Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Friday - February 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:222 :45 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARMANT E 3 3 1nk 1nk   12 11 (mccartney jac)SCRIVER L 124 3.50 21% 3.70 2.40 W
MISCHIEF MAMA 4 2 2nk 2nk   22 21 (mcfarlane d)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 16% 5.20 5.20 P
ELDORADO DREAM 2 6 41 42   3 3 (buechler j)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 2.60  
RETURN TO HARBOR 7 1 3½ 31   4 4 (brinkerhoff v)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 5.90  
CAMEO SHORES 1 5 53 56   5 5 (wong jonathan)ZUNINO L 124 2.00 21% 3.80 4.30  
SPICY SOMMELIER 5 4 6 6   611½ 611¼ (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 124 12.00 10% 8.90 6.30  
BARBARIUS 6 7 728½ 7100   7100 7100 (matt l)CORBETT W 124 10.00 7% 12.60 12.40  
 
TUP-3   02/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:10 1:224   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD REY 3 1 1 15 16 16 1 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 39% 1.60 0.60 W
HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY 6 6 510½ 410 4 26 2 (hernandez migu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 7% 12.80 2.60 P
AROUSE N GO 1 2 2 25 3 38 39 (asprino alf)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 4.00 6.90 S
IKNOWYOURFACE 2 3 35 3 26 4 413¼ (bullene)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 10.00 17.10  
STARLIGHT TWIST 4 5 611 514 516½ 517½ 515¾ (gleason m)CORBETT W 124 6.00 5.60  
EBB AND FLOW 5 4 410 615 621½ 623½ 624¼ (lavanway days)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 15.00 30.30  
SCR  JUST GRACE               (will)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
 
TUP-4   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:22 :444 :564     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COPPER CHARM 2 5 5 5   14 1 (hernandez migu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00 7.00  
RED VENUS 5 6 6 7   24 2 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 2.70 P
MULLIGAN 6 4 4 4   3 3 (kereluk edward)VERGARA P 122 3.00 71% 0.40 2.30 S
FABULOUS FORUM 1 7 7 6   6 410¾ (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 4.80  
EARLYNTHEMORN 7 1 2nk 2nk   5 512½ (o'brien debbie)CORBETT W 124 8.00 16.70  
BLACK DROP 4 2 1nk 3.2   4 614¼ (silva l)CRUZ M 122 5.00 7.50  
COASTAL RUN 3 3 3.2 1nk   7 718½ (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 3.30  
 
TUP-5   02/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:122 1:373   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY INDY 7 2 2½ 3 3 1nk 1nk (vanwinkle dav)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 9.90  
KENNEBEC 4 4 54 7 5 5 2nk (wong jonathan)PENA BRYAN 124 6.00 3.50  
GIANT PAYDAY 6 6 6 6 43 4 3 (jimenez a)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 11% 7.90 25.70 S
TIGER DAD 2 5 31 2 1nk 3.2 4 (diodoro robertino)VERGARA P 124 3.50 11% 7.80 1.00  
AX MAN 3 1 1½ 1 2nk 2nk 54 (mcfarlane d)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 15.40  
10  K P ALL SYSTEMS GO 8 7 7 54 79 7 611¼ (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 120 12.00 24.90  
CARIBOU CLUB 5 3 41 4 6 6 713 (mccarthy mic)VAN DRAYDEN 122 2.50 49% 1.00 2.20  
PINTXOS 1 8 8 8 817 815¾ 831½ (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00 43.80  
SCR  NOBLE PURSUIT               (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 5% 18.80    
SCR  ZUMURUDEE               (woolley l)NEGRON LUIS 122 20.00    
 
TUP-6   02/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:223 :444 1:094     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BOOGIE TWO SHOES 9 3 2 2   3½ 1½ (villamar ca)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 5% 19.00 4.80 W
SHARMEL 5 2 42 3   42 2½ (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 6.50  
NOUMEA 1 8 811½ 6   5 31 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 8% 12.10 3.40 S
GALILETA 6 1 1 1   1nk 4 (birdwell tena)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 12.00 5.00  
WILLING TO BURN 4 6 32 4   2nk 5 (brat)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 16% 5.10 3.80  
INEEDAMANIANDAPEDI 3 5 53 5   6 65 (carrete jesu)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 12.00 41.00  
EMMA'S A BEAST 8 7 710 7   7 7 (kubinova eliska)MAWING A 124 8.00 7% 14.30 5.10  
FICTIONAL 2 9 913½ 913¼   811½ 810¼ (wheeler travis)LINDSAY CHAD 124 10.00 9.10  
LINDA'S BALLET 7 4 65 8   913 911¾ (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 11.30  
SCR  A DIME FOR ME               (wong jonat)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
TUP-7   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.96K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:28
See original race card.
:214 :442 :562     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHRISTINE'S JACK 1 1 1nk 2½   1 1 (bullene micha)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 67% 0.50 2.30 W
REDACTION 5 8 811¾ 66   43 2 (ortiz l)CORBETT W 124 8.00 18.90  
UNION BROTHER 4 4 4¼ 31   33 3 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 1.30  
PRINCE ALI 3 3 2nk 1½   2 4 (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 10% 8.60 2.10  
BRAZILIAN SUMMER 7 5 5¾ 4   5 5 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 7.80  
10  PALMY SUNDAE 8 7 7 810   7 65 (gomez alejand)BARANDELA SOFIA 122 20.00 98.00  
GEORGIAN ROAD 2 2 3.2 52   6 7 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 33.40  
JAZZ TOWN 6 6 6 7   8 8 (finch sherr)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 20.00 77.80  
SCR  PARLEY STREET               (ferguson curt)CIVACI SAHIN 122 12.00    
SCR  PASSED BY PAUL               (hernandez mi)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00    
 
TUP-8   02/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:59
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:114 1:374   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORMA JEAN B. 7 7 8 8 65 2 1 (cerin vladim)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 124 3.00 46% 1.20 1.20 W
SHORE BREAK (IRE) 8 8 4 55 43 3 2 (drysdale neil)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 10.10  
QUIET SECRETARY 1 3 1nk 1½ 1 1 3 (kruljac ian)CORBETT W 124 4.50 2.10  
PRANCE 3 5 77 6 7 43 43 (eikleberry k)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 20.00 60.80  
GLOBAL BRAND 9 10 1011½ 1011¾ 8 6 5 (mccarthy mic)VAN DRAYDEN 122 4.00 3.90  
COVER VERSION 6 2 3 4 3 5 6 (saldana reed)CRUZ M 124 8.00 10.90  
LADY COMMISSIONER 4 9 910 9 99 7 7 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 15.00 18% 4.70 82.00  
HURRICAIN HUNTER 5 1 2nk 2½ 2 8 810½ (jimenez a)LINDSAY CHAD 122 10.00 10% 9.30 26.30  
10  BACCHANALIA 10 6 66 77 1010½ 912¾ 918¼ (hess b)VERGARA P 124 6.00 19.90  
LITTLE MISS BELLE 2 4 55 3 5 1018¾ 1026½ (brat)DA FAUSTO 120 20.00 92.50  
SCR  BRIGHTSIDEOFLIFE               (woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 20.00    
SCR  STARS OF BLUEGRASS               (wong jonat)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.