0.90 0.90  
OVERLY D'ORO 1 4 710 713¼   711¾ 610¾ (cook b)ROCCO S 119 15.00 26.90  
JEREMY'S JET 8 5 2nk 2nk   6 718¾ (mcentee paul)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 6.10  
FAST FORWARD 4 7 810¼ 814¾   815¼ 819 (bright derrick)COURT K 119 10.00 13.40  
 
CD-2   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:222 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STELLAR GRACE 2 2 3 2nk   1½ 1 (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.50 12% 7.10 1.10 W
BEACHSIDE BUNNY 5 4 1½ 1nk   2½ 2 (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.50 3.10 P
FIELD DAISEY 3 3 43 3   33 3 (williamson bri)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 5.00 11.70  
BEVERLY'S CHARGE 4 5 54 4   45 4 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 37% 1.70 1.70  
LA TOURISTA 1 6 65 5   55 5 (vasquez sr)COURT K 123 15.00 5% 17.60 34.20  
LUCKY CARLENE 6 1 2½ 610   611 625 (toye l)HERNANDEZ J 123 15.00 30.70  
SCR  SWEET CONFUSION               (hartman chris)LANERIE J 123 3.00 16% 5.10    
 
CD-3   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:22 :45 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOST IN LIMBO 2 6 11 11   11 1 (lauer michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 8.10  
IMPRESSED 5 1 3 31   21 2 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 6% 15.40 2.70 P
DRENA'S STAR 1 5 4 4   32 3 (cano munoz)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.00 61% 0.60 1.90 S
FUTILE 7 2 76 6   65 4 (navarrete a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 20.30  
QUICK RETURN 6 4 54 5   5 5 (humphries th)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 4.80  
SOARING BIRD 4 3 21 21   44 612 (cundiff waylon)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 7% 14.30 3.20  
BOA NOVA (IRE) 3 7 64 712   713 721½ (miller kenny)COURT K 118 12.00 21.10  
 
CD-4   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:221 :461 :583     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANNAH'S HAVEN 5 7 31 4   1½ 1 (capps a)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 19% 4.30 5.50 W
RACEDAY ATTIRE 8 1 2½ 2nk   2½ 2 (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 3.90  
PONTIFFANY 4 2 4 3   3 3 (barrett rod)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 111 6.00 11.10  
BLACK PANDA 1 4 1½ 1nk   43 416 (bredin james)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 28% 2.60 2.00  
BEL ARIA 3 6 8 5   5 518¾ (howard j)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 11.60  
HIGH VALUE TARGET 6 8 5 6   6 621¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 3.80  
SLAM DIEGO 2 5 6 7   79 722 (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 14% 6.10 8.50  
SCOOCH 7 3 7 816¾   824 8100 (mccutchen robert )LANERIE J 118 12.00 13% 6.70 15.60  
 
CD-5   05/12/2022 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:121 1:363   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KYGO (GER) 2 6 7 7 7 2½ 1 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 13% 7.00 1.50 W
POLICY OPTION 6 8 811 8 8 42 2 (cano munoz)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 8.00 14.20 P
SECOND OF JULY 7 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 1½ 3 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 124 10.00 7.60  
FORT MOULTRIE 5 1 5 53 6 5 44 (mcgaughey )SANTANA JR 124 4.50 59% 0.70 2.40  
BOHEMIAN BOY 3 2 4 42 4 32 5 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00 6.70  
ELI 1 9 912 9 9 7 6 (macias adolf)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 20.00 28.20  
ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) 8 7 32 32 3½ 6 7 (caramori eduard)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 20.00 37.30  
SLIABH AUGHTY (FR) 4 4 6 6 5 8 810 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00 27.70  
10  FED MONEY 9 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 9 912¾ (baker james)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00 7.40  
SCR  GREY STREAK               (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00    
 
CD-6   05/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:114 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBSTER GUN 1 6 55 5 43 1nk 1 (sims a)LANERIE J 122 5.00 7.50  
NEPOTISM 5 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 2 (scherer marian)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 14.50  
MOUNT ATHOS 2 4 1½ 1½ 1nk 3.2 3 (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 3.60  
SOUTHERN PASSAGE 8 7 811 7 7 4 4 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 4.50 11% 8.50 3.00  
FULL CHARGE 4 8 66 64 5 5 5 (west w)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 3.90  
ENDLESS SUNSET 7 1 7 89 8 6 6 (mccarthy w)DIAZ RENE 115 12.00 24.60  
INVISIBLE WAR 6 3 32 32 6 814¼ 718¾ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 50% 1.00 5.00  
PERFECT CUT 3 5 42 42 3 712¼ 819½ (diodoro rober)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 5.00 15% 5.60 5.10  
SCR  MAXIMUM IMPACT               (cash l)BESCHIZZA ADAM 116 15.00    
 
CD-7   05/12/2022 6270ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:143 1:392   1:57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOOLHAUS 2 2 2nk 1½ 1 1 1 (cox h)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 14% 6.10 2.20 W
ALEJANDRO 3 4 45 45 4 4 2 (asmussen steve)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 4.00 9% 9.70 2.00 P
GREATHEART 1 3 33 33 33 3 3 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.00 27% 2.70 2.40 S
BRIGADIER GENERAL 4 1 1nk 2½ 2 2 4 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 3.50  
PROTONIC POWER 5 5 57 57 58 5 59 (gutierrez f)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 13.70  
SCR  MACALLAN               (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  SCALES OF JUSTICE               (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 117 12.00    
SCR  SOROS               (cash l)COURT K 124 15.00    
 
CD-8   05/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:122 1:364   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUENS 6 6 6 6 6 2nk 1½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 3.80  
VIBURNUM 7 9 912¼ 910 9 43 2½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00 3.00 P
DREAMFUL 5 3 1nk 1nk 1nk 1nk 3 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 2.00 72% 0.40 0.90 S
HATARI 3 7 7 7 7 7 4 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 14.30  
10  OFF WE GO 9 1 2nk 2nk 2nk 32 5 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 124 12.00 28.60  
HAT TIP 1 2 4 4 5 5 6 (williamson brian)ROCCO S 124 20.00 21.80  
SILKY WARRIOR (IRE) 2 8 8 86 8 9 78 (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 15.00 20.60  
CUZZYWUZZY 8 4 5 5 4 65 89 (guerre)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 10.00 24.30  
CELESTIAL SPIN 4 5 32 3 3 8 912½ (cristel mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 15.00 34.90  
SCR  H. T. XENA               (tomlinson mich)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.50 6% 17.10    
SCR  MEGAN'S CLARA               (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 4.00    
SCR  TWO SIXTYONE               (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.