Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Saturday - January 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   01/01/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:13 1:384   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATTALION 4 5 2 2 2 1½ 1 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 20% 4.10 4.50 W
FLOWERS FOR LISA 1 2 1 1 1 2½ 2 (kantarmaci m)HARKIE K 120 12.00 15% 5.80 3.00 P
RUNABOUT 5 6 6 5 3 3 36 (potts wayne)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 22% 3.60 2.75 S
POTANTICO 2 1 4 4 43 42 4 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 4.10  
NOBLE THOUGHT 6 4 54 65 6 5 521¼ (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 3.35  
NUTZFORBOLTZ 3 3 3 3 55 619½ 656½ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 12.30  
 
AQU-2   01/01/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:133     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERENADE SOLDIER 1 1 1½ 2nk   1½ 1 (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 11.30  
RAYMOND ROAD 7 2 2½ 1nk   2½ 2 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 12% 7.20 1.35 P
CRICKET WEST 8 8 8 8   4 3 (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 9% 9.90 3.60 S
MAJESTIC SPIRIT 3 7 5 4   5 47 (schosberg richa)MENA E 120 8.00 4.40  
1A  EUDAIMONIA 6 5 4 3   3 511 (schosberg richa)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 4.40  
DERBY KISSES 2 6 64 6   611½ 616¼ (dunham bob )RAMOS CHRISTIAN 115 30.00 54.00  
KAY TEE GAL 5 3 7 5   712 717 (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 20% 4.10 3.50  
OUR REWARD 4 4 32 7   823 856¾ (brown)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 20.00 21.00  
SCR  DOC DOC ROCK               (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
AQU-3   01/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM BIGGER 1 4 3½ 3   31 1½ (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 20% 4.00 4.10 W
DARK MONEY 5 5 42 4   42 2½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.20 31% 2.20 0.60 P
STANHOPE 2 1 2½ 11   11 3 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 110 10.00 10.00  
LOHENGRIN TWO 6 3 1½ 21   21 4 (barrow pa)CAMACHO JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 13.80  
HEALY'S HOPE 3 6 711 712½   710½ 5 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 120 20.00 19.30  
NEXT FLIGHT 4 7 5 5   55 6 (englehart chri)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 5.20  
TRAPPEZE ARTIST 7 2 65 6   6 7 (mc john)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 30.00 85.00  
SCR  MOONACHIE               (vazqu)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
AQU-4   01/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:223 :461 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIOLENT VIXEN 5 2 1nk 11   13 1 (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 2.35  
EARLY EDITION 7 5 2nk 21   23 2 (mcmullin stacy)ADORNO ABNER 123 10.00 12.40  
CADEAU DE PAIX 2 6 6 5   5 3 (reynolds patri)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 30% 2.30 2.55 S
BOSS CARA 3 4 4 3   3 49 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00 15.70  
CAZILDA FORTYTALES 4 7 5 4   46 5 (vazquez)BERRIOS JOSEPH 123 1.80 28% 2.50 3.65  
ENTER SANDWOMAN 1 1 7 77   613½ 618¼ (colebrook ben)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 10% 9.40 4.50  
THEGODDESSOFSNAKES 6 3 3½ 6   714½ 731½ (summers cha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00 10.50  
SCR  TELLAPERFECTTALE               (potts wayne)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-5   01/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPRESSIONIST 1 6 11 13   14 1 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80 30% 2.40 2.00 W
RELATE 7 2 32 23   24 2 (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 14% 6.00 3.20 P
PINEAPPLE MAN 6 4 21 33   36 311 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 3.10  
CLASH A. J. 5 5 810½ 5   49 411¾ (jones eduar)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 115 30.00 47.75  
WILD CARP DIEM 2 7 7 710   714 516 (ryerson james)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 21.30  
BUSTIN UP 3 1 4 69   512½ 617½ (falcone rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 24% 3.20 7.00  
THE INSTITUTE 4 3 5 47   613½ 727¼ (depaz horacio)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 5.80  
WAHEEL 8 8 6 812   820 834 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 12.00 7% 13.10 23.00  
 
AQU-6   01/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:221 :46 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSALPHA 8 7 3 1   14 1 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 32% 2.10 2.00 W
TALE OF MIST 1 6 8 67   5 2 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 120 30.00 31.75  
SPEEDING KID 2 5 66 4   34 36 (potts wayne)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 115 6.00 15% 5.50 7.40 S
BOURBON MISSION 7 2 11 2   4 47 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 5.90  
SUMMER BOURBON 3 1 4 34   24 5 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 2.40  
BINKSTER 4 3 7 8   68 6 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 8% 11.10 5.20  
WINNING DRIVE 6 8 54 78   8 713 (kantarmaci m)HARKIE K 120 10.00 13.40  
KAREN'S COVE 5 4 21 55   79 816½ (gob)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00 8% 11.00 23.00  
SCR  FLEET WARRIOR               (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
 
AQU-7   01/01/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:101     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE GRAYTFUL 8 3 12 13   13 1 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 13% 6.70 3.30 W
BUSTIN SHOUT 7 1 22 33   23 2 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 15.00 P
MONEY IN THE BANK 6 4 32 23   3 3 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 9% 10.10 5.40 S
T LOVES A FIGHT 2 8 8 7   710 4 (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 9% 10.70 9.00  
BIG BOBBY 1 5 5 4   49 5 (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 47% 1.10 1.15  
DURKIN'S CALL 5 6 7 57   6 610½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 17.40  
BRONX BOMBER 4 2 6 6   59 718 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 8.30  
1A  DOUBLE VISION 3 7 4 811¼   820 824¼ (d'alessandro )NAVARRO KEVIN 123 20.00 40.50  
SCR  DEVIOUS MO               (chichakly)CAMACHO JR 118 30.00    
SCR  WRITER'S REGRET               (d'alessandro ra)CANCEL ERIC 123 20.00    
 
AQU-8   01/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:111     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COURVOISIER 6 3 4 2½ 2½ 1½ 1 (breen j)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 31% 2.20 4.00 W
SMARTEN UP 5 6 77 88 76 53 2 (velazquez a)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 12.00 6% 16.90 21.30 P
COOKE CREEK 1 1 31 33 3 31 32 (o'dwyer jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 33% 2.00 1.45 S
UNBRIDLED BOMBER 2 8 88 7 43 42 4 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 13.80  
HAGLER 8 4 11 1½ 1½ 2½ 55 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 6% 14.60 3.35  
MR JEFFERSON 7 7 6 55 65 6 610¾ (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 120 4.50 8.30  
OHTWOOHTHREEFIVE 3 5 21 4 54 7 713¼ (weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 7.70  
RUMBLE STRIP RON 4 2 53 6 89 812½ 828 (quartarolo anth)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00 42.00  
 
AQU-9   01/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELECTRIC YOUTH 4 8 911½ 67   3 1 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.50 7.00  
SNICKET 2 5 1½ 1½   1 2 (duggan p)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 12% 7.50 4.10 P
TOWERING ORBIT 5 4 2½ 2½   2 3 (baker charlton)ORTIZ L 123 3.00 33% 2.10 1.85 S
HIGHWAY QUEEN 8 1 32 5   56 410¼ (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 30% 2.40 3.85  
BIG TIME LADY 1 9 43 32   45 510¾ (handal raymon)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 6.80  
JEN'S BATTLE 6 6 76 9   78 610¾ (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 10.00 14.70  
CANDY MONET 9 7 87 8   810 714¼ (donk david)CANCEL ERIC 123 15.00 12.60  
ANCIENT BROWN 3 2 6 4   6 814¾ (donk dav)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 123 15.00 26.25  
PROPER GRAMMAR 7 3 5 78   913½ 919¾ (pregman jr)MENA E 120 50.00 60.75  
SCR  OK HONEY               (barrera osca)HARKIE K 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.