Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turf Paradise
Wednesday - January 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   01/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.9K) 3 ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREATIVE FEATURE 3 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 12 (nelson amy)GARCIA F 121 6.00 1.00  
DAREABIGDREAM 2 6 5 4   3 22 (chambers mike)MAWING A 121 4.00 7.30  
AG MINISTER 4 2 4¾ 3.2   2nk 33 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 121 3.00 67% 0.50 4.20 S
KEARNEY 1 5 2nk 2nk   4 4 (jimenez miguel)LINDSAY CHAD 121 8.00 17.20  
SARGE'S SERMON 6 4 6 6   5 511¾ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 7.00  
BLAME THE DEVIL 5 3 3½ 5   612 614 (schnell d)VALENZUELA A 121 2.50 2.50  
 
TUP-2   01/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:234 1:124 1:254     1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLUB MESQUITE 6 4 3 32 3 2½ 11 (mccartney)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 6.40  
CLASSIC LUCK 7 3 43 4 5 5 21 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 3.00 12% 7.70 3.70 P
BARELYSTILLCOUNTS 5 5 65 7 42 42 3 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 5.50 S
GREENBRIER 1 1 1 1½ 1nk 1½ 4 (crotts jim)CORBETT W 124 2.50 63% 0.60 0.60  
FAST GALLITO 3 2 2 2½ 2nk 3 5 (o'brien deb)SCRIVER L 124 8.00 8.40  
ATLATL 4 6 5 63 6 6 6 (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 5% 19.00 63.40  
RANCHER 2 7 76 53 75 710½ 711¾ (garrett j)MAWING A 124 10.00 27.20  
 
TUP-3   01/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:11     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLING TO BURN 9 4 31 2½   1nk 11 (br)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 29% 2.50 4.00 W
GUARDING ELK CAMP 5 5 6 3   3½ 21 (matt l)LINDSAY CHAD 124 2.50 32% 2.10 3.90 P
THUNDER WOMAN 7 3 1nk 1½   2nk 3 (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 2.20  
IZZY B 1 6 4 52   5 4 (leon priscilla)DEONAUTH P 124 15.00 10% 9.40 31.40  
ARIES 2 8 2nk 42   43 5 (asprino alf)SCRIVER L 124 3.50 2.40  
WINDI'S MOMENT 4 2 53 6   6 6 (nelson am)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 10.00 23.80  
SUBTLE RIDE 3 1 7 8   78 78 (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 6.00 6.20  
ORATORY GLORY 8 9 8 7   810 810¼ (hartman stan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00 38.20  
INTOXICATING KISS 6 7 9 910¾   916 915¾ (ecoffey gil)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00 40.70  
 
TUP-4   01/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.9K) 3 F PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLA 7 1 1 13   13 1 (evans justin)CRUZ M 121 2.50 77% 0.30 0.60 W
STOLEN HALO 1 8 5 4   3 2 (gleason m)LINDSAY CHAD 121 12.00 8.20  
MISSCZECH 9 3 4 23   23 3 (jimenez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 8.00 11.90 S
BALAS 2 7 6 69   411½ 4 (silva rod)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 37.00  
LIP'S OF WINE 4 6 8 810¾   513½ 511½ (mcdaniel l)ZUNINO L 121 12.00 27.00  
PARTY POLICE 3 5 7 710½   615 614¼ (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 121 5.00 11.60  
KOWBOYS SISTER 5 9 924¼ 912¼   819½ 717½ (hedge rick)CARTER KYLE 121 8.00 41.30  
MAGIC START 6 4 2 3   715½ 820 (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 121 3.00 2.70  
JADED SECRETS 8 2 3 59   927½ 934½ (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 121 10.00 22.10  
 
TUP-5   01/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:213 :443       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE ALI 7 6 64 6   23 1 (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 122 10.00 4.40  
11  RICKEY B 10 7 8 3   45 2 (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 22% 3.40 0.80 P
SAVED BY ZERO 9 2 2nk 2nk   3 3 (silva jr)CRUZ M 122 8.00 11% 8.20 11.20 S
JAZZ TOWN 8 9 9 9   66 46 (finch she)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 20.00 73.50  
SIX NINETY ONE 5 1 1nk 1nk   13 5 (asprino alf)SCRIVER L 122 5.00 11% 8.40 15.40  
PALMY SUNDAE 6 10 1011¼ 10   8 6 (gomez aleja)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 20.00 91.30  
HARD TO COME HOME 2 3 31 8   5 7 (hawkes da)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 7.40  
SQUARED STRAIGHT 4 4 5 5   98 8 (silva j)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 6.00 10% 8.90 12.20  
EIGHT SPOKES 3 5 76 7   7 99 (gutierrez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00 79.20  
NEVADAN 1 8 43 4   1013 1016¼ (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 10% 9.30 5.40  
SCR  SOMBRA NEGRA               (evans justin)VERGARA P 122 4.00    
 
TUP-6   01/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:214 :45 :58     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWIRLY GIRL 1 5 5 58   5 1½ (nelson amy)GARCIA F 122 12.00 36.10  
TOTHEMOONANDBACK 7 7 4 3   32 2½ (lavanway day)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 2.00 10% 8.70 2.50 P
FAITH IN EXCESS 3 6 7 6   45 3 (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 5.40  
10  WHO'S ASKING 9 1 13 13   12 4 (rycroft )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 20.00 6.80  
MADIGAN SQUEEZE 5 2 23 23   22 52 (lawrence heath)DEONAUTH P 122 8.00 4.00  
GOLD ROSE 2 9 9 810½   7 6 (olivas-valenzuel)ZUNINO L 122 3.50 55% 0.80 2.20  
SIZZLING GRACE 4 4 68 710½   6 7 (dillenbeck )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 15.00 11.40  
STELLAR WAY 8 8 8 912   812¼ 8 (hudson jef)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 31.10  
CHIEFTESS 6 3 3 4   913¼ 9 (nelson am)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 16.00  
SCR  MISS GLORIOUS               (jimenez miguel)LINDSAY CHAD 122 4.00 6% 16.50    
 
TUP-7   01/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:112 1:244   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT ON SATURDAY 8 2 42 31 2½ 1½ 1 (valerio raymond)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.50 2.20  
ROWDYROOSTER 5 4 52 5 3 33 2 (matt l)CORBETT W 124 5.00 14% 6.00 2.30 P
10  OUTLAW BY NATURE 9 5 2½ 21 43 43 3 (oliver victo)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 44.30  
FATS DOMINUS 1 1 1½ 11 1½ 2½ 49 (toye joe)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 6.00 19% 4.40 5.50  
FORT YORK 6 6 6 6 6 56 510½ (abraham tim)SCRIVER L 124 20.00 64.50  
REGAL CANDY 7 7 7 7 7 69 611¼ (hedge ri)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00 48.00  
INDY'S OUTLAW 2 3 3 42 56 711½ 723¼ (whitehouse )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 63.70  
SUPER ACCORD 3 8 8 8 811 813½ 823¾ (ha)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 15.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
NORTHERN QUEST (FR) 4 9 9100 9100 9100 9100 9100 (pierce mic)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.50 1.90  
SCR  JOHNNY               (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  KENZOU'S RHYTHM               (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00    
SCR  SUNLAND STAR               (blea j)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00    
 
TUP-8   01/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:12 1:24   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENNEBEC 3 4 5 5 43 33 1 (wong jonathan)PENA BRYAN 122 3.00 1.80  
MY INDY 4 1 1 2nk 11 12 2 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 0.90  
HEIR (FR) 6 3 32 4 32 22 33 (belvoir vann)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.50 8.20  
BECKHAM JAMES 1 2 2 1nk 21 45 4 (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00 23% 3.40 11.30  
STEAL HOME 2 5 76 7 712 716½ 518¼ (ecoffey gil)BARANDELA SOFIA 124 20.00 22% 3.60 46.00  
SEEKING REFUGE 7 7 6 6 6 516 618¼ (ortiz manuel)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 5.00 5.00  
HOLLYWOOD HEAT 5 6 42 3.2 56 616½ 723½ (chattong v)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 20.00 63.00  
SCR  CERNAN               (matt l)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  N. K. ROCKET MAN               (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.