Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - February 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOM BOOM KABOOM Jan09         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC null   37% 1.70    
2  SCHERZANDO Jan14         (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN null   10% 9.40    
3  HEYMACKIT'SJACK         (brion ker)VARGAS A null   ★    
4  BREW PUB Jan14         (arenas marcelo)MENA E null   14% 6.30    
5  SCAT BRAT         (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL null      
6  FEATHERS ROAD Jan14 Jan06       (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR null   15% 5.80    
7  MR BREADWINNER         (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K null      
 
AQU-2   02/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID CHOCOLATE Jan08         (sci)WORRIE SHIVNARINE null   ★    
4  JACOBA Jan08         (ficarell)DAVIS A null      
5  PERCEIVED         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE null   50% 1.00    
SCR  FOREVER WICKED Jan08         (dharamjit da)HARKIE K null   ★    
SCR  IT'S MANDATORY Jan20         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN null   23% 3.40    
SCR  SPEECHIN N TEACHIN Jan08         (mc john)NAVARRO KEVIN null   ★    
 
AQU-3   02/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUN D'ETAT Jan06         (d'alessandr)MCCARTHY TREVOR null   ★    
2  DEALING JUSTICE         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN null   22% 3.50    
3  EASY TO BLESS Jan06         (ferraro jam)RAMOS CHRISTIAN null   23% 3.40    
4  TARA'S TALENT         (moore m)CARMOUCHE K null   19% 4.20    
SCR  ROYAL MEGHAN Jan06         (abreu fernand)FRANCO MANUEL null   8% 11.60    
 
AQU-4   02/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KERIK Jan06         (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC null   ★    
2  A RING THING Jan13         (vazquez c)LEZCANO JOSE null   35% 1.80    
3  ALPINE QUEEN Jan06         (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K null   ★    
4  LEFT LEANING LUCY Jan13         (donk davi)VARGAS A null      
5  SHANES PRETTY LADY         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO null      
6  CHAYSENBRYN         (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR null   38% 1.60    
7  MIA BEA STAR Jan23         (per)RODRIGUEZ LUIS null      
8  PENDOLINO         (jones e)GOMEZ O null      
9  SWEET MISSION Jan06         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN null   ★    
 
AQU-5   02/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  WRITE THE CHECK Jan08         (bro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS null   49% 1.10    
2  MISS PAB         (englehart)VARGAS A null      
3  LOST ANCHOR Jan14         (klesaris)GOMEZ ANTONIO null   5% 19.00    
5  KEEN DANCER Jan14         (persaud r)CAMACHO JR null      
7  ALARRA         (clarke d)DAVIS A null      
8  UNBRIDLED'S REIGN Jan14         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN null      
9  EUDAIMONIA Jan14 Jan01       (schosberg richa)MENA E null      
10  MISSING FORTUNE         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL null   5% 19.00    
11  PALS ALLY Jan14         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC null      
12  BELLS ON HER TOES         (baker charlt)MORRISON AILSA null      
13  CAN'T CATCH KACY         (brion keri)SAMUEL L null      
SCR  FALSE HOPE Jan08         (schettino d)RAMOS CHRISTIAN null      
SCR  KAY TEE GAL Jan01         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K null   5% 19.00    
SCR  SWEETIE PIE Jan14         (brown)HERNANDEZ OMAR null   5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   02/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER CANDY RIDE         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE null      
1A  ROYAL TRYST Jan13         (rice lin)GOMEZ ANTONIO null      
2  HIGH TIDE Jan13         (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN null   9% 10.10    
3  PIER FORTY Jan13         (vazquez ca)CANCEL ERIC null   5% 19.00    
4  CONFECTIONER Jan20 Jan08       (mc john)NAVARRO KEVIN null      
5  GROUP HUG         (maker j)CARMOUCHE K null      
6  FORTY TWO ACE Jan02         (baker charlton)LUZZI J null   15% 5.50    
7  EXTREME Jan08         (handal raymon)FRANCO MANUEL null   43% 1.30    
8  BLU GROTTO Jan13         (kimmel john)MCCARTHY TREVOR null   ★    
 
AQU-7   02/04/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HIGHWAY QUEEN Jan01         (klesaris steve)DAVIS DYLAN null   6% 14.90    
3  NORMAN QUEEN Jan13         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE null      
4  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Jan06         (duggan da)VARGAS A null      
5  EARLY EDITION Jan01         (mcmullin stacy)ADORNO ABNER null      
6  CHLOE ROSE Jan06         (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL null   9% 10.50    
7  GALLINA Jan02         (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR null      
8  MAGNETIQUE         (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS null   8% 11.90    
9  STENCIL Jan16         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K null   47% 1.10    
SCR  MY GIRL LEXI         (rice lin)GOMEZ ANTONIO null   ★    
 
AQU-8   02/04/2022 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAMMERIN AAMER Jan14         (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN null   10% 9.10    
2  TEXAS SWING Jan03         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K null   ★    
3  PIONEER SPIRIT         (kantarmaci m)HARKIE K null   28% 2.50    
4  TIERGAN         (rodriguez)VARGAS A null      
5  PRIORITIZE         (rodriguez rudy )CANCEL ERIC null      
6  MYSTIC NIGHT         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL null   31% 2.20    
7  CROATIAN         (dutrow anth)MCCARTHY TREVOR null   ★    
 
AQU-9   02/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE'S MISERY Jan08         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K null   ★    
2  CINNAMON DREAM Jan06         (gutierrez fa)HARKIE K null   5% 19.00    
3  INOUAINTALKINTOME Jan08         (falcone robe)MORRISON AILSA null      
4  REELEY PSYCHED Jan06         (bro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS null   9% 10.40    
6  PHENOMENAL WOMAN Jan02         (vazquez )GOMEZ ANTONIO null      
7  MONDEUSE         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN null   12% 7.00    
8  FORTUNE'S SISTER Jan08         (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC null      
9  ELEGANT LAOBAN Jan06         (o'brien )DAVIS A null      
10  INCONTROVERTIBLE Jan06         (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL null   50% 1.00    
11  EMERALD BANKER Jan06         (jerkens steven)RICHARDS G null      
SCR  BONANA FANNA FOE Jan08         (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.