Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - January 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-1   01/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.9K) 3 ALL PT- 2:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEARNEY         (jimenez a)LINDSAY CHAD 121 8.00    
DAREABIGDREAM         (chambers mike)MAWING A 121 4.00    
CREATIVE FEATURE         (nelson amy)GARCIA F 121 6.00    
AG MINISTER         (diodoro robertino)WADE LYNDIE 121 3.00 67% 0.50    
BLAME THE DEVIL         (schnell don)VALENZUELA A 121 2.50    
SARGE'S SERMON         (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50    
 
TUP-2   01/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREENBRIER         (crotts jim)CORBETT W 124 2.50 63% 0.60    
RANCHER         (garrett j)MAWING A 124 10.00    
FAST GALLITO         (o'brien debbi)SCRIVER L 124 8.00    
ATLATL         (rennie richar)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
BARELYSTILLCOUNTS         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00    
CLUB MESQUITE         (mccartney j)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
CLASSIC LUCK         (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 3.00 12% 7.70    
 
TUP-3   01/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IZZY B         (leon priscilla)DEONAUTH P 124 15.00 10% 9.40    
ARIES         (asprino alfre)SCRIVER L 124 3.50    
SUBTLE RIDE Jan04         (villamar candelario)GARCIA F 124 6.00    
WINDI'S MOMENT         (nelson amy)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 10.00    
GUARDING ELK CAMP         (matt l)LINDSAY CHAD 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
INTOXICATING KISS         (ecoffey gilbe)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00    
THUNDER WOMAN         (evans justin)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50    
ORATORY GLORY         (hartman stan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 10.00    
WILLING TO BURN         (brat)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 29% 2.50    
 
TUP-4   01/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.9K) 3 F PT- 4:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOLEN HALO         (gleason m)LINDSAY CHAD 121 12.00    
BALAS         (silva rodri)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00    
PARTY POLICE         (villamar candelario)GARCIA F 121 5.00    
LIP'S OF WINE Jan03         (mcdaniel l)ZUNINO L 121 12.00    
KOWBOYS SISTER         (hedge rick)CARTER KYLE 121 8.00    
MAGIC START         (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 121 3.00    
SOLA         (evans justin)CRUZ M 121 2.50 77% 0.30    
JADED SECRETS         (crystal dustie)LOPEZ E 121 10.00    
MISSCZECH         (jimenez migue)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 8.00    
 
TUP-5   01/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVADAN         (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 10% 9.30    
HARD TO COME HOME         (hawkes darc)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
EIGHT SPOKES         (gutierrez ju)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
SQUARED STRAIGHT         (silva jr)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 6.00 10% 8.90    
SIX NINETY ONE         (asprino alfre)SCRIVER L 122 5.00 11% 8.40    
PALMY SUNDAE         (gomez alejand)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 20.00    
PRINCE ALI         (perkinson cc)ZUNINO L 122 10.00    
JAZZ TOWN         (finch sherr)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 20.00    
SAVED BY ZERO         (silva jr)CRUZ M 122 8.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  SOMBRA NEGRA Jan04         (evans justin)VERGARA P 122 4.00    
11  RICKEY B         (wong jonathan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 22% 3.40    
 
TUP-6   01/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWIRLY GIRL         (nelson amy)GARCIA F 122 12.00    
GOLD ROSE         (olivas-valenzuela )ZUNINO L 122 3.50 55% 0.80    
FAITH IN EXCESS         (perkins franc)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00    
SIZZLING GRACE Jan04         (dillenbeck br)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 15.00    
MADIGAN SQUEEZE         (lawrence heath)DEONAUTH P 122 8.00    
CHIEFTESS         (nelson amy)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
TOTHEMOONANDBACK         (lavanway dayso)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 2.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  MISS GLORIOUS         (jimenez a)LINDSAY CHAD 122 4.00 6% 16.50    
STELLAR WAY         (hudson jeff)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  WHO'S ASKING         (rycroft ri)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 20.00    
 
TUP-7   01/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($11.48K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JOHNNY         (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
FATS DOMINUS         (toye joe)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 6.00 19% 4.40    
INDY'S OUTLAW         (whitehouse wi)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
SUPER ACCORD         (hans)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
NORTHERN QUEST (FR)         (pierce micha)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.50    
ROWDYROOSTER         (matt l)CORBETT W 124 5.00 14% 6.00    
FORT YORK         (abraham tim)SCRIVER L 124 20.00    
REGAL CANDY         (hedge rick)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00    
OUT ON SATURDAY         (valerio g)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.50    
10  OUTLAW BY NATURE         (oliver victor )GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00    
SCR  SUNLAND STAR Jan03         (blea jr)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00    
SCR  KENZOU'S RHYTHM Jan04         (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00    
 
TUP-8   01/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BECKHAM JAMES         (hernandez migu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  CERNAN         (matt l)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
STEAL HOME         (ecoffey gilbe)BARANDELA SOFIA 124 20.00 22% 3.60    
KENNEBEC         (wong jonathan)PENA BRYAN 122 3.00    
MY INDY         (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
HOLLYWOOD HEAT         (chattong vic)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 20.00    
HEIR (FR)         (belvoir vann)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.50    
SCR  N. K. ROCKET MAN         (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 6.00    
SEEKING REFUGE         (ortiz s)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.