The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - May 04, 2022
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CD-1   05/04/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
:234 :472 1:124     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CYCOLOGIST 6 5 42 44½   21 12¼ (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.00 32% 2.20 3.10 W
1  HANNAH'S HAVEN 1 7 1nk 12½   11 22¼ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 2.50 30% 2.40 1.50 P
2  SONADOR 2 1 2nk 22½   33 35 (hernandez rey)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 8.00 12.00  
3  MY DADDY'S TRAINER 3 6 77 78   56½ 46¾ (zito p)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 11.70  
7  I'M STYLIN 7 2 53½ 56   46 57¾ (vesty clarke)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.00 ★ 4.00  
5  HUSH HUSH 5 4 65½ 67   69 614½ (williamson brian)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 10.00 11% 8.50 10.40  
4  ROSES FOR ASHLEY 4 3 31 33½   713 731½ (quartarolo t)DIAZ RENE 111 6.00 5% 18.80 6.30  
 
CD-2   05/04/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:15
:222 :453       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TWO OF A KIND 1 1 12 12½   13 13¾ (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 7.30  
8  CIGARETTE BOAT 7 7 44½ 46½   45½ 23¾ (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 12.80  
3  BLING BLING BLING 2 4 33 33½   23 35¼ (asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 ★ 1.20 S
7  MO'S TREASURE 6 2 56 57½   56½ 45¼ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 36% 1.80 6.20  
6  ABINADI 5 3 22 22½   34½ 510 (mendez luis)DIAZ RENE 112 12.00 ★ 4.40  
4  HARDMONEYMUCHACHOS 3 5 78½ 714   713 610½ (mcgaughey reeve)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 19.30  
5  BOOK OF KELLS 4 6 68½ 611   611½ 711¾ (ennis john)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 ★ 26.60  
1A  CLASSICAL 8 8 811 815   815 816½ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 42% 1.40 4.60  
SCR  EVER A REBEL               (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60    
 
CD-3   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
:214 :453 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  YES SIR ROBERT 3 5 31½ 2nk   1½ 11¼ (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.00 ★ 1.50  
2  MAJESTIC WEST 2 4 2½ 1nk   2½ 21¼ (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 3.50 20% 4.10 1.50 P
6  Z U AT THE RACES 5 1 56 44½   45½ 38 (vaughn terry)LEBRON VICTOR 123 8.00 12% 7.30 11.40 S
1  WESTWARD LOOK 1 3 1½ 31½   33½ 410½ (sanner e)CORRALES GERARDO 123 4.00 17% 5.00 6.10  
5  INCITATUS 4 2 44 56½   511½ 520¾ (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 123 4.50 3.70  
SCR  DESOTO'S WAR               (forster t)HERNANDEZ J 123 2.50 ★    
 
CD-4   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
:214 :453 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BERNIE LOMAX 6 3 44½ 32½   22 1¾ (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 6.20  
2  SMARTY JOHN 2 4 11½ 11½   12 2¾ (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 3.00  
5  C J ALL THE WAY 5 6 66½ 54½   35½ 35¼ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.50 ★ 6.10 S
1  JONAS' DREAM 1 7 76¾ 75½   46 47 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 29% 2.40 3.80  
4  RIGHT OF RUSH 4 5 54½ 65½   56½ 59¼ (jazdzewski jon)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 15.00 ★ 28.30  
3  ONYOURMARKGETSETGO 3 1 21½ 21½   67 615½ (barrett a)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00 11% 7.90 25.50  
7  EDGE OF GLORY 7 2 32 44   711½ 725¾ (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 35% 1.90 1.40  
 
CD-5   05/04/2022 5940ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
:241 :493 1:134 1:38   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  AL QAHIRA 4 2 2nk 2nk 2½ 1½ 11¾ (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 20% 4.10 1.80 W
4  JOYFUL APPLAUSE 3 5 1nk 1nk 1½ 2½ 21¾ (pitts helen)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 27.20  
3  QUALITY STAR 2 8 51¾ 51½ 31½ 32½ 32½ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 7% 13.00 16.70 S
1  PURE COUNTRY 8 12 106½ 94¼ 83¼ 66 44 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 7.10  
10  DETERMINED GOLD 10 4 73½ 83¼ 93½ 43½ 54¼ (schoenthal phil)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 9.40  
6  COLONEL ABY B 5 7 95½ 115¼ 125½ 55½ 67 (williamson brian)LANDEROS CHRIS 126 30.00 75.40  
2  RED LIGHT RACER 1 11 117 126¼ 115 98½ 77½ (joseph a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 4.00 18% 4.60 6.30  
7  ENGLISH TREASURE 6 1 31½ 3½ 51¾ 88 89 (drury jr)HERNANDEZ J 126 6.00 7.10  
8  FITS THE JILL 7 9 128½ 104¾ 105 1210 99¼ (medina robert)SANTANA JR 126 30.00 41.50  
9  CURIOUSLY 9 3 41¾ 61¾ 41½ 76½ 1010 (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 20% 3.90 4.20  
12  AMENSET 12 6 62 41 62¼ 108½ 1112½ (stewart dallas)SMITH E 118 15.00 18.30  
11  WINTER MUSIC 11 10 85 72¼ 73¼ 119 1213¾ (wilkes r)LANERIE J 118 30.00 65.60  
SCR  HIGH RESOLUTION               (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 5.00    
SCR  PERSONAL BEST               (mcgaughey iii)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  QUARIA THUNDER               (maker j)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
SCR  SPRING MAGIC               (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
 
CD-6   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
:222 :453 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FAIR HAIRED BOY 3 3 32½ 32½   22 1nk (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 123 6.00 2.80  
7  MR SIPPI 5 4 21 2nk   12 2nk (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 5% 17.80 1.30 P
1A  MONEY MIKE 4 2 11 1nk   32½ 39¼ (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 8.00 8.10  
3  KISSALOT 2 1 53½ 45   45 410 (heitzman eric)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 12.40  
2  SILK TRADE 1 5 42½ 57   511½ 531½ (tracy tanner)GRAHAM J 123 3.00 38% 1.70 1.90  
SCR  CRYO               (morey e)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EXTREME               (handal raymond)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  SOROS               (cash l)COURT K 123 8.00 ★    
 
CD-7   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:47
:221 :452 :571     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BAGBOSS 5 1 1½ 11   12 13¾ (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 123 1.40 27% 2.80 1.80 W
4  BURNINHUNKOFLOVE 3 3 31 31½   22 23¾ (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 14.90  
7  SMOKIN WILLIE 6 2 2½ 21   32 34 (asmussen m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 ★ 5.10 S
2  SCHMOOZIN 2 5 67½ 69½   55 45¾ (pessin l)LANERIE J 123 20.00 31.00  
5  MILLIKEN 4 6 55½ 55½   43½ 57½ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 123 1.60 48% 1.10 0.90  
1  SPEIGHT'SPERCOMETE 1 4 42 43½   69 620 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 123 10.00 ★ 10.30  
SCR  RUN RUN RAPIDASH               (kordenbrock matt)LEPAROUX R 123 12.00 ★    
 
CD-8   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($160K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:19
:213 :444 :563     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TOP GUNNER 2 3 21½ 2nk   11 12 (ortiz alexander)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 5% 18.40 5.30 W
6  TULANE TRYST 3 4 44½ 43   32½ 22 (devaux cherie)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 17% 5.00 1.00 P
10  QUICK TEMPO 6 1 11½ 1nk   21 33 (david a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 16% 5.40 4.70 S
3  BANGO 1 5 33 32   43 49¾ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 3.10  
9  MANNY WAH 5 2 54½ 54½   55½ 512¼ (catalano m)GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00 9.70  
8  TIGER DAD 4 6 66½ 69   611½ 620¾ (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 123 20.00 13.70  
SCR  A C EXPRESSWAY               (casse w)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 30.00    
SCR  BABY YODA               (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 39% 1.50    
SCR  JUST MIGHT               (lovell michelle)BEJARANO R 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  SIR ALFRED JAMES               (cash l)ORTIZ L 123 12.00    
 
CD-9   05/04/2022 3630ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 4:52
:23 :46 :573     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BIG INVASION 3 4 42 32   3½ 12 (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80 36% 1.80 0.50 W
3  B D VALESKI 2 6 75½ 76¼   42½ 22 (foley greg)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 30.30  
6  RUN CURTIS RUN 4 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 32½ (maker j)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 15.00  
2  CANDY LANDING 1 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 42½ (walsh p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
7  SOOLEY 5 3 53 66   54 56 (foley greg)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 10.30  
9  LUCCI 7 5 31½ 43½   65 67¼ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 12% 7.10 3.70  
8  MILLENNIAL MOON (GB) 6 7 63½ 54   77 712½ (walsh p)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 7.30  
SCR  ASYMMETRIC (IRE)               (ward a)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT               (stewart dallas)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-10   05/04/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
:234 :484 1:132 1:383   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BYZANTINE 8 9 99 86 65½ 31 1¼ (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 63% 0.60 3.30 W
3  BUTTERBEAN 3 2 55 54 55 41½ 2¼ (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 9% 9.80 1.90 P
5  A'BOUZY 5 1 21½ 21½ 21½ 1nk 32¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 ★ 5.80 S
7  LEAD ME 7 7 44½ 32½ 34 52½ 45 (stall m)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 12.00  
4  AHH MAZING 4 3 11½ 11½ 11½ 2nk 57¼ (mccarthy w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 10.00 7.90  
9  OPENING NIGHT 9 8 87 96 77 65 67¾ (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 7% 13.00 7.10  
6  GIN N SIN 6 4 33 43½ 44½ 75¼ 78½ (roberson dennis)COURT K 118 12.00 21.80  
1  JUST A NYQUIST 1 6 75½ 75 88 85¼ 88½ (hartman chris)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 12.30  
2  LATE NIGHT LADY 2 5 65 64½ 99½ 920¼ 9100 (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 5.00 ★ 13.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.