Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - January 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   01/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EZ RULER         (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 5.00 ★    
2  GONE SOMEWHERE         (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 1.80 42% 1.40    
3  SMOKIN ARROW         (wheeler tr)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 15.00 28% 2.60    
4  SILVER KID         (mcdaniel l)ZUNINO L 124 6.00    
5  IRRESISTIBLY SEXY         (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 ★    
6  EIGHT MAKAR         (brinkerhoff)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 ★    
 
TUP-2   01/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15.96K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDACTION         (ortiz l)CORBETT W 124 4.00    
2  L D' RADO GOLDRUSH         (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 4.50 ★    
3  MOUNTAIN SPIRIT         (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
4  THE METAL MAN Jan05         (van d)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 12% 7.70    
5  ATTA BOY BILLY         (silva jr)VERGARA P 124 3.50    
SCR  FORTY FATHOMS         (fearon johnatho)GILPIN SEAN 124 10.00 11% 8.00    
7  FREEZING JIMMY         (buffalo marvin)WADE LYNDIE 124 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-3   01/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWILIGHT GALAXY Jan04         (pierce mich)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00    
2  SHEZA MACHIAVELLI Jan05         (mckinney k)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 15.00    
3  SAYITALL Jan04         (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  LOVE YA MOST Jan04         (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 6.00    
5  NOUMEA Jan04         (evans justin)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 ★    
6  IROQUOIS HEART         (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 122 4.50 62% 0.60    
7  PERKY BRUNETTE         (story )FLETCHER D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  AQUINAS         (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 122 2.50 8% 12.00    
 
TUP-4   01/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIBLEMAN Jan05         (evans justi)SCRIVER L 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
2  SPENDAHOLIC         (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00    
3  GOLDEN TIGER         (olivas-valenzuel)ZUNINO L 124 8.00 7% 13.50    
4  CANDY WOMPUS         (diodoro roberti)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
5  PAPER BOY         (hernandez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00    
6  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT         (johnston kim)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 12.00    
7  CALL YOU TOMORROW         (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 10.00 26% 2.90    
8  WESTERN SMOKE Jan03         (valerio raymond)WADE LYNDIE 124 15.00    
9  EL CHUMELITO         (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 6.00 10% 9.50    
10  KING PARKER Jan05         (story chad)MAWING A 124 10.00 ★    
 
TUP-5   01/18/2022 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($27.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CIRCUS RIDE Jan04         (gutierrez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00 6% 15.70    
2  ALL AMERICAN HERO         (toye joe)CIVACI SAHIN 122 5.00 ★    
3  STARZAN         (baze rober)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 15.00    
4  MOONLITE GRAHAM         (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 38% 1.70    
5  FLYCATCHER Jan04         (blea tony)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 20.00    
6  VROYSKY Jan04         (saldana reed)CRUZ M 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
7  SOMBRA NEGRA Jan04         (evans justin)VERGARA P 122 2.50 9% 9.80    
8  TIZ A SPEED BOMB         (si)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00    
 
TUP-6   01/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALKIN MALICE         (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  HIGH SPEED CHASE         (kubinova e)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 20.00    
3  SUNLAND STAR Jan03         (blea j)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 15.00    
4  IMPERATOR         (baze robert)CRUZ M 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
5  CLUB CHAMP         (metz jeffrey)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.00 ★    
6  SWAGSATIONAL         (lawrence heath)MAWING A 122 12.00    
7  JEDI WARRIOR         (garcia gene )GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00    
8  SMILING MATT         (soto antoni)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00    
9  HELLO HANDSOME Jan03         (hodgson bar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 ★    
10  TWILIGHT RIDER         (person ken)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  INCLUDE HOO         (soto antonio)DEONAUTH P 122 20.00    
 
TUP-7   01/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE JOHN         (homer jaso)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 20.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  SILVER SERVICE Jan04         (christian b)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
3  CRACK A COLD ONE         (woolley bennie )WADE LYNDIE 124 6.00 22% 3.70    
4  JEN LORS LEGACY         (faulkner jeff)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00    
5  KENZOU'S RHYTHM Jan04         (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  SUCCESS RATE         (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 6.00    
7  THIRSTY JUNIOR         (valdez-cabral m)CRUZ M 124 5.00 ★    
8  INQUISITEUR         (blea tony)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 15.00    
9  KODIAK KING         (ha)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 12.00    
10  BRAVE HELIOS         (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00    
11  ARDENLEE STAR Jan04         (van debb)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00    
12  PRIVATE JOKE Jan04         (gutierrez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   01/18/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($27.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOPY Jan06         (si)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 29% 2.40    
2  AMERICAN BOURBON         (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  GALILETA         (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 8.00    
SCR  SPUN LINE         (evans just)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00    
5  MONGOLIAN WINDOW Jan06         (lavanway day)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 15.00    
6  PRANCE Jan04         (eikleberr)VALENZUELA A 122 4.50 ★    
7  LITTLE MISS BELLE         (bratcher ryan)MAWING A 122 4.00 9% 9.70    
8  CHEWY CHEWY GOOD Jan05         (silva jr)VERGARA P 124 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.