Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVERLY D'ORO         (cook b)ROCCO S 119 15.00    
2  SERGEANT COUNTZLER Apr20         (walden wil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.80 52% 0.90    
3  DREW'S GOLD         (chapman )SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
4  FAST FORWARD         (bright derrick)COURT K 119 10.00    
5  TUSTLER         (mccutchen)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 ★    
6  TOP OF MY GAME Apr28 Apr13       (o'neill doug)DIAZ RENE 112 2.00 18% 4.60    
7  UNDALAY Apr28         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 ★    
8  JEREMY'S JET         (mcentee paul)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 ★    
 
CD-2   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA TOURISTA Apr30 Apr21 Apr13 Mar18 Feb24 (vasquez sr)COURT K 123 15.00 5% 17.60    
2  STELLAR GRACE Apr10 Feb17       (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.50 12% 7.10    
3  FIELD DAISEY Jan28 Jan13       (williamson b)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 5.00    
4  BEVERLY'S CHARGE Mar19 Feb24 Feb10     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  SWEET CONFUSION Mar19 Feb21 Jan28     (hartman chris)LANERIE J 123 3.00 16% 5.10    
6  BEACHSIDE BUNNY Apr08 Feb19 Feb02     (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.50 ★    
7  LUCKY CARLENE         (toye kara)HERNANDEZ J 123 15.00    
 
CD-3   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRENA'S STAR Apr23 Apr02 Feb26 Jan01   (cano muno)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.00 61% 0.60    
2  LOST IN LIMBO Apr26 Apr09 Jan08     (lauer mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
3  BOA NOVA (IRE) Feb19 Feb11 Jan23 Jan08   (miller kenny)COURT K 118 12.00 ★    
4  SOARING BIRD Apr16 Feb17       (cundiff waylo)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 7% 14.30    
5  IMPRESSED Jan01         (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 6% 15.40    
6  QUICK RETURN Apr28 Mar18       (humphries )HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
7  FUTILE Apr23 Apr09 Mar19 Mar05 Feb18 (navarrete)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 ★    
 
CD-4   05/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK PANDA         (bredin jam)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
2  SLAM DIEGO         (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 14% 6.10    
3  BEL ARIA Mar24 Mar11       (howard j)GRAHAM J 118 10.00    
4  PONTIFFANY Apr15 Mar13 Jan17 Jan03   (barrett roddi)BAILEY CHEL-C 111 6.00    
5  HANNAH'S HAVEN May04 Mar24       (capps a)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 19% 4.30    
6  HIGH VALUE TARGET Mar25         (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 ★    
7  SCOOCH         (mccutchen rober)LANERIE J 118 12.00 13% 6.70    
8  RACEDAY ATTIRE Mar11 Feb13 Jan15     (barkley )SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
 
CD-5   05/12/2022 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELI Apr09 Feb11 Jan07     (macias ado)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 20.00    
2  KYGO (GER) Apr14 Mar05 Jan15     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 13% 7.00    
3  BOHEMIAN BOY Mar27 Feb13 Jan13     (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00 ★    
4  SLIABH AUGHTY (FR) Apr02 Mar04 Feb16 Jan15   (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00    
SCR  GREY STREAK Mar02         (arnold georg)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00 ★    
6  FORT MOULTRIE Mar26 Feb26 Jan16     (mcgaughe)SANTANA JR 124 4.50 59% 0.70    
7  POLICY OPTION Mar10 Jan29 Jan08     (cano muno)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 8.00 ★    
8  SECOND OF JULY Apr16         (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 124 10.00    
9  ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) Mar31 Feb13 Jan20     (caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 124 20.00    
10  FED MONEY Mar20 Feb25 Feb04 Jan13   (baker jame)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00    
 
CD-6   05/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBSTER GUN Apr15 Feb16       (sims a)LANERIE J 122 5.00 ★    
2  MOUNT ATHOS Apr15         (brisset )SANTANA JR 122 6.00    
3  PERFECT CUT Apr15 Mar17 Feb13 Jan08   (diodoro rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 5.00 15% 5.60    
4  FULL CHARGE Apr15 Feb23 Jan13     (west w)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  MAXIMUM IMPACT Apr27 Mar25 Feb27 Feb19 Feb10 (cash norman )BESCHIZZA ADAM 116 15.00    
6  NEPOTISM Apr13 Mar04 Feb25 Jan09   (scherer mari)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00    
7  INVISIBLE WAR Mar17 Feb04 Jan08     (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 50% 1.00    
8  ENDLESS SUNSET Feb11 Jan14       (mccarthy michael )DIAZ RENE 115 12.00    
9  SOUTHERN PASSAGE Apr16         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 4.50 11% 8.50    
 
CD-7   05/12/2022 6270ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREATHEART Apr22 Mar25 Mar04     (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  SCALES OF JUSTICE Apr24 Mar17 Feb19     (colebrook ben)DIAZ RENE 117 12.00    
3  KOOLHAUS Mar24 Feb28 Jan23     (cox brad)SANTANA JR 124 4.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  SOROS Apr16         (cash l)COURT K 124 15.00    
5  ALEJANDRO Apr02 Mar04       (asmussen ste)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 4.00 9% 9.70    
6  BRIGADIER GENERAL Apr14 Mar04 Jan23     (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 ★    
7  PROTONIC POWER Mar31 Mar04 Feb19     (gutierrez)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
SCR  MACALLAN Apr09 Feb12 Jan14     (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 30% 2.30    
 
CD-8   05/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAT TIP Apr20         (williamson bri)ROCCO S 124 20.00    
2  SILKY WARRIOR (IRE) Apr20 Mar25 Jan13     (hiles a)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 15.00    
SCR  TWO SIXTYONE May07         (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 12.00    
4  HATARI Apr08 Mar12 Feb11 Jan01   (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 ★    
5  CELESTIAL SPIN Mar31         (cristel m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 15.00    
6  DREAMFUL Apr20 Mar12 Jan29     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 2.00 72% 0.40    
7  YOUENS Apr20 Mar12 Feb12 Jan15   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 ★    
8  VIBURNUM Apr20         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00 ★    
9  CUZZYWUZZY Apr20 Mar17 Feb17     (guer)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 10.00    
10  OFF WE GO Apr22 Apr01 Mar09 Jan23   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 124 12.00    
SCR  H. T. XENA Apr16 Feb22 Jan15     (tomlinson mi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.50 6% 17.10    
SCR  MEGAN'S CLARA Apr08 Mar25 Feb27 Feb11   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.