Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - May 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANNAH'S HAVEN Mar24         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
2  SONADOR Mar31         (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 8.00    
3  MY DADDY'S TRAINER Apr15 Feb25 Jan09     (zito p)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
4  ROSES FOR ASHLEY         (quartarolo anthon)DIAZ RENE 111 6.00 5% 18.80    
5  HUSH HUSH Mar19 Jan06       (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 10.00 11% 8.50    
6  CYCOLOGIST Apr15 Mar24       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.00 32% 2.20    
7  I'M STYLIN Apr21 Mar31 Mar19 Mar05 Feb24 (vesty clar)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.00 ★    
 
CD-2   05/04/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CLASSICAL         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 42% 1.40    
SCR  EVER A REBEL         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60    
2  TWO OF A KIND         (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
3  BLING BLING BLING         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 ★    
4  HARDMONEYMUCHACHOS         (mcgaughey )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
5  BOOK OF KELLS         (ennis john)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 ★    
6  ABINADI Apr20         (mendez luis)DIAZ RENE 112 12.00 ★    
7  MO'S TREASURE Apr08         (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 36% 1.80    
8  CIGARETTE BOAT         (casse w)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
 
CD-3   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTWARD LOOK Apr09 Mar19 Feb25 Jan21 Jan02 (sanner dan)CORRALES GERARDO 123 4.00 17% 5.00    
2  MAJESTIC WEST Apr09 Mar19 Feb18     (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 3.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  DESOTO'S WAR Mar25 Jan30 Jan13     (forster g)HERNANDEZ J 123 2.50 ★    
4  YES SIR ROBERT Apr14 Mar19 Mar04 Jan19   (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.00 ★    
5  INCITATUS Mar19 Mar12 Feb16 Jan16   (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 123 4.50    
6  Z U AT THE RACES Apr14 Mar26 Mar02 Jan23 Jan09 (vaughn terry)LEBRON VICTOR 123 8.00 12% 7.30    
 
CD-4   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JONAS' DREAM         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 29% 2.40    
2  SMARTY JOHN Jan22         (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
3  ONYOURMARKGETSETGO Apr19 Mar17 Jan16     (barrett rod)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00 11% 7.90    
4  RIGHT OF RUSH Apr20         (jazdzewski)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 15.00 ★    
5  C J ALL THE WAY         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.50 ★    
6  BERNIE LOMAX Mar27 Feb12 Jan08     (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 5.00    
7  EDGE OF GLORY Apr09 Mar12 Feb10     (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
CD-5   05/04/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURE COUNTRY Apr08 Mar12       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 5.00    
SCR  HIGH RESOLUTION Feb13         (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 5.00    
2  RED LIGHT RACER Jan27         (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 4.00 18% 4.60    
3  QUALITY STAR Apr15 Mar19       (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 7% 13.00    
4  JOYFUL APPLAUSE Apr16         (pitts hel)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
5  AL QAHIRA (GER) Apr10 Feb02       (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 20% 4.10    
6  COLONEL ABY B Apr22 Mar11       (williamson b)LANDEROS CHRIS 126 30.00    
7  ENGLISH TREASURE Jan27         (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 126 6.00    
8  FITS THE JILL Feb24 Jan15       (medina r)SANTANA JR 126 30.00    
9  CURIOUSLY Apr08 Mar12 Feb12     (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 20% 3.90    
10  DETERMINED GOLD Apr10 Mar19 Jan23     (schoenthal p)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
11  WINTER MUSIC Apr08 Feb27       (wilkes r)LANERIE J 118 30.00    
12  AMENSET Mar26 Mar01 Feb05     (stewart dallas)SMITH E 118 15.00    
SCR  SPRING MAGIC Mar26 Feb12 Jan15     (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
SCR  PERSONAL BEST Apr15 Mar13       (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  QUARIA THUNDER Mar04 Feb12 Jan08     (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
 
CD-6   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MONEY MIKE Apr13 Mar27 Feb17 Jan16 Jan01 (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 8.00    
SCR  SOROS Apr16         (cash l)COURT K 123 8.00 ★    
2  SILK TRADE Apr10         (tracy tanner)GRAHAM J 123 3.00 38% 1.70    
3  KISSALOT Apr13 Mar12 Feb12 Jan09   (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
4  FAIR HAIRED BOY Apr15 Jan22       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 123 6.00    
SCR  EXTREME Apr15 Feb26 Feb04 Jan08   (handal ray)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  CRYO Apr02         (morey willia)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.00 5% 19.00    
7  MR SIPPI         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 5% 17.80    
 
CD-7   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEIGHT'SPERCOMETE Mar24 Feb28 Jan23     (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 123 10.00 ★    
2  SCHMOOZIN Mar18 Jan23       (pessin l)LANERIE J 123 20.00    
SCR  RUN RUN RAPIDASH Apr10 Mar04 Jan29     (kordenbro)LEPAROUX R 123 12.00 ★    
4  BURNINHUNKOFLOVE Mar24 Feb28 Jan10     (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
5  MILLIKEN Apr10 Feb26       (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 123 1.60 48% 1.10    
6  BAGBOSS Apr10 Feb06 Jan02     (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 123 1.40 27% 2.80    
7  SMOKIN WILLIE Feb21         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 ★    
 
CD-8   05/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($160K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUST MIGHT Apr09 Feb19 Jan22     (lovell michelle)BEJARANO R 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  A C EXPRESSWAY Apr02 Feb18 Jan16     (casse w)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 30.00    
3  BANGO         (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
4  TOP GUNNER Apr15 Mar25 Feb19 Jan30   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 5% 18.40    
SCR  SIR ALFRED JAMES Apr23 Apr16 Mar29 Mar07 Feb19 (cash l)ORTIZ L 123 12.00    
6  TULANE TRYST Mar19 Feb10       (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  BABY YODA Apr14 Feb12       (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 39% 1.50    
8  TIGER DAD Mar11 Feb11 Jan14     (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 123 20.00    
9  MANNY WAH Apr09 Feb21 Jan22     (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00    
10  QUICK TEMPO Apr02 Mar04 Jan05     (david a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 16% 5.40    
 
CD-9   05/04/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Apr08 Jan15       (stewart dallas)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  CANDY LANDING Mar24 Feb12 Jan15     (walsh brend)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  B D VALESKI Mar10 Feb11 Jan17     (foley greg)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
SCR  ASYMMETRIC (IRE)         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 23% 3.40    
5  BIG INVASION Mar26 Feb19 Jan07     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.80 36% 1.80    
6  RUN CURTIS RUN         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
7  SOOLEY Mar27         (foley greg)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00    
8  MILLENNIAL MOON (GB)         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
9  LUCCI Mar26 Jan19       (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 12% 7.10    
 
CD-10   05/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST A NYQUIST Apr08 Mar01       (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00    
2  LATE NIGHT LADY Feb13         (arnold r)LANERIE J 118 5.00 ★    
3  BUTTERBEAN Apr10 Jan22       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 9% 9.80    
4  AHH MAZING Mar24 Feb24       (mccarthy m)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 10.00    
5  A'BOUZY Mar24         (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 ★    
6  GIN N SIN Apr08         (roberson dennis)COURT K 118 12.00    
7  LEAD ME Mar25         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
8  BYZANTINE Apr02 Feb19 Jan14     (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 63% 0.60    
9  OPENING NIGHT Feb11         (moquett ronald)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 7% 13.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.