Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Saturday - January 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   01/01/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOWERS FOR LISA         (kantarmac)VARGAS A 120 12.00 15% 5.80    
POTANTICO         (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00    
NUTZFORBOLTZ         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 8.00    
BATTALION         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 20% 4.10    
RUNABOUT         (potts wayne)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
NOBLE THOUGHT         (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80    
 
AQU-2   01/01/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC SPIRIT         (schosberg richa)MENA E 120 8.00    
1A  EUDAIMONIA         (schosberg richa)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
SERENADE SOLDIER         (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
SCR  DOC DOC ROCK         (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 34% 1.90    
DERBY KISSES         (dunham bob )RAMOS CHRISTIAN 115 30.00    
OUR REWARD         (brown)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 20.00    
KAY TEE GAL         (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 20% 4.10    
RAYMOND ROAD         (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 12% 7.20    
CRICKET WEST         (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 9% 9.90    
 
AQU-3   01/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM BIGGER         (kantarmac)VARGAS A 120 5.00 20% 4.00    
STANHOPE         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 110 10.00    
HEALY'S HOPE         (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 120 20.00    
NEXT FLIGHT         (englehart chri)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
DARK MONEY         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.20 31% 2.20    
LOHENGRIN TWO         (barrow pa)CAMACHO JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
TRAPPEZE ARTIST         (mc john)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 30.00    
SCR  MOONACHIE         (vazqu)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
AQU-4   01/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENTER SANDWOMAN         (colebrook ben)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  TELLAPERFECTTALE         (potts wayne)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
CADEAU DE PAIX         (reynolds patri)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
BOSS CARA         (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 123 12.00    
CAZILDA FORTYTALES         (vazquez j)VARGAS A 123 1.80 28% 2.50    
VIOLENT VIXEN         (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00    
THEGODDESSOFSNAKES         (summers cha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00    
EARLY EDITION         (mcmullin stacy)ADORNO ABNER 123 10.00    
 
AQU-5   01/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPRESSIONIST         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80 30% 2.40    
WILD CARP DIEM         (ryerson james)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
BUSTIN UP         (falcone rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
THE INSTITUTE         (depaz horacio)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
CLASH A. J.         (jones eduar)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 115 30.00    
PINEAPPLE MAN         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
RELATE         (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 14% 6.00    
WAHEEL         (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 12.00 7% 13.10    
 
AQU-6   01/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALE OF MIST         (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 120 30.00    
SPEEDING KID         (potts wayne)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 115 6.00 15% 5.50    
SUMMER BOURBON         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
BINKSTER         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 8% 11.10    
KAREN'S COVE         (gob)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00 8% 11.00    
WINNING DRIVE         (kantarmaci m)HARKIE K 120 10.00    
BOURBON MISSION         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50    
SCR  FLEET WARRIOR         (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
MISSALPHA         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 32% 2.10    
 
AQU-7   01/01/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DOUBLE VISION         (d'alessandro )NAVARRO KEVIN 123 20.00    
SCR  WRITER'S REGRET         (d'alessandro ra)CANCEL ERIC 123 20.00    
BIG BOBBY         (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
T LOVES A FIGHT         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 118 6.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  DEVIOUS MO         (chichakly)CAMACHO JR 118 30.00    
BRONX BOMBER         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
DURKIN'S CALL         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
MONEY IN THE BANK         (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 9% 10.10    
BUSTIN SHOUT         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
MORE GRAYTFUL         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 13% 6.70    
 
AQU-8   01/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOKE CREEK         (o'dwyer jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 33% 2.00    
UNBRIDLED BOMBER         (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
OHTWOOHTHREEFIVE         (weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50    
RUMBLE STRIP RON         (quartarolo anth)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
SMARTEN UP         (velazquez a)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 12.00 6% 16.90    
COURVOISIER         (breen j)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 31% 2.20    
MR JEFFERSON         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 120 4.50    
HAGLER         (rodriguez)VARGAS A 120 4.00 6% 14.60    
 
AQU-9   01/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG TIME LADY         (handal raymon)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
SNICKET         (duggan p)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 12% 7.50    
ANCIENT BROWN         (donk dav)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 123 15.00    
ELECTRIC YOUTH         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.50    
TOWERING ORBIT         (baker charlton)ORTIZ L 123 3.00 33% 2.10    
JEN'S BATTLE         (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 10.00    
PROPER GRAMMAR         (pregman jr)MENA E 120 50.00    
HIGHWAY QUEEN         (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 30% 2.40    
CANDY MONET         (donk davi)VARGAS A 123 15.00    
SCR  OK HONEY         (barrera osca)HARKIE K 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.