Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Thursday - April 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:25 :502 1:151 1:403   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENGLISH CHALLENGE 1 6 31 32 3 3 1 (estvanko ri)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 5.00 2.90  
HIGHER AUTHORITY 2 1 11 11 1½ 1nk 2 (west w)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 45% 1.20 2.40 P
MISSISSIPPI 4 3 21 21 2½ 2nk 32 (moquett ronald )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 2.80  
IRISH DECLARATION 7 7 75 75 54 42 4 (evans ii)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 15% 5.50 7.00  
EL FRANCO 3 2 4 5 4 5 5 (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 18.40  
1A  TILL THEN 6 5 63 64 6 6 613¼ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 10% 9.50 3.80  
DUEL FUEL 5 4 52 4 76 715½ 724 (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 3.80  
SCR  ESTILO PELIGROSO               (sanner e)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-2   04/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:223 :461       :523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CRACKALACKING 9 3 1     16 15 (hamilton sara)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 18.80 W
GRAND OAK (IRE) 1 8 7     4 25 (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 1.10  
10  SOMEBODYLOVESYOU 8 1 3     26 3 (reed r)MCKEE J 119 6.00 4.10  
THATSHOWSHEROLLS 4 2 2     3 411¼ (dyer john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 12.00 11.30  
YOU CHOSE WISELY 5 6 811½     613 514 (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 10.00 5.00  
CATCHA LATER MO 2 7 55     511 615 (hancock dana)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
SHE'S JERSEY TUFF 6 9 914½     916¾ 718¼ (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 16.70  
LADY EVELYN CAN 3 5 66     814¼ 821½ (hancoc)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 12.00 33.40  
LOTTA MOSCATO 7 4 4     713¼ 921¾ (ennis john)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 10.80  
SCR  DOMINICANA               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  HIPPIE TRAIL               (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
KEE-3   04/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:102     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAGE LEFT 3 1 11 1½   12 1½ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 45% 1.20 1.40 W
LOGICAL MYTH 2 5 5 32   22 2½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 4.10 P
LAFITTE'S FLEET 1 3 21 2½   33 34 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 3.80  
CAVE HILL 4 6 6 65   4 413 (cano munoz)DIAZ RENE 111 10.00 18.70  
CARAMELITO 5 2 4 5   5 513 (meah anna)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 9% 10.10 11.40  
HE HATE ME 6 4 31 43   610 616¼ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 12.00 2.90  
SCR  MCFEELY               (cano munoz)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00    
SCR  NOTTOWAY               (gaudet lacey)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 23% 3.40    
 
KEE-4   04/21/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:222 :452 :57     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LYRICAL POET 7 1 1½ 1   12 1¾ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 12% 7.20 1.00 W
APACHE TEARS 4 4 3 3   22 2¾ (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 16.90  
FOLIAGE (NZ) 6 2 2½ 2   32 3 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 123 6.00 6.30  
ROCKSTAR RO 5 3 4 44   6 45 (lynch a)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 4.50 9% 9.70 7.50  
SUPER DESIGN 9 5 6 76   4 5 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 45% 1.20 5.20  
READY TO ANSWER 1 8 86 88   7 6 (littlefield de)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 9% 10.70 7.20  
PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE 2 9 9 910½   9 7 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 27.80  
CHIEF HOWCOME 3 7 7 6   55 8 (sanner e)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
LOMU 8 6 53 5   8 9 (wiggins lon)LANERIE J 118 15.00 29.80  
SCR  DARK TIMBER               (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50    
 
KEE-5   04/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:144 1:41   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLIANTLEA 3 2 41 5 4 3½ 1¼ (mccarthy w)DIAZ RENE 118 4.50 10% 9.00 2.40 W
WAYWARDNESS 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 1½ 2¼ (beckman whitw)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 10.00 9% 9.90 7.60 P
RHUBARB MARTINI 4 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 3 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 9.70  
BITTER VIXEN 2 4 31 3 3 42 4 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 31% 2.30 3.40  
WORLD PARTY 9 8 63 6 5 54 5 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 125 3.50 18% 4.60 5.00  
LA NEBLINA 6 9 10 9 7 6 610½ (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 41.90  
GORILLA GIRL 5 5 7 7 9 78 712½ (walsh d)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 9% 10.70 20.00  
SIMPLY BEGUILED 7 7 8 8 8 810 820 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 4.00 11.50  
10  BIG BUGG'S GIRL 10 10 9 10 10 1014 920 (colebrook ben)LANERIE J 118 8.00 8.80  
LA TOURISTA 8 6 5 4 6 912 1027¾ (vasque)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 125 15.00 17.50  
 
KEE-6   04/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:132 1:251   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYES ON TARGET 2 7 9 8 6 1nk 1 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50 1.30  
HAWK OF WAR 3 6 6 7 7 7 2 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 3.00 23% 3.40 3.40 P
COUNTERSTRIKE 1 1 4 41 3 6 34 (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 125 12.00 19% 4.20 19.30 S
OPTIMUS KAT 7 5 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 45 (lukas wayn)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 6.00 15.10  
12  KING TUFF 11 12 12 127 9 8 55 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 36.90  
13  OF THE MOMENT 12 9 5 31 4 3½ 6 (williamson bri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 6.00 14.30  
EPIMYTHIUM 6 3 21 5 5 4¾ 7 (meah anna)MORALES EDGAR 125 20.00 41.30  
FIELDSTONE 4 4 11 11 10 105 88 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 125 5.00 9.70  
10  OUR COUNTRY 9 10 10 9 8 9 9 (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 6.00 4.20  
EL AHIJADO 8 8 11 1½ 1nk 5 10 (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 118 30.00 ######  
11  TO KALON 10 11 7 6 1111¼ 1113 1121 (cundiff waylon)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 30.00 5% 19.00 94.70  
GUN RUSH 5 2 8 10 1214¼ 1216½ 1224¼ (corrigan jim)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 54.70  
SCR  CARMICHAEL               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 125 5.00    
SCR  INVISIBLE WAR               (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 3.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  MALIBU TIME               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
 
KEE-7   04/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:242 :494 1:142 1:394   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FALCONET 9 7 32 3 3 21 12 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60 48% 1.10 0.80 W
FINE COTTON 3 3 1½ 1nk 1nk 11 22 (pessin l)DIAZ RENE 119 20.00 85.10  
SILVERLEAF 2 1 5 4 4 43 35 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 5.00 9.30  
TIZ AMERICAN 7 8 8 7 5 5 4 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 126 8.00 13% 6.50 12.10  
MINE FOR PASSION 5 5 2½ 2nk 2nk 33 5 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 126 6.00 8.60  
JOEZINE 4 4 42 5 7 711 619 (macias adolf)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 30.00 5% 19.00 61.80  
FRIENDSHIP ROAD 8 9 9 6 6 6 719¾ (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 7.70  
TIFFANY'S MO 1 2 7 9 910¾ 816 830¾ (romans dale)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 3.60  
UNBRIDLED D'ORO 6 6 6 8 810¾ 918½ 936 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 126 10.00 9% 10.30 37.50  
 
KEE-8   04/21/2022 7920ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:243 :504 1:151 1:403 2:053 2:292   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISAPPEARING ACT 2 3 3 4 2 1nk 1 (baltas richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 34% 1.90 3.10 W
FLANIGAN'S COVE 4 46 6 6 4 32 2 (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 3.50 P
FATE OF OPHELIA 8 78 8 7 5 4 3 (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 9.30  
TWEETY SHOW 1 8 9 8 7 53 4 (isbell jr)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 11% 8.50 16.60  
GLADYS 9 1 1 11 1 2nk 5 (danner kels)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 2.40  
GO BIG BLUE NATION 6 56 5 5 6 64 6 (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 26% 2.90 4.00  
GO BIG GREEN 5 2 2 3 3 75 710¾ (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 36.80  
PALLAS ATHENE 3 9 7 9 911 89 818¾ (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 15.40  
1A  YA BEAUTY (GB) 7 6 4 21 89 910 920½ (reed r)MCKEE J 118 12.00 15.40  
 
KEE-9   04/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:223 :463 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PISTOL 5 4 2nk 2½   1nk 11 (mccarthy w)DIAZ RENE 111 5.00 11% 8.30 5.30 W
HOT ANNA 8 1 63 42   3 21 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 14% 6.30 2.60 P
WATERMARK 1 8 1nk 1½   2nk 3 (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 125 3.50 53% 0.90 3.30 S
QUEEN CORDELIA 3 3 31 32   4 4 (stidham michael)CANNON DECLAN 125 4.50 11.10  
KISS THEORY 7 10 8 5   5 5 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 15.00 37.70  
SUPER SURGE 6 7 7 9   88 612 (ewing ann)LANERIE J 118 10.00 9.20  
12  SHADY 11 9 9 8   7 712¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 3.20  
I'M STYLIN 4 6 1010¼ 1011¾   1010 812¾ (vesty clarke)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 15.00 54.30  
11  OUT OF THE SILENCE 10 2 42 6   6 913 (meah anna)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 31.40  
BACKYARD HEN 2 5 5 78   910 1021½ (shiffl)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 15.00 64.50  
10  DOGWOODS BECCA 9 11 1111¾ 1119¾   1122 1128½ (taylor brent)MOJICA JR 118 20.00 47.20  
SCR  ANOTHERMANICMONDAY               (radosevich s)GRAHAM J 125 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.