Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Thursday - April 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   04/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:25 :502 1:151 1:403   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ENGLISH CHALLENGE 1 6 31 32 31½ 31½ 11½ (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 5.00 ★ 2.90  
3  HIGHER AUTHORITY 2 1 11 11 1½ 1nk 21½ (west ethan )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 45% 1.20 2.40 P
5  MISSISSIPPI 4 3 21 21 2½ 2nk 32 (moquett ronal)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 2.80  
7  IRISH DECLARATION 7 7 75 75 54 42 43¼ (evans michael )MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 15% 5.50 7.00  
4  EL FRANCO 3 2 41½ 52½ 42½ 54½ 54¾ (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 18.40  
1A  TILL THEN 6 5 63 64 64½ 68½ 613¼ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 10% 9.50 3.80  
1  DUEL FUEL 5 4 52 42½ 76 715½ 724 (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 3.80  
SCR  ESTILO PELIGROSO               (sanner daniel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-2   04/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:223 :461       :523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CRACKALACKING 9 3 11½     16 15 (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 18.80 W
1  GRAND OAK (IRE) 1 8 76½     46½ 25 (arnold geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 1.10  
10  SOMEBODYLOVESYOU 8 1 31½     26 38¼ (reed r)MCKEE J 119 6.00 4.10  
5  THATSHOWSHEROLLS 4 2 21½     36½ 411¼ (dyer john)VILLASANA CARLOS 119 12.00 11.30  
6  YOU CHOSE WISELY 5 6 811½     613 514 (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 10.00 5.00  
2  CATCHA LATER MO 2 7 55     511 615 (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
8  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF 6 9 914½     916¾ 718¼ (leonard i)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 16.70  
3  LADY EVELYN CAN 3 5 66     814¼ 821½ (hanc)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 12.00 33.40  
9  LOTTA MOSCATO 7 4 44½     713¼ 921¾ (ennis john)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 10.80  
SCR  DOMINICANA               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  HIPPIE TRAIL               (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
KEE-3   04/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:102     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  STAGE LEFT 3 1 11 1½   12 1½ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 45% 1.20 1.40 W
2  LOGICAL MYTH 2 5 52¾ 32   22 2½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 ★ 4.10 P
1  LAFITTE'S FLEET 1 3 21 2½   33 34 (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 3.80  
4  CAVE HILL 4 6 65¼ 65   47½ 413 (cano munoz)DIAZ RENE 111 10.00 18.70  
5  CARAMELITO 5 2 41¼ 53½   59½ 513 (meah anna)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 9% 10.10 11.40  
7  HE HATE ME 6 4 31 43   610 616¼ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 12.00 ★ 2.90  
SCR  MCFEELY               (cano muno)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00    
SCR  NOTTOWAY               (gaudet lacey)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 23% 3.40    
 
KEE-4   04/21/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:222 :452 :57     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LYRICAL POET 7 1 1½ 11½   12 1¾ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 12% 7.20 1.00 W
4  APACHE TEARS 4 4 31½ 32½   22 2¾ (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 16.90  
6  FOLIAGE (NZ) 6 2 2½ 21½   32 32¼ (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 123 6.00 6.30  
5  ROCKSTAR RO 5 3 42½ 44   65¼ 45 (lynch brian)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 4.50 9% 9.70 7.50  
9  SUPER DESIGN 9 5 64½ 76   44½ 55¼ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 45% 1.20 5.20  
1  READY TO ANSWER 1 8 86 88   77¼ 65¼ (littlefield )GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 9% 10.70 7.20  
2  PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE 2 9 98½ 910½   99¼ 77½ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 27.80  
3  CHIEF HOWCOME 3 7 74½ 65½   55 87¾ (sanner daniel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
8  LOMU 8 6 53 55½   87¼ 98½ (wiggins lon)LANERIE J 118 15.00 29.80  
SCR  DARK TIMBER               (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50    
 
KEE-5   04/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:144 1:41   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PLIANTLEA 3 2 41 51¾ 41¾ 3½ 1¼ (mccarthy michael )DIAZ RENE 118 4.50 10% 9.00 2.40 W
1  WAYWARDNESS 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 1½ 2¼ (beckman whi)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 10.00 9% 9.90 7.60 P
4  RHUBARB MARTINI 4 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 34¾ (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 9.70  
2  BITTER VIXEN 2 4 31 31½ 31½ 42 47½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 31% 2.30 3.40  
9  WORLD PARTY 9 8 63 62¾ 52¼ 54 58¼ (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 125 3.50 18% 4.60 5.00  
6  LA NEBLINA 6 9 106¼ 95¼ 75¼ 66½ 610½ (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 41.90  
5  GORILLA GIRL 5 5 73¼ 73¼ 96¼ 78 712½ (walsh d)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 9% 10.70 20.00  
7  SIMPLY BEGUILED 7 7 84¼ 84¼ 86¼ 810 820 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 4.00 11.50  
10  BIG BUGG'S GIRL 10 10 94¼ 105¾ 109¾ 1014 920 (colebrook ben)LANERIE J 118 8.00 8.80  
8  LA TOURISTA 8 6 51½ 41½ 64¼ 912 1027¾ (vasq)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 125 15.00 17.50  
 
KEE-6   04/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:132 1:251   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EYES ON TARGET 2 7 94¼ 83¼ 62¾ 1nk 13¾ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50 ★ 1.30  
3  HAWK OF WAR 3 6 63½ 72¼ 75¼ 72¼ 23¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 3.00 23% 3.40 3.40 P
1  COUNTERSTRIKE 1 1 42½ 41 31½ 61¾ 34 (walsh br)SANTANA JR 125 12.00 19% 4.20 19.30 S
8  OPTIMUS KAT 7 5 31½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 45 (lukas wa)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 6.00 15.10  
12  KING TUFF 11 12 127¾ 127 96¾ 82¾ 55 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 36.90  
13  OF THE MOMENT 12 9 52½ 31 41¾ 3½ 65¼ (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 6.00 14.30  
7  EPIMYTHIUM 6 3 21 51¼ 51¾ 4¾ 75¼ (meah anna)MORALES EDGAR 125 20.00 41.30  
4  FIELDSTONE 4 4 116¼ 116½ 108¾ 105 88 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 125 5.00 9.70  
10  OUR COUNTRY 9 10 105¼ 94¾ 85¾ 94¾ 98½ (weaver geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 6.00 4.20  
9  EL AHIJADO 8 8 11 1½ 1nk 51¾ 109¼ (guerrero sal)DIAZ RENE 118 30.00 ######  
11  TO KALON 10 11 73¾ 61¼ 1111¼ 1113 1121 (cundiff waylon)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 30.00 5% 19.00 94.70  
6  GUN RUSH 5 2 84¼ 106¼ 1214¼ 1216½ 1224¼ (corrigan j)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 54.70  
SCR  CARMICHAEL               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 125 5.00    
SCR  INVISIBLE WAR               (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 3.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  MALIBU TIME               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
 
KEE-7   04/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:242 :494 1:142 1:394   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  FALCONET 9 7 32 31½ 31½ 21 12 (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60 48% 1.10 0.80 W
3  FINE COTTON 3 3 1½ 1nk 1nk 11 22 (pessin l)DIAZ RENE 119 20.00 85.10  
2  SILVERLEAF 2 1 53½ 41¾ 42½ 43 35 (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 5.00 9.30  
7  TIZ AMERICAN 7 8 85¾ 73¾ 53½ 54½ 47¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 126 8.00 13% 6.50 12.10  
5  MINE FOR PASSION 5 5 2½ 2nk 2nk 33 58¼ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 126 6.00 8.60  
4  JOEZINE 4 4 42 52¼ 77¼ 711 619 (macias ado)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 30.00 5% 19.00 61.80  
8  FRIENDSHIP ROAD 8 9 95¾ 63¼ 63¾ 68½ 719¾ (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 ★ 7.70  
1  TIFFANY'S MO 1 2 74¾ 94¾ 910¾ 816 830¾ (romans dale)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 3.60  
6  UNBRIDLED D'ORO 6 6 63¾ 83¾ 810¾ 918½ 936 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 126 10.00 9% 10.30 37.50  
 
KEE-8   04/21/2022 7920ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:243 :504 1:151 1:403 2:053 2:292   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DISAPPEARING ACT 2 34½ 31½ 42½ 21½ 1nk 11¼ (baltas richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 34% 1.90 3.10 W
4  FLANIGAN'S COVE 4 46 63¼ 63¾ 42½ 32 21¼ (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 ★ 3.50 P
7  FATE OF OPHELIA 8 78 84¾ 74¾ 53½ 42½ 31½ (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 9.30  
2  TWEETY SHOW 1 88¼ 95¼ 84¾ 76½ 53 41½ (isbell jr)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 11% 8.50 16.60  
8  GLADYS 9 11½ 11½ 11 11½ 2nk 53¼ (danner ke)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 ★ 2.40  
6  GO BIG BLUE NATION 6 56 52¾ 53½ 65½ 64 66½ (motion g)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 26% 2.90 4.00  
5  GO BIG GREEN 5 21½ 21½ 32½ 32½ 75 710¾ (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 36.80  
1  PALLAS ATHENE 3 99¾ 74¼ 95¼ 911 89 818¾ (reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 15.40  
1A  YA BEAUTY (GB) 7 67½ 41¾ 21 89 910 920½ (reed r)MCKEE J 118 12.00 15.40  
 
KEE-9   04/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:223 :463 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PISTOL 5 4 2nk 2½   1nk 11 (mccarthy michael )DIAZ RENE 111 5.00 11% 8.30 5.30 W
9  HOT ANNA 8 1 63 42   31½ 21 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 14% 6.30 2.60 P
2  WATERMARK 1 8 1nk 1½   2nk 31¾ (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 125 3.50 53% 0.90 3.30 S
4  QUEEN CORDELIA 3 3 31 32   41¾ 42¾ (stidham micha)CANNON DECLAN 125 4.50 11.10  
8  KISS THEORY 7 10 84¾ 55½   54¾ 57¼ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 15.00 ★ 37.70  
7  SUPER SURGE 6 7 74½ 99¾   88 612 (ewing a)LANERIE J 118 10.00 9.20  
12  SHADY 11 9 96¼ 89½   77¾ 712¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 ★ 3.20  
5  I'M STYLIN 4 6 1010¼ 1011¾   1010 812¾ (vesty clarke)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 15.00 54.30  
11  OUT OF THE SILENCE 10 2 42 66½   67¾ 913 (meah anna)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 31.40  
3  BACKYARD HEN 2 5 52½ 78   910 1021½ (shif)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 15.00 64.50  
10  DOGWOODS BECCA 9 11 1111¾ 1119¾   1122 1128½ (taylor brent)MOJICA JR 118 20.00 47.20  
SCR  ANOTHERMANICMONDAY               (radosevich s)GRAHAM J 125 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.