Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turf Paradise
Tuesday - January 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   01/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:103     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRRESISTIBLY SEXY 5 2 1½ 1nk   13 1 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 0.60  
EIGHT MAKAR 6 1 5 44   23 2 (brinkerhoff)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 3.30 P
GONE SOMEWHERE 2 5 31 3   3 3 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 1.80 42% 1.40 4.80 S
SILVER KID 4 6 65 55   57 4 (mcdaniel l)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 6.40  
EZ RULER 1 4 2½ 2nk   4 511¼ (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 5.00 13.50  
SMOKIN ARROW 3 3 4 66   615 622½ (wheeler tr)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 15.00 28% 2.60 24.00  
 
TUP-2   01/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.96K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDACTION 1 5 610½ 67   3 1 (ortiz l)CORBETT W 124 4.00 6.50  
L D' RADO GOLDRUSH 2 4 1½ 1nk   2nk 2 (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 4.50 4.60 P
ATTA BOY BILLY 5 2 31 2nk   1nk 32 (silva jr)VERGARA P 124 3.50 1.20  
MOUNTAIN SPIRIT 3 1 2½ 3   4 4 (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.00 31% 2.20 5.00  
THE METAL MAN 4 6 41 4   5 5 (van d)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 12% 7.70 3.10  
FREEZING JIMMY 6 3 5 55   68 6 (buffalo marvin)WADE LYNDIE 124 5.00 9.70  
SCR  FORTY FATHOMS               (fearon johnatho)GILPIN SEAN 124 10.00 11% 8.00    
 
TUP-3   01/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:38
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:122 1:251   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOUMEA 5 6 6 6 5 21 1 (evans justin)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 2.30  
IROQUOIS HEART 6 2 1nk 1nk 1nk 11 2 (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 122 4.50 62% 0.60 5.40 P
LOVE YA MOST 4 1 33 3 3.2 3 33 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 6.00 2.70  
SAYITALL 3 5 44 42 4 4 4 (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 122 5.00 5% 19.00 2.70  
PERKY BRUNETTE 7 3 2nk 2nk 2nk 5 55 (story )FLETCHER D 122 12.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
AQUINAS 8 7 810¼ 7 6 66 6 (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 122 2.50 8% 12.00 6.40  
SHEZA MACHIAVELLI 2 8 7 8 810¾ 815½ 719¼ (mckinney k)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 15.00 72.30  
TWILIGHT GALAXY 1 4 5 5 7 715 820¼ (pierce mich)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00 11.30  
 
TUP-4   01/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:10     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY WOMPUS 3 7 6 5   31 11 (diodoro roberti)VERGARA P 124 5.00 2.30  
EL CHUMELITO 8 6 42 31   1nk 21 (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 6.00 10% 9.50 5.10 P
CALL YOU TOMORROW 6 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 34 (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 10.00 26% 2.90 5.80 S
10  KING PARKER 9 1 5 42   43 4 (story chad)MAWING A 124 10.00 5.40  
TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT 5 8 810 8   6 5 (johnston kim)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 12.00 41.40  
GOLDEN TIGER 2 5 1nk 1nk   5 6 (olivas-valenzuel)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 7% 13.50 13.20  
WESTERN SMOKE 7 3 75 7   710¾ 711¾ (valerio raymond)WADE LYNDIE 124 15.00 43.00  
SPENDAHOLIC 1 4 31 6   816¼ 819 (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 3.80  
PAPER BOY 4 9 913 9100   9100 9100 (hernandez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 4.60  
SCR  BIBLEMAN               (evans justi)SCRIVER L 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
TUP-5   01/18/2022 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($27.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:212 :44       :56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VROYSKY 6 2 2nk 11   1 1 (saldana reed)CRUZ M 122 4.00 23% 3.30 5.60 W
MOONLITE GRAHAM 4 4 43 4   3 2 (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 38% 1.70 1.30 P
SOMBRA NEGRA 7 3 3 3   2 3 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 2.50 9% 9.80 2.00 S
ALL AMERICAN HERO 2 5 54 5   57 4 (toye joe)CIVACI SAHIN 122 5.00 6.20  
FLYCATCHER 5 8 6 7   78 57 (blea j)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 20.00 60.50  
CIRCUS RIDE 1 7 7 67   6 6 (gutierrez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00 6% 15.70 7.50  
TIZ A SPEED BOMB 8 1 1nk 21   4 711 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 11.20  
STARZAN 3 6 8 812½   822 824 (baze rober)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 15.00 57.60  
 
TUP-6   01/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:14
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:122 1:252   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLUB CHAMP 4 3 1nk 1nk 3.2 1 1 (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.00 5.60  
TALKIN MALICE 1 5 4 6 5 32 2 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 32% 2.20 4.00 P
IMPERATOR 3 2 7 7 7 6 3 (baze robert)CRUZ M 122 3.00 40% 1.50 3.40 S
10  TWILIGHT RIDER 9 9 6 5 4¾ 2 4 (person ken)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00 1.90  
JEDI WARRIOR 6 7 9 96 9 7 5 (garcia gene )GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00 16.00  
HELLO HANDSOME 8 4 3 3½ 2nk 5 6 (hodgson bar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 7.60  
SUNLAND STAR 2 1 2nk 2nk 1nk 42 7 (blea j)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 15.00 36.30  
SWAGSATIONAL 5 8 8 8 8 8 8 (lawrence heath)MAWING A 122 12.00 6.90  
SMILING MATT 7 6 5 4 6 9 98 (soto antoni)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 42.60  
SCR  HIGH SPEED CHASE               (kubinova e)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 20.00    
SCR  INCLUDE HOO               (soto antonio)DEONAUTH P 122 20.00    
 
TUP-7   01/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:224 :454 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRSTY JUNIOR 6 3 1nk 1nk   11 14 (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 5.00 2.20  
SUCCESS RATE 5 5 2nk 2nk   21 24 (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 7.00  
JEN LORS LEGACY 3 7 62 43   44 3 (faulkner jeff)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 8.60  
KENZOU'S RHYTHM 4 4 3½ 3   3 46 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 28% 2.60 1.50  
12  PRIVATE JOKE 11 9 7 6   66 5 (gutierrez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
LITTLE JOHN 1 11 106 10   5 6 (homer jaso)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 20.00 16% 5.10 32.80  
KODIAK KING 8 10 11 11   98 7 (ha)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 12.00 53.70  
INQUISITEUR 7 6 9 8   87 8 (blea j)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 15.00 11.90  
CRACK A COLD ONE 2 8 84 7   77 9 (woolley bennie )WADE LYNDIE 124 6.00 22% 3.70 11.00  
10  BRAVE HELIOS 9 2 41 5   10 1011 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00 40.80  
11  ARDENLEE STAR 10 1 5 9   1110 1112 (van debb)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00 74.60  
SCR  SILVER SERVICE               (christian b)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
 
TUP-8   01/18/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($27.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:22 :45 1:101     1:301   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEWY CHEWY GOOD 7 5 4 2   1 11 (silva jr)VERGARA P 124 5.00 2.90  
PRANCE 5 7 68 5   44 21 (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 122 4.50 10.00 P
AMERICAN BOURBON 2 2 34 3   2 3 (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 36% 1.80 0.90 S
LITTLE MISS BELLE 6 6 710½ 7   5 4 (bratcher ryan)MAWING A 122 4.00 9% 9.70 13.80  
MONGOLIAN WINDOW 4 4 56 6   6 5 (lavanway day)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 15.00 44.60  
LOOPY 1 1 1 1   3 6 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 29% 2.40 2.50  
GALILETA 3 3 2 4   717½ 726 (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 8.00 27.80  
SCR  SPUN LINE               (evans just)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.