Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Friday - February 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMEO SHORES         (wong jonathan)ZUNINO L 124 2.00 21% 3.80    
2  ELDORADO DREAM Jan20         (buechler simon )LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
3  CHARMANT E Jan27 Jan03       (mccartney j)SCRIVER L 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
4  MISCHIEF MAMA Jan20         (mcfarlane)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 16% 5.20    
5  SPICY SOMMELIER Jan13         (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 124 12.00 10% 8.90    
6  BARBARIUS Jan27 Jan07       (matt l)CORBETT W 124 10.00 7% 12.60    
7  RETURN TO HARBOR Jan25 Jan07       (brinkerhoff)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00    
 
TUP-3   02/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AROUSE N GO Feb01 Jan20 Jan11     (asprino a)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 4.00 ★    
2  IKNOWYOURFACE Jan21         (bulle)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 10.00    
3  BOLD REY Feb01 Jan07       (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 39% 1.60    
4  STARLIGHT TWIST Jan24         (gleason m)CORBETT W 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  JUST GRACE Feb01 Jan21 Jan06     (wi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
6  EBB AND FLOW Jan25 Jan04       (lavanway da)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 15.00    
7  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY Jan24 Jan06       (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 7% 12.80    
 
TUP-4   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABULOUS FORUM Feb03         (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 ★    
2  COPPER CHARM Jan11         (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00    
3  COASTAL RUN Jan21 Jan03       (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 ★    
4  BLACK DROP Jan21         (silva l)CRUZ M 122 5.00 ★    
5  RED VENUS Jan27 Jan11       (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 ★    
6  MULLIGAN Jan21 Jan03       (kereluk edward)VERGARA P 122 3.00 71% 0.40    
7  EARLYNTHEMORN Jan19         (o'brien debbie)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
 
TUP-5   02/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ZUMURUDEE Jan14         (woolley bennie )NEGRON LUIS 122 20.00    
2  PINTXOS Jan28 Jan05       (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00 ★    
3  TIGER DAD Jan14         (diodoro roberti)VERGARA P 124 3.50 11% 7.80    
4  AX MAN         (mcfarlane)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
5  KENNEBEC Jan12         (wong jonathan)PENA BRYAN 124 6.00    
SCR  NOBLE PURSUIT Jan03         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 5% 18.80    
7  CARIBOU CLUB Jan02         (mccarthy m)VAN DRAYDEN 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
8  GIANT PAYDAY         (jimenez a)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 11% 7.90    
9  MY INDY Jan28 Jan12       (vanwinkle d)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00    
10  K P ALL SYSTEMS GO Jan28 Jan14       (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 120 12.00    
 
TUP-6   02/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOUMEA Jan18 Jan04       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 8% 12.10    
2  FICTIONAL Feb01 Jan20 Jan05     (wheeler tra)SCRIVER L 124 10.00    
3  INEEDAMANIANDAPEDI         (carrete je)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 12.00    
4  WILLING TO BURN Jan12         (br)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  A DIME FOR ME Jan28         (wong jon)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
6  SHARMEL Jan28 Jan05       (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 124 10.00    
7  GALILETA Feb01 Jan18       (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 12.00    
8  LINDA'S BALLET Jan20 Jan05       (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00    
9  EMMA'S A BEAST Jan17         (kubinova eliska)MAWING A 124 8.00 7% 14.30    
10  BOOGIE TWO SHOES Feb02 Jan25 Jan03     (villamar )VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-7   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.96K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHRISTINE'S JACK Jan20 Jan04       (bullene mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 67% 0.50    
2  GEORGIAN ROAD Jan26         (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 ★    
SCR  PARLEY STREET Jan26         (ferguson curt)CIVACI SAHIN 122 12.00 ★    
4  PRINCE ALI Jan12         (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  PASSED BY PAUL Jan20 Jan04       (hernandez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00    
6  UNION BROTHER Jan31 Jan20 Jan10     (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00    
7  REDACTION Jan18         (ortiz l)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
8  JAZZ TOWN Jan12         (finch she)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 20.00    
9  BRAZILIAN SUMMER Jan26 Jan15       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 ★    
10  PALMY SUNDAE Feb01 Jan12       (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 20.00    
 
TUP-8   02/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUIET SECRETARY Jan09         (kruljac ian)CORBETT W 124 4.50    
2  LITTLE MISS BELLE Jan18         (br)DA FAUSTO 120 20.00    
3  PRANCE Jan18 Jan04       (eikleberry)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 20.00    
4  LADY COMMISSIONER Feb02 Jan17       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 15.00 18% 4.70    
5  HURRICAIN HUNTER Jan27 Jan11       (jimenez miguel)LINDSAY CHAD 122 10.00 10% 9.30    
6  COVER VERSION Jan14         (saldana reed)CRUZ M 124 8.00 ★    
7  NORMA JEAN B.         (cerin vlad)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
8  SHORE BREAK (IRE) Jan28         (drysdale ne)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
9  GLOBAL BRAND Jan01         (mccarthy m)VAN DRAYDEN 122 4.00    
10  BACCHANALIA Jan08         (hess b)VERGARA P 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  STARS OF BLUEGRASS Feb01 Jan11       (wong jon)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 122 20.00    
SCR  BRIGHTSIDEOFLIFE Jan11         (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.