Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Friday - February 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   02/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :471 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREW PUB 4 4 4 42   2½ 1 (arenas marcelo)MENA E null   14% 6.30 4.00 W
SCAT BRAT 5 2 2½ 1nk   1½ 2 (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL null   5.00  
SCHERZANDO 2 7 7 7   42 3 (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN null   10% 9.40 6.90 S
FEATHERS ROAD 6 6 6 6   52 4 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR null   15% 5.80 4.60  
BOOM BOOM KABOOM 1 1 3½ 3   3 5 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC null   37% 1.70 3.50  
MR BREADWINNER 7 5 5 53   7 6 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K null   4.10  
HEYMACKIT'SJACK 3 3 1½ 2nk   6 711¼ (brion keri)VARGAS A null   8.20  
 
AQU-2   02/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:15     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERCEIVED 3 1 11 1 1 110 113 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE null   50% 1.00 0.15 W
KID CHOCOLATE 1 3 34 36 2 210 213 (sciac)WORRIE SHIVNARINE null   5.90 P
JACOBA 2 2 21 2 35 310½ 318¼ (ficarella )DAVIS A null   4.00  
SCR  FOREVER WICKED               (dharamjit darm)HARKIE K null      
SCR  IT'S MANDATORY               (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN null   23% 3.40    
SCR  SPEECHIN N TEACHIN               (mc john)NAVARRO KEVIN null      
 
AQU-3   02/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 :593     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY TO BLESS 3 4 31 12   13 17 (ferraro james)RAMOS CHRISTIAN null   23% 3.40 1.25 W
TARA'S TALENT 4 1 43 22   23 27 (moore m)CARMOUCHE K null   19% 4.20 7.20 P
DEALING JUSTICE 2 2 2nk 35   310 321 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN null   22% 3.50 1.50 S
SPUN D'ETAT 1 3 1nk 4   413½ 433¾ (d'alessandro )MCCARTHY TREVOR null   3.20  
SCR  ROYAL MEGHAN               (abreu fernando)FRANCO MANUEL null   8% 11.60    
 
AQU-4   02/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:143     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENDOLINO 8 9 22 2½ 11 12 1 (jones e)GOMEZ O null   39.75  
SWEET MISSION 9 4 5 32 21 22 2 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN null   3.25 P
CHAYSENBRYN 6 8 8 7 77 3 3 (englehart jer)MCCARTHY TREVOR null   38% 1.60 4.90 S
LEFT LEANING LUCY 4 1 7 8 6 611 49 (donk david)VARGAS A null   9.80  
KERIK 1 6 9 9 810 812 510 (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC null   5.80  
SHANES PRETTY LADY 5 3 12 1½ 56 711½ 615 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO null   3.80  
ALPINE QUEEN 3 7 43 4 45 510 715 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K null   6.90  
A RING THING 2 2 33 5 3 410 829¼ (vazquez car)LEZCANO JOSE null   35% 1.80 5.20  
MIA BEA STAR 7 5 6 6 912½ 920 940 (persa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS null   27.50  
 
AQU-5   02/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:154     1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  WRITE THE CHECK 10 2 4 31 11 14 1 (brown)RODRIGUEZ LUIS null   49% 1.10 10.40 W
10  MISSING FORTUNE 7 11 9 8 6 59 2 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL null   5% 19.00 6.60 P
11  PALS ALLY 8 1 6 6 4 46 3 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC null   3.15  
UNBRIDLED'S REIGN 5 4 8 54 5 3 44 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN null   4.70  
12  BELLS ON HER TOES 9 5 31 2½ 21 24 510¾ (baker charlton)MORRISON AILSA null   8.70  
KEEN DANCER 3 7 1110½ 1111¾ 911 813½ 617¾ (persaud ran)CAMACHO JR null   25.50  
ALARRA 4 9 105 9 78 711½ 718½ (clarke dyl)DAVIS A null   41.00  
LOST ANCHOR 2 6 11 1½ 3 611½ 828¼ (klesaris r)GOMEZ ANTONIO null   5% 19.00 7.90  
EUDAIMONIA 6 3 5 4 810 916 929¾ (schosberg richard)MENA E null   9.90  
13  CAN'T CATCH KACY 11 10 7 10 1114½ 1019 1032¾ (brion keri)SAMUEL L null   13.80  
MISS PAB 1 8 21 7 1013 1120 1141 (englehart j)VARGAS A null   6.80  
SCR  FALSE HOPE               (schettino dom)RAMOS CHRISTIAN null      
SCR  KAY TEE GAL               (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K null   5% 19.00    
SCR  SWEETIE PIE               (brown b)HERNANDEZ OMAR null   5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   02/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:143     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTY TWO ACE 7 1 2½ 2nk 11 12 1 (baker charlton)LUZZI J null   15% 5.50 14.10 W
BLU GROTTO 9 7 810 811¼ 7 67 2 (kimmel c)MCCARTHY TREVOR null   8.30 P
EXTREME 8 2 3 3 3 22 3 (handal raymond)FRANCO MANUEL null   43% 1.30 2.50 S
GROUP HUG 6 8 6 5 52 3 4 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K null   7.40  
PIER FORTY 2 4 75 7 8 7 57 (vazquez carl)CANCEL ERIC null   5% 19.00 5.80  
MISTER CANDY RIDE 4 6 54 6 66 89 6 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE null   1.80  
HIGH TIDE 1 3 1½ 1nk 21 4 710 (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN null   9% 10.10 9.90  
CONFECTIONER 3 5 4 4 42 5 812 (mc john)NAVARRO KEVIN null   43.25  
1A  ROYAL TRYST 5 9 916 926¾ 935¾ 937 958½ (rice linda)GOMEZ ANTONIO null   1.80  
 
AQU-7   02/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:133     1:264   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALLINA 6 7 813 68   23 1¾ (bond j)MCCARTHY TREVOR null   5.00  
NORMAN QUEEN 2 3 1 1   13 2¾ (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE null   2.00  
CHLOE ROSE 5 1 54 33   35 3 (rodriguez gusta)FRANCO MANUEL null   9% 10.50 7.00 S
EARLY EDITION 4 8 3 5   4 4 (mcmullin stacy)ADORNO ABNER null   6.10  
STENCIL 8 6 2 2   510½ 520¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K null   47% 1.10 4.90  
MAGNETIQUE 7 2 43 4   614 621 (dipri)RODRIGUEZ LUIS null   8% 11.90 10.70  
SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 3 5 712½ 811   817 730¾ (duggan davi)VARGAS A null   8.20  
HIGHWAY QUEEN 1 4 6 7   715½ 833 (klesaris steve)DAVIS DYLAN null   6% 14.90 12.60  
SCR  MY GIRL LEXI               (rice linda)GOMEZ ANTONIO null      
 
AQU-8   02/04/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:151 1:41   1:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC NIGHT 6 3 54 53 3 2nk 1 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL null   31% 2.20 1.50 W
TEXAS SWING 2 5 2 2½ 2nk 1nk 2 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K null   4.30 P
HAMMERIN AAMER 1 4 65 6 6 4 3 (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN null   10% 9.10 8.50 S
PIONEER SPIRIT 3 2 1 1½ 1nk 3 4 (kantarmaci mer)HARKIE K null   28% 2.50 9.80  
CROATIAN 7 1 3 42 42 6 511 (dutrow anthon)MCCARTHY TREVOR null   7.40  
TIERGAN 4 6 44 32 5 5 620½ (rodriguez r)VARGAS A null   5.40  
PRIORITIZE 5 7 7 7 7 7 721¼ (rodriguez r)CANCEL ERIC null   6.10  
 
AQU-9   02/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:153     1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  INCONTROVERTIBLE 9 1 1nk 2½ 11 14 1 (allard t)CEDENO CAROL null   50% 1.00 5.10 W
INOUAINTALKINTOME 3 6 55 3 3 24 2 (falcone robert)MORRISON AILSA null   6.10  
ELEGANT LAOBAN 8 3 99 711½ 58 510½ 315 (o'brien ke)DAVIS A null   27.25  
REELEY PSYCHED 4 9 44 5 4 410 415½ (brown)RODRIGUEZ LUIS null   9% 10.40 6.10  
LOVE'S MISERY 1 7 2nk 1½ 21 39 515½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K null   7.10  
11  EMERALD BANKER 10 2 7 610½ 711 615½ 621 (jerkens t)RICHARDS G null   37.25  
PHENOMENAL WOMAN 5 5 66 812½ 818½ 820½ 723¾ (vazquez ju)GOMEZ ANTONIO null   2.40  
MONDEUSE 6 4 3½ 44 69 716½ 825¾ (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN null   12% 7.00 5.10  
FORTUNE'S SISTER 7 10 1014 1017½ 1020 928½ 940¾ (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC null   11.90  
CINNAMON DREAM 2 8 8 915 920 1031½ 1043¼ (gutierrez faus)HARKIE K null   5% 19.00 30.50  
SCR  BONANA FANNA FOE               (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.